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Last Updated: 10/19/2018 08:54:30 PM -0500

 

Oct 19, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 11 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

  

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Fri-Oct 19-Force vectors continue moving in a bullish direction. Many have climbed above pressure. Unfortunately, their prevailing cycle is mature. If they lose energy and reverse back into a bearish direction, the stock market bear will attack again. The stock market bear finds no reason to hibernate at this point.

 

Thu-Oct 18-The good news for those desiring the return of the stock market bull’s dominance is the DJU-(Chart) was bullish on and otherwise deeply bearish day, where all the major non-contrarian indices were considerably down. The Dow Utilities is the lone non-contrarian Near-term Indicant bull. Unfortunately, contrarian VIX-(Chart) is the only other Near-term Indicant bull, in addition to also being a Quick-term Indicant bull. The stock market bull is concerned about the upcoming election. A democratic victory will stop the Trump agenda, which is pro-capitalists and that is bearish, if indeed, democrats take over congress. Force vectors are moving bullishly, offering the stock market bull some hope, but with irrelevance until prices climb above the Near-term Blue curve and vector pressure moves forcibly toward bullish domains; preferably into bullish domains.

 

Tue-Oct 16-Despite strong stock market bullishness, the bear has not yet hibernated. Prices must climb above the Near-term Blue curves with force above pressure. That usually triggers near-term bull and buy signals depending on vector pressure behavior. Even then, the stock market bear will not hibernate until vector pressure crosses into bullish domains. Contrarians QID-(Chart) and VXX-(Chart) will endure a sell signal as soon as they fall below blue.

 

Mon-Oct 15-All major indices are enduring bearishly positioned vector pressure along the short-term cycle. Until they cross into bullish domains, the stock market bull cannot be dominate. Also, there are no Red Bulls among the major indices other than contrarian VIX-(Chart), which is adding to overall stock market bearishness. Non-contrarian DJU-(Chart) is enduring a bearishly directed force vector, threatening its role as a flight to safety.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 2 of 12; they are the DJU-(Chart) and VIX-(Chart)

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 1.7-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 17.3%; Annualized Performance: 525.6% primarily due to the VIX’s strong bullishness since its Near-term Bull signal on Oct 5, 2018.

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 10 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 1.8-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -3.5%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 2 of 12.

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 10 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary  

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 8 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 103.8-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 41.9%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 21.0%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 4 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 1.1-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 0.2%

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 4 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Oct 11, 2018-Quick-term Stock Market Bear-first time since late 2016, Yellow Bear population exceeds Red Bulls. Although Red Bulls will periodically outnumber Yellow Bears, the advantage will not shift back to favoring the stock market bull until other short-term attributes support stock market bullishness.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 11 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 1 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  10 of 11                                             

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction:  0 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Fri-Oct 19-Average volume on mild mixed stock market behavior has nothing to offer other than limited commitments to prevailing bearish bias.

 

Thu-Oct 18-Strong stock market bearishness resumed but again without demonstrable volume, suggesting the stock market bear can only win battles, but not yet capable of winning the war.

 

Wed-Oct 17-Recent average volume persists on mild and mixed stock market bearishness. That does not bode well for the stock market bear that aspires to dominate.

 

Tue-Oct 16-Volume was again mild on strong stock market bullish aggression, relative to last week’s more aggressive volume on stock market bearish aggression. That does not bode well for the stock market bull, despite today’s strong bullishness.

 

Mon-Oct 15-Very mild volume on mild stock market bearishness suggests selling interesting is waning. However, you should notice on the NASDAQ is now below the lower band of the Trump Bull line, which is much tighter than the NYSE Trump Band limits.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 5-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 3.7% since their buy signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 141.7%. Contrarians are the only ones being held.  

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETFs. They are down by an average of 4.4% since their sell signals 3.5-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 3

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 23

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 13-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 34.1% since their buy signals an average of 85.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 20.8%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 19-ETFs. They are down by an average of 5.9% since their sell signals an average of 11.6-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 2

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 2

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 12  

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/18/2018

 

 

 

Oct 18, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 10 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

  

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Thu-Oct 18-The good news for those desiring the return of the stock market bull’s dominance is the DJU-(Chart) was bullish on and otherwise deeply bearish day, where all the major non-contrarian indices were considerably down. The Dow Utilities is the lone non-contrarian Near-term Indicant bull. Unfortunately, contrarian VIX-(Chart) is the only other Near-term Indicant bull, in addition to also being a Quick-term Indicant bull. The stock market bull is concerned about the upcoming election. A democratic victory will stop the Trump agenda, which is pro-capitalists and that is bearish, if indeed, democrats take over congress. Force vectors are moving bullishly, offering the stock market bull some hope, but with irrelevance until prices climb above the Near-term Blue curve and vector pressure moves forcibly toward bullish domains; preferably into bullish domains.

