Return Home | Table of Contents | FAQ's |  Become a Member | ETF's |  Current Report Card | Member Updates | Login

Media Kit | Free Stock Market History | Indicant Performance Advantage | Current Positions | Back Issues | Contact Us | Links

 

August Quick-term and Short-term Indicant Updates

Scroll Down to View Back Issues

 

Click here to see the current month's daily reports.

This year's daily updates will be available here at month's end.

 

Aug 31, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 23 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

There is nothing different from yesterday in this and the next paragraph. Force Vectors are bullishly mature. That is a threat to the baby stock market bull along the short-term cycle. Highlighting that concern is the low Vector Pressure, which is a bearish attribute. If prices fall below NTI Bull with Force dipping back to bearish domains, sell signals will be triggered. That rule for selling will be abandoned once NTI Green climbs above buy prices. Until then, which will take a few weeks, maintain a state of mental readiness for possible sell signals.

 

Other reasons for this state of readiness are: 1) This is a low Pressure stock market bull. Its newness, coupled with low Pressure, is threatening to the stock market bull along the shorter-term cycles. 2) Although the VIX is reactionary, it remains as a Red Bull. Even reactionary based Red Bulls should be respected. Its contrarian nature is not yet friendly to the short-term stock market bull. 3) The major indices and several of the ETF’s remain as Yellow Bears. Yellow Bears are jaundiced and dangerous to any newly forming short-term bull cycle. 4) Congress is returning to D.C. That is historically bearish. However, an anti-executive branch congress is usually bullish. Political bickering and finger-pointing in DC is usually very bullish. 5) Volume remains mediocre. Strong sustainable bulls usually enjoy significant volume jumps during the early days of the cycle.

 

In spite of all of that, buy on the signals with the mindset that sell signals could quickly follow. Relaxation will be appropriate once the Near-term Green curve passes above buy prices and bull signal positions.

 

ETF#06-EWJ-Japan finally qualified for a Near-term Indicant buy signal today. Only one non-contrarian remains with a Near-term avoid signal. It is ETF#17-IYR. It is still below NTI Blue. Therefore, bullish unanimity remains absent, but getting close.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and all of the other major indices. Combined, they are up 4.2% since their bull signals an average of 0.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 276.7%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for six non-contrarian indices and contrarian VIX. They are up 6.8% since their bull signals an average of 1.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at 308.0%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for six non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 0.8% since their bear signals an average of 4.0-weeks ago.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far, that is absent. Interestingly, the NASDAQ IVI is declining along the bullish behavior the past few days, while the NYSE IVI continues to rise.

 

Aug 31-Wed-Volume was up a bit on placid bullish behavior and relatively good economic news. That adds bullish support, but mildly so.

 

Aug 30-Tue-Volume was again mediocre. However, bullish behavior at this critical juncture supports bullish bias.

 

Aug 29-Mon-Volume was disappointedly unimpressive on bullish aggression. However, too many other short-term attributes continue favoring the stock market bull.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 4.5% since their buy signals an average of 0.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 279.0%.

 

The NTI is avoiding three-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since their sell signals an average of 1.5-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated three buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 14-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 11.2% since their buy signals an average of 11.0-weeks ago. This annualizes at 52.7%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.7-weeks ago.

 

Sell signals will occur when prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below Pressure or into bearish domains until NTI Green climbs above the buy price. It will be several weeks before NTI Green crosses above buy prices. So, this embryonic bull remains vulnerable to a jaundiced yellow bear.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy this pastMonday, Aug 29, 2011. It is up 1.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 241.8%. Price is higher than NTI Blue with Force into bullish domains and higher than Pressure. The next sell signal will be when price falls below NTI Blue and Force falls below Pressure unless NTI Green is higher than buy price.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 120.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 43.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $141.09 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $177.72.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 18.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 121.9%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically configured Force Vector. Its Force Vector has started moving north again with high Pressure. That is bullish.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant model. It is up 9.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 101.5%. The Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Monday, Aug 29, 2011, as price fell below NTI Blue and Force below Pressure and into bearish domains. This fund could be a bit jumpy in the next several days.

 

ETF#31-QID received a sell signal yesterday by the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant has price fell below QTI Yellow. Its Force Vector cycle is bearishly mature. It will be interesting the next few days. It is down 0.3% since that sell signal.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 12.0% since then, annualizing at 188.1%.  It is up 63.4% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 685.1%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable. For example, it was up today while the VIX was down.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 31-Wed-Several more ETF’s crossed above QTI bearish yellow curve. Several, however, still retain yellow bear status.

 

Aug 30-Tue-The stock market bull held up very well today, but its embryonic nature remains vulnerable. If prices can continue departing from NTI Blue, this bull can mature and dominate. If prices fall below NTI Blue with negative Force (in bearish domains/), it will expire.

 

Aug 29-Mon-Several more prices moved above NTI Blue with Force above Pressure and into bullish domains. This is a low Pressure bull and its birth is not yet complete.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 31, 2011-Buy signals could be a mere late summer rally or it could be a new sustainable bull. Reasons are irrelevant. As long as NTI Blue continues to increase, the bull will be enjoyed. If prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below Pressure and/or into bearish domains before NTI Green crosses above buy price, sell signals will be triggered. Keep that mindset until this paragraph changes.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/31/2011

 

 

 

 

Aug 30, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 22 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force Vectors are bullishly mature. That is a threat to the baby stock market bull along the short-term cycle. Highlighting that concern is the low Vector Pressure, which is a bearish attribute. If prices fall below NTI Bull with Force dipping back to bearish domains, sell signals will be triggered. That rule for selling will be abandoned once NTI Green climbs above buy prices. Until then, which will take a few weeks, maintain a state of mental readiness for possible sell signals.

 

Other reasons for this state of readiness are: 1) This is a low Pressure stock market bull. Its newness, coupled with low Pressure, is threatening to the stock market bull along the shorter-term cycles. 2) Although the VIX is reactionary, it remains as a Red Bull. Even reactionary based Red Bulls should be respected. Its contrarian nature is not yet friendly to the short-term stock market bull. 3) The major indices and several of the ETF’s remain as Yellow Bears. Yellow Bears are jaundiced and dangerous to any newly forming short-term bull cycle. 4) Congress is returning to D.C. That is historically bearish. However, an anti-executive branch congress is usually bullish. Political bickering and finger-pointing in DC is usually very bullish. 5) Volume remains mediocre. Strong sustainable bulls usually enjoy significant volume jumps during the early days of the cycle.

 

In spite of all of that, buy on the signals with the mindset that sell signals could quickly follow. Relaxation will be appropriate once the Near-term Green curve passes above buy prices and bull signal positions.

 

It was disappointing to the stock market bull that ETF#06-EWJ-Japan did not qualify for a buy signal today. Therefore, bullish unanimity remains absent.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and all of the other major indices. Combined, they are up 4.8% since their bull signals an average of 0.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 350.3%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is no longer signaling bear for any of the non-contrarian indices.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled two new bulls and no new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for three non-contrarian indices and contrarian VIX. They are up 11.1% since their bull signals an average of 1.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at 383.8%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for six non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 1.1% since their bear signals an average of 3.8-weeks ago.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far, that is absent.

