Apr 29, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 20 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors remain
in bullish domains. The bull remains inspired as long as they do not shift
back into bearish domains. Force is nearing cyclical peaks so next week
will be interesting.
The bull still needs
more bullish Pressure from
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
As you can see, its Vector Pressure remains in bearish domains. That is
pestering the stock market bull, but losing its grip on that. The question
remains as valid, will Japan bring down the stock market bull? A new
evolving question is, will the stock market bull lift Japan? It was
solidly bullish the past two days, lending support to a “yes” to the
second question. Of interest is its Force Vector behavior early next week.
Stock market
bullishness continues to impress with resiliency in the face of several
worry points.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.7% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. This is annualizing at 34.6%. The Near-term
Indicant is signaling bear for contrarian VIX. It is down 15.2% since the
bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is also signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down
15.2% since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices for an average of 29.8-weeks. They are up by an
average of 22.0% since their bull signals, annualizing at 38.5%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Eleven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle. Eleven NTI Blue Bulls add bullish punch.
Force remains in bullish domains, offering bullish support. The next
obstacle to overcome on behalf of the bull is for it to reside there for
several days. Not desired by the stock market bull is for Force to shift
sharply back to the south. So far, the stock market bull is delighted.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
29, 2011-Fri-Mild volume on mild bullishness is very pleasant. That
enhances probability of bull’s longevity.
Apr
28, 2011-Thu-Mild volume on mild bullishness offers little argument to
prevailing bullish bias.
Apr
27, 2011-Wed-Volume was up again on bullish behavior. That lends
additional support to the Near-term bullish cycle.
Apr
26, 2011-Tue-Volume was up, relative to recent levels, on bullish
aggression, which supports bullish bias.
Apr
25, 2011-Mon-Low volume on mild mixed stock market behavior is an esoteric
event. Bullish bias prevails since volume is not arguing.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 8.7% since their buy signals an average of 9.1-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 49.6%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.1% since
their sell signals an average of 3.9-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up 28.6%
since their buy signals an average of 40.3-weeks ago. This annualizes at
36.9%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 4.0% since the
QTI sell signals 3.8-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is up 4.8% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
4.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains a bit too low for a buy signal, but getting close. If
Force starts vacillating in bullish domains, a buy signal will be
triggered. It was solidly bullish the past two days and Force is near a
max. Vacillations there will justify a buy signal, as Pressure is
increasing.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
49.1%, annualizing at 78.2% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status and supportive of its bullishness.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 88.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 36.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $128.37 and still rising. There
is no need for being patient here since your buy price approximates $80.65
versus today’s closing price of $152.37. It simply keeps moving north and
with significant gusto the past two days.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 12.5% since
then, annualizing at 64.4%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 4.5% since that sell signal. Vector
Pressure is no longer in bearish domains, but Force is shifting to the
south. As stated last Tue, put option opportunity is manifesting. It was
down on Wed, but up the past two days. Put option opportunities remain in
effect, but conservatively so.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear on Apr 8, 2011. It is up 3.7% since that
sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell Apr 20, 2011 for
ETF#31-QID.
It is down 4.2% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 20.4% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 29, 2011-Fri-None
Apr 28, 2011-Thu-None
Apr 27,
2011-Wed-Solid bullish action added traction to the near-term bull signal.
Apr 26, 2011-Tue-None
Apr 25, 2011-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 29, 2011. The
stock market bull along all three cycle types remains strong. The
Near-term cycle will be tested early next week with Force Vectors maxing.
Their vacillations in bullish domains will inspire the stock market bull.
If they return to bearish domains, the stock market bear will find some
solace, but not yet dominate.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/29/2011
Apr 28, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 19 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors remain
in bullish domains. The bull remains inspired as long as they do not shift
back into bearish domains.
The bull still needs
more bullish Pressure from
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
As you can see, its Vector Pressure remains in bearish domains. That is
pestering the stock market bull, but losing its grip on that. The question
remains as valid, will Japan bring down the stock market bull? A new
evolving question is, will the stock market bull lift Japan? It was
solidly bullish today, but Pressure remains too low for buying.
Stock market
bullishness continues to impress with resiliency in the face of several
worry points.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.5% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. This is annualizing at 33.4%. The Near-term
Indicant is signaling bear for contrarian VIX. It is down 16.0% since the
bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is also signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down
16.0% since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices for an average of 29.6-weeks. They are up by an
average of 21.8% since their bull signals, annualizing at 38.3%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Eleven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle. Eleven NTI Blue Bulls add bullish punch.
Force remains in bullish domains, offering bullish support. The next
obstacle to overcome on behalf of the bull is for it to reside there for
several days. Not desired by the stock market bull is for Force to shift
sharply back to the south. So far, the stock market bull is delighted.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
28, 2011-Thu-Mild volume on mild bullishness offers little argument to
prevailing bullish bias.
Apr
27, 2011-Wed-Volume was up again on bullish behavior. That lends
additional support to the Near-term bullish cycle.
Apr
26, 2011-Tue-Volume was up, relative to recent levels, on bullish
aggression, which supports bullish bias.
Apr
25, 2011-Mon-Low volume on mild mixed stock market behavior is an esoteric
event. Bullish bias prevails since volume is not arguing.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 8.4% since their buy signals an average of 9.0-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 48.4%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.2% since
their sell signals an average of 3.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up 28.2%
since their buy signals an average of 40.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at
36.5%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 4.1% since the
QTI sell signals 3.6-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is up 4.6% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
4.4% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains a bit too low for a buy signal, but getting close. If
Force starts vacillating in bullish domains, a buy signal will be
triggered. It was solidly bullish today, but Pressure remains too low.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
46.9%, annualizing at 75.0% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status and supportive of its bullishness.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 85.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 35.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $128.23 and still rising. There
is no need for being patient here is important since your buy price
approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $149.82. It simply
keeps moving north and with some additional gusto today.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 10.6% since
then, annualizing at 55.5%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 4.1% since that sell signal. Vector
Pressure is no longer in bearish domains, but Force is shifting to the
south. As stated last Tue, put option opportunity is manifesting. It was
down on Wed, but up today. Put option opportunities remain in effect, but
conservatively so.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear on Apr 8, 2011. It is up 3.4% since that
sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell Apr 20, 2011 for
ETF#31-QID.
It is down 4.1% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 20.4% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 28, 2011-Thu-None
Apr 27,
2011-Wed-Solid bullish action added traction to the near-term bull signal.
Apr 26, 2011-Tue-None
Apr 25, 2011-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 28, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and remains vulnerable.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/28/2011
Apr 27, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 18 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Of interest is the
NASDAQ’s recent invigorating attempt to cross above its cyclical peak from
the 2003 bull leg. That cyclical daily close peaked on Oct 31, 2007. It
came close to topping that peak on Feb 18, 2011, but retreated. It finally
topped it today. There is strong technical evidence this is bullish.
The Indicant Volume Indicator
chart is where you can see this bullish event. You will have to scroll
down. The Big Board still lags quite significantly, though.
Force Vectors remain
in bullish domains. The bull remains inspired as long as they do not shift
back into bearish domains.
The bull still needs
more bullish Pressure from
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
As you can see, its Vector Pressure remains in bearish domains. That is
pestering the stock market bull, but losing its grip on that. The question
remains as valid, will Japan bring down the stock market bull? A new
evolving question is, will the stock market bull lift Japan?