 

Tue-Oct 16-Despite strong stock market bullishness, the bear has not yet hibernated. Prices must climb above the Near-term Blue curves with force above pressure. That usually triggers near-term bull and buy signals depending on vector pressure behavior. Even then, the stock market bear will not hibernate until vector pressure crosses into bullish domains. Contrarians QID-(Chart) and VXX-(Chart) will endure a sell signal as soon as they fall below blue.

 

Mon-Oct 15-All major indices are enduring bearishly positioned vector pressure along the short-term cycle. Until they cross into bullish domains, the stock market bull cannot be dominate. Also, there are no Red Bulls among the major indices other than contrarian VIX-(Chart), which is adding to overall stock market bearishness. Non-contrarian DJU-(Chart) is enduring a bearishly directed force vector, threatening its role as a flight to safety.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 2 of 12; they are the DJU-(Chart) and VIX-(Chart)

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 1.6-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 17.1%; Annualized Performance: 566.9% primarily due to the VIX’s strong bullishness since its Near-term Bull signal on Oct 5, 2018.

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 10 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 1.7-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -3.4%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 0 of 12. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) lost blue bull status.

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 10 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary  

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 8 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 103.6-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 41.8%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 21.0%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 4 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 1.0-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 0.1%

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 4 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Oct 11, 2018-Quick-term Stock Market Bear-first time since late 2016, Yellow Bear population exceeds Red Bulls. Although Red Bulls will periodically outnumber Yellow Bears, the advantage will not shift back to favoring the stock market bull until other short-term attributes support stock market bullishness.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 7 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 1 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  11 of 11                                             

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction:  0 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Thu-Oct 18-Strong stock market bearishness resumed but again without demonstrable volume, suggesting the stock market bear can only win battles, but not yet capable of winning the war.

 

Wed-Oct 17-Recent average volume persists on mild and mixed stock market bearishness. That does not bode well for the stock market bear that aspires to dominate.

 

Tue-Oct 16-Volume was again mild on strong stock market bullish aggression, relative to last week’s more aggressive volume on stock market bearish aggression. That does not bode well for the stock market bull, despite today’s strong bullishness.

 

Mon-Oct 15-Very mild volume on mild stock market bearishness suggests selling interesting is waning. However, you should notice on the NASDAQ is now below the lower band of the Trump Bull line, which is much tighter than the NYSE Trump Band limits.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 5-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 3.4% since their buy signals an average of 1.2-weeks ago, annualizing at 144.9%. Contrarians are the only ones being held.  

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETFs. They are down by an average of 4.3% since their sell signals 3.4-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 24

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 13-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 34.4% since their buy signals an average of 85.3-weeks ago, annualizing at 21.0%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 19-ETFs. They are down by an average of 6.0% since their sell signals an average of 11.5-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 2

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 2

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 13  

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/18/2018

 

 

Oct 16, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Tue-Oct 16-Despite strong stock market bullishness, the bear has not yet hibernated. Prices must climb above the Near-term Blue curves with force above pressure. That usually triggers near-term bull and buy signals depending on vector pressure behavior. Even then, the stock market bear will not hibernate until vector pressure crosses into bullish domains. Contrarians QID-(Chart) and VXX-(Chart) will endure a sell signal as soon as they fall below blue.

 

Mon-Oct 15-All major indices are enduring bearishly positioned vector pressure along the short-term cycle. Until they cross into bullish domains, the stock market bull cannot be dominate. Also, there are no Red Bulls among the major indices other than contrarian VIX-(Chart), which is adding to overall stock market bearishness. Non-contrarian DJU-(Chart) is enduring a bearishly directed force vector, threatening its role as a flight to safety.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 2 of 12; they are the DJU-(Chart) and VIX-(Chart)

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 1.3-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 8.9%; Annualized Performance: 360.3% primarily due to the VIX’s strong bullishness since its Near-term Bull signal on Oct 5, 2018.

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 10 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 1.4-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -1.5%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 0 of 12. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) lost blue bull status.

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 9 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 8 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 103.3-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 41.8%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 21.0%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 4 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 0.7-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 2.4%

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 0 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Oct 11, 2018-Quick-term Stock Market Bear-first time since late 2016, Yellow Bear population exceeds Red Bulls. Although Red Bulls will periodically outnumber Yellow Bears, the advantage will not shift back to favoring the stock market bull until other short-term attributes support stock market bullishness.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 0 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 0 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 1 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  10 of 11                                             

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction:  1 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Tue-Oct 16-Volume was again mild on strong stock market bullish aggression, relative to last week’s more aggressive volume on stock market bearish aggression. That does not bode well for the stock market bull, despite today’s strong bullishness.

 

Mon-Oct 15-Very mild volume on mild stock market bearishness suggests selling interesting is waning. However, you should notice on the NASDAQ is now below the lower band of the Trump Bull line, which is much tighter than the NYSE Trump Band limits.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 5-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 1.3% since their buy signals an average of 0.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 71.2%. Contrarians are the only ones being held.  