 

Aug 30-Tue-Volume was again mediocre. However, bullish behavior at this critical juncture supports bullish bias.

 

Aug 29-Mon-Volume was disappointedly unimpressive on bullish aggression. However, too many other short-term attributes continue favoring the stock market bull.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 3.9% since their buy signals an average of 0.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 293.9%. These holdings are mixed with contrarian and non-contrarian ETF’s, but shifting with fewer contrarians. For example, QID garnished a sell signal today.

 

The NTI is avoiding three-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.9% since their sell signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated one buy signal and one sell signal.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 13-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 11.9% since their buy signals an average of 11.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at 52.9%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 17-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.3% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.8-weeks ago.

 

Sell signals will occur when prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below Pressure or into bearish domains until NTI Green climbs above the buy price. It will be several weeks before NTI Green crosses above buy prices. So, this embryonic bull remains vulnerable to a jaundiced yellow bear.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy yesterday. It is up 0.6% since that buy signal. Price is higher than NTI Blue with Force into bullish domains and higher than Pressure. The next sell signal will be when price falls below NTI Blue and Force falls below Pressure unless NTI Green is higher than buy price.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 122.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 44.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $140.80 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $179.10.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 19.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at 130.4%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically configured Force Vector. Its Force Vector is bearishly mature with high Pressure. That is bullish.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant model. It is up 11.0% since that buy signal, annualizing at 124.0%. The Near-term Indicant signaled sell yesterday, as price fell below NTI Blue and Force below Pressure and into bearish domains. This fund could be a bit jumpy in the next several days.

 

ETF#31-QID received a sell signal today by the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant has price fell below QTI Yellow. Its Force Vector cycle is bearishly mature. It will be interesting the next few days.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 11.8% since then, annualizing at 193.8%.  It is up 63.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 689.1%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 30-Tue-The stock market bull held up very well today, but its embryonic nature remains vulnerable. If prices can continue departing from NTI Blue, this bull can mature and dominate. If prices fall below NTI Blue with negative Force (in bearish domains/), it will expire.

 

Aug 29-Mon-Several more prices moved above NTI Blue with Force above Pressure and into bullish domains. This is a low Pressure bull and its birth is not yet complete.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 30, 2011-Buy signals could be a mere late summer rally or it could be a new sustainable bull. Reasons are irrelevant. As long as NTI Blue continues to increase, the bull will be enjoyed. If prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below Pressure and/or into bearish domains before NTI Green crosses above buy price sell signals will be triggered. Keep that mindset until this paragraph changes.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/30/2011

 

 

 

 

 

Aug 29, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 21 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

More Near-term Indicant buy signals were triggered as prices climbed above NTI Blue and Force populating bullish domains. There are only two non-contrarian ETF being avoided at this time. They are the only two without those bullish attributes. Therefore, bullish unanimity is absent and thus a state of readiness on potential selling is appropriate.

 

Other reasons for this state of readiness are: 1) This is a low Pressure stock market bull. Its newness, coupled with low Pressure, is threatening to the stock market bull along the shorter-term cycles. 2) Although the VIX is reactionary, it remains as a Red Bull. Even reactionary based Red Bulls should be respected. Its contrarian nature is not yet friendly to the short-term stock market bull. 3) The major indices and several of the ETF’s remain as Yellow Bears. Yellow Bears are jaundiced and dangerous to any newly forming short-term bull cycle. 4) Congress is returning to D.C. That is historically bearish. However, an anti-executive branch congress is usually bullish. Political bickering and finger-pointing in DC is usually very bullish. 5) Volume remains mediocre. Strong sustainable bulls usually enjoy significant volume jumps during the early days of the cycle.

 

In spite of all of that, buy on the signals with the mindset that sell signals could quickly follow. Relaxation will be appropriate once the Near-term Green curve passes above buy prices and bull signal positions.

 

As stated last Friday and persisting today, “the Near-term Indicant could not signal sell for QID even though QQQ received a buy signal” (last Friday). “Such conflicts seldom last more than a week.” So, this “week will be interesting.” “QID will not qualify for selling until its price interacts with NTI Green.” It is still up since its July 29-buy signal. If you recall, its buy signal occurred a few days before the QQQ-sell signal last Aug 2. So, if bullish bias prevails, QID’s sell signal will occur after QQQ’s-buy signal.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled seven new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and non-contrarians Dow Utilities, NASDAQ, and NAS100. Combined, they are up 11.7% since their bull signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 387.7%. If today’s new bull signals hold up, there will be more non-contrarian bulls.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for one major non-contrarian index; the Dow Transports. It is down 11.3% since the bear signal 4.7-weeks ago. Its Vector Pressure needs to be elevated a bit more for its bull signal. It remains very low.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled two new bulls and no new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for two non-contrarian indices. They are up 20.3% since their bull signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at 389.8%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eight non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 1.0% since their bear signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far, that is absent.

 

Aug 29-Mon-Volume was disappointedly unimpressive on bullish aggression. However, too many other short-term attributes continue favoring the stock market bull.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated 19-buy signals and one sell signal.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for ten-ETF’s. They are up 10.1% since their buy signals an average of 2.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 265.6%. These holdings are mixed with contrarian and non-contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding two-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.2% since their sell signals an average of 3.7-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated seven buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for seven-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 20.2% since their buy signals an average of 22.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at 47.7%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 18-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.3% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.6-weeks ago.

 

Today’s buy signals were triggered by ETF prices crossing above NTI Blue. Their Force crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. These buys are without bullish volume support. Most are low Pressure buys suggesting another round with the bear. Several strong bulls so far this century originated during the month of August. Major concerns are low Pressure and non-supportive volume.

 

Sell signals will occur when prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below Pressure or into bearish domains until NTI Green climbs above the buy price. It will be several weeks before NTI Green crosses above buy prices.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy today. Price is higher than NTI Blue with Force into bullish domains and higher than Pressure. The next sell signal will be when price falls below NTI Blue and Force falls below Pressure.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 115.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 42.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $140.50 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $173.89.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 15.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 108.9%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically configured Force Vector. As stated last Tuesday, do not be surprised at more gold “cooling.”

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant model. It is up 9.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 107.6%. The Near-term Indicant signaled sell today, as price fell below NTI Blue and Force below Pressure and into bearish domains. This fund could be a bit jumpy in the next several days.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 6.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 73.4%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 0.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 5.0%. Next sell signal is when price falls below NTI Green in spite of last Friday’s buy signal for QQQ.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 10.7% since then, annualizing at 183.4%.  It is up 61.5% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 691.8%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 29-Mon-Several more prices moved above NTI Blue with Force above Pressure and into bullish domains. This is a low Pressure bull and its birth is not yet complete.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 29, 2011-Buy signals could be a mere late summer rally or it could be a new sustainable bull. Reasons are irrelevant. As long as NTI Blue continues to increase, the bull will be enjoyed. If prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below Pressure and/or into bearish domains before NTI Green crosses above buy price sell signals will be triggered.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/29/2011

 

 

 

 

 

Aug 26, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 20 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

A few buy signals were triggered on Friday after the market closed. Execution of those buys cannot occur until Monday morning. Those buy signals were qualified with Force eclipsing Pressure. Prices climbed above the Near-term Indicant Blue curve. Buy signals were also justified with Force crossing into bullish domains.

