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December Quick-term and Short-term Indicant Updates

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Dec 30, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 21 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Unanimity in either direction remains absent. Some non-contrarian ETF’s are holding and others are being avoided.

 

Force Vectors started shifting south toward some ETF’s with bearish Vector Pressure, which is normally a bearish configuration. The stock market appears to have to endure declining Force for a few days. Interestingly, rather than nose-diving, some are wavering in bullish domains. That is normally non-bearish, but their close proximity to bearish domains allows the stock market bear opportunities to pounce on the stock market bull. Although bull signals remain in the majority, the absence of unanimity in either direction allows room for the bull or bear to attack.

 

The DJU is solidly bullish along the near-term and mid-term cycle. With that, the bear could easily be influenced to hibernate. It is impossible for the bear to dominate with the prevailing DJU configuration. Its Force is shifting in a bearish direction, but until it falls below Pressure, the stock market bear cannot dominate.

 

The NASDAQ and NAS100 are enjoying bullish Force, but having difficulty eclipsing NTI Blue. This is slowing the bear’s movement toward hibernation. Some have the propensity to blame the bear’s refusal to hibernate on global warming.

 

Contrarian VIX is unreasonably below NTI Green and has been bullish in three of the past four days. Its Force Vector is climbing. Its interaction with Pressure early next week will be interesting.

 

ETF-#11-GLD Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Wednesday. That was the first QTI signal since it signaled buy in Dec. 2008. It garnished a 90% in that short-term bullish cycle. It fell below QTI Yellow on Dec 28, 2011, triggering that sell signal. The model forced the sell since its price fell below QTI Yellow with an existing near-term avoid signal. Keep in mind, QTI-Yellow is a common bouncing point to near-term cyclical declines. It will be interesting to see if there is a bounce. The stock market has been behaving with maximal volatility around QTI Yellow. That suggests the bull/bear battle is continuing. Until a breakout or breakdown occurs, expect more volatility.

 

The stock market bear is doing a good job avoiding hibernation. The stock market bull continues expressing its puniness when the bear should be hibernating.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for nine non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 0.3% since their bull signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 11.2%. The remaining near-term bears, including contrarian VIX, are down by an average of 6.3% since their bear signals an average of 3.0-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bull and no new bears.

 

The nine Quick-term bulls are up by an average of 0.4% since their bull signals an average of 1.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 13.2%. The three remaining bears are down by an average of 6.3% since their bear signals 3.0-weeks ago. This includes contrarian VIX, which is down 23.6% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same (early Nov). Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume. Recent bearish behavior has been more supported with volume than recent bullish behavior.

 

Dec 30-Fri-Same as yesterday. Volume will become relevant in a few days.

 

Dec 29-Thu-Again very low volume on herky-jerky behavior suggests a few are simply having some fun.

 

Dec 28-Wed-Holiday volume remains seasonally depressed, as the “bailed out” continue enjoying the holidays with your tax dollars.

 

Dec 27-Tue-Holiday volume continues and offering little support for any directional intensity.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 19-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 0.3% since their buy signals an average of 1.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 10.2%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 13-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.3% since their sell signals an average of 2.5-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 18-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 2.0% since their buy signals an average of 4.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at 22.6%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 14-ETFs. They are down by an average of 0.3% since their QTI sell signals an average of 3.5-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds           

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 14, 2011, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 5.2% since those sell signals. Price is bouncing off QTI bearish yellow curve. Force crossed above Pressure one week ago, but price still remains below the near-term blue curve and thus no buy signal. Declining Force is additional justification for avoiding.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals was up 90% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008 until the QTI signaled sell this past Wednesday. It is up 0.6% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant will not consider buying until the Near-term Indicant is holding and price greater than QTI Yellow.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green a few weeks ago did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 6.2% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold. As the U.S. dollar strengthens, gold is in trouble along the short-term cycle.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 14, 2011. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is down 0.4% since those buy signals. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that.

 

ETF#31-QID received sell signals from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 23, 2011, as Force crossed below Pressure and into bearish domains. That is too threatening for holding even though QQQ remains with an avoid signal. Force is now increasing and once it crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains, a buy signal will be triggered. It is up 0.8% since those sell signals. Weakening Force is stalling, which offers some bullish hope for this ETF.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 15.0% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector continues moving north. It must cross above Pressure and into bullish domains before buying. Price must be higher than NTI Blue Curve, also.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 30-Fri-Declining stock market Force has been arrested, offering a non-bearish inclination, but not yet with a bullish configuration.

 

Dec 28-Wed-Force Vectors started moving south. If they fall below Pressure and into bearish domains, sell signals will be triggered, yet again.

 

Dec 27-Tue-Another ETF and one major index enjoyed increased configured support for short-term bullishness.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 30, 2011-Declining Force has slowed offering the bull some hope, but configurations remain more mixed than supporting bullish or bearish directional intensity. Be prepared to trade if you are holding. Relax a bit more if you are in cash.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/30/2011

 

 

 

 

Dec 29, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 20 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Unanimity in either direction remains absent. Some non-contrarian ETF’s are holding and others are being avoided.

 

Force Vectors started shifting south toward some ETF’s with bearish Vector Pressure. The stock market appears to have to endure declining Force for a few days.

 

The DJU is solidly bullish along the near-term and mid-term cycle. With that, the bear could easily be influenced to hibernate. It is impossible for the bear to dominate with the prevailing DJU configuration. Its Force is shifting in a bearish direction, but until it falls below Pressure, the bear cannot dominate.

 

The NASDAQ and NAS100 are enjoying bullish Force, but having difficulty eclipsing NTI Blue. This is slowing the bear’s movement toward hibernation. Some have the propensity to blame the bear’s refusal to hibernate on global warming.

 

Contrarian VIX is unreasonably below NTI Green. It was bearish today, following two days of solid bullishness.

 

ETF-#11-GLD Quick-term Indicant signaled sell yesterday. That was the first QTI signal since Dec. 2008. It garnished a 90% in that short-term bullish cycle. It fell below QTI Yellow on Dec 28, 2011 with an already existing near-term avoid signal.

 

The stock market bear is doing a good job avoiding hibernation. The stock market bull continues expressing its puniness when the bear should be hibernating.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for nine non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 0.8% since their bull signals an average of 1.2-weeks ago. The remaining near-term bears, including contrarian VIX, are down by an average of 6.9% since their bear signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bull and no new bears.

 

The nine Quick-term bulls are up by an average of 0.9% since their bull signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago. The three remaining bears are down by an average of 6.9% since their bear signals 2.9-weeks ago. This includes contrarian VIX, which is down 26.0% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same (early Nov). Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume. Recent bearish behavior has been more supported with volume than recent bullish behavior.

 

Dec 29-Thu-Again very low volume on herky-jerky behavior suggests a few are simply having some fun.

 

Dec 28-Wed-Holiday volume remains seasonally depressed, as the “bailed out” continue enjoying the holidays with your tax dollars.

 

Dec 27-Tue-Holiday volume continues and offering little support for any directional intensity.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 19-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 0.8% since their buy signals an average of 1.5-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding 13-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.6% since their sell signals an average of 2.2-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 18-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 2.5% since their buy signals an average of 4.4-weeks ago. This annualizes at 29.2%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 14-ETFs. They are down by an average of 0.6% since their QTI sell signals an average of 3.4-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds           

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 14, 2011, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 5.2% since those sell signals. Price is bouncing off QTI bearish yellow curve. Force crossed above Pressure one week ago, but price still remains below the near-term blue curve and thus no buy signal. Weakening Force is additional justification for avoiding.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals was up 90% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008 until the QTI signaled sell yesterday. It is down 0.5% since that sell signal. The Quick-term Indicant will not consider buying until the Near-term Indicant is holding and price greater than QTI Yellow.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 7.2% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold. As the U.S. dollar strengthens, gold is in trouble along the short-term cycle.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 14, 2011. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is down 0.4% since those buy signals. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that.