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETFs. They are down by an average of 3.2% since their sell signals 3.2-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 20

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 13-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 36.2% since their buy signals an average of 85.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 22.2%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 19-ETFs. They are down by an average of 4.6% since their sell signals an average of 11.2-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 3

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 2          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 5    

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/16/2018

 

 

Oct 15, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 08 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Mon-Oct 15-All major indices are enduring bearishly positioned vector pressure along the short-term cycle. Until they cross into bullish domains, the stock market bull cannot be dominate. Also, there are no Red Bulls among the major indices other than contrarian VIX-(Chart), which is adding to overall stock market bearishness. Non-contrarian DJU-(Chart) is enduring a bearishly directed force vector, threatening its role as a flight to safety.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 2 of 12; they are the DJU-(Chart) and VIX-(Chart)

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 1.1-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 20.7%; Annualized Performance: 943.8% primarily due to the VIX’s strong bullishness since its Near-term Bull signal on Oct 5, 2018.

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 10 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 1.3-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -3.7%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 1 of 12. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) is the lone blue bull.

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 11 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 8 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 103.2-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 42.1%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 21.2%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 4 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 0.6-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 0.3%

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 3 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Oct 11, 2018-Quick-term Stock Market Bear-first time since late 2016, Yellow Bear population exceeds Red Bulls.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 0 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 1 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  2 of 11                                   

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction: 1 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Mon-Oct 15-Very mild volume on mild stock market bearishness suggests selling interesting is waning. However, you should notice on the NASDAQ is now below the lower band of the Trump Bull line, which is much tighter than the NYSE Trump Band limits.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal, GLD-(Chart) and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 4-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 4.1% since their buy signals an average of 1.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 211.1%. Contrarians are the only ones being held.  

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETFs. They are down by an average of 4.6% since their sell signals 3.1-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 25

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 13-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 33.8% since their buy signals an average of 84.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 20.7%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 19-ETFs. They are down by an average of 6.2% since their sell signals an average of 11.1-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 2

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 2          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 13  

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/15/2018

 

 

 

Oct 12, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 07 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Fri-Oct 12-Despite stock market bullishness, the S&P600-(Chart) endured a Quick-term Indicant bear signal. It was actually bearish on an otherwise bullish day. Unfortunately, small caps, such as the S&P600, are leaders for the stock market bear. It was also an old Quick-term Indicant bull with its birth date of Mar 2, 2016 moving up a solid 48.2% since that birth. Its close cousin, the S&P400-(Chart) mid-caps Quick-term Indicant bull expired this past Wednesday, while the S&P600 did not fall prey to Yellow Bear status until today. The good news for the stock market bull was contrarian VIX-(Chart) force vector reversing into bearish direction. You should also notice that the VIX did not approach its last cyclical peak during this period of bearish pestering. The stock market bull will find some alliances when VIX force falls below its pressure, which is required before its next bear signal. You will gain more insight in the Weekly Stock Market Report this weekend.

 

Thu-Oct 11-The stock market bull is disappointed at two new Quick-term bear signals today. The DJT-(Chart) endured its first bear Quick-term Indicant signal since Jul 8,016, when it last signaled bull. It was up 35.3% since that bull signal. The NYSE-(Chart) also fell to Yellow Bear status. The NASDAQ-(Chart) is nearing that condition. It is up 56.3% since the Quick-term Indicant signaled bull on Mar 1, 2016. As you can see, these Quick-term bulls are unusually mature. Despite that, the Quick-term Indicant only signals bear when falling below Yellow, which is occurring for the first time in nearly two and a half years. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) continues to skyrocket and not yet above its last peak on Feb 8, 2018 at $33.46. It is up by 68.6% since the Indicant’s short-term bull signal on Oct 5, 2018. The DJU-(Chart) was indeed bearish today, but did not endure a new bear signal since its vector pressure remains in bullish domains. It is the only non-contrarian major index that is retaining its Near-term bull signal. With that, there is some hope for the stock market bull to regain its footing, albeit mildly.

 

Wed-Oct 10-The S&P400-(Chart) endured a Quick-term bear signal today for its first signal since its previous quick-term bull signal on Mar 2, 2016. That was a long lasting Quick-term Bull. It gained nearly 40% since that bull signal. Despite today’s strong stock market bearishness, the DJU-(Chart) was down less than one-half of one percent, while the NASDAQ100-(Chart), which was down the most of the major indices, fell by a very bearish 4.4%. The Near-term Indicant was already signaling bear for the NASDAQ100 and had already been signaling avoid for its related ETF#01-QQQ-(Chart). The fact that the DJU did not endure significant bearishness offers a bit of hope that this is just more pestering by the stock market bear; albeit with a sharp and deep bite. Continued monitoring of the DJU will offer insight on the longevity of this stock market bear along the near-term cycle. The DJT-(Chart) and the S&P600-(Chart) are now threatening Yellow Bear status to join the S&P400. A new Quick-term Bear signal for the S&P600 would be its first quick-term signal since Mar 2, 2016 when it enjoyed its current bull signal. It is up 51.9% since that bull signal despite very strong bearishness the past several days. It is down 6.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled bear on Sep 27, 2018. Small caps, such as the S&P600, very often lead bear markets, while the last to succumb to the stock market bear has been the Dow Utilities the past several years. The next few days will be interesting. If the S&P600 falls below its Quick-term bearish Yellow curve with the Dow Utilities also being bearish, do not be surprised at a ferocious stock market bear to highlight this year’s heart and soul of bearish seasonality. Partially contrarian ETF#14-TLT-(Chart) enjoyed today’s onslaught by the stock market bear. Although it was mildly bearish today, its force vector moved strongly to the north. Although it requires a lot of energy to earn a buy signal from its strongly bearish configuration, it is worthy of monitoring. Finally, ETF#21-EWZ-(Chart), Brazil, is the lone non-contrarian ETF with a near-term hold signal.