Stock market
bullishness continues to impress with resiliency in the face of several
worry points.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.1% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. This is annualizing at 28.8%. The Near-term
Indicant is signaling bear for contrarian VIX. It is down 11.8% since the
bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is also signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down
11.8% since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices for an average of 29.5-weeks. They are up by an
average of 21.3% since their bull signals, annualizing at 37.6%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Eleven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle.
Force remains in bullish domains, offering bullish support. The next
obstacle to overcome on behalf of the bull is for it to reside there for
several days. Not desired by the stock market bull is for Force to shift
sharply back to the south. So far, the stock market bull is delighted.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
27, 2011-Wed-Volume was up again on bullish behavior. That lends
additional support to the Near-term bullish cycle.
Apr
26, 2011-Tue-Volume was up, relative to recent levels, on bullish
aggression, which supports bullish bias.
Apr
25, 2011-Mon-Low volume on mild mixed stock market behavior is an esoteric
event. Bullish bias prevails since volume is not arguing.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 8.1% since their buy signals an average of 8.9-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 47.7%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.9% since
their sell signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up 27.9%
since their buy signals an average of 40.0-weeks ago. This annualizes at
36.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 4.9% since the
QTI sell signals 3.5-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is up 1.8% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
6.9% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains a bit too low for a buy signal, but getting close. If
Force starts vacillating in bullish domains, a buy signal will be
triggered.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
46.9%, annualizing at 75.4% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status and supportive of its bullishness.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 85.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 35.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $128.10 and still rising. There
is no need for being patient here is important since your buy price
approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $149.20. It simply
keeps moving north and with some additional gusto today.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 10.2% since
then, annualizing at 53.9%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 3.3% since that sell signal. Vector
Pressure is no longer in bearish domains, but Force is shifting to the
south. As stated yesterday, put option opportunity is manifesting. It was
down today fulfilling that.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear on Apr 8, 2011. It is up 2.6% since that
sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell Apr 20, 2011 for
ETF#31-QID.
It is down 4.5% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 19.5% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 27,
2011-Wed-Solid bullish action added traction to the near-term bull signal.
Apr 26, 2011-Tue-None
Apr 25, 2011-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 27, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and remains vulnerable. The
NASDAQ finally attained daily cyclical highs.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/27/2011
Apr 26, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 17 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Of interest is the
NASDAQ’s recent invigorating attempt to cross above its cyclical peak from
the 2003 bull leg. That cyclical daily close peaked on Oct 31, 2007. It
came close to topping that peak on Feb 18, 2011, but retreated. It is
again attempting to mount that peak again. Some refer to this as
resistance. Continued failure at mounting resistance sometimes induces a
depressing effect on the stock market bull. Some technicians suggest a
breakout will occur if it crosses above that peak.
The Indicant Volume Indicator
chart is where this can be monitored. You will have to scroll down.
The NASDAQ is within
12-points of a potential breakout. This is an very interesting phenomenon
the stock market engages in from time to time.
Configurations
supporting the Near-term bull cycle are weakening, but remain bullish
nonetheless. Pressure remains in bullish domains offering mild support of
that bull cycle.
Force Vectors remain
in bullish domains. The bull remains inspired as long as they do not shift
back into bearish domains.
The bull/bear battle
is not over, though. Force Vectors need to remain in bullish domains.
The bull still needs
more bullish Pressure from
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
As you can see, its Vector Pressure remains in bearish domains. That is
pestering the stock market bull. The question remains as valid, will Japan
bring down the stock market bull?
Stock market
bullishness continues to impress with resiliency in the face of several
worry points.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 1.3% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. This is annualizing at 19.1%. The Near-term
Indicant is signaling bear for contrarian VIX. It is down 10.2% since the
bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is also signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down
10.2% since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices for an average of 29.3-weeks. They are up by an
average of 20.4% since their bull signals, annualizing at 36.2%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Eleven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle.
Force remains in bullish domains, offering bullish support. The next
obstacle to overcome on behalf of the bull is for it to reside there for
several days. Not desired by the stock market bull is for Force to shift
sharply back to the south. So far, the stock market bull is delighted.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
26, 2011-Tue-Volume was up, relative to recent levels, on bullish
aggression, which supports bullish bias.
Apr
25, 2011-Mon-Low volume on mild mixed stock market behavior is an esoteric
event. Bullish bias prevails since volume is not arguing.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 7.4% since their buy signals an average of 8.7-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 44.2%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.0% since
their sell signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up 27.0%
since their buy signals an average of 39.8-weeks ago. This annualizes at
35.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 4.0% since the
QTI sell signals 3.4-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is up 1.7% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
7.0% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains a bit too low for a buy signal, but getting close. If
Force starts vacillating in bullish domains, a buy signal will be
triggered.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
47.0%, annualizing at 75.8% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status and supportive of its bullishness.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 81.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.96 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $146.38. It simply keeps moving north, although
down a bit today.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 8.1% since then,
annualizing at 43.5%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 3.7% since that sell signal. Vector
Pressure is no longer in bearish domains, but Force is shifting to the
south. A put option opportunity is manifesting.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear on Apr 8, 2011. It is up 3.7% since that
sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell Apr 20, 2011 for
ETF#31-QID.
It is down 3.2% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 18.3% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 26, 2011-Tue-None
Apr 25, 2011-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 26, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and remains vulnerable. The
NASDAQ is again challenging cyclical highs. It has been having difficulty
topping that. It is within 12-points of doing so.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/26/2011
Apr 25, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 16 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Of interest is the
NASDAQ’s recent invigorating attempt to cross above its cyclical peak from
the 2003 bull leg. That cyclical daily close peaked on Oct 31, 2007. It
came close to topping that peak on Feb 18, 2011, but retreated. It is
again attempting to mount that peak again. Some refer to this as
resistance. Continued failure at mounting resistance sometimes induces a
depressing effect on the stock market bull. Some technicians suggest a
breakout will occur if it crosses that peak.
The
Indicant Volume Indicator chart is where this can be monitored. You
will have to scroll down.
Configurations
supporting the Near-term bull cycle are weakening, but remain bullish
nonetheless. Pressure remains in bullish domains offering mild support of
that bull cycle.
Force Vectors remain
in bullish domains. The bull remains inspired as long as they do not shift
back into bearish domains.
The bull/bear battle
is not over, though. Force Vectors need to remain in bullish domains.
The bull still needs
more Pressure from
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
As you can see, its Vector Pressure remains in bearish domains. That is
pestering the stock market bull. The question remains as valid, “will
Japan” bring down the stock market bull?
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 0.3% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for
contrarian VIX. It is down 9.7% since the bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is also signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down
9.7% since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices for an average of 29.2-weeks. They are up by an
average of 19.2% since their bull signals, annualizing at 34.2%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Eleven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle.
Force remains in bullish domains, offering bullish support. The next
obstacle to overcome on behalf of the bull is for it to reside there for
several days. Not desired by the stock market bull is for Force to shift
sharply back to the south.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
25, 2011-Mon-Low volume on mild mixed stock market behavior is an esoteric
event. Bullish bias prevails since volume is not arguing.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.5% since their buy signals an average of 8.6-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 39.4%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 5.5% since
their sell signals an average of 3.3-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up 25.9%
since their buy signals an average of 39.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at
34.0%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 3.6% since the
QTI sell signals 3.2-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is up 1.6% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
7.1% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains a bit too low for a buy signal, but getting close.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
45.5%, annualizing at 73.8% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status and supportive of its bullishness.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 82.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.83 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $146.87. It simply keeps moving north.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 8.5% since then,
annualizing at 46.2%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 3.4% since that sell signal. Vector
Pressure is no longer in bearish domains, but Force is shifting to the
south.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear on Apr 8, 2011. It is up 2.7% since that
sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell Apr 20, 2011 for
ETF#31-QID.