 

ETF#31-QID received sell signals from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant this Friday, Dec 23, 2011, as Force crossed below Pressure and into bearish domains. That is too threatening for holding even though QQQ remains with an avoid signal. Force is now increasing and once it crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains, a buy signal will be triggered. It is up 0.2% since those sell signals. Weakening Force is stalling, which offers some bullish hope for this ETF.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 16.3% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector continues moving north. It must cross above Pressure and into bullish domains before buying.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 28-Wed-Force Vectors started moving south. If they fall below Pressure and into bearish domains, sell signals will be triggered, yet again.

 

Dec 27-Tue-Another ETF and one major index enjoyed increased configured support for short-term bullishness.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 28, 2011-Force started turning south, which should be invigorating to the stock market bear.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/29/2011

 

 

 

 

Dec 28, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 19 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Unanimity in either direction remains absent. Some ETF’s are holding and others are being avoided.

 

Force Vectors started shifting south toward some ETF’s with bearish Vector Pressure. The stock market appears to have to endure declining Force for a few days.

 

The DJU is solidly bullish along the near-term and mid-term cycle. With that, the bear could easily be influenced to hibernate. It is impossible for the bear to dominate with the prevailing DJU configuration. Its Force is shifting in a bearish direction, but until it falls below Pressure, the bear cannot dominate.

 

The NASDAQ and NAS100 are enjoying bullish Force, but having difficulty eclipsing NTI Blue. This is slowing the bear’s movement toward hibernation.

 

Contrarian VIX is unreasonably below NTI Green. It was bullish the past two days.

ETF-#11-GLD Quick-term Indicant signaled sell today. That was the first QTI signal since Dec 2008. It fell below QTI Yellow with an already existing near-term avoid signal. 

The stock market bear is doing a good job avoiding hibernation.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for nine non-contrarian indices. They are down 0.4% since their bull signals an average of 1.1-weeks ago. The remaining near-term bears, including contrarian VIX, are down by an average of 6.6% since their bear signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bull and no new bears.

 

The nine Quick-term bulls are down by an average of 0.2% since their bull signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago. The three remaining bears are down by an average of 6.6% since their bear signals 2.7-weeks ago. This includes contrarian VIX, which is down 23.2% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume. Recent bearish behavior has been more supported with volume than recent bullish behavior.

 

Dec 28-Wed-Holiday volume remains seasonally depressed, as the “bailed out” continue enjoying the holidays with your tax dollars.

 

Dec 27-Tue-Holiday volume continues and offering little support for any directional intensity.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 18-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.4% since their buy signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding 13-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.2% since their sell signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 18-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 1.5% since their buy signals an average of 4.2-weeks ago. This annualizes at 18.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 13-ETFs. They are down by an average of 1.3% since their QTI sell signals an average of 3.5-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds           

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 14, 2011, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 4.2% since those sell signals. Price is bouncing off QTI bearish yellow curve. Force crossed above Pressure this past Thursday, but price still remains below the near-term blue curve and thus no buy signal.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  was up 90% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. It fell below QTI Yellow today with declining Force inside bearish domains.  

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 6.8% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold. As the U.S. dollar strengthens, gold is in trouble along the short-term cycle.

 

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is down 0.6% since those buy signals. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that.

 

ETF#31-QID received sell signals from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant this Friday, Dec 23, 2011, as Force crossed below Pressure and into bearish domains. That is too threatening for holding even though QQQ remains with an avoid signal. Force is now increasing and once it crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains, a buy signal will be triggered. It is up 1.7% since those sell signals.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 14.2% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is now moving north. It must cross above Pressure and into bullish domains before buying.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 28-Wed-Force Vectors started moving south. If they fall below Pressure and into bearish domains, sell signals will be triggered, yet again.

 

Dec 27-Tue-Another ETF and one major index enjoyed increased configured support for short-term bullishness.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 28, 2011-Force started turning south, which should be invigorating to the stock market bear.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/28/2011

 

 

 

 

Dec 27, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 18 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

The DJU is solidly bullish along the near-term and mid-term cycle. With that, the bear could easily be influenced to hibernate. It is impossible for the bear to dominate with the prevailing DJU configuration.

 

The NASDAQ and NAS100 are enjoying bullish Force, but having difficulty eclipsing NTI Blue. This is slowing the bear’s movement toward hibernation.

 

Contrarian VIX is unreasonably below NTI Green. It was bullish today in non-contrarian behavior offering potential VIX bullishness, which could encourage the stock market bear.

 

Overall, bias continues favoring the stock market bull along the short-term cycle. However, the stock market bear has not yet hibernated.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for eight non-contrarian indices. They are up 1.1% since their bull signals an average of 1.1-weeks ago, annualizing at 55.5%. The remaining near-term bears, including contrarian VIX, are down by an average of 7.5% since their bear signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.

 

The eight Quick-term bulls are up by an average of 1.3% since their bull signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago. They are annualized at 46.8%. The three remaining bears are down by an average of 7.5% since their bear signals 2.6-weeks ago. This includes contrarian VIX, which is down 28.5% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume. Recent bearish behavior has been more supported with volume than recent bullish behavior.

 

Dec 27-Tue-Holiday volume continues and offering little support for any directional intensity.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signal and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 18-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 1.0% since their buy signals an average of 1.3-weeks ago. That annualizes at 38.4%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 13-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.1% since their sell signals an average of 1.9-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated one buy signal and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 18-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 7.7% since their buy signals an average of 12.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 31.2%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 13-ETFs. They are down by an average of 0.4% since their QTI sell signals an average of 3.3-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds           

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 14, 2011, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 6.2% since those sell signals. Price is bouncing off QTI bearish yellow curve. Force crossed above Pressure this past Thursday, but price still remains below the near-term blue curve and thus no buy signal.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 92.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 29.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.86. QTI-Yellow has been flat, for the most part, the past three weeks for the first time in over three years. Relaxation remains inappropriate as price is nearing QTI Yellow, but it did bounce strongly north after a nearly contacting three weeks ago and continuing that this past week. Gold Force is increasing but will consume quite a bit of energy before climbing above Pressure and into bullish domains. That energy consumption offers the gold bear a chance to pounce with increasing probabilities to do so.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 4.4% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is down 2.4% since those buy signals. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that.

 

ETF#31-QID received sell signals from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant this Friday, Dec 23, 2011, as Force crossed below Pressure and into bearish domains. That is too threatening for holding even though QQQ remains with an avoid signal. It is down 0.6% since those sell siganls.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 17.7% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is not configured as contrarian, highlighting a confused stock market. It remains a Yellow Bear with declining Force. However, it should be noted that Force is at a common minimum point and nearing an absolute minimum. With that, there is potential for its bullishness.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 27-Tue-Another ETF and one major index enjoyed increased configured support for short-term bullishness.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 27, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is displaying signs of overcoming the stock market bear. Unanimity, supporting this bull, remains absent with a suspicious existence. There is little near-term support for the stock market bear. Set tight stop losses if you buy.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/27/2011

 

 

 

 

Dec 23, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 17 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

More non-contrarian ETF’s received buy signals, but some non-contrarians continue with avoid signals. Those with avoid signals have Force Vector support for buying, but have been too passive. They are struggling to climb above NTI Blue. The absence of unanimity of near-term bullishness remains discerning.

 

The NASDAQ and NAS100 have Force Vector support, but have not expressed enough energy to cross above NTI blue. Bullish unanimity remains absent along the near-term cycle, so remain guarded. This absence should be resolved within a day or two.

 

In a significant departure from normalcy is the VIX’s deepening bearish cycle. It is uncharacteristically falling well below the near-term green curve. Interestingly, this particular cycle has not been volatile. The VXX was up today even though the VIX was down.

