Biggest Bulls and
Bears by Month
Last Update January 1, 2004
Biggest
Gainers During the Time Frame Noted
| As you can see,
even the bearish months
have some nice gains from time to time. |
|
Biggest Gainers |
1950-2003
DJIA |
1950-2003
S&P500 |
1970-2003
NASDAQ |
|
Jan |
+ 14.46% |
+ 13.2% |
+ 16.6% |
|
Feb |
+ 8.8% |
+ 7.1% |
+ 19.2% |
|
Mar |
+ 7.8% |
+ 9.7% |
+ 7.6% |
|
Apr |
+ 10.5% |
+ 8.5% |
+ 15.0% |
|
May |
+ 8.3% |
+ 9.2% |
+ 11.1% |
|
June |
+ 6.2% |
+ 8.2% |
+ 16.6% |
|
July |
+ 9.0% |
+ 8.8% |
+ 10.5% |
|
Aug |
+ 11.5% |
+ 11.6% |
+ 11.7% |
|
Sep |
+ 7.4% |
+ 8.3% |
+ 13.0% |
|
Oct |
+ 10.6% |
+ 16.3% |
+ 17.2% |
|
Nov |
+ 10.1% |
+ 10.2% |
+ 14.2% |
|
Dec |
+ 9.5% |
+ 11.2% |
+ 22.0% |
Biggest
Losers During the Time Frame Noted
| Likewise,
even the bullish months
endure bearish behavior from time to time. |
|
Biggest
Losses |
1950-2003
DJIA |
1950-2003
S&P500 |
1970-2003
NASDAQ |
|
Jan |
- 8.4% |
- 7.6% |
- 8.6% |
|
Feb |
- 7.4% |
- 9.2% |
- 22.4% |
|
Mar |
- 9.0% |
- 10.2% |
- 17.1% |
|
Apr |
- 6.3% |
- 9.0% |
- 15.6% |
|
May |
- 7.8% |
- 8.6% |
- 11.9% |
|
June |
- 8.5% |
- 8.2% |
- 9.4% |
|
July |
- 6.6% |
- 8.0% |
- 9.2% |
|
Aug |
- 15.1% |
- 14.6% |
- 19.9% |
|
Sep |
- 12.4% |
- 11.9% |
- 17.0% |
|
Oct |
- 23.2% |
- 21.8% |
- 27.2% |
|
Nov |
- 14.0% |
- 11.4% |
- 22.9% |
|
Dec |
- 6.2% |
- 6.0% |
- 9.7% |
So, if you trade solely on
historical patterns you will encounter some moments of grievance and lost
money. Seasonal patterns are gaining in popularity. And when a model
becomes popular, you can rest assured it will quit working for you. That
is referred to as the phenomenon of commonality and reason for limited
membership at The Indicant. The crowd is always
going to be wrong. It is absolutely impossible for more than 50% of
short-term traders to win in the stock market. The various Indicant
models will help you identify and avoid catastrophes, such as the
bearish months during the normal bullish months. |
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