It is down 2.0% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 16.4% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 25, 2011-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 25, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and remains vulnerable. The
NASDAQ is again challenging cyclical highs. It has been having difficulty
topping that.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/25/2011
Apr 21, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 15 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations
supporting the Near-term bull cycle are weakening, but remain bullish
nonetheless. Pressure remains in bullish domains offering mild support of
that bull cycle.
Force Vectors shifted
back into bullish domains. The bull remains inspired.
The bull/bear battle
is not over, though. Force Vectors need to remain in bullish domains.
The bull still needs
more Pressure from
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
As you can see, its Vector Pressure remains in bearish domains. That is
pestering the stock market bull. The question remains as valid, “will
Japan” bring down the stock market bull?
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 0.3% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for
contrarian VIX. It is down 15.6% since the bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is also signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down
15.6% since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices for an average of 28.5-weeks. They are up by an
average of 19.3% since their bull signals, annualizing at 35.0%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Eleven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle.
Force returned to bullish domains, offering significant bullish support.
The next obstacle is for it to reside there for several days.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
21, 2011-Thu-Mild volume on mild bullishness is a nice follow-on to
yesterday’s bullish aggression by the stock market and volume. Those
desiring dynamic bullishness, though, would have preferred more volume.
Apr
20, 2011-Wed-Hmmm! Volume was a bit aggressive on bullish aggression.
Apr
19, 2011-Tue-Low volume on mild bullishness continues suggesting minimal
dynamic shifts, even though bearish attributes are increasing pestering
capacity.
Apr
18, 2011-Mon-Low volume should not give the bear a vote of confidence on
the bear’s successful battle. The markets were bearishly aggressive but
with below average volume.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.7% since their buy signals an average of 8.0-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 43.6%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 5.0% since
their sell signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up 26.2%
since their buy signals an average of 39.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at
34.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 3.0% since the
QTI sell signals 2.6-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is up 1.7% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
7.0% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains a bit too low for a buy signal, but getting close.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
46.3%, annualizing at 76.4% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. As stated on
Thursday before the last, “call options are appealing on any weakness. It
opened down last Friday, Apr 15 and then propelled to the north. That was
a perfect situation for an early AM call option. It was solidly bearish
last Monday, offering more call option opportunities.” It was solidly
bullish for the remainder of the week generating triple digit gains on
those call options.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 81.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.1 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $146.4. It simply keeps moving north.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 8.4% since then,
annualizing at 48.6%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 3.0% since that sell signal. It was bearish
the past two trading days, following solid bullishness in the three prior
days. Its Vector Pressure remains in bearish domains. Fluttering and/or
resistance to bearish behavior is common around the QTI Bearish Yellow
Curve. This ETF will commit in the next few days.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear on Apr 8, 2011. It is up 2.3% since that
sell signal. Its recent non-contrarian behavior suggests a bearish
response is due, which occurred the past two days, although mildly.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell Apr 20, 2011 for
ETF#31-QID.
It is down 1.5% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 14.5% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 21,
2011-Thu-Force now back in bullish domains. If they remain there for
several days, the bull-bear battle is over along the near-term cycle.
Apr 20,
2011-Wed-Bullish aggression coincided with Force shifting back in favor of
the bull.
Apr 19,
2011-Tue-Force Vectors are again shifting back to the north. That is
non-bearish. They need to cross back into bullish domains to inspire the
bull’s aggression.
Apr 18,
2011-Mon-Bearish aggression was attributable to Standard and Poor’s
downgraded of the U.S. debt to negative. Politicians will most likely
interpret that as “political” which could invigorate the bear.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 21, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and remains vulnerable even
with strong bullish late this past week.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/21/2011
Apr 20, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 14 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Today's Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations
supporting the Near-term bull cycle are weakening, but remain bullish
nonetheless. Pressure remains in bullish domains offering mild support of
that bull cycle.
Force Vectors shifted
back to the north for the most part yesterday. That did inspire the bull.
The bull/bear battle is not over, though. However, the bull gained a
significant advantage. The bull needs for Force to climb into bullish
domains and stay there for several days.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 0.2% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the
VIX. It is down 13.4% since the bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down 13.4%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 18.6% since their
bull signals an average of 28.5-weeks ago, annualizing at 34.0%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Eleven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle. Today’s bullish aggression attacked prior
fluttering behavior.
Expected meandering behavior may be replaced with bearish aggression if
Force does not return to bullish domains in the next few days. Force
Vector cycle was disappointing with bearish domain fluttering, but turned
north yesterday and accelerated more bullishly today. That should
invigorate the near-term bull. The bull/bear battle is not over, though.
The bull needs Force in bullish domains.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
20, 2011-Wed-Hmmm! Volume was a bit aggressive on bullish aggression.
Apr
19, 2011-Tue-Low volume on mild bullishness continues suggesting minimal
dynamic shifts, even though bearish attributes are increasing pestering
capacity.
Apr
18, 2011-Mon-Low volume should not give the bear a vote of confidence on
the bear’s successful battle. The markets were bearishly aggressive but
with below average volume.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal and one sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 27-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.3% since their buy signals an average of 8.1-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 40.5%.
The
NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 5.4% since
their sell signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up 25.5%
since their buy signals an average of 34.0-weeks ago. This annualizes at
34.0%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 2.7% since the
QTI sell signals 3.3-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is up 1.3% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
7.4% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains a bit too low for a buy signal, but getting close.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
45.6%, annualizing at 75.7% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. As stated this
past Thursday, call options are appealing on any weakness. It opened down
last Friday and then propelled to the north. That was a perfect situation
for an early Friday AM call option. It was solidly bearish on Monday,
offering more call option opportunities. It was solidly bullish yesterday
and today.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 81.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.59 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $146.50. It simply keeps moving north.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 8.2% since then,
annualizing at 48.3%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 3.1% since that sell signal. It was bearish
today, following solid bullishness in the three prior days. Its Vector
Pressure remains in bearish domains. Fluttering and/or resistance to
bearish behavior is common around the QTI Bearish Yellow Curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear on Apr 8, 2011. It is up 2.4% since that
sell signal. Its recent non-contrarian behavior suggests a bearish
response is due, which occurred today.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell today for
ETF#31-QID.
Its Force Vector shifted south today.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 11.8% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 20,
2011-Wed-Bullish aggression coincided with Force shifting back in favor of
the bull.
Apr 19,
2011-Tue-Force Vectors are again shifting back to the north. That is
non-bearish. They need to cross back into bullish domains to inspire the
bull’s aggression.
Apr 18,
2011-Mon-Bearish aggression was attributable to Standard and Poor’s
downgraded of the U.S. debt to negative. Politicians will most likely
interpret that as “political” which could invigorate the bear.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 20, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and vulnerable even with strong
bullish behavior today.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/20/2011
Apr 19, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 13 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations
supporting the Near-term bull cycle are weakening, but remain bullish
nonetheless. Pressure remains in bullish domains offering mild support of
that bull cycle.