 

This stock market remains confused with the bull and bear retorting noisily at each incursion of the other.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for seven non-contrarian indices. They are up 1.1% since their bull signals an average of 0.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 101.2%. The remaining near-term bears, including contrarian VIX, are down by an average of 5.4% since their bear signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.

 

These bull are up by an average of 1.3% since their bull signals an average of 1.0-weeks ago. They are annualized at 67.2%. The four remaining bears are down by an average of 5.4% since their bear signals 1.8-weeks ago. This includes contrarian VIX, which is down 32.3% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume. Recent bearish behavior has been more supported with volume than recent bullish behavior.

 

Dec 23-Fri-Low holiday volume on bullish behavior should always be viewed with a bit of suspicion. Only a few determine prices.

 

Dec 22-Thu-Well, the bailed out are spending your tax dollars on Christmas gifts for themselves and politicians who bailed them out and new evolving corrupt politicians. Today’s mild bearishness on empty volume means very little.

 

Dec 21-Wed-Flat volume on flat behavior, but with late-day bullishness, does not offer any inspiration to either bull or bear.

 

Dec 20-Tue-Average volume, coupled with strong bullish behavior, is interesting, but certainly not confirming more of the same.

 

Dec 19-Mon-Volume was below average on bearish behavior, offering nothing.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated four buy signals and one sell signal.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 14-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 1.0% since their buy signals an average of 0.9-weeks ago. That annualizes at 55.6%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 13-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 0.6% since their sell signals an average of 1.5-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated two buy signals and one sell signal.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 16-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 8.6% since their buy signals an average of 13.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 32.1%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 13-ETFs. They are up by an average of 0.4% since their QTI sell signals an average of 2.8-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds           

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 14, 2011, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 5.9% since those sell signals. Price is bouncing off QTI bearish yellow curve. Force crossed above Pressure this past Thursday, but price still remains below the near-term blue curve and thus no buy signal.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 93.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 30.5%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.86. QTI-Yellow has been flat, for the most part, the past two weeks for the first time in over three years. Relaxation remains inappropriate as price is nearing QTI Yellow, but it did bounce strongly north after a nearly contacting two weeks ago and continuing that this past week. Its Force is increasing but will consume quite a bit of energy before climbing above Pressure and into bullish domains. That energy consumption offers the gold bear a chance to pounce.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 3.5% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is down 2.5% since those buy signals. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that.

 

ETF#31-QID received sell signals from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant this Friday, Dec 23, 2011, as Force crossed below Pressure and into bearish domains. That is too threatening to continue holding even though QQQ remains with an avoid signal.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 17.0% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is not configured as contrarian, highlighting a confused stock market. It remains a Yellow Bear with declining Force. However, it should be noted that Force is at a common minimum point and nearing an absolute minimum.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 23-Fri-Again more prices crossed above NTI Blue, triggering more buy signals along the near-term cycle. Due to proximity with QTI Yellow, the Quick-term Indicant also signaled buy.

 

Dec 22-Thu-More prices crossed above NTI Blue and bullish Force support. That triggered more buy signals.

 

Dec 21-Wed-Bull/bear divergence continues as the stock market remains without apparent desire to proceed in either direction. However, there were two more buy signals today for ETF’s.

 

Dec 20-Tue-Strong bullishness triggered three near-term buy signals as those three are the only ones enjoying supporting Force.

 

Dec 19-Mon-There are now no QTI Red Bulls, including contrarian ETF’s. This is favorable to the stock market bear.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 23, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is displaying signs of overcoming the stock market bear. There is no unanimity, supporting this bull. There is little near-term support for the stock market bear. Set tight stop losses if you buy.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/23/2011

 

 

 

 

Dec 22, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 16 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

The bluest of blue chips crossed above NTI Blue with Force Vector support. The Dow Utilities skyrocketed. Although the Dow Utilities has been enjoying bull signals since Dec 1, the other Dow Indices received bull signals today with those strengthening bullish attributes.

 

The NAS, NAS100, S&P400, and NYSE have Force Vector support, but have not expressed enough energy to cross above NTI blue. Bullish unanimity remains absent along the near-term cycle, so remain guarded. This absence should be resolved within a day or two.

 

In a significant departure from normalcy is the VIX’s deepening bearish cycle. It is uncharacteristically falling well below the near-term green curve. Interestingly, this particular cycle has not been volatile.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled six new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for only one of the non-contrarian indices. It is the Dow Jones Utilities, which is up 2.6%, annualized at 44.8%, since its bull signal 3.0-weeks ago. The new bulls will join Utilities next week. The remaining near-term bears, including contrarian VIX, are down 3.7% since their bear signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled five new bulls and no new bears.

 

The new bulls join two existing Quick-term bulls, which are up by an average of 1.9% since their bull signals an average of 3.0-weeks ago. They are annualized at 33.2%. The five remaining bears are down by an average of 3.7% since their bear signals 1.6-weeks ago. This includes contrarian VIX, which is down 30.9% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume. Recent bearish behavior has been more supported with volume than recent bullish behavior.

 

Dec 22-Thu-Well, the bailed out are spending your tax dollars on Christmas gifts for themselves and politicians who bailed them out and new evolving corrupt politicians. Today’s mild bearishness on empty volume means very little.

 

Dec 21-Wed-Flat volume on flat behavior, but with late-day bullishness, does not offer any inspiration to either bull or bear.

 

Dec 20-Tue-Average volume, coupled with strong bullish behavior, is interesting, but certainly not confirming more of the same.

 

Dec 19-Mon-Volume was below average on bearish behavior, offering nothing.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated five buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for ten-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 0.4% since their buy signals an average of 1.2-weeks ago. That annualizes at 15.4%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 17-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 0.5% since their sell signals an average of 1.2-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated five buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 10.4% since their buy signals an average of 18.4-weeks ago. This annualizes at 29.4%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 15-ETFs. They are up by an average of 0.1% since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.5-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds           

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 14, 2011, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 5.3% since those sell signals. Force is rising but still in bearish domains. Price is bouncing off QTI bearish yellow curve. Force crossed above Pressure, but price still remains below the near-term blue curve.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 93.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 30.4%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.85. QTI-Yellow was flat last week for the first time in over three years. Relaxation remains inappropriate as price is nearing QTI Yellow, but it did bounce strongly north after a nearly contacting last week and continuing that this week. Its Force is increasing but will consume quite a bit of energy before climbing above Pressure and into bullish domains.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 3.7% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is down 1.5% since those buy signals. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 14, 2011 as Force crossed into bullish domains and above Vector Pressure. It is down 3.4% since those buy signals. Declining Force is discerning to the hold signal.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 19.1% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is not configured as contrarian, highlighting a confused stock market. It remains a Yellow Bear with declining Force. However, it should be noted that Force is at a common minimum point and nearing an absolute minimum.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 22-Thu-More prices crossed above NTI Blue and bullish Force support. That triggered more buy signals,

 

Dec 21-Wed-Bull/bear divergence continues as the stock market remains without apparent desire to proceed in either direction. However, there were two more buy signals today for ETF’s.

 

Dec 20-Tue-Strong bullishness triggered three near-term buy signals as those three are the only ones enjoying supporting Force.

 

Dec 19-Mon-There are now no QTI Red Bulls, including contrarian ETF’s. This is favorable to the stock market bear.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 22, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Continue not buying any equity at this time, except those with buy signals. Establish relative tight stop losses, until all non-contrarian ETF’s enjoy hold signals.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/22/2011

 

Dec 21, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 15 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report 

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

As stated last Monday, a bullish spurt would not be surprising. Tuesday’s bullish aggression triggered three near-term buy signals and there were two more today. Those receiving buy signals enjoy Force Vector support. Those retaining avoid signals are still languishing in bearish domains and with declining Pressure.

