Aug 31, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 23 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
There is nothing
different from yesterday in this and the next paragraph. Force Vectors are
bullishly mature. That is a threat to the baby stock market bull along the
short-term cycle. Highlighting that concern is the low Vector Pressure,
which is a bearish attribute. If prices fall below NTI Bull with Force
dipping back to bearish domains, sell signals will be triggered. That rule
for selling will be abandoned once NTI Green climbs above buy prices.
Until then, which will take a few weeks, maintain a state of mental
readiness for possible sell signals.
Other reasons for
this state of readiness are: 1) This is a low Pressure stock market bull.
Its newness, coupled with low Pressure, is threatening to the stock market
bull along the shorter-term cycles. 2) Although the VIX is reactionary, it
remains as a Red Bull. Even reactionary based Red Bulls should be
respected. Its contrarian nature is not yet friendly to the short-term
stock market bull. 3) The major indices and several of the ETF’s remain as
Yellow Bears. Yellow Bears are jaundiced and dangerous to any newly
forming short-term bull cycle. 4) Congress is returning to D.C. That is
historically bearish. However, an anti-executive branch congress is
usually bullish. Political bickering and finger-pointing in DC is usually
very bullish. 5) Volume remains mediocre. Strong sustainable bulls usually
enjoy significant volume jumps during the early days of the cycle.
In spite of all of
that, buy on the signals with the mindset that sell signals could quickly
follow. Relaxation will be appropriate once the Near-term Green curve
passes above buy prices and bull signal positions.
ETF#06-EWJ-Japan
finally qualified for a Near-term Indicant buy signal today. Only one
non-contrarian remains with a Near-term avoid signal.
It is ETF#17-IYR. It is still below NTI Blue. Therefore, bullish
unanimity remains absent, but getting close.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and all of the
other major indices. Combined, they are up 4.2% since their bull signals
an average of 0.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 276.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for six non-contrarian indices and
contrarian VIX. They are up 6.8% since their bull signals an average of
1.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at 308.0%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for six non-contrarian indices. They
are down by an average of 0.8% since their bear signals an average of
4.0-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That
adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in
conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far,
that is absent. Interestingly, the NASDAQ IVI is declining along the
bullish behavior the past few days, while the NYSE IVI continues to rise.
Aug 31-Wed-Volume was
up a bit on placid bullish behavior and relatively good economic news.
That adds bullish support, but mildly so.
Aug 30-Tue-Volume was
again mediocre. However, bullish behavior at this critical juncture
supports bullish bias.
Aug 29-Mon-Volume was
disappointedly unimpressive on bullish aggression. However, too many other
short-term attributes continue favoring the stock market bull.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.5% since their buy signals an average of 0.8-weeks ago,
annualizing at 279.0%.
The
NTI is avoiding three-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since
their sell signals an average of 1.5-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated three buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 14-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 11.2% since their buy signals an average of 11.0-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 52.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
0.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.7-weeks ago.
Sell
signals will occur when prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below
Pressure or into bearish domains until NTI Green climbs above the buy
price. It will be several weeks before NTI Green crosses above buy prices.
So, this embryonic bull remains vulnerable to a jaundiced yellow bear.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy this pastMonday, Aug 29,
2011. It is up 1.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 241.8%. Price is
higher than NTI Blue with Force into bullish domains and higher than
Pressure. The next sell signal will be when price falls below NTI Blue and
Force falls below Pressure unless NTI Green is higher than buy price.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 120.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 43.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $141.09 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $177.72.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 18.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at
121.9%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal
will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically
configured Force Vector. Its Force Vector has started moving north again
with high Pressure. That is bullish.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 9.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 101.5%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Monday, Aug 29, 2011, as price
fell below NTI Blue and Force below Pressure and into bearish domains.
This fund could be a bit jumpy in the next several days.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal yesterday by the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term
Indicant has price fell below QTI Yellow. Its Force Vector cycle is
bearishly mature. It will be interesting the next few days. It is down
0.3% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 12.0% since then, annualizing at 188.1%. It is
up 63.4% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 685.1%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable. For example, it was up
today while the VIX was down.
Major ETF Events
Aug 31-Wed-Several
more ETF’s crossed above QTI bearish yellow curve. Several, however, still
retain yellow bear status.
Aug 30-Tue-The stock
market bull held up very well today, but its embryonic nature remains
vulnerable. If prices can continue departing from NTI Blue, this bull can
mature and dominate. If prices fall below NTI Blue with negative Force (in
bearish domains/), it will expire.
Aug 29-Mon-Several
more prices moved above NTI Blue with Force above Pressure and into
bullish domains. This is a low Pressure bull and its birth is not yet
complete.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 31, 2011-Buy
signals could be a mere late summer rally or it could be a new sustainable
bull. Reasons are irrelevant. As long as NTI Blue continues to increase,
the bull will be enjoyed. If prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips
below Pressure and/or into bearish domains before NTI Green crosses above
buy price, sell signals will be triggered. Keep that mindset until this
paragraph changes.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/31/2011
Aug 30, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 22 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors are
bullishly mature. That is a threat to the baby stock market bull along the
short-term cycle. Highlighting that concern is the low Vector Pressure,
which is a bearish attribute. If prices fall below NTI Bull with Force
dipping back to bearish domains, sell signals will be triggered. That rule
for selling will be abandoned once NTI Green climbs above buy prices.
Until then, which will take a few weeks, maintain a state of mental
readiness for possible sell signals.
Other reasons for
this state of readiness are: 1) This is a low Pressure stock market bull.
Its newness, coupled with low Pressure, is threatening to the stock market
bull along the shorter-term cycles. 2) Although the VIX is reactionary, it
remains as a Red Bull. Even reactionary based Red Bulls should be
respected. Its contrarian nature is not yet friendly to the short-term
stock market bull. 3) The major indices and several of the ETF’s remain as
Yellow Bears. Yellow Bears are jaundiced and dangerous to any newly
forming short-term bull cycle. 4) Congress is returning to D.C. That is
historically bearish. However, an anti-executive branch congress is
usually bullish. Political bickering and finger-pointing in DC is usually
very bullish. 5) Volume remains mediocre. Strong sustainable bulls usually
enjoy significant volume jumps during the early days of the cycle.
In spite of all of
that, buy on the signals with the mindset that sell signals could quickly
follow. Relaxation will be appropriate once the Near-term Green curve
passes above buy prices and bull signal positions.
It was disappointing
to the stock market bull that
ETF#06-EWJ-Japan did not qualify for a buy signal today. Therefore,
bullish unanimity remains absent.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and all of the
other major indices. Combined, they are up 4.8% since their bull signals
an average of 0.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 350.3%.
The
Near-term Indicant is no longer signaling bear for any of the
non-contrarian indices.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled two new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for three non-contrarian indices and
contrarian VIX. They are up 11.1% since their bull signals an average of
1.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at 383.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for six non-contrarian indices. They
are down by an average of 1.1% since their bear signals an average of
3.8-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That
adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in
conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far,
that is absent.
Aug 30-Tue-Volume was
again mediocre. However, bullish behavior at this critical juncture
supports bullish bias.
