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July Quick-term and Short-term Indicant Updates

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This year's daily updates will be available here at month's end.

 

 

Jul 29, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 20 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Bearish attributes are increasing in numbers along the near-term cycle. There were more bear/sell signals this Friday, following several throughout the course of the week. The economy is flat lining. We have stagflation, which has been summarized in the weekly report for several months.

 

There are no QTI Red Bulls among the major indices, weakening the bull’s counterattack capacity to the stock market bear.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Force is now populating bearish domains. Pressure is drifting in a bearish direction. Indices are falling below NTI Green. However, bearish unanimity among the major indices. The NAS and NAS100 are still strong.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and two new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for six major non-contrarian indices and contrarian VIX. Combined, they are up by an average of 1.5% since their bull signals an average of 3.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 20.4%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled bull for contrarian VIX this past Wednesday.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average and contrarian VIX for an average of 39.2-weeks. They are up by an average of 15.7% since their bull signals, annualizing at 20.9%.

 

The Dow30 and Dow Composites fell below NTI Green today with declining Force. They received Near-term bear signals today, as a result of that.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. Normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is now completely configured. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 29-Fri-Volume was average on mild bearishness is basically non-event.

 

Jul 28-Thu-Average volume on mixed behavior is holding cards close to the stock market chest. Nothing can be interpreted here.

 

Jul 27-Wed-Aggressive volume on bearish aggression is incentive for additional bearish aggression.

 

Jul 26-Tue-Again low summertime volume on mild bearishness offers little potential for drama.

 

Jul 25-Mon-Contrary to headlines, low volume on mild bearishness does not suggest debt ceiling related sell-offs. Just another hot summer day with most at the beach.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated two buy signals and four sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 18-ETF’s. They are down 0.3% since their buy signals an average of 3.9-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding eight ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.4% since their sell signals an average of 0.3-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated one buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 21.9% since their buy signals an average of 46.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 24.3%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding two ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 10.6-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 0.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at 6.6%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (77.85) and Green until such time Green (73.72) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18. Unfortunately, Force fell below Pressure on Friday. It also penetrated bearish domains. The next sell signal is when price falls below NTI Green or falls below buy price, depending on Force Vector behavior. As you can see, it is having difficulty crossing above prior peak price.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 42.1%, annualizing at 47.8% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 96.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 36.1%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $136.40 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $158.29.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 5.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 91.7%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a buy signal today from both the Near-term and Quick-term Indicant models. Force crossed into bullish domains and above positive Pressure.

 

ETF#31-QID received a buy signal on Friday by the Near-term Indicant. Again attributes shifted bullishly in spite of QQQQ’s continuing hold signal. Force climbed into bullish domains and thus a buy signal was triggered even though there is no sell signal for QQQQ (or QLD).

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 19.5% since that sell signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy this past Thursday. Force elevated above Pressure and into bullish domains today.

 

The VIX was up considerably (>6.0%) this Friday. Yet the VXX was down. This fund will be removed from Indicant daily tracking in the next few days.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 29-Fri-Bearish attributes continue strengthening. Consequently, there were more sell/bear signals. The economy is flat lining.

 

Jul 28-Thu-Bearish attributes are strengthening along the near-term cycle and bullish attributes are equally strengthening for contrarian ETF’s.

 

Jul 27-Wed-Strong volume coupled to strong bearishness is a significant challenge to short-term bull. The Dow Transports and S&P600 received Near-term Bear signals today. Their Force Vectors fell into bearish domains from shallow bullish domains. That is a bearish configuration.

 

Jul 26-Tue-VIX, VXX, and QID Force Vectors shifted north today.

 

Jul 25-Mon-There were none.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 29, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition along the short-term cycle. However, contrarian Force Vectors shifted north this past Tuesday and accelerated for the remainder of this past week, offering potential for additional bearish shenanigans.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/29/2011

 

 

Jul 28, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 19 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Bearish attributes are increasing in numbers along the near-term cycle. The S&P400-Midcap Index received a bear signal. Force fell into bearish domains and the index fell below the NTI Green.

 

There are no QTI Red Bulls among the major indices, weakening the bull’s counterattack capacity to the stock market bear.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Several Force Vectors shifted south the past two days. That is discerning since this shift is well below the last bullish peak by Force.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and one new bear. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for eight major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 0.7% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 10.3%.  Contrarian VIX received a NTI bull signal yesterday, as its Force Vector climbed into bullish domains and crossed above NTI Blue and QTI Red. It was up 3.5% today.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled bull for contrarian VIX this past Wednesday.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 39.1-weeks. They are up by an average of 15.7% since their bull signals, annualizing at 21.0%. The VIX received a bull signal today.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled bear for the S&P400 as fell below NTI-Green with weak Force.