 

Until all non-contrarian ETF’s are enjoying hold signals, consider all bullish behavior as a mere spurt. Follow-on bearish behavior can wipe out bullish spurt gains quickly, as you have seen since late September. All ETF’s tracked on a daily basis are non-contrarian with the exception of those contrarians that are discussed in this report.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for only one of the non-contrarian indices. It is the Dow Jones Utilities, which is up 2.4%, annualized at 43.2%, since its bull signal 2.9-weeks ago. The remaining major indices are bears along the near-term cycle. They include contrarian VIX. Combined, they are down by an average of 0.1% since their near-term bear signals 1.2-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 30.1% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Two major indices (DJIA and DJU) are Quick-term Bulls. They are up by an average of 1.6% since their QTI Bull signals 2.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 28.2%. The remaining major indices, including contrarian VIX, are down by an average of 0.3% since their bear signals an average of 1.2-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 30.1% since its QTI Bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume. Recent bearish behavior has been more supported with volume than recent bullish behavior.

 

Dec 21-Wed-Flat volume on flat behavior, but with late-day bullishness, does not offer any inspiration to either bull or bear.

 

Dec 20-Tue-Average volume, coupled with strong bullish behavior, is interesting, but certainly not confirming more of the same.

 

Dec 19-Mon-Volume was below average on bearish behavior, offering nothing.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated two buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for eight-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.5% since their buy signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago. That annualizes at 17.6%.

 

The NTI is avoiding 22-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 0.5% since their sell signals an average of 1.1-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 10.5% since their buy signals an average of 18.3-weeks ago. This annualizes at 29.9%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETFs. They are up by an average of 0.2% since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.2-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds           

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 14, 2011, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 4.1% since those sell signals. Force is rising but still in bearish domains. Price is bouncing off QTI bearish yellow curve. That should be encouraging to the petro-bull but until Force crosses into bullish domains, it is just noise.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 94.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 30.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.85. QTI-Yellow was flat last week for the first time in over three years. Relaxation remains inappropriate as price is nearing QTI Yellow, but it did bounce strongly north after a nearly contacting last week and continuing that this week. Its Force is increasing but will consume quite a bit of energy before climbing above Pressure and into bullish domains.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 3.0% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is down 1.9% since those buy signals. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 14, 2011 as Force crossed into bullish domains and above Vector Pressure. It is down 1.8% since those buy signals. Declining Force is discerning to the hold signal.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 19.3% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is not configured as contrarian, highlighting a confused stock market. It is a Yellow Bear today with declining Force. However, it should be noted that Force is at a common minimum point and nearing an absolute minimum.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 21-Wed-Bull/bear divergence continues as the stock market remains without apparent desire to proceed in either direction. However, there were two more buy signals today for ETF’s.

 

Dec 20-Tue-Strong bullishness triggered three near-term buy signals as those three are the only ones enjoying supporting Force.

 

Dec 19-Mon-There are now no QTI Red Bulls, including contrarian ETF’s. This is favorable to the stock market bear.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 21, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Continue not buying any equity at this time, except those with buy signals. Establish relative tight stop losses, until all non-contrarian ETF’s enjoy hold signals. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/21/2011

 

 

 

 

 

Dec 20, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 14 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

As stated yesterday, a bullish spurt would not be surprising. Today’s bullish aggression triggered three near-term buy signals. Those receiving buy signals enjoyed Force Vector support. Those retaining avoid signals are still languishing in bearish domains and with declining Pressure.

 

Until all non-contrarian ETF’s are enjoying hold signals, consider all bullish behavior as a mere spurt. Follow-on bearish behavior can wipe out bullish spurt gains quickly, as you have seen since late September. All ETF’s tracked on a daily basis are non-contrarian with the exception of those contrarians that are discussed in this report.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for only one of the non-contrarian indices. It is the Dow Jones Utilities, which is up 0.8%, since its bull signal 2.7-weeks ago. The remaining major indices are bears along the near-term cycle. They include contrarian VIX. Combined, they are up by an average of 0.5% since their near-term bear signals 1.0-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 24.2% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

Two major indices (DJIA and DJU) are Quick-term Bulls. They are up by an average of 0.8% since their QTI Bull signals 2.7-weeks ago. The remaining major indices, including contrarian VIX, are up by an average of 0.3% since their bear signals an average of 1.1-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 24.2% since its QTI Bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume. Recent bearish behavior has been more supported with volume than recent bullish behavior.

 

Dec 20-Tue-Average volume, coupled with strong bullish behavior, is interesting, but certainly not confirming more of the same.

 

Dec 19-Mon-Volume was below average on bearish behavior, offering nothing.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated three buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.4% since their buy signals an average of 2.0-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding 24-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 1.0% since their sell signals an average of 0.9-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated one buy signal and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for eleven-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 10.7% since their buy signals an average of 19.8-weeks ago. This annualizes at 28.2%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETFs. They are up by an average of 0.5% since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds           

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Wednesday, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is down 1.5% since those sell signals. Force continues to decrease. Price is bouncing off QTI bearish yellow curve. That should be encouraging to the petro-bull but until Force crosses into bullish domains, it is just noise.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 94.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 30.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.84. QTI-Yellow was flat last week for the first time in over three years. Relaxation remains inappropriate as price is nearing QTI Yellow, but it did bounce strongly north after a nearly contacting last week. It did so again today.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 3.1% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is down 0.5% since those buy signals. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that. It was strongly contrarian today.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 14, 2011 as Force crossed into bullish domains and above Vector Pressure. It is down 4.5% since those buy signals. It was strongly bearish today, but no sell signal until Force dips below Pressure. Pressure climbed into bullish domains today, suggesting the stock market bear is only being amused at this point.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 13.4% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is not configured as contrarian, highlighting a confused stock market. It became a Yellow Bear today with declining Force.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 20-Tue-Strong bullishness triggered three near-term buy signals as those three are the only ones enjoying supporting Force.

 

Dec 19-Mon-There are now no QTI Red Bulls, including contrarian ETF’s. This is favorable to the stock market bear.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 20, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Continue not buying any equity at this time, except those with buy signals. Establish relative tight stop losses, until all non-contrarian ETF’s enjoy hold signals. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle.

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/20/2011

 

 

 

 

Dec 19, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 13 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Technically, the stock market is converging with conflicting short-term attributes. The VIX is below NTI Green, where VIX non-bearishness occurs. That is a non-bullish configuration for the stock market. On the other hand, the stock market is configuring as over-sold. That invokes stock market bullishness even if only a spurt of short-term duration of five to twelve days.

 

One has to wonder if European leaders are buying options the day before they are going to make a public announcement. Unfavorable commentary would be preceded with put-buys and favorable comments would be preceded with buying buys. Those European politicians are not non-evil. Congressmen do it, so why not everyone else in the so-called elite class around the world. At any rate, corporate fundamentals or even technical configurations are not influencing the stock market’s directional intensity.

 

The stock market continues to react to European news, where nothing economically great has occurred for over a hundred years. Configurations remain in support of the stock market bear, even though a bullish spurt would not be surprising.

 

The Mid-term cycle is more stable than the shorter-term cycles. The Mid-term cycle is configured in support of the stock market bear.