Aug 29-Mon-Volume was
disappointedly unimpressive on bullish aggression. However, too many other
short-term attributes continue favoring the stock market bull.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 3.9% since their buy signals an average of 0.7-weeks ago,
annualizing at 293.9%. These holdings are mixed with contrarian and
non-contrarian ETF’s, but shifting with fewer contrarians. For example,
QID garnished a sell signal today.
The
NTI is avoiding three-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.9% since
their sell signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated one buy signal and one sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 13-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 11.9% since their buy signals an average of 11.7-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 52.9%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 17-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
1.3% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.8-weeks ago.
Sell
signals will occur when prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below
Pressure or into bearish domains until NTI Green climbs above the buy
price. It will be several weeks before NTI Green crosses above buy prices.
So, this embryonic bull remains vulnerable to a jaundiced yellow bear.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy yesterday. It is up 0.6%
since that buy signal. Price is higher than NTI Blue with Force into
bullish domains and higher than Pressure. The next sell signal will be
when price falls below NTI Blue and Force falls below Pressure unless NTI
Green is higher than buy price.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 122.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 44.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $140.80 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $179.10.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 19.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at
130.4%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal
will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically
configured Force Vector. Its Force Vector is bearishly mature with high
Pressure. That is bullish.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 11.0% since that buy signal, annualizing at 124.0%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell yesterday, as price fell below NTI Blue
and Force below Pressure and into bearish domains. This fund could be a
bit jumpy in the next several days.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal today by the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term
Indicant has price fell below QTI Yellow. Its Force Vector cycle is
bearishly mature. It will be interesting the next few days.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 11.8% since then, annualizing at 193.8%. It is
up 63.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 689.1%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 30-Tue-The stock
market bull held up very well today, but its embryonic nature remains
vulnerable. If prices can continue departing from NTI Blue, this bull can
mature and dominate. If prices fall below NTI Blue with negative Force (in
bearish domains/), it will expire.
Aug 29-Mon-Several
more prices moved above NTI Blue with Force above Pressure and into
bullish domains. This is a low Pressure bull and its birth is not yet
complete.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 30, 2011-Buy
signals could be a mere late summer rally or it could be a new sustainable
bull. Reasons are irrelevant. As long as NTI Blue continues to increase,
the bull will be enjoyed. If prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips
below Pressure and/or into bearish domains before NTI Green crosses above
buy price sell signals will be triggered. Keep that mindset until this
paragraph changes.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/30/2011
Aug 29, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 21 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
More Near-term
Indicant buy signals were triggered as prices climbed above NTI Blue and
Force populating bullish domains. There are only two non-contrarian ETF
being avoided at this time. They are the only two without those bullish
attributes. Therefore, bullish unanimity is absent and thus a state of
readiness on potential selling is appropriate.
Other reasons for
this state of readiness are: 1) This is a low Pressure stock market bull.
Its newness, coupled with low Pressure, is threatening to the stock market
bull along the shorter-term cycles. 2) Although the VIX is reactionary, it
remains as a Red Bull. Even reactionary based Red Bulls should be
respected. Its contrarian nature is not yet friendly to the short-term
stock market bull. 3) The major indices and several of the ETF’s remain as
Yellow Bears. Yellow Bears are jaundiced and dangerous to any newly
forming short-term bull cycle. 4) Congress is returning to D.C. That is
historically bearish. However, an anti-executive branch congress is
usually bullish. Political bickering and finger-pointing in DC is usually
very bullish. 5) Volume remains mediocre. Strong sustainable bulls usually
enjoy significant volume jumps during the early days of the cycle.
In spite of all of
that, buy on the signals with the mindset that sell signals could quickly
follow. Relaxation will be appropriate once the Near-term Green curve
passes above buy prices and bull signal positions.
As stated last Friday
and persisting today, “the Near-term Indicant could not signal sell for
QID even though QQQ received a buy signal” (last Friday). “Such conflicts
seldom last more than a week.” So, this “week will be interesting.” “QID
will not qualify for selling until its price interacts with NTI Green.” It
is still up since its July 29-buy signal. If you recall, its buy signal
occurred a few days before the QQQ-sell signal last Aug 2. So, if bullish
bias prevails, QID’s sell signal will occur after QQQ’s-buy signal.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled seven new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and
non-contrarians Dow Utilities, NASDAQ, and NAS100. Combined, they are up
11.7% since their bull signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago, annualizing at
387.7%. If today’s new bull signals hold up, there will be more
non-contrarian bulls.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for one major non-contrarian index;
the Dow Transports. It is down 11.3% since the bear signal 4.7-weeks ago.
Its Vector Pressure needs to be elevated a bit more for its bull signal.
It remains very low.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled two new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for two non-contrarian indices. They
are up 20.3% since their bull signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 389.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eight non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 1.0% since their bear signals an average of
3.6-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That
adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in
conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far,
that is absent.
Aug 29-Mon-Volume was
disappointedly unimpressive on bullish aggression. However, too many other
short-term attributes continue favoring the stock market bull.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated 19-buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for ten-ETF’s. They are up 10.1%
since their buy signals an average of 2.0-weeks ago, annualizing at
265.6%. These holdings are mixed with contrarian and non-contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding two-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.2% since their
sell signals an average of 3.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated seven buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for seven-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 20.2% since their buy signals an average of 22.1-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 47.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 18-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
1.3% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.6-weeks ago.
Today’s buy signals were triggered by ETF prices crossing above NTI Blue.
Their Force crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. These buys
are without bullish volume support. Most are low Pressure buys suggesting
another round with the bear. Several strong bulls so far this century
originated during the month of August. Major concerns are low Pressure and
non-supportive volume.
Sell
signals will occur when prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below
Pressure or into bearish domains until NTI Green climbs above the buy
price. It will be several weeks before NTI Green crosses above buy prices.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy today. Price is higher than
NTI Blue with Force into bullish domains and higher than Pressure. The
next sell signal will be when price falls below NTI Blue and Force falls
below Pressure.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 115.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 42.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $140.50 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $173.89.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 15.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at
108.9%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal
will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically
configured Force Vector. As stated last Tuesday, do not be surprised at
more gold “cooling.”
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 9.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 107.6%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell today, as price fell below NTI Blue and
Force below Pressure and into bearish domains. This fund could be a bit
jumpy in the next several days.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 6.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 73.4%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 0.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at
5.0%. Next sell signal is when price falls below NTI Green in spite of
last Friday’s buy signal for QQQ.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 10.7% since then, annualizing at 183.4%. It is
up 61.5% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 691.8%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 29-Mon-Several
more prices moved above NTI Blue with Force above Pressure and into
bullish domains. This is a low Pressure bull and its birth is not yet
complete.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 29, 2011-Buy
signals could be a mere late summer rally or it could be a new sustainable
bull. Reasons are irrelevant. As long as NTI Blue continues to increase,
the bull will be enjoyed. If prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips
below Pressure and/or into bearish domains before NTI Green crosses above
buy price sell signals will be triggered.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/29/2011
Aug 26, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 20 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
A few buy signals
were triggered on Friday after the market closed. Execution of those buys
cannot occur until Monday morning. Those buy signals were qualified with
Force eclipsing Pressure. Prices climbed above the Near-term Indicant Blue
curve. Buy signals were also justified with Force crossing into bullish
domains.