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. Normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is now completely configured. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 28-Thu-Average volume on mixed behavior is holding cards close to the stock market chest. Nothing can be interpreted here.

 

Jul 27-Wed-Aggressive volume on bearish aggression is incentive for additional bearish aggression.

 

Jul 26-Tue-Again low summertime volume on mild bearishness offers little potential for drama.

 

Jul 25-Mon-Contrary to headlines, low volume on mild bearishness does not suggest debt ceiling related sell-offs. Just another hot summer day with most at the beach.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signals and two sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 21-ETF’s. They are down 0.2% since their buy signals an average of 4.0-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.5% since their sell signals an average of 1.1-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 22.2% since their buy signals an average of 46.8-weeks ago. This annualizes at 24.7%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 8.3-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 1.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at 20.3%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (77.67) and Green until such time Green (73.61) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 43.6%, annualizing at 49.6% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 95.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 35.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $136.24 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $157.32.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 4.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 84.7%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 2.2% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 2.4% since then. Force remains in bearish domains, but shifted to the north today. It will receive a buy signal once it crosses back into bullish domains and higher than Pressure.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID.  It is down 4.9% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector turned north last Tuesday, offering some potential for a buy. It needs to cross above Pressure and/or into bullish domains before buying though.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 18.0% since that sell signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy today. Force elevated above Pressure and into bullish domains today.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 28-Thu-Bearish attributes are strengthening along the near-term cycle and bullish attributes are equally strengthening for contrarian ETF’s.

 

Jul 27-Wed-Strong volume coupled to strong bearishness is a significant challenge to short-term bull. The Dow Transports and S&P600 received Near-term Bear signals today. Their Force Vectors fell into bearish domains from shallow bullish domains. That is a bearish configuration.

 

Jul 26-Tue-VIX, VXX, and QID Force Vectors shifted north today.

 

Jul 25-Mon-There were none.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 28, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition along the short-term cycle. However, contrarian Force Vectors shifted north this past Tuesday and accelerated negatively on Wednesday, offering potential for bearish shenanigans.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/28/2011

 

 

Jul 27, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 18 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Contrarian Force Vectors shifted north yesterday and accelerated today. Non-contrarian bulls endured trauma on today’s bearish behavior. The Dow Transports and S&P600 Force Vectors fell into bearish domains with collapsing NTI Blue curves, and prices below NTI Green. Those are solid bearish configurations.

 

The high number of protective Red Bulls no longer exists. There is only one; the Dow Utilities.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Several Force Vectors shifted south the past two days. That is discerning since this shift is well below the last bullish peak by Force.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and two new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for eight major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 0.3% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 4.5%.  Contrarian VIX received a NTI bull signal today. Force climbed into bullish domains and

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled bull for contrarian VIX today.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 42.5-weeks. They are up by an average of 17.2% since their bull signals, annualizing at 21.0%. The VIX received a bull signal today. This performance metric will change dramatically tomorrow due to VIX’s inclusion and if its bull signal holds through tomorrow.

 

Unfortunately, the VIX crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. The Dow Transports and S&P600 prices fell below NTI Green with declining Force into bearish domains and less than Pressure. Congress is now scaring the stock markets.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. Normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is now completely configured. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 27-Wed-Aggressive volume on bearish aggression is incentive for additional bearish aggression.

 

Jul 26-Tue-Again low summertime volume on mild bearishness offers little potential for drama.

 

Jul 25-Mon-Contrary to headlines, low volume on mild bearishness does not suggest debt ceiling related sell-offs. Just another hot summer day with most at the beach.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and six sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 23-ETF’s. They are down 0.3% since their buy signals an average of 3.8-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 2.5% since their sell signals an average of 3.9-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 22.5% since their buy signals an average of 46.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at 25.1%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 7.5% since the QTI sell signal an average of 8.1-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 1.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 26.9%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (76.06) and Green until such time Green (73.50) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18. NTI Green was moving north, but flattened out today.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 46.9%, annualizing at 53.8% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 94.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 35.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $136.10 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $157.19.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 4.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 87.5%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 1.8% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 2.0% since then. Force is moving south and in bearish domains. It will receive a buy signal once it crosses back into bullish domains and higher than Pressure.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID.  It is down 4.6% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector turned north yesterday, offering some potential for a buy. It needs to cross above Pressure and/or into bullish domains before buying though.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 19.9% since that sell signal. It is up 10.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector shifted north yesterday, but still short of required domains for buying.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 27-Wed-Strong volume coupled to strong bearishness is a significant challenge to short-term bull. The Dow Transports and S&P600 received Near-term Bear signals today. Their Force Vectors fell into bearish domains from shallow bullish domains. That is a bearish configuration.