 

Sell signals will be quick if prices fall below the NTI Blue curve and Force falls below Pressure. It will take several days for NTI Green to climb above the buy price. Until then, these buys should be considered with high risk. In spite of that, though, we will be buying. Stop losses will be set. Floor traders will see them and drive prices below them if they are too tight for their gain and your loss.  

 

Keep in mind, this bullish behavior is along near-term cycle, where directional shifts and inflection points occur with higher frequency. There are a couple of other attributes of concern. There is no volume support for sustainability. Bullish breadth has not yet formed. Both of those attributes must be resolved before a relaxed posture with bullish expectations.

 

The Near-term Indicant could not signal sell for QID even though QQQ received a buy signal. Such conflicts seldom last more than a week. So, next week will be interesting. QID will not qualify for selling until its price interacts with NTI Green. It is still up by double digits since its July 29-buy signal. If you recall, its buy signal occurred a few days before the QQQ-sell signal last Aug 2.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled two new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and non-contrarian Dow Utilities. Combined, they are up 26.6% since their bull signals an average of 2.3-weeks ago, annualizing at 606.1%. The DJU is down slightly, while the VIX is up by over 50% since bull signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for eight major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 9.1% since the bear signals an average of 3.9-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for the same two indices as the Near-term Indicant with the same performance results.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 2.9% since their bear signals an average of 3.1-weeks ago.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far, that is absent.

 

Aug 26-Fri-Low volume on bullish behavior is a phony rally.

 

Aug 25-Thu-Mediocre volume on bearish aggression means little as the stock market is a bear on the short-term cycles.

 

Aug 24-Wed-Mediocre volume on stock market bullishness offers a tint of suspicion to that bullish behavior.

 

Aug 23-Tue-Unimpressive volume, coupled with bullish aggression does not suggest a new and sustainable bull cycle is about to unfold.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated six buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up 22.4% since their buy signals an average of 3.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 300.1%. These holdings include mostly contrarian ETF’s and one non-contrarian.

 

The NTI is avoiding 21-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 8.8% since their sell signals an average of 3.7-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated two buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 30.7% since their buy signals an average of 30.3-weeks ago. This annualizes at 52.7%. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from late July 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 25-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.8% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.1-weeks ago.

 

Several ETF prices crossed above NTI Blue. Their Force crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. Therefore, buy signals were triggered. These buys are without bullish volume support. There is limited bullish breadth. However, there at the very least should be a late summer rally. Several strong bulls so far this century originated during the month of August.

 

Sell signals will occur when prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below Pressure or into bearish domains until NTI Green climbs above the buy price.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 4.2% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. Libyan oil may further depress this ETF. Although it was solidly bullish the past three days, its configuration remains bearish.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 5.7% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 120.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 43.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $140.22 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $177.47.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 18.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at 133.4%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically configured Force Vector. As stated last Tuesday, do not be surprised at more gold “cooling.” You saw some of that this past Wednesday with significant bearishness, but still configured solidly in support of the gold bull.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 10.8% since those buy signals, annualizing at 138.8%. The next sell signal will not occur until interaction with NTI Green and Force in bearish domains.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 12.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 163.5%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 6.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 96.2%. Next sell signal is when price falls below NTI Green in spite of Friday’s buy signal for QQQ.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 18.1% since then, annualizing at 361.7%.  It is up 72.3% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 897.2%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 26-Fri-Near-term buy signals were triggered based on prices climbing above NTI Blue with Force crossing above Pressure into bullish domains.

 

Aug 25-Thu-Some Force Vectors crossed above Pressure, but prices fell back below NTI Blue. Therefore, there were no buy or bull signals.

 

Aug 24-Wed-Two consecutive days of bullish behavior does not form a trend. However, there was one non-contrarian ETF buy signal, which was forced by virtue of gaining Red Bull status.

 

Aug 23-Tue-The stock market bull correlated well with an earthquake near the capitol.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Utilities was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still lurks and can still pounce with some punch.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 26, 2011-Buy signals could be a mere late summer rally or it could be a new sustainable bull. Reasons are irrelevant. As long as NTI Blue continues to increase, the bull will be enjoyed. If prices fall below NTI Blue and Force dips below Pressure and/or into bearish domains before NTI Green crosses above buy price sell signals

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/26/2011

 

 

 

 

Aug 25, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 19 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

This paragraph remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days.

 

Force is now moving to the north. A few even crossed Pressure today. Unfortunately, bearish aggression dropped prices back below NTI Blue. Increasing Force offers the stock market bull a bit of “hope and change.” However, please read the previous paragraph.

 

The Dow Utilities Index received a bull signal this past Wednesday as it eclipsed NTI Blue with Force above Pressure and in bullish domains. More importantly, it became a QTI Red Bull on Wednesday, which disallows bear signals and avoid signals. Its Force Vector also moved slightly northward. This is the only major non-contrarian index with a bull signal. It is difficult for this particular index to be a stand-alone bull. However, the configuration shifts mandated the bull signals from both the NTI and QTI models.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX and non-contrarian Dow Utilities. Combined, they aer up 35.7% since their bull signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago, annualizing at 867.0%. The DJU is down slightly, while the VIX is up by over 70% since bull signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 10.3% since the bear signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for the same two indices as the Near-term Indicant with the same performance results.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 4.7% since their bear signals an average of 3.0-weeks ago.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along the short-term cycle. So far, that is absent.

 

Aug 25-Thu-Mediocre volume on bearish aggression means little as the stock market is a bear on the short-term cycles.

 

Aug 24-Wed-Mediocre volume on stock market bullishness offers a tint of suspicion to that bullish behavior.

 

Aug 23-Tue-Unimpressive volume, coupled with bullish aggression does not suggest a new and sustainable bull cycle is about to unfold.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up 23.3% since their buy signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 323.4%. These holdings include mostly contrarian ETF’s and one non-contrarian.

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 9.8% since their sell signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 30.7% since their buy signals an average of 30.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at 53.0%. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from late July 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 4.0% since the QTI sell signal an average of 3.0-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is shifting north offering the near-term bull a glimmer of hope. ETF#12-Utilities qualifies for a buy signal. Although this cannot be a standalone hold for very long, as the other ETF’s must improve their configurations and/or utilities will succumb to bearish ambition. This should occur quickly. The reason for yesterday’s buy signal is that it became a QTI Red Bull, which are impossible to avoid.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 6.1% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. Libyan oil may further depress this ETF. Although it was solidly bullish the past two days, its configuration remains bearish.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 5.9% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 113.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 41.5%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.95 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $172.36.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 14.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 110.4%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically configured Force Vector. As stated last Tuesday, do not be surprised at more gold “cooling.” You saw some of that this past Wednesday with significant bearishness, but still configured solidly in support of the gold bull.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 9.7% since those buy signals, annualizing at 129.5%. The next sell signal will not occur until interaction with NTI Green and Force in bearish domains.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 18.6 % since that buy signal, annualizing at 247.4%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 11.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 186.7%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 20.0% since then, annualizing at 423.0%.  It is up 75.0% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 964.7%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 25-Thu-Some Force Vectors crossed above Pressure, but prices fell back below NTI Blue. Therefore, there were no buy or bull signals.