 

Tue-Oct 9- Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) enjoyed a new bull signal with its vector pressure climbing into bullish domains. However, several other non-contrarian major indices are enduring near-term bear signals. The DJU is behaving again as a safety net for equity dollars. That is a non-bullish configuration when other major indices are deepening their near-term bearishness. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) continues with it bullish configuration and related behavior. ETF#21-EWZ-(Chart), Brazil, is one of the few international ETF’s with strong bullish configurations. That, coupled with ETF#03-XLE-(Chart), offers strong support for petroleum based bullishness.

 

Mon-Oct 8-Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) is entering an interesting configuration with its vector pressure nearing bullish domains. The magnitude of non-contrarian S&P600-(Chart) near-term bearishness is a bit discerning.  Contrarian VIX-(Chart) is retaining its bullish configuration. Its force vector is maturing, and pressure crossed into bullish domains on Monday. There were more non-contrarian ETF sell signals offering more near-term support for the stock market bear. The quick-term cycle remains with bullish configurations.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 2 of 12; they are the DJU-(Chart) and VIX-(Chart)

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 0.7-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 20.6%; Annualized Performance: 1,499.1% primarily due to the VIX’s strong bullishness since its Near-term Bull signal on Oct 5, 2018.

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 10 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 0.8-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -3.4%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 1 of 12.

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 11 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and one new bear.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 8 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 102.8-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 42.7%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 21.6%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 3 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 0.2-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 0.1%

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 4 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Oct 11, 2018-Quick-term Stock Market Bear-first time since late 2016, Yellow Bear population exceeds Red Bulls.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 1 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  2 of 11                                   

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction: 1 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Fri-Oct 12, 2018-Both volume indicators are moving in a high interest direction with the stock market bear’s attack. That is supportive of the stock market bear. Friday’s volume was less than bearish related volume this week. With that, do not be surprised at more short-term bearishness. The argument against that is the NASDAQ falling below the lower Trump Bull band line. It will be interesting to see if the stock market bull finds enough revenge inspiration to climb above that band line. Trump is doing his part to fend off the stock market bear. He is among a few presidents in recent history who understands compound interest and the details of how it is computed.

 

Thu-Oct 11, 2018-Volume remains high on continuing bearish aggression, but not near that of the 2008 stock market bear. This bear is not acting on economic calamity, but it could be reading a disappointing election and/or inflationary pressures.

 

Wed-Oct 10, 2018-Volume was up significantly on strong stock market bearishness. Continuing selling on high volume suggests the stock market bear’s tenacity is significant at this point.

 

Tue-Oct 9, 2018-Average volume on flat stock market behavior does not encourage the stock market bull or bear.

 

Mon-Oct 8, 2018-Mediocre volume on flat stock market performance is not supportive of anything.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 4-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 3.6% since their buy signals an average of 0.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 294.1%. Contrarians are the only ones being held.  

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETFs. They are down by an average of 4.3% since their sell signals 3.2-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 25

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and two sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 13-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 34.5% since their buy signals an average of 84.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 21.3%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 17-ETFs. They are down by an average of 6.9% since their sell signals an average of 11.9-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 2

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 13  

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/12/2018

 

Oct 11, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 06 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Thu-Oct 11-The stock market bull is disappointed at two new Quick-term bear signals today. The DJT-(Chart) endured its first bear Quick-term Indicant signal since Jul 8,016, when it last signaled bull. It was up 35.3% since that bull signal. The NYSE-(Chart) also fell to Yellow Bear status. The NASDAQ-(Chart) is nearing that condition. It is up 56.3% since the Quick-term Indicant signaled bull on Mar 1, 2016. As you can see, these Quick-term bulls are unusually mature. Despite that, the Quick-term Indicant only signals bear when falling below Yellow, which is occurring for the first time in nearly two and a half years. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) continues to skyrocket and not yet above its last peak on Feb 8, 2018 at $33.46. It is up by 68.6% since the Indicant’s short-term bull signal on Oct 5, 2018. The DJU-(Chart) was indeed bearish today, but did not endure a new bear signal since its vector pressure remains in bullish domains. It is the only non-contrarian major index that is retaining its Near-term bull signal. With that, there is some hope for the stock market bull to regain its footing, albeit mildly.