Sell signals will be
quick if prices fall below the NTI Blue curve and Force falls below
Pressure. It will take several days for NTI Green to climb above the buy
price. Until then, these buys should be considered with high risk. In
spite of that, though, we will be buying. Stop losses will be set. Floor
traders will see them and drive prices below them if they are too tight
for their gain and your loss.
Keep in mind, this
bullish behavior is along near-term cycle, where directional shifts and
inflection points occur with higher frequency. There are a couple of other
attributes of concern. There is no volume support for sustainability.
Bullish breadth has not yet formed. Both of those attributes must be
resolved before a relaxed posture with bullish expectations.
The Near-term
Indicant could not signal sell for QID even though QQQ received a buy
signal. Such conflicts seldom last more than a week. So, next week will be
interesting. QID will not qualify for selling until its price interacts
with NTI Green. It is still up by double digits since its July 29-buy
signal. If you recall, its buy signal occurred a few days before the
QQQ-sell signal last Aug 2.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled two new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and non-contrarian
Dow Utilities. Combined, they are up 26.6% since their bull signals an
average of 2.3-weeks ago, annualizing at 606.1%. The DJU is down slightly,
while the VIX is up by over 50% since bull signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for eight major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 9.1% since the bear signals an
average of 3.9-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for the same two indices as the
Near-term Indicant with the same performance results.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten non-contrarian indices. They
are down by an average of 2.9% since their bear signals an average of
3.1-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That
adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in
conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far,
that is absent.
Aug 26-Fri-Low volume
on bullish behavior is a phony rally.
Aug 25-Thu-Mediocre
volume on bearish aggression means little as the stock market is a bear on
the short-term cycles.
Aug 24-Wed-Mediocre
volume on stock market bullishness offers a tint of suspicion to that
bullish behavior.
Aug
23-Tue-Unimpressive volume, coupled with bullish aggression does not
suggest a new and sustainable bull cycle is about to unfold.
Aug
22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change
in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated six buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up 22.4%
since their buy signals an average of 3.9-weeks ago, annualizing at
300.1%. These holdings include mostly contrarian ETF’s and one
non-contrarian.
The
NTI is avoiding 21-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 8.8% since their
sell signals an average of 3.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated two buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 30.7% since their buy signals an average of 30.3-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 52.7%. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s
contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as
it is. The other three were recent buys from late July 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 25-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
2.8% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.1-weeks ago.
Several ETF prices crossed above NTI Blue. Their Force crossed above
Pressure and into bullish domains. Therefore, buy signals were triggered.
These buys are without bullish volume support. There is limited bullish
breadth. However, there at the very least should be a late summer rally.
Several strong bulls so far this century originated during the month of
August.
Sell
signals will occur when prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below
Pressure or into bearish domains until NTI Green climbs above the buy
price.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 4.2% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. Libyan oil may further depress this ETF. Although it
was solidly bullish the past three days, its configuration remains
bearish.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 5.7% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 120.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 43.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $140.22 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $177.47.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 18.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at
133.4%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal
will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically
configured Force Vector. As stated last Tuesday, do not be surprised at
more gold “cooling.” You saw some of that this past Wednesday with
significant bearishness, but still configured solidly in support of the
gold bull.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 10.8% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 138.8%. The next sell signal will not occur until
interaction with NTI Green and Force in bearish domains.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 12.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 163.5%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 6.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at
96.2%. Next sell signal is when price falls below NTI Green in spite of
Friday’s buy signal for QQQ.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 18.1% since then, annualizing at 361.7%. It is
up 72.3% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 897.2%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 26-Fri-Near-term
buy signals were triggered based on prices climbing above NTI Blue with
Force crossing above Pressure into bullish domains.
Aug 25-Thu-Some Force
Vectors crossed above Pressure, but prices fell back below NTI Blue.
Therefore, there were no buy or bull signals.
Aug 24-Wed-Two
consecutive days of bullish behavior does not form a trend. However, there
was one non-contrarian ETF buy signal, which was forced by virtue of
gaining Red Bull status.
Aug 23-Tue-The stock
market bull correlated well with an earthquake near the capitol.
Aug 22-Mon-Utilities
was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still
lurks and can still pounce with some punch.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 26, 2011-Buy
signals could be a mere late summer rally or it could be a new sustainable
bull. Reasons are irrelevant. As long as NTI Blue continues to increase,
the bull will be enjoyed. If prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips
below Pressure and/or into bearish domains before NTI Green crosses above
buy price sell signals
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/26/2011
Aug 25, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 19 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
This paragraph
remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will
not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI
blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets
again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days.
Force is now moving
to the north. A few even crossed Pressure today. Unfortunately, bearish
aggression dropped prices back below NTI Blue. Increasing Force offers the
stock market bull a bit of “hope and change.” However, please read the
previous paragraph.
The Dow Utilities
Index received a bull signal this past Wednesday as it eclipsed NTI Blue
with Force above Pressure and in bullish domains. More importantly, it
became a QTI Red Bull on Wednesday, which disallows bear signals and avoid
signals. Its Force Vector also moved slightly northward. This is the only
major non-contrarian index with a bull signal. It is difficult for this
particular index to be a stand-alone bull. However, the configuration
shifts mandated the bull signals from both the NTI and QTI models.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and non-contrarian
Dow Utilities. Combined, they aer up 35.7% since their bull signals an
average of 2.1-weeks ago, annualizing at 867.0%. The DJU is down slightly,
while the VIX is up by over 70% since bull signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten major non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 10.3% since the bear signals an average of
3.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for the same two indices as the
Near-term Indicant with the same performance results.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten non-contrarian indices. They
are down by an average of 4.7% since their bear signals an average of
3.0-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That
adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in
conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far,
that is absent.
Aug 25-Thu-Mediocre
volume on bearish aggression means little as the stock market is a bear on
the short-term cycles.
Aug 24-Wed-Mediocre
volume on stock market bullishness offers a tint of suspicion to that
bullish behavior.
Aug
23-Tue-Unimpressive volume, coupled with bullish aggression does not
suggest a new and sustainable bull cycle is about to unfold.
Aug
22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change
in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up 23.3%
since their buy signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago, annualizing at
323.4%. These holdings include mostly contrarian ETF’s and one
non-contrarian.
The
NTI is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 9.8% since their
sell signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 30.7% since their buy signals an average of 30.1-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 53.0%. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s
contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as
it is. The other three were recent buys from late July 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
4.0% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.0-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is shifting north
offering the near-term bull a glimmer of hope. ETF#12-Utilities
qualifies for a buy signal. Although this cannot be a standalone hold for
very long, as the other ETF’s must improve their configurations and/or
utilities will succumb to bearish ambition. This should occur quickly. The
reason for yesterday’s buy signal is that it became a QTI Red Bull, which
are impossible to avoid.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 6.1% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. Libyan oil may further depress this ETF. Although it
was solidly bullish the past two days, its configuration remains bearish.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 5.9% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 113.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 41.5%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.95 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $172.36.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 14.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at
110.4%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal
will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically
configured Force Vector. As stated last Tuesday, do not be surprised at
more gold “cooling.” You saw some of that this past Wednesday with
significant bearishness, but still configured solidly in support of the
gold bull.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 9.7% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 129.5%. The next sell signal will not occur until
interaction with NTI Green and Force in bearish domains.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 18.6 % since that buy signal, annualizing at 247.4%. The QTI
signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 11.9% since that buy signal,
annualizing at 186.7%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 20.0% since then, annualizing at 423.0%. It is
up 75.0% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 964.7%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 25-Thu-Some Force
Vectors crossed above Pressure, but prices fell back below NTI Blue.