 

GLD also appears oversold, but it marches to its own drumbeat. As the European lazy methods for generations are nearing a conclusion, the Far East is enduring slowing growth. Gold and the greenback compete as being the most secure possession. If demand chases the dollar, it will strengthen. That will cause the price of gold in U.S. dollars to fall. However, if gold becomes the predominant escape to safety, it will skyrocket. Its Force Vector is below a common bottom and price is nearing QTI Yellow, which should encourage the gold bull to make a statement.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for only one of the non-contrarian indices. It is the Dow Jones Utilities, which is down 1.4%, since its bull signal 2.6-weeks ago. The remaining major indices are bears along the near-term cycle. They include contrarian VIX. Combined, they are down 1.9% since their near-term bear signals 0.9-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 18.7% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

The DJIA continues with its bull signal, in addition to Utilities. So, at this time, the stock market is without directional intensity. Two major indices (DJIA and DJU) are Quick-term Bulls. They are down by an average of 1.7% since their QTI Bull signals 2.6-weeks ago. The remaining major indices, including contrarian VIX, are down 2.0% since their bear signals an average of 0.9-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 18.7% since its QTI Bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

No changes to this paragraph for several weeks. Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 19-Mon-Volume was below average on bearish behavior, offering nothing.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no-sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.7% since their buy signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since their sell signals an average of 0.7-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for eleven-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 8.9% since their buy signals an average of 19.6-weeks ago. This annualizes at 23.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 21-ETFs. They are down 2.0% since the QTI sell signals an average of 1.9-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Wednesday, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is down 1.5% since those sell signals. Force continues to decrease. Price is approaching QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 92.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 30.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.84. QTI-Yellow was flat last week for the first time in over three years. Relaxation remains inappropriate as price is nearing QTI Yellow, but it did bounce strongly north after a nearly contacting last week.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Dec 12, 2011, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 4.4% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is up 2.1% since those buy signals, annualizing at 148.9%. The dollar is expected to continue strengthening and this ETF tends to parallel that.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 14, 2011 as Force crossed into bullish domains and above Vector Pressure. It is up 1.5% since those buy signals, annualizing at 108.3%.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 7.7% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is not configured as contrarian, highlighting a confused stock market.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 19-Mon-There are now no QTI Red Bulls, including contrarian ETF’s. This is favorable to the stock market bear.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 19, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Continue not buying any equity at this time. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle. Force Vector are increasingly in support of near-term bearishness. Most prices are above QTI Bearish Yellow, offering a source of potential resistance to stock market bearishness. Interaction with QTI Yellow will be interesting. 

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/19/2011

 

 

 

 

Dec 16, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 12 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

The VIX is configuring in favor of non-bearishness. That does not mean it is about to become bullish and it can retain bearish configurations, but not deep diving performance. This, in part, is influencing the predominant bear signals.

 

The Dow Transport Index is threatening bearish bias. Its Force Vector configured as if it bottomed. Nearly all non-contrarian Force Vectors are cyclically mature, suggesting potential non-bearishness. That reversal process occurs at one index first. Maybe the DJT is it.

 

ETF#11-GLD bounced nicely off QTI-Yellow this Friday after a near-miss. Gold’s Force Vector is maturing, which should discourage the gold bear.

 

Remaining is a confused stock market. Contrarian and non-contrarian securities and major indices remain with a smorgasbord of bullish and bearish attributes.

 

This week’s bearishness triggered a few Mid-term Bear signals and sell signals. That is unfavorable to those desiring the normalcy of the heart and soul of bullish seasonality.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for only one of the non-contrarian indices. It is the Dow Jones Utilities, which is down 0.4%, since its bull signal 2.1-weeks ago. The remaining major indices are bears along the near-term cycle. They include contrarian VIX. Combined, they are down 0.9% since their near-term bear signals 0.5-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 20.7% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

The DJIA retained its bull signal. So, at this time, the stock market is without directional intensity. Two major indices (DJIA and DJU) are Quick-term Bulls. They are down 0.9% since their QTI Bull signals 2.1-weeks ago. The remaining major indices, including contrarian VIX, are down 0.9% since their bear signals an average of 0.5-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 20.7% since its QTI Bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 16-Fri-Aggressive volume on flat behavior on an options expiration Friday means nothing.

 

Dec 15-Thu-Volume was below average today, offering no inspiration to the bull.

 

Dec 14-Wed-Volume was again a little above recent averages on bearish aggression, adding support to the stock market bear.

 

Dec 13-Tue-Volume was a little above average on bearish behavior, offering mild support to bearish ambition.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Volume on bearish aggression was about same as last Friday’s on bullish aggression. The stock market is not getting much support for its popcorn behavior, while continuing to do so.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no-sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.6% since their buy signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.2% since their sell signals an average of 0.4-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for eleven-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 9.5% since their buy signals an average of 19.2-weeks ago. This annualizes at 25.6%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 21-ETFs. They are down 0.6% since the QTI sell signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Wednesday, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 0.2% since that sell signal. Force continues to decrease.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 92.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 30.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.83. QTI-Yellow was flat today for the first time in over three years. Relaxation remains inappropriate as price is nearing QTI Yellow, but it did bounce strongly north today after a near-miss yesterday.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Tuesday, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 4.2% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness. It is up 0.8% since those buy signals, annualizing at 142.4%.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday as Force crossed into bullish domains and above Vector Pressure. It is down 0.3% since those buy signals.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 6.7% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is not configured as contrarian, highlighting a confused stock market.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 16-Fri-None

 

Dec 15-Thu-The Near-term Indicant signaled bear along, while the DJIA Quick-term Indicant retained a bull signal.

 

Dec 14-Wed-There were several more sell signals, as prices fell below NTI Blue in conjunction with Force falling below Pressure and into bearish domains.

 

Dec 13-Tue-There were two more Near-term sell signals, in addition to more threatening Quick-term sell signals. Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Some near-term sell signals were triggered today for ETF’s, while the major indices did not incur bear signals. The VIX and Gold were not contrarian today, suggesting stock market confusion.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 16, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Do not buy any equity at this time. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle. Force Vector are increasingly in support of near-term bearishness. Most prices are above QTI Bearish Yellow, offering a source of potential resistance to stock market bearishness. Interaction with QTI Yellow will be interesting. 

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/16/2011

 

 

 

 

Dec 15, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 11 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Stock market Force continues dropping. Many fell into bearish domains and below this past Wednesday, triggering several sell signals. However, there were no additional sell signals today, but the DJIA endured a Near-term bear signal today.

 

Interestingly, purely contrarian indices, such as the VIX, are not configuring in support of stock market bearishness. The Dow Utilities is still retaining Near-term and Quick-term bull signals. These attributes offer mild hope for the heart and soul of bullish seasonality to still have a chance to manifest.

 

The Quick-term bearish yellow curve still offers some potential resistance to bearish ambition. However, buying anything at this time is inappropriate.

 

Keep in mind, the Mid-term cycle will support bearish behavior if the stock market remains bearish this week.

 

It is important to refrain from any buying at this time.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and one new bear. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for only one of the non-contrarian indices. It is the Dow Jones Utilities, which is down 0.3%, since its bull signal 2.0-weeks ago. The remaining major indices are bears along the near-term cycle. They include contrarian VIX. Combined, they are down 1.3% since their near-term bear signals 0.4-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 18.0% since its bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

The DJIA retained its bull signal. So, at this time, the stock market is without directional intensity. Two major indices are Quick-term Bulls. They are down 0.8% since their QTI Bull signals 2.0-weeks ago. The remain major indices, including contrarian VIX, are down 1.3% since their bear signals an average of 0.4-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX is down 18.0% since its QTI Bear signal on Nov 29, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 15-Thu-Volume was below average today, offering no inspiration to the bull.

 

Dec 14-Wed-Volume was again a little above recent averages on bearish aggression, adding support to the stock market bear.

 

Dec 13-Tue-Volume was a little above average on bearish behavior, offering mild support to bearish ambition.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Volume on bearish aggression was about same as last Friday’s on bullish aggression. The stock market is not getting much support for its popcorn behavior, while continuing to do so.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no-sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.6% since their buy signals an average of 1.3-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.4% since their sell signals an average of 0.2-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for eleven-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 9.1% since their buy signals an average of 19.1-weeks ago. This annualizes at 24.9%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 21-ETFs. They are down 0.8% since the QTI sell signals an average of 1.3-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Wednesday, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. It is down 0.4% since that sell signal. Force continues to decrease.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 88.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 29.1%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.83 and still rising, but slowing. Relaxation remains inappropriate as price is nearing QTI Yellow.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Tuesday, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure. It is down 6.0% since that sell signal.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Wednesday as Force crossed into bullish domains and above Vector Pressure.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 6.4% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is not configured as contrarian highlighting a confused stock market.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 15-Thu-The Near-term Indicant signaled bear along, while the DJIA Quick-term Indicant retained a bull signal.