Force Vectors shifted
back to the north for the most part today. They remain in bearish domains,
but they should continue moving north. Their behavior over the next few
days will offer additional insight to the stock market’s desired
directional intensity. If they have trouble crossing into bullish domains,
the near-term cycle will be biased in favor of the bear.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.7% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the
VIX. It is down 9.0% since the bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down 9.0%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 16.9% since their
bull signals an average of 28.3-weeks ago, annualizing at 30.9%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Nine
non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the Quick-term
bull cycle. Three were lost yesterday, but two regained today with
significant fluttering around QTI bullish red. The weakest, Utilities,
renewed its Red Bull status last Friday and lost it again yesterday and
retaining that lost today. The strongest, NAS100, lost its Red Bull status
last Friday and retained that disappointing result yesterday while
regaining today. This flip-flopping (or fluttering) reflects a leaderless
configuration.
Expected meandering behavior may be replaced with bearish aggression if
Force does not return to bullish domains in the next few days. Force
Vector cycle was disappointing with bearish domain fluttering, but turned
north today. That should invigorate the near-term bull. If that
disappoints on the immediate horizon, the NTI bull is in trouble.
Overall, short-term attributes are challenging the NTI bull signal. If
Force dives deeper into bearish domains, a Near-term cycle bear signal
will be triggered.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
19, 2011-Tue-Low volume on mild bullishness continues suggesting minimal
dynamic shifts, even though bearish attributes are increasing pestering
capacity.
Apr
18, 2011-Mon-Low volume should not give the bear a vote of confidence on
the bear’s successful battle. The markets were bearishly aggressive but
with below average volume.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.4% since their buy signals an average of 7.9-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 28.7%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.7% since
their sell signals an average of 3.2-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 22.6%
since their buy signals an average of 37.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at
31.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 1.7% since the
QTI sell signals 3.2-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is down 0.2% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
8.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains a bit too low for a buy signal.
The
Near-term Indicant continues to avoid ETF’s that retain negative Vector
Pressure or declining Force Vectors.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
42.3%, annualizing at 70.4% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. As stated this
past Thursday, call options are appealing on any weakness. It opened down
last Friday and then propelled to the north. That was a perfect situation
for an early Friday AM call option. It was solidly bearish yesterday,
offering more call option opportunities. It was solidly bullish today.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 80.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.47 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $145.93. It was flat today.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 7.8% since then,
annualizing at 46.6%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 3.8% since that sell signal. It has been
solidly bullish the past three days. Its Vector Pressure remains in
bearish domains. Fluttering and/or resistance to bearish behavior is
common around the QTI Bearish Yellow Curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear on Apr 8, 2011. It is up 3.0% since that
sell signal. Its recent non-contrarian behavior suggests a bearish
response is due.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Mar 10, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It
is down 2.6% since the Mar 10, 2011 buy signal. Its Force continues moving
north, displaying a bit of tenacity. Preventing a sell signal is the
increasing Force Vector. It is in bullish domains, which offers some
bullish potential. Its Force Vector cycle is mature and showing signs of
fatigue.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 8.0% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 19,
2011-Tue-Force Vectors are again shifting back to the north. That is
non-bearish. They need to cross back into bullish domains to inspire the
bull’s aggression.
Apr 18,
2011-Mon-Bearish aggression was attributable to Standard and Poor’s
downgraded of the U.S. debt to negative. Politicians will most likely
interpret that as “political” which could invigorate the bear.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 19, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and vulnerable. Too many
attributes do not yet support bearish ambition in spite of recent bearish
aggression. Some stock market elements are hedging with expectations of
inflation, which could invigorate the stock market bear. However,
technical configurations are not yet supportive of bearish behavior.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/19/2011
Apr 18, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 12 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations
supporting the Near-term bull cycle are weakening. Pressure remains in
bullish domains offering mild support of that bull cycle.
The downgrading of
U.S. debt offers a new element of consideration. That has never happened
before. Politicians will most likely interpret it as a “political” move,
which is the only interpretation contained in their three pound brains.
Politicians will continue with vote getting behavior, as opposed to doing
what is right. That, fundamentally, is bearish but technical support of
that remains elusive.
The BRICS are
plotting to abandon the U.S. dollar, which is hardly justification for
stock market bearishness. However, that coupled with the down grading of
U.S. debt instruments, adds bearish inspiration.
The U.S.
infrastructure is in rapid decay and rebuilding will require value adding
members of society. The problem confronting the U.S. is that capitalists
will not work for free in spite of socialistic desires for them do so.
The bull and bear are
battling along the near-term cycle. Several Force Vectors fell into
bearish domains last Tuesday, challenging hold/bull signals. Their bearish
cycles are mature. If they dive deeper in bearish domains, the Near-term
cycle would be under the bear’s influence.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.1% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011. The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the
VIX. It is down 2.3% since the bear signal on April 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down 2.3%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 16.3% since their
bull signals an average of 28.2-weeks ago, annualizing at 30.1%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Seven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle. Three were lost today. The weakest, Utilities,
renewed its Red Bull status last Friday and lost it again today. The
strongest, NAS100, lost its Red Bull status last Friday and retained that
disappointing result today. That flip-flopping reflects a leaderless
configuration.
Expected meandering behavior may be replaced with bearish aggression if
Force does not return to bullish domains in the next few days. Force
Vector cycle is disappointing. It is beginning to waiver in bearish
domains. That is threatening the bull signal.
Overall, short-term attributes are challenging the NTI bull signal. If
Force dives deeper into bearish domains, a Near-term cycle bear signal
will be triggered.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly
increasing there. Unless these configurations shift back to robust
configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
18, 2011-Mon-Low volume should not give the bear a vote of confidence on
the bear’s successful battle. The markets were bearishly aggressive but
with below average volume.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.0% since their buy signals an average of 7.8-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 26.4%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.3% since
their sell signals an average of 3.8-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 22.1%
since their buy signals an average of 37.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at
30.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 0.4% since the
QTI sell signals 3.0-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is down 0.5% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
9.0% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011.
Although there were no bullish attributes for this ETF, it was up last
Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, but mildly bearish last Friday. Its
Force Vector crossed in bullish domains today, but Pressure remains in
bearish domains.
The
Near-term Indicant continues to avoid ETF’s that retain negative Vector
Pressure or declining Force Vectors.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
40.8%, annualizing at 68.4% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. Force fell below
Pressure seven trading days ago, but not yet threatening in spite of last
Tuesday’s and today’s bearish aggression. Force Vector appears near a
cyclical bottom. As stated this past Thursday, call options are appealing
on any weakness. It opened down this past Friday and then propelled to the
north. That was a perfect situation for an early Friday AM call option.
Unfortunately, it was solidly bearish today, offering more call option
opportunities.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 80.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.36 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $145.93.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 7.8% since then,
annualizing at 47.4%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 3.3% since that sell signal. It was solidly
bullish this past Friday and mildly bullish today. Its Vector Pressure
remains in bearish domains. Fluttering and/or resistance to bearish
behavior is common around the QTI Bearish Yellow Curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear this past Wednesday since it fell below
the QTI Yellow curve. It is up 2.6% since that sell signal, as it
rebounded with bullish retort from that crossing.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Mar 10, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It
is down 1.3% since the Mar 10, 2011 buy signal. Its Force continues moving
north, displaying a bit of tenacity. Preventing a sell signal is the
increasing Force Vector. It is in bullish domains, which offers some
bullish potential.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 3.3% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 18,
2011-Mon-Bearish aggression was attributable to Standard and Poor’s
downgraded of the U.S. debt to negative. Politicians will most likely
interpret that as “political” which could invigorate the bear.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 18, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and vulnerable. Too many
attributes do not yet support bearish ambition in spite of this past
bearish aggression last Tuesday and today. Some stock market elements are
hedging with expectations of inflation, which could invigorate the stock
market bear.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/18/2011
Apr 15, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 11 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations remain
in support of the bull. The NTI Bull is embryonic and vulnerable, while
the Quick-term bull cycle remains strong.