Therefore, there were no buy or bull signals.
Aug 24-Wed-Two
consecutive days of bullish behavior does not form a trend. However, there
was one non-contrarian ETF buy signal, which was forced by virtue of
gaining Red Bull status.
Aug 23-Tue-The stock
market bull correlated well with an earthquake near the capitol.
Aug 22-Mon-Utilities
was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still
lurks and can still pounce with some punch.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 25, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force is attempting to mount increases in bull force. This threatens
the bear. However, most still reside in bearish domains. Any bullish
behavior with current configurations should be viewed as a mere spurt in
the face of a stock market bear.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/25/2011
Aug 24, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 18 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
This paragraph
remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will
not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI
blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets
again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days.
Force is now moving
solidly to the north. This offers the stock market bull a bit of “hope and
change.” Please read the previous paragraph.
The Dow Utilities
Index received a bull signal as it eclipsed NTI Blue with Force above
Pressure and in bullish domains. More importantly, it became a QTI Red
Bull, which disallows bear signals and avoid signals. Its Force Vector
also moved slightly northward. This is the only major non-contrarian index
with a bull signal. It is difficult for this particular index to be a
stand-alone bull. However, the configuration shifts mandated the bull
signals from both the NTI and QTI models.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
56.2% since its bull signal 4.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 730.9%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten major non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 8.7% since the bear signals an average of
3.5-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 4.0-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 56.2% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 730.9%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten non-contrarian indices. They
are down by an average of 3.0% since their bear signals an average of
2.9-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That
adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness. So
far, that is absent.
Aug 24-Wed-Mediocre
volume on stock market bullishness offers a tint of suspicion to that
bullish behavior.
Aug
23-Tue-Unimpressive volume, coupled with bullish aggression does not
suggest a new and sustainable bull cycle is about to unfold.
Aug
22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change
in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated one buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 27.3%
since their buy signals an average of 4.5-weeks ago, annualizing at
315.7%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 8.2% since their
sell signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated one buy signal and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 36.9% since their buy signals an average of 37.5-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 51.1%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from
late July 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
2.2% since the QTI sell signal an average of 2.8-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is shifting north
offering the near-term bull a glimmer of hope. ETF#12-Utilities
qualifies for a buy signal. Although this cannot be a standalone hold for
very long, as the other ETF’s must improve their configurations and/or
utilities will succumb to bearish ambition. This should occur quickly. The
reason for today’s buy signal is that it became a QTI Red Bull, which are
impossible to avoid.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 4.0% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. Force climbed into bullish domains this past Wed, but
price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. It is currently
not behaving in a contrarian nature. Libyan oil may further depress this
ETF. Although it was solidly bullish the past two days, its configuration
remains bearish.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 5.9% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 112.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 41.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.73 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $171.65.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 14.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at
109.1%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal
will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically
configured Force Vector. As stated yesterday, do not be surprised at more
gold “cooling.” You saw some of that today with significant bearishness,
but still configured solidly in support of the gold bull.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 8.5% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 118.2%. The next sell signal will not occur until
interaction with NTI Green and Force in bearish domains.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 14.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 206.7%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 8.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at
139.2%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 17.6% since then, annualizing at 395.5%. It is
up 71.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 954.1%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 24-Wed-Two
consecutive days of bullish behavior does not form a trend. However, there
was one non-contrarian ETF buy signal, which was forced by virtue of
gaining Red Bull status.
Aug 23-Tue-The stock
market bull correlated well with an earthquake near the capitol.
Aug 22-Mon-Utilities
was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still
lurks and can still pounce with some punch.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 24, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force is attempting to mount increases in bull force. This threatens
the bear. However, most still reside in bearish domains. Any bullish
behavior with current configurations should be viewed as a mere spurt in
the face of a stock market bear.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/24/2011
Aug 23, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 17 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Although sounding a
bit calloused, the stock market bull was inspired a bit with today’s
earthquake near Washington D.C. Shutting it down is generally bullish,
regardless of reason.
This paragraph
remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will
not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI
blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets
again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days.
Force moved upward
ever so slightly, abbreviating its precipitous decline. This offers the
stock market bull a bit of “hope and change.” Please read the previous
paragraph.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
57.6% since its bull signal 3.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 776.2%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 8.9% since the bear signals an
average of 3.3-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 3.9-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 57.6% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 776.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 3.0% since their bear signals an average of
2.7-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression.
That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
23-Tue-Unimpressive volume, coupled with bullish aggression does not
suggest a new and sustainable bull cycle is about to unfold.
Aug
22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change
in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 30.5%
since their buy signals an average of 4.4-weeks ago, annualizing at
364.1%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 8.5% since their
sell signals an average of 3.3-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 40.6% since their buy signals an average of 37.4-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 56.5%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from
late July 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
2.7% since the QTI sell signal an average of 2.6-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bearishly embryonic,
suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term
horizon. ETF#12-Utilities
qualifies for a buy signal, but as stated the past several days, it cannot
be a standalone hold.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 4.6% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. Force climbed into bullish domains this past Wed, but
price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. It is currently
not behaving in a contrarian nature. Libyan oil may further depress this
ETF. Although it was solidly bullish today, its configuration remains
bearish.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 5.3% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 120.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 44.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.52 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $177.67.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 18.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at
142.8%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal
will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically
configured Force Vector. Do not be surprised at more gold “cooling.”
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 11.7% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 168.7%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 16.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 242.4%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 10.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at
176.6%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 20.1% since then, annualizing at 482.5%. It is
up 75.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 1,041.5%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 23-Tue-The stock
market bull correlated well with an earthquake near the capitol.
Aug 22-Mon-Utilities
was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still
lurks and can still pounce with some punch.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 23, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Declining Force abated today, but not yet increasing. The point of
interest is how far they fall if they return to their declining direction.
If they fall below the last cycle’s depth, the short-term bear cycle will
maintain dominance with unknown sustainability. If Force bounces back to
the north before surpassing last depth, the bull will find some
inspiration for a counter-attack.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/23/2011
Aug 22, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 16 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
This paragraph
remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will
not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI
blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets
again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days.
This is the same as
late last week. “Force Vectors have shifted solidly to the south. The
short-term bear cycle will gain even yet more momentum if Force falls
below the maximum depth in the last Force Vector cycle. If Force shifts
back to the north before that attaining that depth, the stock market bear
will consider planning for annual hibernation sometimes this October.”
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
84.7% since its bull signal 3.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 1,185.6%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 12.0% since the bear signals an
average of 3.2-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 3.-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 84.7% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 1,185.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 6.2% since their bear signals an average of
2.5-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression.
That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change
in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 36.8%
since their buy signals an average of 4.2-weeks ago, annualizing at
454.6%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.6% since their
sell signals an average of 3.1-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 47.1% since their buy signals an average of 37.2-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 65.8%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from
late July 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
5.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 2.5-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bearishly embryonic,
suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term
horizon. ETF#12-Utilities
did this, but as stated the past few days, it cannot be a standalone hold.