 

Aug 24-Wed-Two consecutive days of bullish behavior does not form a trend. However, there was one non-contrarian ETF buy signal, which was forced by virtue of gaining Red Bull status.

 

Aug 23-Tue-The stock market bull correlated well with an earthquake near the capitol.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Utilities was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still lurks and can still pounce with some punch.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 25, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force is attempting to mount increases in bull force. This threatens the bear. However, most still reside in bearish domains. Any bullish behavior with current configurations should be viewed as a mere spurt in the face of a stock market bear.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/25/2011

 

 

 

Aug 24, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 18 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

This paragraph remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days.

 

Force is now moving solidly to the north. This offers the stock market bull a bit of “hope and change.” Please read the previous paragraph.

 

The Dow Utilities Index received a bull signal as it eclipsed NTI Blue with Force above Pressure and in bullish domains. More importantly, it became a QTI Red Bull, which disallows bear signals and avoid signals. Its Force Vector also moved slightly northward. This is the only major non-contrarian index with a bull signal. It is difficult for this particular index to be a stand-alone bull. However, the configuration shifts mandated the bull signals from both the NTI and QTI models.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 56.2% since its bull signal 4.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 730.9%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 8.7% since the bear signals an average of 3.5-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 4.0-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 56.2% since its bull signal, annualizing at 730.9%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 3.0% since their bear signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. That robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias. Sustainable bullish behavior requires robustness. So far, that is absent.

 

Aug 24-Wed-Mediocre volume on stock market bullishness offers a tint of suspicion to that bullish behavior.

 

Aug 23-Tue-Unimpressive volume, coupled with bullish aggression does not suggest a new and sustainable bull cycle is about to unfold.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 27.3% since their buy signals an average of 4.5-weeks ago, annualizing at 315.7%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 8.2% since their sell signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated one buy signal and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 36.9% since their buy signals an average of 37.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at 51.1%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from late July 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.2% since the QTI sell signal an average of 2.8-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is shifting north offering the near-term bull a glimmer of hope. ETF#12-Utilities qualifies for a buy signal. Although this cannot be a standalone hold for very long, as the other ETF’s must improve their configurations and/or utilities will succumb to bearish ambition. This should occur quickly. The reason for today’s buy signal is that it became a QTI Red Bull, which are impossible to avoid.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 4.0% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. Force climbed into bullish domains this past Wed, but price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. It is currently not behaving in a contrarian nature. Libyan oil may further depress this ETF. Although it was solidly bullish the past two days, its configuration remains bearish.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 5.9% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 112.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 41.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.73 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $171.65.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 14.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at 109.1%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically configured Force Vector. As stated yesterday, do not be surprised at more gold “cooling.” You saw some of that today with significant bearishness, but still configured solidly in support of the gold bull.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 8.5% since those buy signals, annualizing at 118.2%. The next sell signal will not occur until interaction with NTI Green and Force in bearish domains.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 14.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 206.7%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 8.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at 139.2%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 17.6% since then, annualizing at 395.5%.  It is up 71.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 954.1%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 24-Wed-Two consecutive days of bullish behavior does not form a trend. However, there was one non-contrarian ETF buy signal, which was forced by virtue of gaining Red Bull status.

 

Aug 23-Tue-The stock market bull correlated well with an earthquake near the capitol.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Utilities was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still lurks and can still pounce with some punch.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 24, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force is attempting to mount increases in bull force. This threatens the bear. However, most still reside in bearish domains. Any bullish behavior with current configurations should be viewed as a mere spurt in the face of a stock market bear.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/24/2011

 

 

 

Aug 23, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 17 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Although sounding a bit calloused, the stock market bull was inspired a bit with today’s earthquake near Washington D.C. Shutting it down is generally bullish, regardless of reason.

 

This paragraph remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days.

 

Force moved upward ever so slightly, abbreviating its precipitous decline. This offers the stock market bull a bit of “hope and change.” Please read the previous paragraph.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 57.6% since its bull signal 3.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 776.2%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 8.9% since the bear signals an average of 3.3-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 3.9-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 57.6% since its bull signal, annualizing at 776.2%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 3.0% since their bear signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 23-Tue-Unimpressive volume, coupled with bullish aggression does not suggest a new and sustainable bull cycle is about to unfold.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 30.5% since their buy signals an average of 4.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 364.1%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 8.5% since their sell signals an average of 3.3-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 40.6% since their buy signals an average of 37.4-weeks ago. This annualizes at 56.5%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from late July 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.7% since the QTI sell signal an average of 2.6-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bearishly embryonic, suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term horizon. ETF#12-Utilities qualifies for a buy signal, but as stated the past several days, it cannot be a standalone hold.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 4.6% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. Force climbed into bullish domains this past Wed, but price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. It is currently not behaving in a contrarian nature. Libyan oil may further depress this ETF. Although it was solidly bullish today, its configuration remains bearish.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 5.3% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 120.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 44.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.52 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $177.67.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 18.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at 142.8%. NTI Green is above buy price and the next near-term sell signal will not occur until price’s interaction with NTI Green and a pathetically configured Force Vector. Do not be surprised at more gold “cooling.”

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 11.7% since those buy signals, annualizing at 168.7%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 16.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 242.4%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 10.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 176.6%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 20.1% since then, annualizing at 482.5%.  It is up 75.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,041.5%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 23-Tue-The stock market bull correlated well with an earthquake near the capitol.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Utilities was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still lurks and can still pounce with some punch.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 23, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Declining Force abated today, but not yet increasing. The point of interest is how far they fall if they return to their declining direction. If they fall below the last cycle’s depth, the short-term bear cycle will maintain dominance with unknown sustainability. If Force bounces back to the north before surpassing last depth, the bull will find some inspiration for a counter-attack.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/23/2011

 

 

Aug 22, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 16 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

This paragraph remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days.

 

This is the same as late last week. “Force Vectors have shifted solidly to the south. The short-term bear cycle will gain even yet more momentum if Force falls below the maximum depth in the last Force Vector cycle. If Force shifts back to the north before that attaining that depth, the stock market bear will consider planning for annual hibernation sometimes this October.”

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 84.7% since its bull signal 3.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 1,185.6%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 12.0% since the bear signals an average of 3.2-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 3.-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 84.7% since its bull signal, annualizing at 1,185.6%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 6.2% since their bear signals an average of 2.5-weeks ago.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 22-Mon-Low volume on mild bullish behavior does not encourage any change in directional intensity. Bearish bias prevails.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 36.8% since their buy signals an average of 4.2-weeks ago, annualizing at 454.6%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.6% since their sell signals an average of 3.1-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 47.1% since their buy signals an average of 37.2-weeks ago. This annualizes at 65.8%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from late July 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 5.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 2.5-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bearishly embryonic, suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term horizon. ETF#12-Utilities did this, but as stated the past few days, it cannot be a standalone hold. As you can see, it has also fallen prey to the bear and thus avoiding during it irrational run up was appropriate.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 8.7% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. Force climbed into bullish domains this past Wed, but price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. It is currently not behaving in a contrarian nature. Libyan oil may further depress this ETF.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 0.7% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 128.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 47.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.31 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $184.59.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 22.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 182.8%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 13.3% since those buy signals, annualizing at 199.1%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 27.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 409.1%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 20.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at 362.8%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 26.1% since then, annualizing at 674.1%.  It is up 84.0% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,209.3%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 22-Mon-Utilities was mildly bearish on an otherwise mildly bullish day. The bear still lurks and can still pounce with some punch.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 22, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force is again in decline. The point of interest is how far they fall. If they fall below the last cycle’s depth, the short-term bear cycle will maintain dominance with unknown sustainability. If Force bounces back to the north before surpassing last depth, the bull will find some inspiration for a counter-attack.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/22/2011

 

 

 

Aug 19, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 15 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

This paragraph remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days.