Three issues continue
confronting the stock market bull.
ETF#06-EWJ
NTI bullish blue curve collapsed on Apr 5, 2011. It also became a Yellow
Bear at that time. The question is, will Japan bring down the stock market
bull? So far, this fund continues moving bearishly, but not dynamically
and at a favorable inequality to the devastation confronting Japan. It was
mildly bullish last Tue, Wed, and Thu, escaping the gravity of the QTI
bearish yellow curve. However, it was bearish this past Friday. It
continues to struggle, but it has not crashed. Although sickly, its
relative resilience is impressive.
ETF#09-XLK-Tech
Force
Vector continues declining. That is the reason for continued avoidance.
Force Vector fell into bearish domains this past Tuesday, supporting
bearish ambition. This bearish cycle is mature, though, and the bear, so
far, has been unable to establish itself. However, its configuration
remains participative in threatening elements to the Near-term bull and
hold signals.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government was a confrontational element until this
past week. However, strong bullish aggression this past Friday
reintroduced itself into the bull/bear battle.
NTI bullish support
continues. A few examples are as follows.
Supporting the bull
are
ETF#10-IBB-Biotech
and
ETF#27-XLP-Consumer.
They have not participated in recent bearish behavior.
The bull and bear are
battling along the near-term cycle. Several Force Vectors fell into
bearish domains this past Tuesday, challenging hold/bull signals. Their
bearish cycles are mature. If they dive deeper in bearish domains, the
Near-term cycle would be under the bear’s influence.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 0.9% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down 12.0%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 17.7% since their
bull signals an average of 27.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 33.2%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Ten
non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the Quick-term
bull cycle. The weakest, Utilities, renewed its Red Bull status this
Friday, while the strongest, NAS100, lost its Red Bull status. That
flip-flopping reflects a leaderless configuration. Do not be surprised at
meandering behavior along the near-term cycle.
The
Dow30 and Dow Composite crossed above NTI Bullish Blue Curve this Friday,
while the other major indices remain below that level. That remains
non-bullish in position, while a bit encouraging the upper blue chips are
NTI Blue Bulls. That, coupled with existing positive Pressure, could
invigorate the bull. Threatening to the NTI bull signal is Force Vector’s
descent into bearish domains. However, the Force Vector bearish cycle is
mature, supporting the idea of a bullish response. Some shifted back to
the north this past Friday.
Overall, short-term attributes are challenging the NTI bull signal. If
Force dives deeper into bearish domains, a Near-term cycle bear signal
will be triggered.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity this past week. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains. It began moving
laterally in the low interest domains several days ago. Unless these
configurations shift back to robust configurations, do not be surprised at
overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
15, 2011-Fri-Flat volume on flat behavior offers nothing toward any bias
shift.
Apr
14, 2011-Thu-Same as yesterday.
Apr
13, 2011-Wed-Again passive volume with no bearish follow-on to yesterday’s
aggression. The stock market remains non-committal to either bullish or
bearish direction from a volume perspective.
Apr
12, 2011-Tue-Big board volume was a bit aggressive on bearish aggression,
while the NASDAQ was passive. Although the bear was a bit aggressive
today, volume indicates limited commitment to continued bearishness.
Apr
11, 2011-Mon-Mild volume on mixed to mildly bearish stock market behavior
indicates little commitment to bearish or bullish intent.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 5.2% since their buy signals an average of 7.3-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 36.8%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.6% since
their sell signals an average of 3.3-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 23.5%
since their buy signals an average of 37.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at
32.9%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down 1.0% since the
QTI sell signals 2.6-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is down 0.2% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
8.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011.
Although there were no bullish attributes for this ETF, it was up last
Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, but mildly bearish this Friday. Its
Force Vector crossed above Pressure this past Thursday, but its Pressure
remains negative.
The
Near-term Indicant continues to avoid ETF’s that retain negative Vector
Pressure or declining Force Vectors.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
43.0%, annualizing at 73.0% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. Force fell below
Pressure six trading days ago, but not yet threatening in spite of last
Tuesday’s bearish aggression. Force Vector appears near a cyclical bottom.
As stated this past Thursday, call options are appealing on any weakness.
It opened down this past Friday and then propelled to the north. That was
a perfect situation for an early Friday AM call option.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 79.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.25 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $145.05.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 7.1% since then,
annualizing at 45.8%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is up 3.1% since that sell signal. It was solidly
bullish this past Friday. Its Vector Pressure remains in bearish domains.
Fluttering and/or resistance to bearish behavior is common around the QTI
Bearish Yellow Curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear this past Wednesday since it fell below
the QTI Yellow curve. It is up 2.4% since that sell signal, as it
rebounded with bullish retort from that crossing.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Mar 10, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It
is down 2.7% since the Mar 10, 2011 buy signal. Its Force continues moving
north, displaying a bit of tenacity. Preventing a sell signal is the
increasing Force Vector. It is in bullish domains, which offers some
bullish potential. Its Force Vector moved laterally this past Friday,
suggesting its bullish threat may be tiring.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 5.3% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 15,
2011-Fri-Energy, gold, and interest rates were up significantly today,
briefly emulating a 1970’s sort of stock market.
Apr 14, 2011-Thu-ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
was mildly bullish for the third consecutive day. It crossed above the QTI
bearish yellow curve today. It is surprisingly strong in the face of a
weakening yen.
Apr 13, 2011-Wed-ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
was mildly bullish for the second consecutive day.
Apr 12, 2011-Tue-ETF#03-XLE-Energy
fell by a significant 3.1% today. However, that is just cooling and
reactionary selling.
ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
was up on stock market bearish, which was attributed to Japan’s elevating
nuclear threat. Just illustrates reactionary headline news is merely for
marketing purposes, as opposed to real information.
Apr 11,
2011-Mon-There were none.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 15, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and vulnerable. Too many
attributes do not yet support bearish ambition in spite of this past
Tuesday’s bearish aggression. Some stock market elements are hedging with
expectations of inflation.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/15/2011
Apr 14, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 10 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations remain
in support of the bull. The NTI Bull is embryonic and vulnerable, while
the Quick-term bull cycle remains strong.
As stated since last
week, three issues are confronting the near-term bullish cycle. TLT’s
confrontation with the bull was eliminated, leaving two.
ETF#06-EWJ
NTI bullish blue curve collapsed on Apr 5, 2011. It also became a Yellow
Bear. The question is, will Japan bring down the stock market bull? So
far, this fund continues moving bearishly, but not dynamically and at a
favorable inequality to the devastation confronting Japan. It was mildly
bullish the past three days and escaping the gravity of the QTI bearish
yellow curve.
ETF#09-XLK-Tech
Force
Vector continues declining. That is the reason for continued avoidance.
Force Vector fell into bearish domains this past Tuesday, supporting
bearish ambition. This bearish cycle is mature, though, and the bear, so
far, has been unable to establish itself.
Supporting the bull
are
ETF#10-IBB-Biotech
and
ETF#27-XLP-Consumer.