As you can see, it has also fallen prey to the bear and thus avoiding
during it irrational run up was appropriate.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 8.7% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. Force climbed into bullish domains this past Wed, but
price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. It is currently
not behaving in a contrarian nature. Libyan oil may further depress this
ETF.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 0.7% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 128.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 47.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.31 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $184.59.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 22.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at
182.8%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 13.3% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 199.1%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 27.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 409.1%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 20.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at
362.8%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 26.1% since then, annualizing at 674.1%. It is
up 84.0% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 1,209.3%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 22-Mon-Utilities
was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still
lurks and can still pounce with some punch.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 22, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force is again in decline. The point of interest is how far they
fall. If they fall below the last cycle’s depth, the short-term bear cycle
will maintain dominance with unknown sustainability. If Force bounces back
to the north before surpassing last depth, the bull will find some
inspiration for a counter-attack.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/22/2011
Aug 19, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 15 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
This paragraph
remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will
not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI
blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets
again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days.
Force Vectors have
shifted solidly to the south. The short-term bear cycle will gain even yet
more momentum if Force falls below the maximum depth in the last Force
Vector cycle. If Force shifts back to the north before that attaining that
depth, the stock market bear will consider planning for annual hibernation
sometimes this October.
As you saw with
bearish aggression the past two days, the stock market bear dominated.
This so-called “interesting” phase has concluded that the stock market
bear retains its advantage.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Force Vectors are again moving south on bearish stock market Pressure.
This configuration adds to the bearish support along the short-term cycle
that was identified in late July
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
87.3% since its bull signal 3.3-weeks ago, annualizing at 1,382.2%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 12.0% since the bear signals an
average of 2.8-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 3.3-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 87.3% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 1,382.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 6.3% since their bear signals an average of
2.1-weeks ago. The bear was humbled last Thu, Fri, and Mon, but as you saw
stock market bearish aggression this Thu and Fri, its wounds were not
fatal. The Near-term and Quick-term Indicant stock market bear remains
alive and well.
Note: Aug 15, 2011-Mon-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous
performance data. The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The
errors only impacted the performance data for this section. The website’s
report card information was accurate.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression.
That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
19-Fri-Bearish aggression continues to be correlative to volume aggression
and thus in support of continued bearishness.
Aug
18-Thu-Aggressive volume on bearish aggression continues to inspire the
stock market bear.
Aug
17-Wed-Light volume on mixed, but mainly mild bearish, behavior does
nothing to discourage the rampaging stock market bear.
Aug
16-Tue-Light volume on bearish behavior is not encouraging to the stock
market bear. However, bearish attributes persist.
Aug
15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of
sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 34.9%
since their buy signals an average of 3.8-weeks ago, annualizing at
479.9%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.6% since their
sell signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 45.0% since their buy signals an average of 36.8-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 63.5%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from
late July 2011.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
5.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 2.1-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bearishly embryonic,
suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term
horizon. ETF#12-Utilities
did this, but as stated the past few days, it cannot be a standalone hold.
As you can see, it has also fallen prey to the bear and thus avoiding
during it irrational run up was appropriate.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 8.0% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. Force climbed into bullish domains this past Wed, but
price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. As you saw the
past two days, it was aggressively bearish. It is currently not behaving
in a contrarian nature.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 1.5% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness last Thu through
this past Mon. Today’s bearish aggression offers support for this
discipline.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 123.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 45.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.09 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $179.95.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 19.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at
169.4%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 13.6% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 232.5%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 27.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 478.9%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 20.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at
440.1%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 22.3% since then, annualizing at 731.1%. It is
up 78.5% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 1,284.2%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 19-Fri-The just
completed bullish Force Vector cycle related to classical emotion and
automated buys by computers. Force is heading south again, which should
invite more stock market bearish behavior along the short-term cycle.
Aug 18-Thu-As
expected bullishly exhausted Force Vectors could no longer offer the stock
market bullish support and in fact inspired the stock market bear with
some solid gusto.
Aug 17-Wed-Several
Force Vectors crossed into bullish domains, but prices remain below NTI
Blue. Utilities is impressively bullish, but cannot be a standalone bull.
However, if Force continues climbing and NTI Blue is surpassed, then buy
signals will ensue along the near-term cycle and most quick-term cycles.
If not, the bear will gain momentum.
Aug 16-Tue-Most Force
Vectors crossed above Pressure, offering mild inspiration to the stock
market bull. However, prices fell and most are below the near-term bearish
green curve. Bullish attributes remain absent.
Aug 15-Mon-Utilties
Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI
Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before
invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 19, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force is again in decline. The point of interest is how far they
fall. If they fall below the last cycle’s depth, the short-term bear cycle
will maintain dominance with unknown sustainability. If Force bounces back
to the north before surpassing last depth, the bull will find some
inspiration for a counter-attack.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/19/2011
Aug 18, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 14 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
This paragraph
remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will
not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI
blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets
again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days.
The above continues
to hold true.
As stated yesterday,
“prices still must climb above NTI Blue before garnishing buy/bull
signals. The stock market’s configuration is now in the “interesting”
phase. If Force falls back below Pressure, the bear will gain tenacious
momentum. If not, the bull will be inspired.”
As you saw with
today’s bearish aggression, the stock market bear dominated. This
so-called “interesting” phase has concluded that the stock market bear retains
its advantage.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
The
bullishly mature Force Vectors were exhausted, as expected. Today’s stock
market bearish aggression, coupled with current configurations, suggests
more bearish behavior along the short-term cycle should be expected.
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
85.7% since its bull signal 3.1-weeks ago, annualizing at 1,417.7%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 10.7% since the bear signals an
average of 2.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 3.1-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 85.7% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 1,417.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 4.9% since their bear signals an average of
1.9-weeks ago. The bear was humbled last Thu, Fri, and Mon, but as you saw
with today’s stock market bearish aggression, its wounds were not fatal.
The Near-term and Quick-term Indicant stock market bear remains alive and
well.
Note
to be retained through Friday, August 19, 2011-------Note: Aug 15,
2011-Mon-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data.
The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only
impacted the performance data for this section. The website’s report card
information was accurate.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression.
That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
18-Thu-Aggressive volume on bearish aggression continues to inspire the
stock market bear.
Aug
17-Wed-Light volume on mixed, but mainly mild bearish, behavior does
nothing to discourage the rampaging stock market bear.
Aug
16-Tue-Light volume on bearish behavior is not encouraging to the stock
market bear. However, bearish attributes persist.
Aug
15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of
sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 31.0%
since their buy signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago, annualizing at
442.8%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 10.2% since their
sell signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 41.5% since their buy signals an average of 36.6-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 58.8%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
4.5% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.9-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bullishly mature,
suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term
horizon. ETF#12-Utilities
has done this, but cannot be a standalone, hold.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 6.3% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. Force climbed in bullish domains this past Wed, but
price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. As you saw
today, it was aggressively bearish.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 3.4% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness last Thu through
this past Mon. Today’s bearish aggression offers support for this
discipline.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 120.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 44.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.91 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $177.72.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 18.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at
160.5%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 12.7% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 227.8%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 23.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 421.2%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 16.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at
371.3%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 16.4% since then, annualizing at 589.0%. It is
up 69.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 1,195.8%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 18-Thu-As
expected bullishly exhausted Force Vectors could no longer offer the stock
market bullish support and in fact inspired the stock market bear with
some solid gusto.