 

Force Vectors have shifted solidly to the south. The short-term bear cycle will gain even yet more momentum if Force falls below the maximum depth in the last Force Vector cycle. If Force shifts back to the north before that attaining that depth, the stock market bear will consider planning for annual hibernation sometimes this October.

 

As you saw with bearish aggression the past two days, the stock market bear dominated. This so-called “interesting” phase has concluded that the stock market bear retains its advantage.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Force Vectors are again moving south on bearish stock market Pressure. This configuration adds to the bearish support along the short-term cycle that was identified in late July

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 87.3% since its bull signal 3.3-weeks ago, annualizing at 1,382.2%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 12.0% since the bear signals an average of 2.8-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 3.3-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 87.3% since its bull signal, annualizing at 1,382.2%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 6.3% since their bear signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago. The bear was humbled last Thu, Fri, and Mon, but as you saw stock market bearish aggression this Thu and Fri, its wounds were not fatal. The Near-term and Quick-term Indicant stock market bear remains alive and well.

 

Note: Aug 15, 2011-Mon-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data. The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only impacted the performance data for this section. The website’s report card information was accurate.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 19-Fri-Bearish aggression continues to be correlative to volume aggression and thus in support of continued bearishness.

 

Aug 18-Thu-Aggressive volume on bearish aggression continues to inspire the stock market bear.

 

Aug 17-Wed-Light volume on mixed, but mainly mild bearish, behavior does nothing to discourage the rampaging stock market bear.

 

Aug 16-Tue-Light volume on bearish behavior is not encouraging to the stock market bear. However, bearish attributes persist.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 34.9% since their buy signals an average of 3.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 479.9%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.6% since their sell signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 45.0% since their buy signals an average of 36.8-weeks ago. This annualizes at 63.5%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys from late July 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 5.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 2.1-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bearishly embryonic, suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term horizon. ETF#12-Utilities did this, but as stated the past few days, it cannot be a standalone hold. As you can see, it has also fallen prey to the bear and thus avoiding during it irrational run up was appropriate.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 8.0% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. Force climbed into bullish domains this past Wed, but price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. As you saw the past two days, it was aggressively bearish. It is currently not behaving in a contrarian nature.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 1.5% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness last Thu through this past Mon. Today’s bearish aggression offers support for this discipline.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 123.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 45.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $139.09 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $179.95.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 19.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 169.4%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 13.6% since those buy signals, annualizing at 232.5%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 27.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 478.9%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 20.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 440.1%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 22.3% since then, annualizing at 731.1%.  It is up 78.5% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,284.2%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 19-Fri-The just completed bullish Force Vector cycle related to classical emotion and automated buys by computers. Force is heading south again, which should invite more stock market bearish behavior along the short-term cycle.

 

Aug 18-Thu-As expected bullishly exhausted Force Vectors could no longer offer the stock market bullish support and in fact inspired the stock market bear with some solid gusto.

 

Aug 17-Wed-Several Force Vectors crossed into bullish domains, but prices remain below NTI Blue. Utilities is impressively bullish, but cannot be a standalone bull. However, if Force continues climbing and NTI Blue is surpassed, then buy signals will ensue along the near-term cycle and most quick-term cycles. If not, the bear will gain momentum.

 

Aug 16-Tue-Most Force Vectors crossed above Pressure, offering mild inspiration to the stock market bull. However, prices fell and most are below the near-term bearish green curve. Bullish attributes remain absent.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Utilties Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 19, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force is again in decline. The point of interest is how far they fall. If they fall below the last cycle’s depth, the short-term bear cycle will maintain dominance with unknown sustainability. If Force bounces back to the north before surpassing last depth, the bull will find some inspiration for a counter-attack.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/19/2011

 

 

Aug 18, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 14 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

This paragraph remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days.

 

The above continues to hold true.

 

As stated yesterday, “prices still must climb above NTI Blue before garnishing buy/bull signals. The stock market’s configuration is now in the “interesting” phase. If Force falls back below Pressure, the bear will gain tenacious momentum. If not, the bull will be inspired.”

 

As you saw with today’s bearish aggression, the stock market bear dominated. This so-called “interesting” phase has concluded that the stock market bear retains its advantage.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

The bullishly mature Force Vectors were exhausted, as expected. Today’s stock market bearish aggression, coupled with current configurations, suggests more bearish behavior along the short-term cycle should be expected.

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 85.7% since its bull signal 3.1-weeks ago, annualizing at 1,417.7%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 10.7% since the bear signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 3.1-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 85.7% since its bull signal, annualizing at 1,417.7%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 4.9% since their bear signals an average of 1.9-weeks ago. The bear was humbled last Thu, Fri, and Mon, but as you saw with today’s stock market bearish aggression, its wounds were not fatal. The Near-term and Quick-term Indicant stock market bear remains alive and well.

 

Note to be retained through Friday, August 19, 2011-------Note: Aug 15, 2011-Mon-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data. The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only impacted the performance data for this section. The website’s report card information was accurate.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 18-Thu-Aggressive volume on bearish aggression continues to inspire the stock market bear.

 

Aug 17-Wed-Light volume on mixed, but mainly mild bearish, behavior does nothing to discourage the rampaging stock market bear.

 

Aug 16-Tue-Light volume on bearish behavior is not encouraging to the stock market bear. However, bearish attributes persist.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 31.0% since their buy signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 442.8%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 10.2% since their sell signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 41.5% since their buy signals an average of 36.6-weeks ago. This annualizes at 58.8%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 4.5% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.9-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bullishly mature, suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term horizon. ETF#12-Utilities has done this, but cannot be a standalone, hold.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 6.3% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. Force climbed in bullish domains this past Wed, but price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal. As you saw today, it was aggressively bearish.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 3.4% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness last Thu through this past Mon. Today’s bearish aggression offers support for this discipline.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 120.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 44.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.91 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $177.72.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 18.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 160.5%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 12.7% since those buy signals, annualizing at 227.8%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 23.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 421.2%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 16.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at 371.3%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 16.4% since then, annualizing at 589.0%.  It is up 69.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,195.8%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 18-Thu-As expected bullishly exhausted Force Vectors could no longer offer the stock market bullish support and in fact inspired the stock market bear with some solid gusto.

 

Aug 17-Wed-Several Force Vectors crossed into bullish domains, but prices remain below NTI Blue. Utilities is impressively bullish, but cannot be a standalone bull. However, if Force continues climbing and NTI Blue is surpassed, then buy signals will ensue along the near-term cycle and most quick-term cycles. If not, the bear will gain momentum.