 

Jul 26-Tue-VIX, VXX, and QID Force Vectors shifted north today.

 

Jul 25-Mon-There were none.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 27, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition along the short-term cycle. However, contrarian Force Vectors shifted north this past Tuesday and accelerated negatively on Wednesday, offering potential for bearish shenanigans.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/27/2011

 

 

 

Jul 26, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 17 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Contrarian Force Vectors shifted north today. Although not yet threatening, they offer potential for bearish shenanigans on the short-term cycle. Keep in mind, as long as there are QTI Red Bulls and NTI Blue Bulls, the bear cannot dominate.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Several Force Vectors shifted south today. That is discerning since this shift is well below the last bullish peak by Force.

 

However, four QTI Red Bulls and four NTI Blue Bulls prevent sustainable bearish behavior. Positive Pressure remains and additive to resistance to bearish desires.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 2.0% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 26.4%.  Contrarian VIX is up 17.0% since its bear signal 3.9-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 42.3-weeks. They are up by an average of 19.7% since their bull signals, annualizing at 24.2%. The VIX is up 22.3% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

Although the VIX is entirely reactionary, its Force shifted north today. It is also above NTI Blue. If Force crosses Pressure and into bullish domains, it will receive a near-term and quick-term bull signal.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. Normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is now completely configured. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 26-Tue-Again low summertime volume on mild bearishness offers little potential for drama.

 

Jul 25-Mon-Contrary to headlines, low volume on mild bearishness does not suggest debt ceiling related sell-offs. Just another hot summer day with most at the beach.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 1.1% since their buy signals an average of 3.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 16.0%.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.1% since their sell signals an average of 3.8-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 25.0% since their buy signals an average of 46.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at 28.0%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 10.5% since the QTI sell signal an average of 8.0-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 3.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 56.2%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (77.24) and Green until such time Green (73.27) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18. NTI Green continues moving north and less than three dollars from attaining buy price.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 46.9%, annualizing at 53.8% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 95.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 36.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.97 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $157.77.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 5.0% since that buy signal, annualizing at 100.1%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 1.8% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 2.0% since then. Force is moving south and in bearish domains. It will receive a buy signal once it crosses back into bullish domains and higher than Pressure.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID.  It is down 9.1% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector turned north today, offering some potential for a buy. It needs to cross above Pressure and/or into bullish domains before buying though.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 24.4% since that sell signal. It is up 4.1% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector shifted north today.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 26-Tue-VIX, VXX, and QID Force Vectors shifted north today.

 

Jul 25-Mon-There were none.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 26, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition along the short-term cycle. However, contrarian Force Vectors shifted north on Tuesday, offering potential for bearish shenanigans.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/26/2011

 

 

Jul 25, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 16 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Short-term attributes continue support for short-term bull cycles. Contrary to politicians’ weekend projections of capital markets crashing, today’s mild bearish behavior was simply a low volume summer time stock market. Headlines suggested the absence of debt ceiling deals caused today’s bearish behavior. Rest assured, those in the liberal arts no little about.

 

Technically, the stock market continues finding difficulty surpassing prior cyclical highs. The debt ceiling debate will only become relevant if and when a default actually occurs or it becomes obvious it will occur.

 

President Obama wants the sky for himself. He apparently wishes to fly around in Air Force One without any congestion derived from corporate jets. That is the nature of the intellectual elites; that is, “only I can enjoy the nice life. You servants need to know your place.”

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Contrary to politicians’ projections this past weekend and headlines today, the Asian markets did not collapse on the absence of a debt ceiling deal. Mild bearish behavior coupled with light volume is basically a non-event.

 

Force Vectors appear to be tiring in their current bullish cycle, while VIX Force appears to be bottoming. So, there could be some added volatility in the next few days.