 

Wed-Oct 10-The S&P400-(Chart) endured a Quick-term bear signal today for its first signal since its previous quick-term bull signal on Mar 2, 2016. That was a long lasting Quick-term Bull. It gained nearly 40% since that bull signal. Despite today’s strong stock market bearishness, the DJU-(Chart) was down less than one-half of one percent, while the NASDAQ100-(Chart), which was down the most of the major indices, fell by a very bearish 4.4%. The Near-term Indicant was already signaling bear for the NASDAQ100 and had already been signaling avoid for its related ETF#01-QQQ-(Chart). The fact that the DJU did not endure significant bearishness offers a bit of hope that this is just more pestering by the stock market bear; albeit with a sharp and deep bite. Continued monitoring of the DJU will offer insight on the longevity of this stock market bear along the near-term cycle. The DJT-(Chart) and the S&P600-(Chart) are now threatening Yellow Bear status to join the S&P400. A new Quick-term Bear signal for the S&P600 would be its first quick-term signal since Mar 2, 2016 when it enjoyed its current bull signal. It is up 51.9% since that bull signal despite very strong bearishness the past several days. It is down 6.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled bear on Sep 27, 2018. Small caps, such as the S&P600, very often lead bear markets, while the last to succumb to the stock market bear has been the Dow Utilities the past several years. The next few days will be interesting. If the S&P600 falls below its Quick-term bearish Yellow curve with the Dow Utilities also being bearish, do not be surprised at a ferocious stock market bear to highlight this year’s heart and soul of bearish seasonality. Partially contrarian ETF#14-TLT-(Chart) enjoyed today’s onslaught by the stock market bear. Although it was mildly bearish today, its force vector moved strongly to the north. Although it requires a lot of energy to earn a buy signal from its strongly bearish configuration, it is worthy of monitoring. Finally, ETF#21-EWZ-(Chart), Brazil, is the lone non-contrarian ETF with a near-term hold signal.

 

Tue-Oct 9- Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) enjoyed a new bull signal with its vector pressure climbing into bullish domains. However, several other non-contrarian major indices are enduring near-term bear signals. The DJU is behaving again as a safety net for equity dollars. That is a non-bullish configuration when other major indices are deepening their near-term bearishness. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) continues with it bullish configuration and related behavior. ETF#21-EWZ-(Chart), Brazil, is one of the few international ETF’s with strong bullish configurations. That, coupled with ETF#03-XLE-(Chart), offers strong support for petroleum based bullishness.

 

Mon-Oct 8-Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) is entering an interesting configuration with its vector pressure nearing bullish domains. The magnitude of non-contrarian S&P600-(Chart) near-term bearishness is a bit discerning.  Contrarian VIX-(Chart) is retaining its bullish configuration. Its force vector is maturing, and pressure crossed into bullish domains on Monday. There were more non-contrarian ETF sell signals offering more near-term support for the stock market bear. The quick-term cycle remains with bullish configurations.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 2 of 12; they are the DJU-(Chart) and VIX-(Chart)

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 0.6-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 33.0%; Annualized Performance: 2,999.2% primarily due to the VIX’s strong bullishness since its Near-term Bull signal on Oct 5, 2018.

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 10 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 0.7-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -4.5%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 1 of 12.

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 11 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and two new bear.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 9 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 106.3-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 44.4%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 21.7%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 1 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 0.1-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 0.1

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 4 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Oct 11, 2018-Quick-term Stock Market Bear. For the first time since late 2016, Yellow Bear population exceeds Red Bull.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 1 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  0 of 11                                   

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction: 1 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Thu-Oct 11, 2018-Volume remains high on continuing bearish aggression, but not near that of the 2008 stock market bear. This bear is not acting on economic calamity, but it could be reading a disappointing election and/or inflationary pressures.

 

Wed-Oct 10, 2018-Volume was up significantly on strong stock market bearishness. Continuing selling on high volume suggests the stock market bear’s tenacity is significant at this point.

 

Tue-Oct 9, 2018-Average volume on flat stock market behavior does not encourage the stock market bull or bear.

 

Mon-Oct 8, 2018-Mediocre volume on flat stock market performance is not supportive of anything.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and five sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 4-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 6.3% since their buy signals an average of 0.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 762.7%. Contrarians are the only ones being held.  