 

Aug 16-Tue-Most Force Vectors crossed above Pressure, offering mild inspiration to the stock market bull. However, prices fell and most are below the near-term bearish green curve. Bullish attributes remain absent.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Utilties Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 18, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force finally crossed into bullish domains, but not enough to expire the stock market bear. As stated last Aug 9, Force will rebound within a few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting. Force crossed above Pressure, for the most part this past Tuesday, but prices did not cross above NTI blue. Those few that are, such as utilities, are without support to justify bull/buy signals along the short-term cycle.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/18/2011

 

 

Aug 17, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 13 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force Vectors continue moving dramatically to the north.

 

This paragraph remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days.

 

Most have now crossed above Pressure and several have penetrated bullish domains. However, they expended significant bullish energy in doing so. They are bullishly mature . Prices still must climb above NTI Blue before garnishing buy/bull signals. The stock market’s configuration is now in the “interesting” phase. If Force falls back below Pressure, the bear will gain tenacious momentum. If not, the bull will be inspired.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Indices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a near-term stock market bull. Most of that occurred this past Monday, but reversed today. Those desired attributes could not hold in their desirous position. Force Vectors also need to climb above Pressure and into bullish domains and hold there for a couple of days. Therefore, the bear signal remains.

 

Dow Utilities is the most impressive. It qualifies for a bull signal. However, it cannot be a standalone bull. Its impressiveness is attributable to money rotation by nervous traders, who found the dividends attractive. Unfortunately, they lack the patience and discipline waiting on dividends. They will sell and buy into another sector when their jittery nature prompts them to do so. Prices will either relax or move south when that happens.

 

Force Vector cycles are bullish mature. That does not encourage the stock market bull. A new bearish cycle in Force should manifest. If not, the stock market bull will be encouraged, but its wounds remain severe.

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 37.4% since its bull signal 3.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 648.7%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 6.5% since the bear signals an average of 2.5-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 3.0-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 37.4% since its bull signal, annualizing at 648.7%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 0.4% since their bear signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago. The bear was humbled last Thu, Fri, and Mon, but its wounds are not fatal. Force moved into bullish domains today, but much energy was expended by the stock market bull, which bodes well for the stock market bear. Also, bull signals need support by virtue of prices climbing above NTI Blue. Although the DJU expressed, rest assured, it will not continue to follow its recent path.

 

Note to be retained through Friday, August 19, 2011-------Note: Aug 15, 2011-Mon-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data. The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only impacted the performance data for this section. The website’s report card information was accurate.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 17-Wed-Light volume on mixed, but mainly mild bearish, behavior does nothing to discourage the rampaging stock market bear.

 

Aug 16-Tue-Light volume on bearish behavior is not encouraging to the stock market bear. However, bearish attributes persist.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 19.9% since their buy signals an average of 3.5-weeks ago, annualizing at 296.2%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.1% since their sell signals an average of 2.4-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 32.3% since their buy signals an average of 36.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at 46.1%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.1% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.8-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bullishly mature, suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term horizon. ETF#12-Utilities has done this, but cannot be a standalone, hold.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 0.6% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. Force climbed in bullish domains today, but price still remains below NTI Blue and thus no buy signal.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 9.7% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness last Thu through this past Mon.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 116.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 42.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.72 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $174.42.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 16.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at 144.8%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 10.4% since those buy signals, annualizing at 196.8%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 12.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 239.3%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 6.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 152.0%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 3.6% since then.  It is up 40.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 731.6%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 17-Wed-Several Force Vectors crossed into bullish domains, but prices remain below NTI Blue. Utilities is impressively bullish, but cannot be a standalone bull. However, if Force continues climbing and NTI Blue is surpassed, then buy signals will ensue along the near-term cycle and most quick-term cycles. If not, the bear will gain momentum.

 

Aug 16-Tue-Most Force Vectors crossed above Pressure, offering mild inspiration to the stock market bull. However, prices fell and most are below the near-term bearish green curve. Bullish attributes remain absent.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Utilties Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 17, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force finally crossed into bullish domains, but not enough to expire the stock market bear. As stated last Aug 9, Force will rebound within a few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting. Force crossed above Pressure, for the most part yesterday, but prices did not cross above NTI blue. Those few that are, such as utilities, are without support to justify bull/buy signals along the short-term cycle.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/17/2011

 

 

 

Aug 16, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 12 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force Vectors are moving dramatically to the north. Most are within a day or two of crossing above Pressure. Utilities has done this, but more need to do it before considering a resumption of a near-term bull cycle.

 

This paragraph remains unchanged since this past Aug 9. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days.

 

Force crossed above Pressure today. They expended significant bullish energy in doing so. They are bullishly mature . Prices still must climb above NTI Blue before garnishing buy/bull signals. The stock market’s configuration is now in the “interesting” phase. If Force falls back below Pressure, the bear will gain tenacious momentum. If not, the bull will be inspired.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Indices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a near-term stock market bull. Most of that occurred this past Monday, but reversed today. Those desired attributes could not hold in their desirous position. Force Vectors also need to climb above Pressure and into bullish domains and hold there for a couple of days. Therefore, the bear signal remains.

 

Force Vector cycles are bullish mature. That does not encourage the stock market bull. A new bearish cycle in Force should manifest. If not, the stock market bull will be encouraged, but its wounds remain severe.

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 44.1% since its bull signal 2.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 803.1%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 6.4% since the bear signals an average of 2.3-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 2.9-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 44.1% since its bull signal, annualizing at 803.1%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 0.3% since their bear signals an average of 1.7-weeks ago. The bear was humbled last Thu, Fri, and Mon, but its wounds are not fatal. Force needs to drive its piercing blow into bullish domains before the short-term bear cycle endures fatality. It is attempting to do so, but much energy has been expended by the stock market bull, which bodes well for the stock market bear.

 

Note to be retained through Friday, August 19, 2011-------Note: Aug 15, 2011-Mon-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data. The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only impacted the performance data for this section. The website’s report card information was accurate.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 16-Tue-Light volume on bearish behavior is not encouraging to the stock market bear. However, bearish attributes persist.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 18.4% since their buy signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 284.5%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.2% since their sell signals an average of 2.3-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 30.9% since their buy signals an average of 36.4-weeks ago. This annualizes at 44.5%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.2% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.6-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. The Force Vector cycle is bullishly mature, suggesting buy signals for non-contrarian ETF’s are not on the short-term horizon.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 1.0% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. The chart reveals Force still remains below Pressure and resides in bearish domains. This is not a sufficient configuration to justify a buy signal.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 9.3% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness last Thu through this past Mon.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 115.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 42.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.53 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $173.92.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 15.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 145.4%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 8.5% since those buy signals, annualizing at 169.7%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 11.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 227.4%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 11.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 132.2%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 5.5% since then.  It is up 37.9% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 717.6%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 16-Tue-Most Force Vectors crossed above Pressure, offering mild inspiration to the stock market bull. However, prices fell and most are below the near-term bearish green curve. Bullish attributes remain absent.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Utilties Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 16, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force finally shifted north, but not enough to expire the stock market bear. As stated last Aug 9, Force will rebound within a few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting. Force crossed above Pressure, for the most part today, but prices did not cross above NTI blue. Those few that are, such as utilities, are without support to justify bull/buy signals along the short-term cycle.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/16/2011

 

 

Aug 15, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 11 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force Vectors are moving dramatically to the north. Most are within a day or two of crossing above Pressure. Utilities has done this, but more need to do it before considering a resumption of a near-term bull cycle.