 

Seven QTI Red Bulls and five NTI Blue Bulls prevent sustainable bearish behavior.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 2.5% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 34.9%.  Contrarian VIX is up 12.0% since its bear signal 3.7-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 42.2-weeks. They are up by an average of 20.3% since their bull signals, annualizing at 25.1%. The VIX is up 17.1% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. Normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is now completely configured. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 25-Mon-Contrary to headlines, low volume on mild bearishness does not suggest debt ceiling related sell-offs. Just another hot summer day with most at the beach.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 1.4% since their buy signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 20.9%.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.0% since their sell signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 25.4% since their buy signals an average of 46.4-weeks ago. This annualizes at 28.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.2% since the QTI sell signal an average of 7.9-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 4.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 66.1%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (76.99) and Green until such time Green (73.00) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18. NTI Green continues moving north and less than three dollars from attaining buy price.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 47.6%, annualizing at 54.8% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 95.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 35.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.84 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $157.34.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 4.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 99.9%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 1.1% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 1.3% since then. Force is moving south. This ETF was again not contrarian.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID.  It is down 8.8% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is shifting south, supporting non-bullishness in this contrarian fund.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 26.0% since that sell signal. It is down 1.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector continues moving south (bearishly) with Pressure in bearish domains. That is a bearish configuration.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 25-Mon-There were none.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 25, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition along the short-term cycle.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/25/2011

 

 

Jul 22, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 15 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force started moving bullishly this past Tuesday, paralleling stock market bullish aggression. Force Vectors continued in a bullish direction the past three days. Many crossed above Pressure this past week, adding to bullish confidence. Most non-contrarian Vector Pressure is in bullish domains, which adds to bullish potential. Nearly all short-term attributes support the short-term bull cycle.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Force penetrated bullish domains on last Tuesday’s aggressively bullish behavior. Most indices crossed above Pressure on Thursday’s bullish aggression. All this is bullish along the near-term cycle. The NAS100 is again nearing recent peaks. Its passage above those levels should be inspirational to the stock market bull. If not, the bear will be inspired.

 

Nine QTI Red Bulls and eight NTI Blue Bulls prevent sustainable bearish behavior.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 3.0% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 47.6%.  Contrarian VIX is up 1.4% since its bear signal 3.3-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 41.8-weeks. They are up by an average of 20.9% since their bull signals, annualizing at 26.1%. The VIX is up 6.1% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

This paragraph is repeated from last Thursday’s daily stock market report. VIX Force is above Pressure and in bullish domains. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and remains configured for VIX bearishness.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 22-Fri-Light volume on mild mixed behavior is not confrontational to the newly evolving near-term bull cycle.

 

Jul 21-Thu-Relative to recent history, volume was up significantly on stock market bullish aggression. That bodes very well, indeed, for the new near-term bull cycle.

 

Jul 20-Wed-No dramatics again. Low volume on mild bearish behavior is nothing

 

Jul 19-Tue-Up volume on bullish aggression is inspirational to the bull’s continuation.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Normal volume on bearish aggression offers little volume related interpretations with current configurations.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 2.0% since their buy signals an average of 3.1-weeks ago, annualizing at 32.8%.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.9% since their sell signals an average of 3.2-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 26.1% since their buy signals an average of 45.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 29.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.8% since the QTI sell signal an average of 7.4-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 4.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 82.7%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (76.72) and Green until such time Green (72.69) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 48.2%, annualizing at 56.0% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 93.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 35.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.72 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $156.12.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 8, 2011, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 3.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 100.5%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 2.3% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 2.4% since then. Force is moving south. This ETF was not contrarian last Tue and Wed, but solidly bearish on last Thursday’s strong stock market bullish behavior.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID.  It is down 9.1% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is shifting south, supporting non-bullishness in this contrarian fund.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 28.7% since that sell signal. It is down 1.9% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is again moving south (bearishly) with Pressure in bearish domains. That is a bearish configuration.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 22-Fri-No major events.

 

Jul 21-Thu-There were no major events.

 

Jul 20-Wed-There were no major events.

 

Jul 19-Tue-The expected bullish bounce occurred, offering discouragement to the stock market bear.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Most non-contrarian Force Vectors abated bearish slide. This increases probability of a bullish bounce. If they resume their bearish slide, that probability vanishes.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 22, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition along the short-term cycle.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/22/2011

 

 

Jul 21, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 14 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force started moving bullishly this past Tuesday, paralleling stock market bullish aggression. Force Vectors continued in a bullish direction the past two days. Many crossed above Pressure, adding to bullish confidence. Most non-contrarian Vector Pressure is in bullish domains, which adds to bullish potential.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Force penetrated bullish domains on Tuesday’s aggressively bullish behavior. Most indices crossed above Pressure on Thursday’s bullish aggression. All this is bullish along the near-term cycle. The NAS100 is again nearing recent peaks. Its passage above those levels should be inspirational to the stock market bull. If not, the bear will be inspired.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 2.9% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 48.3%.  Contrarian VIX is up 1.7% since its bear signal 3.1-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 41.6-weeks. They are up by an average of 20.8% since their bull signals, annualizing at 26.0%. The VIX is up 6.3% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

This paragraph is repeated from last Thursday’s daily stock market report. VIX Force is above Pressure and in bullish domains. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and remains configured for VIX bearishness.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 21-Thu-Relative to recent history, volume was up significantly on stock market bullish aggression. That bodes very well, indeed, for the new near-term bull cycle.