 

Dec 14-Wed-There were several more sell signals, as prices fell below NTI Blue in conjunction with Force falling below Pressure and into bearish domains.

 

Dec 13-Tue-There were two more Near-term sell signals, in addition to more threatening Quick-term sell signals. Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Some near-term sell signals were triggered today for ETF’s, while the major indices did not incur bear signals. The VIX and Gold were not contrarian today, suggesting stock market confusion.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 15, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Do not buy any equity at this time. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle. Force Vector are increasingly in support of near-term bearishness. Most prices are above QTI Bearish Yellow in most cases offering a source of potential resistance to stock market bearishness. Interaction with QTI Yellow will be interesting. 

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/13/2011

 

 

Dec 13, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

Dear Member:

 

If you prefer to view the charts directly from this email, additional links are at the bottom of this report. The embedded links in the article work better if clicked from the website. If you prefer to read this report on the web site, please click the following link. It is for members, only. You will need to have your User Id and Password to access it.

 

http://www.indicant.net/Members/Updates/Current%20Issues/QTCI.htm

 

To read daily reports for the past twelve months, please click the following link:

 

http://www.indicant.net/Non-Members/Back%20Issues/A%20Reports.htm

 

Today's Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains, adding bearish support along the short-term cycle. VIX was again not contrarian. However, the VIX is nearing its minimum, hugging NTI Green. It rarely falls below NTI Green very much. All of this is unfavorable to bullish ambition.

 

Even gold is weak and approaching QTI Bearish Yellow Curve. It did not get a bullish bounce after falling below NTI Green. The last QTI transaction was the buy signal in late 2008. Gold’s bearishness has correlated with overall bearishness the past several years. If it contacts Yellow in the current near-term bear cycle, the response will be interesting. An absence of a bullish response will encourage the stock market bear.

 

Keep in mind, the Mid-term cycle will support bearish behavior if the stock market remains bearish this week.

 

It is important to refrain from any buying at this time.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 1.5%, since their bull signals 1.7-weeks ago. The lone bear is contrarian VIX, which is down 17.1% since the near-term bear signal 1.7-weeks ago. Its Force must climb above Pressure before signaling bull. The VIX was not contrarian on stock market bearish behavior the past two days.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

All eleven non-contrarian indices have a bull signal from the same dates as the Near-term Indicant. The lone QTI bear is contrarian VIX. Performance levels are the same as the Near-term Indicant.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 13-Tue-Volume was a little above average on bearish behavior, offering mild support to bearish ambition.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Volume on bearish aggression was about same as last Friday’s on bullish aggression. The stock market is not getting much support for its popcorn behavior, while continuing to do so.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and two sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 23-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since their buy signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding seven-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.3% since their sell signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago. Three of the seven are contrarian and their Force Vectors are rising. However, they have not qualified for buy signals yet; mostly due to Force continued residence in bearish domains.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and two sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 21-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 4.1% since their buy signals an average of 10.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 19.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding nine-ETFs. They are down 0.5% since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Dec 1, 2011. It is down 3.6% since those buy signals. Its declining Force fell below Pressure yesterday and fell into bearish domains today. A sell signal is nearing. Just a bit more bearish unanimity is needed before generating a sell signal.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 96.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 31.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.81 and still rising. Relaxation remains in order, since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $158.45. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow Curve. That is now threatening.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell today, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. It, like the VIX, was not contrarian today and yesterday. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received sell signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is up 1.8% since then. It is not configured with strong support for avoiding. The sell signal was stimulated by stock market bullishness and this ETF’s contrarian nature. It will receive a buy signal once its Force crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains, as long as its price holds above NTI Blue.

 

ETF#31-QID received a sell signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is up 3.3% since those sell signals. When its Force crosses above Pressure, a buy signal will be triggered if the other short-term attributes remain in support of that buy. It is nearing that configuration, now.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 2.9% since those sell signals. Its Force cycle was at a common minimum last Wednesday and profoundly bullish last Thursday. It was decisively bearish last Friday and mildly bullish today. Its Force Vector is a bit lazy in bearish domains.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 13-Tue-There were two more Near-term sell signals, in addition to more threatening Quick-term sell signals. Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Some near-term sell signals were triggered today for ETF’s, while the major indices did not incur bear signals. The VIX and Gold were not contrarian today, suggesting stock market confusion.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 12, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Do not buy any equity at this time. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle. Force Vector behavior will offer greater clarity on directional intensity  by tomorrow or possibly by Wednesday.  

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/15/2011

 

 

 

Dec 14, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 10 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Stock market Force continues dropping. Many fell into bearish domains and below Pressure today. This triggered several sell signals today.

 

The Quick-term bearish yellow curve still offers some potential resistance to bearish ambition. However, buying anything at this time is inappropriate.

 

Keep in mind, the Mid-term cycle will support bearish behavior if the stock market remains bearish this week.

 

It is important to refrain from any buying at this time.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and nine new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for two non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 1.6%, since their bull signals 1.9-weeks ago. The lone bear is contrarian VIX, which is down 15.0% since the near-term bear signal 1.7-weeks ago. The new bears will be included in tomorrow’s statistics. Its Force must climb above Pressure before signaling bull. The VIX was not contrarian on stock market bearish behavior the past three days, although asynchronously and mildly bullish today.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and nine new bears.

 

The Quick-term performance levels are the same as the Near-term’s, above.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 14-Wed-Volume was again a little above recent averages on bearish aggression, adding support to the stock market bear.

 

Dec 13-Tue-Volume was a little above average on bearish behavior, offering mild support to bearish ambition.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Volume on bearish aggression was about same as last Friday’s on bullish aggression. The stock market is not getting much support for its popcorn behavior, while continuing to do so.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated two buy signals and 20-sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for three-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.9% since their buy signals an average of 1.9-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding seven-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.2% since their sell signals an average of 0.5-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated two-buy signals and 12-sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for nine-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 10.4% since their buy signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at 23.3%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding nine-ETFs. They are down 1.9% since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled sell today, as Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 89.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 29.4%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.82 and still rising, but slowing. Relaxation is no longer appropriate in order, since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $152.89. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow Curve. That is now threatening.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Tuesday, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, which has been common since late 2008, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received buy signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant today. Short-term attributes shifted in support of TLT’s bullishness.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant today.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 2.5% since those sell signals. Its Force cycle was at a common minimum last Wednesday and profoundly bullish last Thursday. It was decisively bearish last Friday and mildly bullish today. Its Force Vector is a bit lazy in bearish domains, but nearing a buy signal.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 14-Wed-There were several more sell signals, as prices fell below NTI Blue in conjunction with Force falling below Pressure and into bearish domains.

 

Dec 13-Tue-There were two more Near-term sell signals, in addition to more threatening Quick-term sell signals. Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Some near-term sell signals were triggered today for ETF’s, while the major indices did not incur bear signals. The VIX and Gold were not contrarian today, suggesting stock market confusion.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 13, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Do not buy any equity at this time. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle. Force Vector are increasingly in support of near-term bearishness. Most prices are above QTI Bearish Yellow in most cases offering a source of significant resistance to bearish behavior. Interaction with QTI Yellow will be interesting. 

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/13/2011

 

 

Dec 13, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

Dear Member:

 

If you prefer to view the charts directly from this email, additional links are at the bottom of this report. The embedded links in the article work better if clicked from the website. If you prefer to read this report on the web site, please click the following link. It is for members, only. You will need to have your User Id and Password to access it.