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETFs. They are down by an average of 5.4% since their sell signals 3.0-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 25

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and five sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 15-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 28.6% since their buy signals an average of 75.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 19.7%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 12-ETFs. They are down by an average of 10.3% since their sell signals an average of 16.7-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 2

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 15  

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/11/2018

 

 

Oct 10, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 05 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

  

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Wed-Oct 10-The S&P400-(Chart) endured a Quick-term bear signal today for its first signal since its previous quick-term bull signal on Mar 2, 2016. That was a long lasting Quick-term Bull. It gained nearly 40% since that bull signal. Despite today’s strong stock market bearishness, the DJU-(Chart) was down less than one-half of one percent, while the NASDAQ100-(Chart), which was down the most of the major indices, fell by a very bearish 4.4%. The Near-term Indicant was already signaling bear for the NASDAQ100 and had already been signaling avoid for its related ETF#01-QQQ-(Chart). The fact that the DJU did not endure significant bearishness offers a bit of hope that this is just more pestering by the stock market bear; albeit with a sharp and deep bite. Continued monitoring of the DJU will offer insight on the longevity of this stock market bear along the near-term cycle. The DJT-(Chart) and the S&P600-(Chart) are now threatening Yellow Bear status to join the S&P400. A new Quick-term Bear signal for the S&P600 would be its first quick-term signal since Mar 2, 2016 when it enjoyed its current bull signal. It is up 51.9% since that bull signal despite very strong bearishness the past several days. It is down 6.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled bear on Sep 27, 2018. Small caps, such as the S&P600, very often lead bear markets, while the last to succumb to the stock market bear has been the Dow Utilities the past several years. The next few days will be interesting. If the S&P600 falls below its Quick-term bearish Yellow curve with the Dow Utilities also being bearish, do not be surprised at a ferocious stock market bear to highlight this year’s heart and soul of bearish seasonality. Partially contrarian ETF#14-TLT-(Chart) enjoyed today’s onslaught by the stock market bear. Although it was mildly bearish today, its force vector moved strongly to the north. Although it requires a lot of energy to earn a buy signal from its strongly bearish configuration, it is worthy of monitoring. Finally, ETF#21-EWZ-(Chart), Brazil, is the lone non-contrarian ETF with a near-term hold signal.

 

Tue-Oct 9- Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) enjoyed a new bull signal with its vector pressure climbing into bullish domains. However, several other non-contrarian major indices are enduring near-term bear signals. The DJU is behaving again as a safety net for equity dollars. That is a non-bullish configuration when other major indices are deepening their near-term bearishness. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) continues with it bullish configuration and related behavior. ETF#21-EWZ-(Chart), Brazil, is one of the few international ETF’s with strong bullish configurations. That, coupled with ETF#03-XLE-(Chart), offers strong support for petroleum based bullishness.

 

Mon-Oct 8-Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) is entering an interesting configuration with its vector pressure nearing bullish domains. The magnitude of non-contrarian S&P600-(Chart) near-term bearishness is a bit discerning.  Contrarian VIX-(Chart) is retaining its bullish configuration. Its force vector is maturing, and pressure crossed into bullish domains on Monday. There were more non-contrarian ETF sell signals offering more near-term support for the stock market bear. The quick-term cycle remains with bullish configurations.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and five new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 2 of 12; they are the DJU-(Chart) and VIX-(Chart)

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 0.4-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 27.2%; Annualized Performance: 3,304.1% primarily due to the VIX’s strong bullishness since its Near-term Bull signal on Oct 5, 2018.

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 5 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 1.1-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -5.5%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 2 of 12.

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 10 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and one new bear.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 11 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 109.1-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 41.8%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 19.9%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 0 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: N/A-weeks-avg.   

Quick-term Bear Performance: N/A

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 2 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 0 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 2 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  1 of 11                                   

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction: 1 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Wed-Oct 10, 2018-Volume was up significantly on strong stock market bearishness. Continuing selling on high volume suggests the stock market bear’s tenacity is significant at this point.

 

Tue-Oct 9, 2018-Average volume on flat stock market behavior does not encourage the stock market bull or bear.

 

Mon-Oct 8, 2018-Mediocre volume on flat stock market performance is not supportive of anything.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal and five sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 4-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 3.4% since their buy signals an average of 0.5-weeks ago, annualizing at 358.8%. Contrarians are the only ones being held.  

 

The NTI is avoiding 22-ETFs. They are down by an average of 4.5% since their sell signals 3.4-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 0 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 0

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 24

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated one buy signal and three sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 19-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 34.7% since their buy signals an average of 82.1-weeks ago, annualizing at 22.0%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 9-ETFs. They are down by an average of 12.5% since their sell signals an average of 22.0-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 2

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 2          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 7    

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bear, effective Oct 10, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/09/2018

 

 

Oct 9, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 04 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

  

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Tue-Oct 9- Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) enjoyed a new bull signal with its vector pressure climbing into bullish domains. However, several other non-contrarian major indices are enduring near-term bear signals. The DJU is behaving again as a safety net for equity dollars. That is a non-bullish configuration when other major indices are deepening their near-term bearishness. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) continues with it bullish configuration and related behavior. ETF#21-EWZ-(Chart), Brazil, is one of the few international ETF’s with strong bullish configurations. That, coupled with ETF#03-XLE-(Chart), offers strong support for petroleum based bullishness.

 

Mon-Oct 8-Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) is entering an interesting configuration with its vector pressure nearing bullish domains. The magnitude of non-contrarian S&P600-(Chart) near-term bearishness is a bit discerning.  Contrarian VIX-(Chart) is retaining its bullish configuration. Its force vector is maturing, and pressure crossed into bullish domains on Monday. There were more non-contrarian ETF sell signals offering more near-term support for the stock market bear. The quick-term cycle remains with bullish configurations.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 6 of 12

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 11.3-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 5.4%; Annualized Performance: 24.8%

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 5 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 0.9-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -2.0%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 1 of 12

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 6 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 11 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 118.9-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 45.9%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 20.1%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 0 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: N/A-weeks-avg.   