They have not participated with recent bearish behavior.
Contrarian ETF#31-QID-Bear-continues
with a hold signal.
The bull and bear are
battling along the near-term cycle. Several Force Vectors fell into
bearish domains this past Tuesday, challenging hold/bull signals. Their
bearish cycles are mature. If they dive deeper in bearish domains, the
Near-term cycle would be under the bear’s influence.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.4% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down 6.5%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 17.2% since their
bull signals an average of 27.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 32.3%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Ten
non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the Quick-term
bull cycle. The weakest, Utilities, again is longer a Red Bull (since last
Wed).
None
of the major indices are above the Near-term Bullish Blue Curve. That is
non-bullish in position. That, coupled with existing positive Pressure,
could invigorate the bull. Threatening to the NTI bull signal is Force
Vector’s descent into bearish domains. However, the Force Vector bearish
cycle is mature, supporting the idea of a bullish response. Rather than
moving laterally, it is disappointing that Force succumbed to bearish
ambition. That bearish cycle continues.
Overall, short-term attributes are challenging the NTI bull signal. If
Force dives deeper into bearish domains, a Near-term cycle bear signal
will be triggered.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity this past week. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains. It began moving
laterally in the low interest domains several days ago. Unless these
configurations shift back to robust configurations, do not be surprised at
overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
14, 2011-Thu-Same as yesterday.
Apr
13, 2011-Wed-Again passive volume with no bearish follow-on to yesterday’s
aggression. The stock market remains non-committal to either bullish or
bearish direction from a volume perspective.
Apr
12, 2011-Tue-Big board volume was a bit aggressive on bearish aggression,
while the NASDAQ was passive. Although the bear was a bit aggressive
today, volume indicates limited commitment to continued bearishness.
Apr
11, 2011-Mon-Mild volume on mixed to mildly bearish stock market behavior
indicates little commitment to bearish or bullish intent.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.6% since their buy signals an average of 7.2-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 33.2%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.4% since
their sell signals an average of 3.2-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 22.8%
since their buy signals an average of 37.0-weeks ago. This annualizes at
32.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding two ETF’s. They are down 0.7% since the
QTI sell signals 2.5-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is down 0.1% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
8.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011.
Although there were no bullish attributes for this ETF, it was up the past
three days. Its Force Vector crossed above Pressure today.
The
Near-term Indicant continues to avoid ETF’s that retain negative Vector
Pressure or declining Force Vectors.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
41.8%, annualizing at 71.3% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. Force fell below
Pressure one week ago, but not yet threatening in spite of last Tuesday’s
bearish aggression. Force Vector appears near a cyclical bottom. Call
options are appealing on any weakness.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 78.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.14 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $143.81.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 6.2% since then,
annualizing at 40.6%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is a Yellow Bear. Force is moving south. Vector
Pressure remains in bearish domains. If all of this does not anger the TLT
bull, this ETF will be configured for yet more bearishness. It is up 1.7%
since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled this past Wednesday since it fell below the
QTI Yellow curve. It is up 1.0% since that sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Mar 10, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It
is down 3.1% since the Mar 10, 2011 buy signal. Its Force continues moving
north, displaying a bit of tenacity. Preventing a sell signal is the
increasing Force Vector. It is in bullish domains, which offers some
bullish potential.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 3.1% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 14, 2011-Thu-ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
was mildly bullish for the third consecutive day. It crossed above the QTI
bearish yellow curve today. It is surprisingly strong in the face of a
weakening yen.
Apr 13, 2011-Wed-ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
was mildly bullish for the second consecutive day.
Apr 12, 2011-Tue-ETF#03-XLE-Energy
fell by a significant 3.1% today. However, that is just cooling and
reactionary selling.
ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
was up on stock market bearish, which was attributed to Japan’s elevating
nuclear threat. Just illustrates reactionary headline news is merely for
marketing purposes, as opposed to real information.
Apr 11,
2011-Mon-There were none.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 14, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and vulnerable. Too many
attributes do not yet support bearish ambition in spite of this past
Tuesday’s bearish aggression.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/14/2011
Apr 13, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations remain
in support of the bull. The NTI Bull is embryonic and vulnerable, while
the Quick-term bull cycle remains strong.
As stated since last
week, three issues are confronting the near-term bullish cycle. TLT’s
confrontation with the bull was eliminated, leaving two.
ETF#06-EWJ
NTI bullish blue curve collapsed on Apr 5, 2011. It also became a Yellow
Bear. The question is, will Japan bring down the stock market bull? So
far, this fund continues moving bearishly, but not dynamically and at a
favorable inequality to the devastation confronting Japan. It was mildly
bullish the past two days.
ETF#09-XLK-Tech
Force
Vector continues declining. That is the reason for continued avoidance.
Force Vector fell into bearish domains this past Tuesday, supporting
bearish ambition.
Supporting the bull
are
ETF#10-IBB-Biotech
and
ETF#27-XLP-Consumer.
They have not participated with recent bearish behavior.
Contrarian ETF#31-QID-Bear-continues
with a hold signal.
The bull and bear are
battling along the near-term cycle. Several Force Vectors fell into
bearish domains this past Tuesday, challenging hold/bull signals. Their
bearish cycle is mature. If they dive deeper in bearish domains, the
Near-term cycle would be under the bear’s influence.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.6% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down 3.1%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 17.0% since their
bull signals an average of 27.5-weeks ago, annualizing at 32.1%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Ten
non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the Quick-term
bull cycle. The weakest, Utilities, again is longer a Red Bull, while the
NAS100 responded bullishly today to yesterday’s non Red Bull status.
None
of the major indices are above the Near-term Bullish Blue Curve. That is
non-bullish in position. That, coupled with existing positive Pressure,
could invigorate the bull. Threatening to the NTI bull signal is Force
Vector’s descent into bearish domains. However, the Force Vector bearish
cycle is mature, supporting the idea of a bullish response. Rather than
moving laterally, it is disappointing that Force succumbed to bearish
ambition. That bearish cycle continued today.
Overall, short-term attributes are challenging the NTI bull signal. If
Force dives deeper into bearish domains, a Near-term cycle bear signal
will be triggered.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity this past week. It continues moving lethargically. The NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains. It began moving
laterally in the low interest domains several days ago. Unless these
configurations shift back to robust configurations, do not be surprised at
overall stock market lethargy.
Apr
13, 2011-Wed-Again passive volume with no bearish follow-on to yesterday’s
aggression. The stock market remains non-committal to either bullish or
bearish direction from a volume perspective.
Apr
12, 2011-Tue-Big board volume was a bit aggressive on bearish aggression,
while the NASDAQ was passive. Although the bear was a bit aggressive
today, volume indicates limited commitment to continued bearishness.
Apr
11, 2011-Mon-Mild volume on mixed to mildly bearish stock market behavior
indicates little commitment to bearish or bullish intent.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.2% since their buy signals an average of 7.1-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 31.1%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.2% since
their sell signals an average of 3.0-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 22.4%
since their buy signals an average of 36.8-weeks ago. This annualizes at
31.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding two ETF’s. They are down 0.7% since the
QTI sell signals 2.3-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is down 0.8% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
9.3% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011.
Although there are no bullish attributes for this ETF, it was up the past
two days.