 

http://www.indicant.net/Members/Updates/Current%20Issues/QTCI.htm

 

To read daily reports for the past twelve months, please click the following link:

 

http://www.indicant.net/Non-Members/Back%20Issues/A%20Reports.htm

 

Today's Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains, adding bearish support along the short-term cycle. VIX was again not contrarian. However, the VIX is nearing its minimum, hugging NTI Green. It rarely falls below NTI Green very much. All of this is unfavorable to bullish ambition.

 

Even gold is weak and approaching QTI Bearish Yellow Curve. It did not get a bullish bounce after falling below NTI Green. The last QTI transaction was the buy signal in late 2008. Gold’s bearishness has correlated with overall bearishness the past several years. If it contacts Yellow in the current near-term bear cycle, the response will be interesting. An absence of a bullish response will encourage the stock market bear.

 

Keep in mind, the Mid-term cycle will support bearish behavior if the stock market remains bearish this week.

 

It is important to refrain from any buying at this time.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 1.5%, since their bull signals 1.7-weeks ago. The lone bear is contrarian VIX, which is down 17.1% since the near-term bear signal 1.7-weeks ago. Its Force must climb above Pressure before signaling bull. The VIX was not contrarian on stock market bearish behavior the past two days.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

All eleven non-contrarian indices have a bull signal from the same dates as the Near-term Indicant. The lone QTI bear is contrarian VIX. Performance levels are the same as the Near-term Indicant.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 13-Tue-Volume was a little above average on bearish behavior, offering mild support to bearish ambition.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Volume on bearish aggression was about same as last Friday’s on bullish aggression. The stock market is not getting much support for its popcorn behavior, while continuing to do so.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and two sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 23-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since their buy signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding seven-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.3% since their sell signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago. Three of the seven are contrarian and their Force Vectors are rising. However, they have not qualified for buy signals yet; mostly due to Force continued residence in bearish domains.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and two sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 21-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 4.1% since their buy signals an average of 10.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 19.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding nine-ETFs. They are down 0.5% since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Dec 1, 2011. It is down 3.6% since those buy signals. Its declining Force fell below Pressure yesterday and fell into bearish domains today. A sell signal is nearing. Just a bit more bearish unanimity is needed before generating a sell signal.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 96.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 31.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.81 and still rising. Relaxation remains in order, since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $158.45. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow Curve. That is now threatening.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell today, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. It, like the VIX, was not contrarian today and yesterday. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received sell signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is up 1.8% since then. It is not configured with strong support for avoiding. The sell signal was stimulated by stock market bullishness and this ETF’s contrarian nature. It will receive a buy signal once its Force crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains, as long as its price holds above NTI Blue.

 

ETF#31-QID received a sell signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is up 3.3% since those sell signals. When its Force crosses above Pressure, a buy signal will be triggered if the other short-term attributes remain in support of that buy. It is nearing that configuration, now.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 2.9% since those sell signals. Its Force cycle was at a common minimum last Wednesday and profoundly bullish last Thursday. It was decisively bearish last Friday and mildly bullish today. Its Force Vector is a bit lazy in bearish domains.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 13-Tue-There were two more Near-term sell signals, in addition to more threatening Quick-term sell signals. Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Some near-term sell signals were triggered today for ETF’s, while the major indices did not incur bear signals. The VIX and Gold were not contrarian today, suggesting stock market confusion.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 12, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Do not buy any equity at this time. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle. Force Vector behavior will offer greater clarity on directional intensity  by tomorrow or possibly by Wednesday.  

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/14/2011

 

 

Dec 13, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains, adding bearish support along the short-term cycle. VIX was again not contrarian. However, the VIX is nearing its minimum, hugging NTI Green. It rarely falls below NTI Green very much. All of this is unfavorable to bullish ambition.

 

Even gold is weak and approaching QTI Bearish Yellow Curve. It did not get a bullish bounce after falling below NTI Green. The last QTI transaction was the buy signal in late 2008. Gold’s bearishness has correlated with overall bearishness the past several years. If it contacts Yellow in the current near-term bear cycle, the response will be interesting. An absence of a bullish response will encourage the stock market bear.

 

Keep in mind, the Mid-term cycle will support bearish behavior if the stock market remains bearish this week.

 

It is important to refrain from any buying at this time.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 1.5%, since their bull signals 1.7-weeks ago. The lone bear is contrarian VIX, which is down 17.1% since the near-term bear signal 1.7-weeks ago. Its Force must climb above Pressure before signaling bull. The VIX was not contrarian on stock market bearish behavior the past two days.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

All eleven non-contrarian indices have a bull signal from the same dates as the Near-term Indicant. The lone QTI bear is contrarian VIX. Performance levels are the same as the Near-term Indicant.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 13-Tue-Volume was a little above average on bearish behavior, offering mild support to bearish ambition.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Volume on bearish aggression was about same as last Friday’s on bullish aggression. The stock market is not getting much support for its popcorn behavior, while continuing to do so.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and two sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 23-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since their buy signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding seven-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.3% since their sell signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago. Three of the seven are contrarian and their Force Vectors are rising. However, they have not qualified for buy signals yet; mostly due to Force continued residence in bearish domains.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and two sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 21-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 4.1% since their buy signals an average of 10.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 19.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding nine-ETFs. They are down 0.5% since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Dec 1, 2011. It is down 3.6% since those buy signals. Its declining Force fell below Pressure yesterday and fell into bearish domains today. A sell signal is nearing. Just a bit more bearish unanimity is needed before generating a sell signal.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 96.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 31.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.81 and still rising. Relaxation remains in order, since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $158.45. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow Curve. That is now threatening.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell today, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. It, like the VIX, was not contrarian today and yesterday. Dropping below Green did not trigger a bullish response, adding support to the near-term bearish pressure.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received sell signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is up 1.8% since then. It is not configured with strong support for avoiding. The sell signal was stimulated by stock market bullishness and this ETF’s contrarian nature. It will receive a buy signal once its Force crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains, as long as its price holds above NTI Blue.

 

ETF#31-QID received a sell signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is up 3.3% since those sell signals. When its Force crosses above Pressure, a buy signal will be triggered if the other short-term attributes remain in support of that buy. It is nearing that configuration, now.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 2.9% since those sell signals. Its Force cycle was at a common minimum last Wednesday and profoundly bullish last Thursday. It was decisively bearish last Friday and mildly bullish today. Its Force Vector is a bit lazy in bearish domains.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 13-Tue-There were two more Near-term sell signals, in addition to more threatening Quick-term sell signals. Some Force Vectors fell into bearish domains.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Some near-term sell signals were triggered today for ETF’s, while the major indices did not incur bear signals. The VIX and Gold were not contrarian today, suggesting stock market confusion.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 12, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Do not buy any equity at this time. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle. Force Vector behavior will offer greater clarity on directional intensity  by tomorrow or possibly by Wednesday.  