Quick-term Bear Performance: N/A

 

Quick-term Performance Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 5 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 0 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 5 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  2 of 11                                   

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction: 1 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bull, effective Jul 6, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Tue-Oct 9, 2018-Average volume on flat stock market behavior does not encourage the stock market bull or bear.

 

Mon-Oct 8, 2018-Mediocre volume on flat stock market performance is not supportive of anything.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 8-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 3.8% since their buy signals an average of 8.5-weeks ago, annualizing at 23.5%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 23-ETFs. They are down by an average of 2.1% since their sell signals 3.8-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 0

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 3

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 16

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 22-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 39.8% since their buy signals an average of 81.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 24.0%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 10-ETFs. They are down by an average of 13.4% since their sell signals an average of 22.1-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 3

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 8          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 5    

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bull, effective May 11, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/09/2018

 

 

Oct 8, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 03 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Mon-Oct 8-Non-contrarian Dow Utilities-(Chart) is entering an interesting configuration with its vector pressure nearing bullish domains. The magnitude of non-contrarian S&P600-(Chart) near-term bearishness is a bit discerning.  Contrarian VIX-(Chart) is retaining its bullish configuration. Its force vector is maturing, and pressure crossed into bullish domains on Monday. There were more non-contrarian ETF sell signals offering more near-term support for the stock market bear. The quick-term cycle remains with bullish configurations.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 6 of 12

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 11.1-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 5.3%; Annualized Performance: 24.8%

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 6 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 1.0-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -0.4%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 1 of 12

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 5 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 11 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 118.8-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 46.3%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 20.3%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 1 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 1.7-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 5.0%

 

Quick-term Performance Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 5 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 0 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 3 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 1 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 6 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  1 of 11                                   

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction: 1 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bull, effective Jul 6, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Mon-Oct 8, 2018-Mediocre volume on flat stock market performance is not supportive of anything.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal and three sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 7-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 4.2% since their buy signals an average of 9.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 22.7%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 21-ETFs. They are down by an average of 1.8% since their sell signals 4.1-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 1 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 0

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 5

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 15

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 21-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 39.8% since their buy signals an average of 85.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 24.2%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 10-ETFs. They are down by an average of 13.2% since their sell signals an average of 21.9-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 3

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 9          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 4    

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bull, effective May 11, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/08/2018

 

 

Oct 5, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 02 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

  

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Fri Oct-5-More non-contrarian Near-term Indicant bear signals were triggered for the NASDAQ-(Chart), NASDAQ100-(Chart), and the Dow Transports-(Chart). That coupled with Near-term and Quick-term bull signals for contrarian VIX-(Chart), is very supportive of the stock market bear along the near-term cycle. That is relatively minor since most of this pestering by the stock market bear has been confined to the near-term cycle. Also, adding support for considering this stock market bearishness as minor is the Dow Utilities-(Chart) attempt to escape its prevailing bear signal, which is along both the near-term and quick-term horizon. It is the only non-contrarian major index with recent near-term and quick-term bearishness. Its argument against the stock market bear is due to it being receptive to “safety net” trading. Dynamic stock market bearishness will not occur with that configuration. There were additional sell signals for non-contrarian ETF’s in addition to a buy signal for contrarian VXX-(Chart). Despite non-contrarian QQQ’s-(Chart) sell signal today, contrarian QID-(Chart) has not yet earned a buy signal due to its depressed vector pressure.

 

Thu-Oct 4-The S&P400-Mid Caps-(Chart) and the S&P600-Small Caps-(Chart) continue enduring their near-term bear signals. There were two related non-contrarian near-term ETF sell signals today with partially contrarian ETF#03-(Chart) enjoying a buy signal as oil prices continue increasing. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) is behaving bullishly but not with enough force vector support to trigger it with a new bull signal. The Dow Utilities-(Chart) remains a the lone Short-term Indicant bear with both the near-term and quick-term cycles continuing with a bear signal. Partially contrarian ETF#14-TLT-(Chart) remains a Yellow Bear and becoming more jaundiced, as it continues to dive deeper into Yellow Bear domains.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and three new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 5 of 12

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 12.8-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 5.1%; Annualized Performance: 20.6%

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 3 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 1.0-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: -0.6%

Near-term Performance Advantage: Oct 5, 2018-Stock Market Bear

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 1 of 12

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 6 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 10 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 130.2-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 50.5%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 20.2%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 1 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 1.3-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 4.2%

 

Quick-term Performance Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 7 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 0 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 6 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 3 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 7 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  2 of 11                                   

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction: 3 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bull, effective Jul 6, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Oct 5-Fri-Although back to back strong stock market bearishness is a bit discerning, the volume was again average. 