Aug 17-Wed-Several
Force Vectors crossed into bullish domains, but prices remain below NTI
Blue. Utilities is impressively bullish, but cannot be a standalone bull.
However, if Force continues climbing and NTI Blue is surpassed, then buy
signals will ensue along the near-term cycle and most quick-term cycles.
If not, the bear will gain momentum.
Aug 16-Tue-Most Force
Vectors crossed above Pressure, offering mild inspiration to the stock
market bull. However, prices fell and most are below the near-term bearish
green curve. Bullish attributes remain absent.
Aug 15-Mon-Utilties
Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI
Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before
invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 18, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force finally crossed into bullish domains, but not enough to expire
the stock market bear. As stated last Aug 9, Force will rebound within a
few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this
bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior
during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting. Force crossed
above Pressure, for the most part this past Tuesday, but prices did not
cross above NTI blue. Those few that are, such as utilities, are without
support to justify bull/buy signals along the short-term cycle.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/18/2011
Aug 17, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 13 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors
continue moving dramatically to the north.
This paragraph
remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will
not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI
blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets
again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days.
Most have now crossed
above Pressure and several have penetrated bullish domains. However, they
expended significant bullish energy in doing so. They are bullishly mature
. Prices still must climb above NTI Blue before garnishing buy/bull
signals. The stock market’s configuration is now in the “interesting”
phase. If Force falls back below Pressure, the bear will gain tenacious
momentum. If not, the bull will be inspired.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Indices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a
near-term stock market bull. Most of that occurred this past Monday, but
reversed today. Those desired attributes could not hold in their desirous
position. Force Vectors also need to climb above Pressure and into bullish
domains and hold there for a couple of days. Therefore, the bear signal
remains.
Dow Utilities is the most impressive. It qualifies for a bull signal.
However, it cannot be a standalone bull. Its impressiveness is
attributable to money rotation by nervous traders, who found the dividends
attractive. Unfortunately, they lack the patience and discipline waiting
on dividends. They will sell and buy into another sector when their
jittery nature prompts them to do so. Prices will either relax or move
south when that happens.
Force Vector cycles are bullish mature. That does not encourage the stock
market bull. A new bearish cycle in Force should manifest. If not, the
stock market bull will be encouraged, but its wounds remain severe.
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
37.4% since its bull signal 3.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 648.7%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 6.5% since the bear signals an
average of 2.5-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 3.0-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 37.4% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 648.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 0.4% since their bear signals an average of
1.8-weeks ago. The bear was humbled last Thu, Fri, and Mon, but its wounds
are not fatal. Force moved into bullish domains today, but much energy was
expended by the stock market bull, which bodes well for the stock market
bear. Also, bull signals need support by virtue of prices climbing above
NTI Blue. Although the DJU expressed, rest assured, it will not continue
to follow its recent path.
Note
to be retained through Friday, August 19, 2011-------Note: Aug 15,
2011-Mon-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data.
The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only
impacted the performance data for this section. The website’s report card
information was accurate.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression.
That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
17-Wed-Light volume on mixed, but mainly mild bearish, behavior does
nothing to discourage the rampaging stock market bear.
Aug
16-Tue-Light volume on bearish behavior is not encouraging to the stock
market bear. However, bearish attributes persist.
Aug
15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of
sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 19.9%
since their buy signals an average of 3.5-weeks ago, annualizing at
296.2%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.1% since their
sell signals an average of 2.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 32.3% since their buy signals an average of 36.5-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 46.1%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
0.1% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.8-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bullishly mature,
suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term
horizon. ETF#12-Utilities
has done this, but cannot be a standalone, hold.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 0.6% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. Force climbed in bullish domains today, but price
still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 9.7% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness last Thu through
this past Mon.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 116.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 42.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.72 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $174.42.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 16.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at
144.8%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 10.4% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 196.8%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 12.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 239.3%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 6.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at
152.0%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 3.6% since then. It is up 40.6% since the
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 731.6%.
This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its
tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 17-Wed-Several
Force Vectors crossed into bullish domains, but prices remain below NTI
Blue. Utilities is impressively bullish, but cannot be a standalone bull.
However, if Force continues climbing and NTI Blue is surpassed, then buy
signals will ensue along the near-term cycle and most quick-term cycles.
If not, the bear will gain momentum.
Aug 16-Tue-Most Force
Vectors crossed above Pressure, offering mild inspiration to the stock
market bull. However, prices fell and most are below the near-term bearish
green curve. Bullish attributes remain absent.
Aug 15-Mon-Utilties
Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI
Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before
invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 17, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force finally crossed into bullish domains, but not enough to expire
the stock market bear. As stated last Aug 9, Force will rebound within a
few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this
bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior
during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting. Force crossed
above Pressure, for the most part yesterday, but prices did not cross
above NTI blue. Those few that are, such as utilities, are without support
to justify bull/buy signals along the short-term cycle.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/17/2011
Aug 16, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 12 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors are
moving dramatically to the north. Most are within a day or two of crossing
above Pressure. Utilities has done this, but more need to do it before
considering a resumption of a near-term bull cycle.
This paragraph
remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will
not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI
blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets
again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days.
Force crossed above
Pressure today. They expended significant bullish energy in doing so. They
are bullishly mature . Prices still must climb above NTI Blue before
garnishing buy/bull signals. The stock market’s configuration is now in
the “interesting” phase. If Force falls back below Pressure, the bear will
gain tenacious momentum. If not, the bull will be inspired.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Indices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a
near-term stock market bull. Most of that occurred this past Monday, but
reversed today. Those desired attributes could not hold in their desirous
position. Force Vectors also need to climb above Pressure and into bullish
domains and hold there for a couple of days. Therefore, the bear signal
remains.
Force Vector cycles are bullish mature. That does not encourage the stock
market bull. A new bearish cycle in Force should manifest. If not, the
stock market bull will be encouraged, but its wounds remain severe.
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
44.1% since its bull signal 2.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 803.1%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 6.4% since the bear signals an
average of 2.3-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 2.9-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 44.1% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 803.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 0.3% since their bear signals an average of
1.7-weeks ago. The bear was humbled last Thu, Fri, and Mon, but its wounds
are not fatal. Force needs to drive its piercing blow into bullish domains
before the short-term bear cycle endures fatality. It is attempting to do
so, but much energy has been expended by the stock market bull, which
bodes well for the stock market bear.
Note
to be retained through Friday, August 19, 2011-------Note: Aug 15,
2011-Mon-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data.
The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only
impacted the performance data for this section. The website’s report card
information was accurate.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression.
That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
16-Tue-Light volume on bearish behavior is not encouraging to the stock
market bear. However, bearish attributes persist.
Aug
15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of
sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 18.4%
since their buy signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago, annualizing at
284.5%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.2% since their
sell signals an average of 2.3-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 30.9% since their buy signals an average of 36.4-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 44.5%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
0.2% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.6-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bullishly mature,
suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term
horizon.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 1.0% since
that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along
the near-term curve. The chart reveals Force still remains below Pressure
and resides in bearish domains. This is not a sufficient configuration to
justify a buy signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 9.3% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness last Thu through
this past Mon.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 115.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 42.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.53 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $173.92.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 15.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at
145.4%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 8.5% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 169.7%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 11.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 227.4%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 11.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at
132.2%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 5.5% since then. It is up 37.9% since the
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 717.6%.