 

This paragraph remains unchanged since last Tuesday. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be observable sometimes this week or early next week. Based on recent behavior, observations will not be available this week. If Force vacillates deep in bearish domains, where they currently reside, then recent bearish aggression will display fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Indices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a near-term stock market bull. Most of that occurred today. However, Force Vectors need to climb above Pressure and into bullish domains and hold there for a couple of days. Therefore, the bear signal remains.

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

Aug 15, 2011-Last Friday’s report contained some erroneous performance data. The charts and bull/bear signals were not impacted. The errors only impacted the performance data for this section.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 38.7% since its bull signal 2.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 741.1%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 5.4% since the bear signals an average of 2.2-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 2.7-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 38.7% since its bull signal, annualizing at 741.1%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 0.8% since their bear signals an average of 1.5-weeks ago. The bear was humbled the past three days, but its wounds are not fatal. Force needs to drive its piercing blow into bullish domains before the short-term bear cycle endures fatality.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 15-Mon-Mediocre volume on bullish behavior is not supportive of sustainable or dynamic bullish behavior.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 16.4% since their buy signals an average of 3.2-weeks ago, annualizing at 264.6%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 5.2% since their sell signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 28.9% since their buy signals an average of 36.2-weeks ago. This annualizes at 41.5%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is. The other three were recent buys.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 0.8% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.5-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is up 0.7% since that sell signal. Force must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. The chart reveals Force still remains below Pressure and resides in bearish domains. This is not a sufficient configuration to justify a buy signal.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 11.1% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does so in spite of its impressive bullishness the past three trading days.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 113.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 41.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.34 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $171.80.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 14.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 135.9%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 6.7% since those buy signals, annualizing at 142.3%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 9.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 198.7%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 3.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 90.4%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 7.5% since then.  It is up 35.0% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 699.7%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 15-Mon-Utilties Force crossed Pressure and into bullish domains. It also eclipsed NTI Blue. The problem is that it is the only one. Others must join before invigorating the bull along the near-term cycle.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 15, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force finally shifted north, but not enough to expire the stock market bear. As stated last Tuesday, Force will rebound within a few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting. That should occur sometimes this week.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/15/2011

 

 

 

Aug 12, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 10 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

As stated last Tuesday, “the current Force Vector cycle is fatiguing in deep in bearish domains. That should slow bearish aggression, but in no way suggests the bear is about to hibernate.” Force Vectors finally shifted upward, offering a mild threat to the stock market bear.

 

Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains. All non-contrarian ETF’s and major market indices are yellow bears. There is no floor to bearish ambition. All of this is bearish.

 

This paragraph remains unchanged since last Tuesday. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be observable sometimes this week or early next week. Based on recent behavior, observations will not be available this week. If Force vacillates deep in bearish domains, where they currently reside, then recent bearish aggression will display fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Indices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a near-term stock market bull. Most of that occurred today. However, Force Vectors need to climb above Pressure and into bullish domains and hold there for a couple of days. Therefore, the bear signal remains.

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 7.5% since its bull signal 2.3-weeks ago, contrasting significantly with yesterday’s position of over a 75% gain since the bull signal. The VIX’s name of Volatility demonstrated significant merit today. That annualizes at 171.3%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 2.1% since the bear signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 2.3-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 7.5% since its bull signal, annualizing at 171.3%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 4.3% since their bear signals an average of 1.1-weeks ago. The bear was humbled the past two days, but its wounds are not fatal. Force needs to drive its piercing blow into bullish domains before the short-term bear cycle endures fatality.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains and accelerating in that configuration. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 12-Fri-Low volume on bullish aggression does not support the idea of a return to bullish dominance.

 

Aug 11-Thu-Healthy volume, although less than bearish related volume, offers some hope for a new bull’s birth.

 

Aug 10-Wed-Again strong volume, coupled to bearish aggression, continues in support of a bearish stock market.

 

Aug 9-Tue-Healthy volume on maximal intraday volatility with bullish close identifies trader nervousness, as opposed to fundamental directional shifts.

 

Aug 8-Mon-Another day of aggressive volume on dynamic bearish aggression support continuing stock market bearish behavior.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 19.2% since their buy signals an average of 2.8-weeks ago, annualizing at 359.0%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 7.4% since their sell signals an average of 1.7-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 30.8% since their buy signals an average of 35.8-weeks ago. This annualizes at 44.8%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since the QTI sell signal an average of 1.1-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. After that, prices must climb back above QTI Yellow before the Quick-term Indicant can signal buy.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 2.6% since that sell signal. Force, which is very depressed, must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. This fund was not contrarian in this bearish cycle.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 7.5% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does so.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 110.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 40.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $138.15 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $169.97.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 13.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at 135.0%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 7.8% since those buy signals, annualizing at 200.9%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 12.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 330.1%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 6.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at 235.1%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 1.9% since then.  It is up 43.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,1035.9%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable. The VIX was down nearly 50% on Friday, while this ETN held flat.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 12-Fri-Strong bullish behavior remains unsupported by Force Vectors. The bear has not yet expired.

 

Aug 11-Thu-Strong bullish behavior was classical with deeply depressed Force. However, there is little technical meaning to this until prices cross above NTI Blue, which is collapsed and declining.

 

Aug 10-Wed-Force Vectors fell to near 2008-depressed levels. Strong bearish behavior should start meeting some resistance. If not, one can predict shabby economic conditions will follow.

 

Aug 9-Tue-Intraday volatility was extreme today with a 600-point jump in the Dow in the last hour of trading.

 

Aug 8-Mon-The stock market bear demonstrated its strength with dynamic bearish behavior.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 12, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force finally shifted north, but not enough to expire the stock market bear. As stated last Tuesday, Force will rebound within a few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting. That should occur sometimes next week.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/12/2011

 

 

 

Aug 11, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

As stated last Tuesday, “the current Force Vector cycle is fatiguing in deep in bearish domains. That should slow bearish aggression, but in no way suggests the bear is about to hibernate.” Force Vectors finally shifted upward, offering a mild threat to the stock market bear.

 

Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains. All non-contrarian ETF’s and major market indices are yellow bears. There is no floor to bearish ambition. All of this is bearish.

 

This paragraph remains unchanged since last Tuesday. The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be observable sometimes this week or early next week. Based on recent behavior, observations will not be available this week. If Force vacillates deep in bearish domains, where they currently reside, then recent bearish aggression will display fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Finally, Force Vectors shifted north, offering stock market bottoming potential. However, support for the stock market bull remains absent. All this means is a meager threat to the stock market bear’s longevity. Prices need to cross above NTI Green and Blue before a rebirth of a near-term stock market bull.

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 70.7% since its bull signal 2.1-weeks ago. That annualizes at 1,716.0%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 8.0% since the bear signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 2.1-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 70.0% since its bull signal, annualizing at 1,716.0%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 2.0% since their bear signals an average of 0.9-weeks ago. The bear is now dominant without any floors with the exception of the DJU.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 11-Thu-Healthy volume, although less than bearish related volume, offers some hope for a new bull’s birth.