 

Oct 4-Thu-Again average volume, but with strong stock market bearishness, does not offer significant support for dynamic bearishness.

 

Oct 3-Wed-Mild stock market bullishness on average volume is meaningless.

 

Oct 2-Tue-Mild stock market bearishness on average volume is not significantly encouraging the stock market bear.

 

Oct 1-Mon-Average volume on mixed with mild overall stock market bullishness does not obviate directional intensity.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal and three sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 9-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 4.0% since their buy signals an average of 11.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 18.3%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 19-ETFs. They are down by an average of 3.0% since their sell signals 5.8-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 0

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 14

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 21-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 39.8% since their buy signals an average of 85.2-weeks ago, annualizing at 24.3%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 11-ETFs. They are down by an average of 12.5% since their sell signals an average of 21.4-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 3

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 9          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 4    

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bull, effective May 11, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/05/2018

 

 

Oct 4, 2018 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 10, Issue 01 ISSN 1526 6516 Short-term Indicant

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Summary

Thu-Oct 4-The S&P400-Mid Caps-(Chart) and the S&P600-Small Caps-(Chart) continue enduring their near-term bear signals. There were two related non-contrarian near-term ETF sell signals today with partially contrarian ETF#03-(Chart) enjoying a buy signal as oil prices continue increasing. Contrarian VIX-(Chart) is behaving bullishly but not with enough force vector support to trigger it with a new bull signal. The Dow Utilities-(Chart) remains a the lone Short-term Indicant bear with both the near-term and quick-term cycles continuing with a bear signal. Partially contrarian ETF#14-TLT-(Chart) remains a Yellow Bear and becoming more jaundiced, as it continues to dive deeper into Yellow Bear domains.

 

Please review the below sections for more insight.

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Index Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Number of Near-term Bulls: 8 of 12

Duration of Near-term Bulls: 12.4-wks-avg.

Near-term Bull Performance: 4.7%; Annualized Performance: 19.8%

 

Number of Near-term Bears: 4 of 12

Average Duration of Near-term Bears: 1.5-wks. avg.

Near-term Bears Average Performance: 1.5%

Near-term Performance Advantage: July 6, 2018-Stock Market Bull

           

Near-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses  

Near-term Indicant Configured Bullish Blue Bulls: 1 of 12

Near-term Indicant Configured Bearish Green Bears: 2 of 12 

Near-term Position Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term Stock Market Bear.

 

Index Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

                                               

Number of Quick-term Bulls: 10 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term Bulls: 130.0-wks.

Quick-term Bull Performance: 51.7%; Quick-term Annualized Performance: 20.7%

 

Number of Quick-term Bears: 2 of 12

Average Duration of Quick-term: Bears: 2.2-weeks-avg.     

Quick-term Bear Performance: 5.1%

 

Quick-term Performance Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

 

Quick-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 7 of 12 

Configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 0 of 12

 

Quick-term Configured Advantage: Nov 7, 2016-Quick-term Stock Market Bull. Yellow Bears have not outnumbered Red Bulls since then.

                       

Short-term Stock Market Cycle Analyses

Non-contrarian force vectors in bullish domains: 6 of 11

Non-contrarian force vectors higher than vector pressure: 3 of 11

Non-contrarian vector pressure in bullish domains: 7 of 11 

Non-contrarian force vectors with bullish direction:  2 of 11                                   

Non-contrarian vector pressure with bullish direction: 3 of 11

Short-term Advantage: Short-term Stock Market Bull, effective Jul 6, 2018.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators

Oct 4-Thu

 

Oct 3-Wed

 

Oct 2-Tue

 

Oct 1-Mon-

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

ETF Near-term Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 11-ETF’s. Those enjoying hold signals are up by an average of 5.3% since their buy signals an average of 13.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 20.1%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 18-ETFs. They are down by an average of 3.9% since their sell signals 6.7-weeks ago.

 

Near-term ETF Cycle Analyses

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2

Contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 1

 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 2 

Partial Contrarian Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 0

 

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Blue Bulls: 5

Non-contrarian configured Near-term Indicant Green Bears: 13

 

Near-term Advantage: Oct 4, 2018-Near-term stock market bear.

         

ETF Quick-term Report Card Summary

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

                       

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 21-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 40.7% since their buy signals an average of 85.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 24.9%.

                                                           

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 11-ETFs. They are down by an average of 12.3% since their sell signals an average of 21.2-weeks ago.

                             

Quick-term ETF Cycle Analyses  

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 0

Contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 3

           

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 1

Partial Contrarian Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 1

           

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Red Bulls: 8          

Non-contrarian configured Quick-term Indicant Yellow Bears: 4    

 

Quick-term Advantage: Quick-term stock market bull, effective May 11, 2018.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections       

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

           

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

Other links:     

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Short-term Indicant Historical Tables for the S&P500 Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Understanding Content on the Short-term Indicant Charts

 

Happy Investing,

 

editor@indicant.net

www.indicant.net

10/04/2018

 

 

 

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