The
Near-term Indicant continues to avoid ETF’s that retain negative Vector
Pressure or declining Force Vectors.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
40.8%, annualizing at 70.0% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. Force fell below
Pressure one week ago, but not yet threatening in spite of yesterday’s
bearish aggression.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 75.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 32.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $127.03 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $141.90.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 4.8% since then,
annualizing at 32.0%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is a Yellow Bear. Force is moving south. Vector
Pressure remains in bearish domains. If all of this does not anger the TLT
bull, this ETF will be configured for yet more bearishness. It is up 1.8%
since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled this past Wednesday since it fell below the
QTI Yellow curve. It is up 1.1% since that sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Mar 10, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It
is down 3.4% since the Mar 10, 2011 buy signal. Its Force continues moving
north, displaying a bit of tenacity. Preventing sell signal is the
increasing Force Vector. It is in bullish domains, which offers some
bullish potential.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 2.3% since the sell signals.
Major ETF Events
Apr 13, 2011-Wed-ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
was mildly bullish for the second consecutive day.
Apr 12, 2011-Tue-ETF#03-XLE-Energy
fell by a significant 3.1% today. However, that is just cooling and
reactionary selling.
ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
was up on stock market bearish, which was attributed to Japan’s elevating
nuclear threat. Just illustrates reactionary headline news is merely for
marketing purposes, as opposed to real information.
Apr 11,
2011-Mon-There were none.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 13, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and vulnerable. Too many
attributes do not yet support bearish ambition in spite of this
pastTuesday’s bearish aggression.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/13/2011
Apr 12, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 08 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations remain
in support of the bull. The NTI Bull is embryonic and vulnerable, while
the Quick-term bull cycle remains strong.
As stated since last
week, three issues are confronting the near-term bullish cycle. TLT’s
confrontation with the bull was eliminated, leaving two.
ETF#06-EWJ
NTI bullish blue curve collapsed on Apr 5, 2011. It also became a Yellow
Bear. The question is, will Japan bring down the stock market bull? So
far, this fund continues moving bearishly, but not dynamically and at a
favorable inequality to the devastation confronting Japan. It was mildly
bullish today, contrasting to today’s stock market bearish aggression.
ETF#09-XLK-Tech
Force
Vector continues declining. That is the reason for continued avoidance.
Force Vector fell into bearish domains today, supporting bearish ambition.
Supporting the bull
are
ETF#10-IBB-Biotech and
ETF#27-XLP-Consumer. They have not participated with recent bearish
behavior.
Contrarian ETF#31-QID-Bear-continues with a hold signal.
The bull and bear are
battling along the near-term cycle. Several Force Vectors fell into
bearish domains today, challenging hold/bull signals. Their bearish cycle
is mature. If they dive deeper in bearish domains, the Near-term cycle
would be under the bear’s influence.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.8% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down 1.8%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 16.8% since their
bull signals an average of 27.3-weeks ago, annualizing at 31.9%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Nine
non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the Quick-term
bull cycle. The weakest, Utilities, and the strongest, NAS100, are not Red
Bulls. The QTI bull cycle is encountering leadership problems.
None
of the major indices are above the Near-term Bullish Blue Curve. That is
non-bullish in position. That, coupled with existing positive Pressure,
could invigorate the bull. Threatening to the NTI bull signal is Force
Vector’s descent into bearish domains. However, the Force Vector bearish
cycle is mature, supporting the idea of a bullish response. Rather than
moving laterally, it is disappointing that Force succumbed to bearish
ambition.
Overall, short-term attributes are challenging the NTI bull signal. If
Force dives deeper into bearish domains, a Near-term cycle bear signal
will be triggered.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity today. It is now moving lethargically. The NYSE Indicant Volume
Indicator remains in low interest domains. It began moving laterally in
the low interest domains late last week. Unless these configurations shift
back to robust configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market
lethargy.
Apr
12, 2011-Tue-Big board volume was a bit aggressive on bearish aggression,
while the NASDAQ was passive. Although the bear was a bit aggressive
today, volume indicates limited commitment to continued bearishness.
Apr
11, 2011-Mon-Mild volume on mixed to mildly bearish stock market behavior
indicates little commitment to bearish or bullish intent.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.1% since their buy signals an average of 6.9-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 30.9%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.2% since
their sell signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 22.2%
since their buy signals an average of 36.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at
31.5%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding two ETF’s. They are down 0.4% since the
QTI sell signals 2.2-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is down 1.2% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
9.7% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011.
Although there are no bullish attributes for this ETF, it was up today on
overall bearish aggression. Interestingly, headlines blamed stock market
bearish behavior on the Japan’s elevation of nuclear severity.
The
Near-term Indicant continues to avoid ETF’s that retain negative Vector
Pressure or declining Force Vectors.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
40.3%, annualizing at 69.4% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. Force fell below
Pressure last Wednesday, but not yet threatening in spite of today’s
bearish aggression.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 75.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 31.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $126.92 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $141.61.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 4.6% since then,
annualizing at 31.1%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is a Yellow Bear. Force is moving south. Vector
Pressure fell into bearish domains and is negative. If all of this does
not anger the TLT bull, this ETF will be configured for yet more
bearishness. It is up 1.2% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled this past Wednesday since it fell below the
QTI Yellow curve. It is up 0.4% since that sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Mar 10, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It
is down 1.8% since the Mar 10, 2011 buy signal. Its Force is moving north,
but losing momentum, but preventing sell signal with this rise. It is in
bullish domains, which offers some bullish potential.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 0.6% since the sell signal.
Major ETF Events
Apr 12, 2011-Tue-ETF#03-XLE-Energy
fell by a significant 3.1% today. However, that is just cooling and
reactionary selling.
ETF#06-EWJ-Japan was up on stock market bearish, which was attributed
to Japan’s elevating nuclear threat. Just illustrates reactionary headline
news is merely for marketing purposes, as opposed to real information.
Apr 11,
2011-Mon-There were none.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 12, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and vulnerable. Too many
attributes do not yet support bearish ambition in spite of today’s bearish
aggression.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/12/2011
Apr 11, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 07 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations remain
in support of the bull. The NTI Bull is embryonic and vulnerable, while
the Quick-term bull cycle remains strong.
As stated since last
Tuesday, three issues are confronting the near-term bullish cycle:
ETF#06-EWJ
NTI bullish blue curve collapsed last Tuesday. It also became a Yellow
Bear. The question is, will Japan bring down the stock market bull? So
far, this fund continues moving bearishly, but not dynamically and at a
favorable inequality to the devastation confronting Japan.
ETF#09-XLK-Tech
Force
Vector is declining. That is the reason for continued avoidance.
These two issues
remain confrontational to the stock market bull.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.1% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is down 4.7%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011. It was not contrarian today, as it’s
bearish expression occurred with mild stock market bearishness.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 17.6% since their
bull signals an average of 27.2-weeks ago, annualizing at 33.7%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Ten
non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the Quick-term
bull cycle. Utilities has held above QTI Red for six consecutive days
after finding discomfort at that level two weeks ago. It succumbed again
today, losing its Red Bull status.
Most
of the major indices are above the Near-term Bullish Blue Curve. That is
bullish.
Positive Vector Pressure and Red Bulls remain supportive of the Quick-term
Bull.
Force Vectors continue moving bearishly. Fortunately, that movement is
within bullish domains. Unfortunately, after moving laterally, they are
succumbing, mildly, to bearish ambition.
Overall, short-term attributes are favoring the bull other than declining
Force Vectors.