This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its
tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 16-Tue-Most Force
Vectors crossed above Pressure, offering mild inspiration to the stock
market bull. However, prices fell and most are below the near-term bearish
green curve. Bullish attributes remain absent.
Aug 15-Mon-Utilties
Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI
Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before
invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 16, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force finally shifted north, but not enough to expire the stock
market bear. As stated last Aug 9, Force will rebound within a few days.
The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle
will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector
Pressure interaction will be interesting. Force crossed above Pressure,
for the most part today, but prices did not cross above NTI blue. Those
few that are, such as utilities, are without support to justify bull/buy
signals along the short-term cycle.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/16/2011
Aug 15, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 11 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors are
moving dramatically to the north. Most are within a day or two of crossing
above Pressure. Utilities has done this, but more need to do it before
considering a resumption of a near-term bull cycle.
This paragraph
remains unchanged since last Tuesday. The next buying opportunity will not
occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue
curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again
after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be observable sometimes
this week or early next week. Based on recent behavior, observations will
not be available this week. If Force vacillates deep in bearish domains,
where they currently reside, then recent bearish aggression will display
fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Indices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a
near-term stock market bull. Most of that occurred today. However, Force
Vectors need to climb above Pressure and into bullish domains and hold
there for a couple of days. Therefore, the bear signal remains.
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
Aug
15, 2011-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data.
The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only
impacted the performance data for this section.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
38.7% since its bull signal 2.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 741.1%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 5.4% since the bear signals an
average of 2.2-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 2.7-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 38.7% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 741.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are up by an average of 0.8% since their bear signals an average of
1.5-weeks ago. The bear was humbled the past three days, but its wounds
are not fatal. Force needs to drive its piercing blow into bullish domains
before the short-term bear cycle endures fatality.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression.
That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of
sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 16.4%
since their buy signals an average of 3.2-weeks ago, annualizing at
264.6%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 5.2% since their
sell signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 28.9% since their buy signals an average of 36.2-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 41.5%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are up by an average of
0.8% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.5-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is up 0.7% since that
sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the
near-term curve. The chart reveals Force still remains below Pressure and
resides in bearish domains. This is not a sufficient configuration to
justify a buy signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 11.1% since
that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the
Near-term Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness the past
three trading days.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 113.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 41.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.34 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $171.80.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 14.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at
135.9%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 6.7% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 142.3%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 9.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 198.7%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 3.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at
90.4%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 7.5% since then. It is up 35.0% since the
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 699.7%.
This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its
tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 15-Mon-Utilties
Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI
Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before
invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 15, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force finally shifted north, but not enough to expire the stock
market bear. As stated last Tuesday, Force will rebound within a few days.
The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle
will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector
Pressure interaction will be interesting. That should occur sometimes this
week.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/15/2011
Aug 12, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 10 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
As stated last
Tuesday, “the current Force Vector cycle is fatiguing in deep in bearish
domains. That should slow bearish aggression, but in no way suggests the
bear is about to hibernate.” Force Vectors finally shifted upward,
offering a mild threat to the stock market bear.
Pressure remains
solidly in bearish domains. All non-contrarian ETF’s and major market
indices are yellow bears. There is no floor to bearish ambition. All of
this is bearish.
This paragraph
remains unchanged since last Tuesday. The next buying opportunity will not
occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue
curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again
after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be observable sometimes
this week or early next week. Based on recent behavior, observations will
not be available this week. If Force vacillates deep in bearish domains,
where they currently reside, then recent bearish aggression will display
fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Indices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a
near-term stock market bull. Most of that occurred today. However, Force
Vectors need to climb above Pressure and into bullish domains and hold
there for a couple of days. Therefore, the bear signal remains.
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
7.5% since its bull signal 2.3-weeks ago, contrasting significantly with
yesterday’s position of over a 75% gain since the bull signal. The VIX’s
name of Volatility demonstrated significant merit today. That annualizes
at 171.3%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.1% since the bear signals an
average of 1.8-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 2.3-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 7.5% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 171.3%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are up by an average of 4.3% since their bear signals an average of
1.1-weeks ago. The bear was humbled the past two days, but its wounds are
not fatal. Force needs to drive its piercing blow into bullish domains
before the short-term bear cycle endures fatality.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that
configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression.
That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
12-Fri-Low volume on bullish aggression does not support the idea of a
return to bullish dominance.
Aug
11-Thu-Healthy volume, although less than bearish related volume, offers
some hope for a new bull’s birth.
Aug
10-Wed-Again strong volume, coupled to bearish aggression, continues in
support of a bearish stock market.
Aug
9-Tue-Healthy volume on maximal intraday volatility with bullish close
identifies trader nervousness, as opposed to fundamental directional
shifts.
Aug
8-Mon-Another day of aggressive volume on dynamic bearish aggression
support continuing stock market bearish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 19.2%
since their buy signals an average of 2.8-weeks ago, annualizing at
359.0%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 7.4% since their
sell signals an average of 1.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 30.8% since their buy signals an average of 35.8-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 44.8%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
1.5% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.1-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. After that, prices must climb back above QTI
Yellow before the Quick-term Indicant can signal buy.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 2.6% since
that sell signal. Force, which is very depressed, must topple Pressure
before signaling buy along the near-term curve. This fund was not
contrarian in this bearish cycle.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 7.5% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does so.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 110.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 40.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.15 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $169.97.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 13.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at
135.0%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 7.8% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 200.9%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 12.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 330.1%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 6.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at
235.1%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 1.9% since then. It is up 43.2% since the
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,1035.9%.
This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its
tracking to VIX is unreliable. The VIX was down nearly 50% on Friday,
while this ETN held flat.
Major ETF Events
Aug 12-Fri-Strong
bullish behavior remains unsupported by Force Vectors. The bear has not
yet expired.
Aug 11-Thu-Strong
bullish behavior was classical with deeply depressed Force. However, there
is little technical meaning to this until prices cross above NTI Blue,
which is collapsed and declining.
Aug 10-Wed-Force
Vectors fell to near 2008-depressed levels. Strong bearish behavior should
start meeting some resistance. If not, one can predict shabby economic
conditions will follow.
Aug 9-Tue-Intraday
volatility was extreme today with a 600-point jump in the Dow in the last
hour of trading.
Aug 8-Mon-The stock
market bear demonstrated its strength with dynamic bearish behavior.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 12, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force finally shifted north, but not enough to expire the stock
market bear. As stated last Tuesday, Force will rebound within a few days.
The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle
will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector
Pressure interaction will be interesting. That should occur sometimes next
week.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/12/2011
Aug 11, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
As stated last
Tuesday, “the current Force Vector cycle is fatiguing in deep in bearish
domains. That should slow bearish aggression, but in no way suggests the
bear is about to hibernate.” Force Vectors finally shifted upward,
offering a mild threat to the stock market bear.
Pressure remains
solidly in bearish domains. All non-contrarian ETF’s and major market
indices are yellow bears. There is no floor to bearish ambition. All of
this is bearish.