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/13/2011

 

 

Dec 12, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 08 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Force Vectors remain above Pressure and inside bullish domains for the major indices. Some ETF’s lost those bullish attributes today. The stock market is confused. VIX and gold were not contrarian on today’s bearish aggression. Do not buy any equities until greater evidence of stock market directional intensity manifests. Stock market Force continues to drop along the short-term cycle. The lone Mid-term Indicant buy signal from this past weekend should be controlled with a tight stop loss if you bought today; say 5% below your buy price. Bullish bounces to European commentary is nonsensical.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all eleven non-contrarian indices. They are down by an average of 0.5%, since their bull signals 1.6-weeks ago. The lone bear is contrarian VIX, which is down 15.9% since the near-term bear signal 1.6-weeks ago. Its Force must climb above Pressure before signaling bull. The VIX was not contrarian on today’s stock market bearish behavior as it was equally bearish.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

All eleven non-contrarian indices have a bull signal from the same dates as the Near-term Indicant. The lone QTI bear is contrarian VIX. Performance levels are the same as the Near-term Indicant.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 12-Mon-Volume on bearish aggression was about same as last Friday’s on bullish aggression. The stock market is not getting much support for its popcorn behavior, while continuing to do so.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and three sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 25-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.6% since their buy signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding four-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.1% since their sell signals an average of 2.5-weeks ago. Three of the four are contrarian and their Force Vectors are rising. However, they have not qualified for buy signals yet; mostly due to Force continued residence in bearish domains.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 23-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 4.7% since their buy signals an average of 10.0-weeks ago. This annualizes at 24.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding eight-ETFs. They are down 0.1% since the QTI sell signals an average of 3.1-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Dec 1, 2011. It is down 2.7% since those buy signals. Its declining Force fell below Pressure today, but still resides in bullish domains. The sell signal is delayed due to Force’s proximity to bearish domains. Do not be surprised at a sell signal tomorrow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 100.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 33.1%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.75 and still rising. Relaxation remains in order, since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $161.99. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow Curve.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled sell today, as price fell below NTI Green with declining Force in bearish domains. It, like the VIX, was not contrarian today. It will be interesting if the drop below NTI Green triggers a bullish response. If not, gold is in a bit of near-term trouble.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received sell signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is up 0.9% since then. It is not configured with strong support for avoiding. The sell signal was stimulated by stock market bullishness and this ETF’s contrarian nature. It will receive a buy signal once its Force crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains, as long as its price holds above NTI Blue.

 

ETF#31-QID received a sell signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is up 1.1% since those sell signals. When its Force crosses above Pressure, a buy signal will be triggered if the other short-term attributes remain in support of that buy.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 2.4% since those sell signals. Its Force cycle was at a common minimum last Wednesday and profoundly bullish last Thursday. It was decisively bearish last Friday and mildly bullish today. Its Force Vector is a bit lazy in bearish domains.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 12-Mon-Some near-term sell signals were triggered today for ETF’s, while the major indices did not incur bear signals. The VIX and Gold were not contrarian today, suggesting stock market confusion.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Dec 12, 2011-The near-term bull cycle is under attack by bearish force. Do not buy any equity at this time. The stock market is enduring bearish convergence along the near-term cycle. Force Vector behavior will offer greater clarity on directional intensity  by tomorrow or possibly by Wednesday.  

 

Reverse Tangential Projections

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

12/12/2011

 

 

Dec 09, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 12, Issue 07 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary

Prices bounced back above NTI Blue today, subjecting stock market Force Vectors to irrelevance, although remaining under intense surveillance. Force continues supporting the stock market bear, but NTI Blue Bulls trump all remaining short-term attributes.

 

The Mid-term Indicant remains unsupportive of either bull or bear with mixed signaling. So, do not be surprised at continued stock market volatility. If volatility occurs above NTI Blue or QTI Red, it will be irrelevant because the bullish expressions will outweigh the bearish expressions, fostering a continuation of the short-term bull cycle. However, if that volatility occurs below NTI Green and/or QTI Yellow, the bear will be further inspired by the fear element. The worse fear element is fearing a stock market bear. Economic and political fears are miniscule when compared to “bear fear.”

 

Somewhat encouraging to the stock market bull is the VIX’s NTI Bullish Blue Curve’s collapse today. Right now, the “fear” of volatility is being muted. It will be interesting if this collapse is countered with a contrarian response by the VIX.

 

QTI Yellow has been somewhat of a lid, squashing bullish desires, while simultaneously acting as a floor against bearish ambition.

 

As stated last Wednesday, ETN#32-VXX is on the verge of receiving a buy signal. Its Pressure is positive, but its price remains below NTI Blue. Force is nearing Pressure, but price still remains below NTI Blue. Contrarian ETF#31-QID is similarly configured.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Index Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all eleven non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 0.9%, annualizing at 39.9%, since their bull signals 1.1-weeks ago. The lone bear is contrarian VIX, which is down 13.9% since the near-term bear signal 1.4-weeks ago. Its Force must climb above Pressure before signaling bull.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.

 

All eleven non-contrarian indices have a bull signal from the same dates as the Near-term Indicant. The lone QTI bear is contrarian VIX. Performance levels are the same as the Near-term Indicant.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

Both IVI’s sloped downward on recent bullishness, which suggests a lack of bullish inspiration. This is troubling. Adding to that concern is the NASDAQ’s IVI falling into low interest domains during the current near-term bull cycle. The NYSE recently did the same. Some of that, however, is due to seasonal volume.

 

Dec 9-Fri-Low volume on herky-jerky Euro-bullish behavior is nothing.

 

Dec 8-Thu-Volume was unseasonably high on today’s bearish aggression. The near-term baby bull is in trouble.

 

Dec 7-Wed-Very low volume again on flat behavior remains meaningless, but starting to add to vulnerability to the baby near-term bull cycle.

 

Dec 6-Tue-Very low volume on flat behavior is also meaningless.

 

Dec 5-Mon-Below average volume on mild bullish behavior means little.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.8% since their buy signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding four-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.8% since their sell signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago. Three of the four are contrarian and their Force Vectors are rising. However, they have not qualified for buy signals yet.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 24-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 6.0% since their buy signals an average of 9.2-weeks ago. This annualizes at 34.1%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding eight-ETFs. They are up .07% since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources. The Quick-term Indicant and Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Dec 1, 2011. It is down 0.4% since those buy signals. Its declining Force remains above Pressure and inside bullish domains. If Force falls below Pressure, a sell signal will be triggered.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 106.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 35.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $151.64 and still rising. Relaxation remains in order, since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $166.40. (Yesterday’s report erroneously stated closing price at $169. It should have stated $165.98). The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow Curve.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 26, 2011, as Force catapulted itself into bullish domains and above Pressure. It is down 0.6%, since that buy signal. It will be interesting if this near-term bullish cycle can hold up in the face of potential profit taking. NTI Green proved to be a bullish bouncing point, suggesting a continuation of this near-term bullish cycle. So far, it has been lazy, due to strengthening U.S. dollar against pathetic world currencies. It is again very near NTI-Green. It will be interesting if NTI-Green is again a bouncing point. Its Force is now below Pressure and inside bearish domains. A near-term sell signal will occur if price falls below Green with this weak Force.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received sell signals from the Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. It is down 0.2% since then. It is not configured with strong support for its bearishness. The sell signal was stimulated by stock market bullishness and this ETF’s contrarian nature. It will receive a buy signal once its Force crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains, as long as its price holds above NTI Blue.

 

ETF#31-QID received a sell signal from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant on Dec 1, 2011. Force is diving deeper into bearish domains and there are no floors. It is down 1.1% since those sell signals. When its Force crosses above Pressure, a buy signal will be triggered if the other short-term attributes remain in support of that buy.

 

The Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Nov 30, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. It is down 2.9% since those sell signals. Its Force cycle was at a common minimum last Wednesday and profoundly bullish this past Thursday. It was decisively bearish today, but with rising Force which threatens its avoid signal.

 

Major ETF Events

Dec 9-Fri-Prices climbed above NTI Blue adding support for the baby near-term bull signal. Although this trumps concerns regarding bearishly directed Force Vectors, prices have been enduring difficulties in holding above NTI Blue.

 

Dec 8-Thu-Short-term Force Vectors are increasingly supportive of the stock market bear. However, they remain in bullish domains. Their behavior the next day or two is paramount to the short-term cycle.

 

Dec 7-Wed-Non-contrarian Force Vectors shifted south off of common peaks and contrarians, such as QID and VXX, shifted north. Although this is inspirational to the stock market bear, but bull remains dominant. It will be interesting to see if the stock market bull has enough punch to depress the bear’s ambition.

 

Dec 6-Tue-Same as yesterday.