The
NTI Green curves started rising, adding bullish support on the Near-term
cycle. The only remaining threat is Force piercing Pressure. Fortunately
for the stock market bull, both Force and Pressure remain in bullish
domains.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity today. It is now moving lethargically. The NYSE Indicant Volume
Indicator remains in low interest domains. It began moving laterally in
the low interest domains late last week. Unless these configurations shift
back to robust configurations, do not be surprised at overall stock market
lethargy.
Apr
11, 2011-Mon-Mild volume on mixed to mildly bearish stock market behavior
indicates little commitment to bearish or bullish intent.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 5.1% since their buy signals an average of 6.8-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 39.0%.
The
NTI is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.5% since
their sell signals an average of 2.8-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 23.3%
since their buy signals an average of 36.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at
33.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding two ETF’s. They are down 1.2% since the
QTI sell signals 2.0-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is down 1.4% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
9.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. There
are no bullish attributes for this ETF.
The
other avoided ETN is contrarian VXX, which will most likely abandoned by
the Indicant at some future point. It does not track well with VIX, which
is what it is suppose to do. It is down 3.1% since both QTI and NTI sell
signals on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Near-term Indicant continues to avoid ETF’s that retain negative Vector
Pressure or declining Force Vectors.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
44.7%, annualizing at 77.4% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. Force fell below
Pressure last Wednesday, but not yet threatening.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 76.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 32.5%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $126.81 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $142.64.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 5.3% since then,
annualizing at 37.0%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive. Gold was solidly bullish the past four days.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal on Fri Apr 8, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is a Yellow Bear. Force is moving south. Vector
Pressure fell into bearish domains and is negative. If all of this does
not anger the TLT bull, this ETF will be configured for yet more
bearishness. It is up 0.1% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled this past Wednesday since it fell below the
QTI Yellow curve. It is down 0.6% since that sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Mar 10, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It
is down 3.1% since the Mar 10, 2011 buy signal. Its Force is moving north,
but losing momentum, but preventing sell signal with this rise.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 1.5% since the sell signal.
Major ETF Events
Apr 11,
2011-Mon-There were none.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Apr 8, 2011. The
inflection period has configured to have expired favoring the stock market
bull, but keep in mind, this bull is young and vulnerable.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
04/11/2011
Apr 8, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 04, Issue 06 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Configurations remain
in support of the bull. The NTI Bull is embryonic and vulnerable, while
the Quick-term bull cycle remains strong.
As stated since last
Tuesday, three issues are confronting the near-term bullish cycle:
ETF#06-EWJ
NTI bullish blue curve collapsed last Tuesday. It also became a Yellow
Bear. The question is, will Japan bring down the stock market bull? So
far, this fund continues moving bearishly, but not dynamically and at a
favorable inequality to the devastation confronting Japan.
ETF#09-XLK-Tech
Force
Vector is declining. That is the reason for continued avoidance.
ETF#14-TLT-fell
below QTI Bearish Yellow curve this past Tuesday. One-half of this
confronting configuration expired this past Tue. The other half expired on
Fri. It fell below NTI Green on Friday. Other attributes expired in their
support of the Near-term hold signal.
Now there are only two issues confronting
the stock market bull, as TLT’s confrontation expired on Friday.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull of all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 0.6% since their respective bull
signals on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear of contrarian VIX. It is up 2.7%
since the bear signal on Apr 1, 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 18.1% since their
bull signals an average of 26.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 35.2%.
Short-term Market
Summary
Eleven non-contrarian Red Bull configurations remain supportive of the
Quick-term bull cycle. Utilities has held above QTI Red for six
consecutive days after finding discomfort at that level the week before
last.
Most
of the major indices are above the Near-term Bullish Blue Curve. That is
bullish.
Positive Vector Pressure and Red Bulls remain supportive of the Quick-term
Bull.
Force Vectors continue moving bearishly. Fortunately, that movement is
within bullish domains. Unfortunately, after moving laterally, they are
succumbing, mildly, to bearish ambition.
Overall, short-term attributes are favoring the bull other than declining
Force Vectors.
The
key now is for Force Vectors to hold in bullish domains and the NTI Green
curve needs to start rising. The bear will remain threatening until the
latter occurs. Currently, only three NTI Green curves continue falling.
They are Utilities, NASDAQ, and NAS100. That is somewhat interesting as
the laggard and the leaders, respectively, are the weakest. Hopefully, for
the bull, the leaders (NASDAQ and NAS100) are lagging.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. Although the NYSE
Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, it is moving
robustly. There is an increasing interest in the stock market. Some could
argue that the earthquake and tsunami did not throw the stock market into
a nasty bearish slide, which is bullish to many. However, the NYSE IVI
recent robustness correlates very well with stock market bearishness.
Apr
8, 2011- Same as yesterday. The new NTI bull cycle is not threatened with
this sort of behavior.
Apr
7, 2011- Mild volume on mild bearishness supports stability.
Apr
6, 2011-Volume was more aggressive on mild bullishness, adding support to
the NTI baby bull.
Apr
5, 2011-Volume was slightly below average on mild bearishness. Same as
yesterday.
Apr
4, 2011-Passive volume on flat behavior is not instructive to any
directional intensity.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 5.7% since their buy signals an average of 6.3-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 46.6%.
The
NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.9% since
their sell signals an average of 3.1-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 24.0%
since their buy signals an average of 36.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at
34.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding two ETF’s. They are down 0.7% since the
QTI sell signal 1.6-weeks ago.
One
of the avoided ETF’s is non-contrarian
ETF-EWJ#06-Japan.
It is down 0.7% since the QTI signaled sell on Mar 14, 2011, although down
9.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on March 10, 2011. It was
mildly bullish on Friday for the first time in several days.
Technically, the Near-term Indicant is not supporting a bullish bounce for
EWJ at this time. EWJ had not endured significant bearishness, obviating
resilience against justified dynamic bearishness. However, its NTI Blue
curve collapsed this week.
The
other avoided ETN is contrarian VXX, which will most likely abandoned by
the Indicant at some future point. It does not track well with VIX, which
is what it is suppose to do. It is down 0.6% since sell signal on Apr 1,
2011.
Short-term Summary: Force Vectors shifted in favor of bullish support on
March 24, 2011. Although last Friday’s Near-term buy signals concur with
bullish bias, the bear will remain threatening until the Near-term
Indicant Green curve starts to rise.
The
Near-term Indicant continues to avoid ETF’s that retain negative Vector
Pressure or declining Force Vectors.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up
47.7%, annualizing at 83.7% since then. This ETF remains with Red Bull
status, mitigating sustainable bearish threats. The “energy bear” cannot
find sustainable forces with current bullish attributes. Force fell below
Pressure this past Wednesday, but not yet threatening.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 78.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $126.69 and still rising. Being
patient here is important since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $143.66.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 6.1% since then,
annualizing at 44.8%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price is above NTI Blue and Pressure
remains positive. Gold was solidly bullish the past four days.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal today (Fri Apr 8) by the Near-term Indicant. It
fell below NTI Green. It is a Yellow Bear. Force is moving south. Vector
Pressure fell into bearish domains and is negative. If all of this does
not anger the TLT bull, this ETF will be configured for yet more
bearishness.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled this past Wednesday since it fell below the
QTI Yellow curve. It is down 0.7% since that sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Mar 10, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It
is down 3.7% since the Mar 10, 2011 buy signal. Its Force is moving north,
but losing momentum, but preventing sell signal with this rise.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. The Short-term Indicant may
discontinue tracking this ETN due to poor quality practices by its
managers. It is down 0.6% since the sell signal.