This paragraph
remains unchanged since last Tuesday. The next buying opportunity will not
occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue
curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again
after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish
expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can
hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be observable sometimes
this week or early next week. Based on recent behavior, observations will
not be available this week. If Force vacillates deep in bearish domains,
where they currently reside, then recent bearish aggression will display
fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Finally, Force Vectors shifted north, offering stock market bottoming
potential. However, support for the stock market bull remains absent. All
this means is a meager threat to the stock market bear’s longevity. Prices
need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a near-term
stock market bull.
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
70.7% since its bull signal 2.1-weeks ago. That annualizes at 1,716.0%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 8.0% since the bear signals an
average of 1.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 2.1-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 70.0% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 1,716.0%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 2.0% since their bear signals an average of
0.9-weeks ago. The bear is now dominant without any floors with the
exception of the DJU.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains. Much of that robustness coincides
with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
11-Thu-Healthy volume, although less than bearish related volume, offers
some hope for a new bull’s birth.
Aug
10-Wed-Again strong volume, coupled to bearish aggression, continues in
support of a bearish stock market.
Aug
9-Tue-Healthy volume on maximal intraday volatility with bullish close
identifies trader nervousness, as opposed to fundamental directional
shifts.
Aug
8-Mon-Another day of aggressive volume on dynamic bearish aggression
support continuing stock market bearish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 19.0%
since their buy signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago, annualizing at
373.4%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 7.9% since their
sell signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 30.7% since their buy signals an average of 35.6-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 44.9%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
2.0% since the QTI sell signal an average of 0.9-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. After that, prices must climb back above QTI
Yellow before the Quick-term Indicant can signal buy.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 3.3% since
that sell signal. Force, which is very depressed, must topple Pressure
before signaling buy along the near-term curve. This fund was not
contrarian in this bearish cycle.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 6.7% since that
sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term
Indicant does so.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 111.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 41.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $137.96 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $170.75.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 13.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at
144.5%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 5.7% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 158.4%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 14.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 411.2%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 8.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at
337.0%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 2.9% since then. It is up 41.7% since the
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,1072.1%.
This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its
tracking to VIX is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 11-Thu-Strong
bullish behavior was classical with deeply depressed Force. However, there
is little technical meaning to this until prices cross above NTI Blue,
which is collapsed and declining.
Aug 10-Wed-Force
Vectors fell to near 2008-depressed levels. Strong bearish behavior should
start meeting some resistance. If not, one can predict shabby economic
conditions will follow.
Aug 9-Tue-Intraday
volatility was extreme today with a 600-point jump in the Dow in the last
hour of trading.
Aug 8-Mon-The stock
market bear demonstrated its strength with dynamic bearish behavior.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 11, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force is nearing cyclical bottoming. Some are approaching Oct 2008
depths. As stated last Tuesday, Force will rebound within a few days. The
nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will
find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure
interaction will be interesting. That should occur sometimes next week.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/11/2011
Aug 10, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 08 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
As stated yesterday,
“the current Force Vector cycle is fatiguing in deep in bearish domains.
That should slow bearish aggression, but in no way suggests the bear is
about to hibernate.” Today’s bearish aggression propelled Force deeper
into bearish domains. This adds to bearish ambition.
Pressure remains
solidly in bearish domains. All non-contrarian ETF’s and major market
indices are yellow bears. There is no floor to bearish ambition. All of
this is bearish.
The next buying
opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices
climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and
then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent
impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals
unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be
observable sometimes this week or early next week. Based on recent
behavior, observations will not be available this week. If Force
vacillates deep in bearish domains, where they currently reside, then
recent bearish aggression will display fundamental merit, as opposed to
trader neurosis.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Force Vectors are dipping very deeply into bearish domains, threatening
the availability of capital. This could foster a recession in and of
itself. This could delay Force’s interaction with Pressure, which was
expected this week and next week at the latest.
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up
87.2% since its bull signal 2.0-weeks ago. That annualizes at 2,266.2%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 11.9% since the bear signals an
average of 1.5-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull
signal occurred 2.0-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull
signal at the same time. It is up 87.2% since its bull signal, annualizing
at 2,266.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices.
They are down by an average of 6.2% since their bear signals an average of
0.8-weeks ago. The bear is now dominant without any floors.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains. Much of that robustness coincides
with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.
Aug
10-Wed-Again strong volume, coupled to bearish aggression, continues in
support of a bearish stock market.
Aug
9-Tue-Healthy volume on maximal intraday volatility with bullish close
identifies trader nervousness, as opposed to fundamental directional
shifts.
Aug
8-Mon-Another day of aggressive volume on dynamic bearish aggression
support continuing stock market bearish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 25.2%
since their buy signals an average of 2.5-weeks ago, annualizing at
524.3%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.9% since their
sell signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 36.9% since their buy signals an average of 35.3-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 54.1%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been
held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this
hold duration is as long as it is.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
6.3% since the QTI sell signal an average of 0.8-weeks ago.
The
next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals
buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days
before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above
the NTI bullish blue curve. After that, prices must climb back above QTI
Yellow before the Quick-term Indicant can signal buy.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011. It is down 8.1% since
that sell signal. Force, which is very depressed, must topple Pressure
before signaling buy along the near-term curve. This fund was not
contrarian in this bearish cycle.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI
bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take
profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 1.5% since that
sell signal.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 116.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 43.1%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $137.78 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $174.58.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated
bullish domains. It is up 16.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at
176.7%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above
positive Pressure at that time. It is up 11.3% since those buy signals,
annualizing at 340.1%.
ETF#31-QID
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It
is up 25.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 773.5%. The QTI signaled
buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 18.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at
843.7%.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
yesterday. It is up 1.1% since then. It is up 47.5% since the Near-term
Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,316.1%. This ETN
will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX
is unreliable.
Major ETF Events
Aug 10-Wed-Force
Vectors fell to near 2008-depressed levels. Strong bearish behavior should
start meeting some resistance. If not, one can predict shabby economic
conditions will follow.
Aug 9-Tue-Intraday
volatility was extreme today with a 600-point jump in the Dow in the last
hour of trading.
Aug 8-Mon-The stock
market bear demonstrated its strength with dynamic bearish behavior.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 10, 2011. Vector
Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market
bear. Force is nearing cyclical bottoming. Some are approaching Oct 2008
depths. As stated yesterday, Force will rebound within a few days. The
nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will
find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure
interaction will be interesting.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
08/10/2011
Aug 9, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 08, Issue 07 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The current Force
Vector cycle is fatiguing in deep in bearish domains. That should slow
bearish aggression, but in no way suggests the bear is about to hibernate.
Pressure remains
solidly in bearish domains. All non-contrarian ETF’s and major market
indices are yellow bears. There is no floor to bearish ambition. All of
this is bearish.
The next buying
opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices
climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and
then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent
impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals
unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be
observable sometimes this week or early next week. If Force vacillates
deep in bearish domains, where they currently reside, then recent bearish
aggression will display fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Today’s bullish bounce is one of those irrelevant ones, reflecting trader
emotion significantly more than fundamental justification. The stock
market finds bearish difficulty when Force resides at the depths of
bearish domains. At least some degree of normalcy, relative to Force,
occurred. Continued bearish dominance with Force as low as it is would
cause a recession if none were about to happen.
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.