 

Aug 10-Wed-Again strong volume, coupled to bearish aggression, continues in support of a bearish stock market.

 

Aug 9-Tue-Healthy volume on maximal intraday volatility with bullish close identifies trader nervousness, as opposed to fundamental directional shifts.

 

Aug 8-Mon-Another day of aggressive volume on dynamic bearish aggression support continuing stock market bearish behavior.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 19.0% since their buy signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 373.4%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 7.9% since their sell signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 30.7% since their buy signals an average of 35.6-weeks ago. This annualizes at 44.9%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.0% since the QTI sell signal an average of 0.9-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. After that, prices must climb back above QTI Yellow before the Quick-term Indicant can signal buy.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 3.3% since that sell signal. Force, which is very depressed, must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. This fund was not contrarian in this bearish cycle.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 6.7% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant cannot signal buy until the Near-term Indicant does so.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 111.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 41.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $137.96 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $170.75.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 13.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 144.5%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 5.7% since those buy signals, annualizing at 158.4%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 14.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 411.2%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 8.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 337.0%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX on Aug 8, 2011. It is down 2.9% since then.  It is up 41.7% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,1072.1%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 11-Thu-Strong bullish behavior was classical with deeply depressed Force. However, there is little technical meaning to this until prices cross above NTI Blue, which is collapsed and declining.

 

Aug 10-Wed-Force Vectors fell to near 2008-depressed levels. Strong bearish behavior should start meeting some resistance. If not, one can predict shabby economic conditions will follow.

 

Aug 9-Tue-Intraday volatility was extreme today with a 600-point jump in the Dow in the last hour of trading.

 

Aug 8-Mon-The stock market bear demonstrated its strength with dynamic bearish behavior.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 11, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force is nearing cyclical bottoming. Some are approaching Oct 2008 depths. As stated last Tuesday, Force will rebound within a few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting. That should occur sometimes next week.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/11/2011

 

 

Aug 10, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 08 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

As stated yesterday, “the current Force Vector cycle is fatiguing in deep in bearish domains. That should slow bearish aggression, but in no way suggests the bear is about to hibernate.” Today’s bearish aggression propelled Force deeper into bearish domains. This adds to bearish ambition.

 

Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains. All non-contrarian ETF’s and major market indices are yellow bears. There is no floor to bearish ambition. All of this is bearish.

 

The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be observable sometimes this week or early next week. Based on recent behavior, observations will not be available this week. If Force vacillates deep in bearish domains, where they currently reside, then recent bearish aggression will display fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Force Vectors are dipping very deeply into bearish domains, threatening the availability of capital. This could foster a recession in and of itself. This could delay Force’s interaction with Pressure, which was expected this week and next week at the latest.

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull solely for contrarian VIX. It is up 87.2% since its bull signal 2.0-weeks ago. That annualizes at 2,266.2%.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 11.9% since the bear signals an average of 1.5-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant did not signal any new bulls or new bears.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. That bull signal occurred 2.0-weeks ago, coinciding with the Near-term Indicant bull signal at the same time. It is up 87.2% since its bull signal, annualizing at 2,266.2%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 6.2% since their bear signals an average of 0.8-weeks ago. The bear is now dominant without any floors.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both major indices are robustly in high interest domains. Much of that robustness coincides with bearish aggression. That adds to bearish bias.

 

Aug 10-Wed-Again strong volume, coupled to bearish aggression, continues in support of a bearish stock market.

 

Aug 9-Tue-Healthy volume on maximal intraday volatility with bullish close identifies trader nervousness, as opposed to fundamental directional shifts.

 

Aug 8-Mon-Another day of aggressive volume on dynamic bearish aggression support continuing stock market bearish behavior.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up 25.2% since their buy signals an average of 2.5-weeks ago, annualizing at 524.3%. These holdings are contrarian ETF’s.

 

The NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.9% since their sell signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 36.9% since their buy signals an average of 35.3-weeks ago. This annualizes at 54.1%. These holds are contrarian ETF’s. Gold has been held since late 2008. It’s contrarian classification is the reason this hold duration is as long as it is.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.3% since the QTI sell signal an average of 0.8-weeks ago.

 

The next round of QTI buy signals will not occur until after the NTI signals buy. Force Vectors must climb above Pressure and hold for a few days before the Near-term Indicant can signal buy. Prices must also climb above the NTI bullish blue curve. After that, prices must climb back above QTI Yellow before the Quick-term Indicant can signal buy.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 4 2011.  It is down 8.1% since that sell signal. Force, which is very depressed, must topple Pressure before signaling buy along the near-term curve. This fund was not contrarian in this bearish cycle.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Aug 7, 2011, as price fell below QTI bearish yellow curve. There was no bounce in Force and time to take profits and wait for the next buying opportunity. It is up 1.5% since that sell signal.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 116.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 43.1%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $137.78 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $174.58.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 16.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at 176.7%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure at that time. It is up 11.3% since those buy signals, annualizing at 340.1%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 by the Near-term Indicant. It is up 25.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 773.5%. The QTI signaled buy on Aug 2, 2011. It is up 18.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 843.7%.

 

The Quick-term signaled buy for ETF#32-VXX yesterday. It is up 1.1% since then.  It is up 47.5% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at 1,316.1%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable.

 

Major ETF Events

Aug 10-Wed-Force Vectors fell to near 2008-depressed levels. Strong bearish behavior should start meeting some resistance. If not, one can predict shabby economic conditions will follow.

 

Aug 9-Tue-Intraday volatility was extreme today with a 600-point jump in the Dow in the last hour of trading.

 

Aug 8-Mon-The stock market bear demonstrated its strength with dynamic bearish behavior.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Aug 10, 2011. Vector Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains, supporting the stock market bear. Force is nearing cyclical bottoming. Some are approaching Oct 2008 depths. As stated yesterday, Force will rebound within a few days. The nature of its rebound will offer insights to when this bearish cycle will find resistance by the bull. Force Vector behavior during Vector Pressure interaction will be interesting.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

08/10/2011

 

 

Aug 9, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 08, Issue 07 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

The current Force Vector cycle is fatiguing in deep in bearish domains. That should slow bearish aggression, but in no way suggests the bear is about to hibernate.

 

Pressure remains solidly in bearish domains. All non-contrarian ETF’s and major market indices are yellow bears. There is no floor to bearish ambition. All of this is bearish.

 

The next buying opportunity will not occur until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curves. Sometimes Force crosses above Pressure and then plummets again after severe bearish behavior such as recent impressive bearish expressions. So, there will be no buy or bull signals unless Force can hold above Pressure for a few days. This should be observable sometimes this week or early next week. If Force vacillates deep in bearish domains, where they currently reside, then recent bearish aggression will display fundamental merit, as opposed to trader neurosis.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Today’s bullish bounce is one of those irrelevant ones, reflecting trader emotion significantly more than fundamental justification. The stock market finds bearish difficulty when Force resides at the depths of bearish domains. At least some degree of normalcy, relative to Force, occurred. Continued bearish dominance with Force as low as it is would cause a recession if none were about to happen.

 

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.