 

Jul 20-Wed-No dramatics again. Low volume on mild bearish behavior is nothing

 

Jul 19-Tue-Up volume on bullish aggression is inspirational to the bull’s continuation.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Normal volume on bearish aggression offers little volume related interpretations with current configurations.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 1.9% since their buy signals an average of 3.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 32.5%.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.3% since their sell signals an average of 3.0-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 25.9% since their buy signals an average of 45.8-weeks ago. This annualizes at 29.4%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.3% since the QTI sell signal an average of 7.3-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 4.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 77.4%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (76.43) and Green until such time Green (72.31) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 47.5%, annualizing at 55.3% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 92.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 34.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.63 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $154.83.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 3.0% since that buy signal, annualizing at 84.4%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 1.5% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 1.7% since then. Force is moving south. This ETF was not contrarian last Tue and Wed, but solidly bearish on today’s stock market bullish behavior.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. It rebounded and now configured with a high probability of moving south on QQQQ’s bullish configuration. It is down 7.2% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is bullishly mature, supporting non-bullishness in this contrarian fund.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 28.2% since that sell signal. It is down 1.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is again moving south (bearishly) with Pressure in bearish domains. That is a bearish configuration.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 21-Thu-There were no major events.

 

Jul 20-Wed-There were no major events.

 

Jul 19-Tue-The expected bullish bounce occurred, offering discouragement to the stock market bear.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Most non-contrarian Force Vectors abated bearish slide. This increases probability of a bullish bounce. If they resume their bearish slide, that probability vanishes.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 21, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/21/2011

 

 

 

Jul 20, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 13 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force started moving bullishly this past Tuesday, paralleling stock market bullish aggression. Force Vectors continued in a bullish direction with today’s mild/mixed stock market behavior. The next hurdle for this near-term bullish cycle to continue is for Force to cross above Pressure. The bear can still be inspired as Pressure is unnaturally higher than Force. The NASDAQ100 Index crossed above Pressure today. The remaining indices need to do so for the bull to gain momentum.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Force penetrated bullish domains on Tuesday’s aggressively bullish behavior. Most indices remained below Pressure. As stated yesterday, the next hurdle for the continued survival of this newly evolving near-term bullish cycle to mount is Force penetrating above Pressure. The NASDAQ100 Index Force Vector crossed above Pressure today. Although the remaining indices did not do that, their Force Vectors continued moving north. That further dampens the bear’s desire to dominate.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 1.7% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 28.8%.  Contrarian VIX is up 10.7% since its bear signal 3.0-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 41.5-weeks. They are up by an average of 19.4% since their bull signals, annualizing at 24.3%. The VIX is up 15.7% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

This paragraph is repeated from last Thursday’s daily stock market report. VIX Force is above Pressure and in bullish domains. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and remains configured for VIX bearishness.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 20-Wed-No dramatics again. Low volume on mild bearish behavior is nothing

 

Jul 19-Tue-Up volume on bullish aggression is inspirational to the bull’s continuation.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Normal volume on bearish aggression offers little volume related interpretations with current configurations.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 0.7% since their buy signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 12.0%.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 0.2% since their sell signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 24.5% since their buy signals an average of 45.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at 27.9%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 9.2% since the QTI sell signal an average of 7.1-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 2.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 43.3%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (76.14) and Green until such time Green (71.88) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 44.6%, annualizing at 52.2% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 93.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 35.4%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.54 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $156.02.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 3.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 115.2%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 2.4% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 2.4% since then. Force is moving south. This ETF was not contrarian the past two days.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. It rebounded and now configured with a high probability of moving south on QQQQ’s bullish configuration. It is down 5.9% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is bullishly mature, supporting non-bullishness in this contrarian fund.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 24.2% since that sell signal. It is up 4.3% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is again moving south (bearishly) with Pressure in bearish domains. That is a bearish configuration.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 20-Wed-There were no major events.

 

Jul 19-Tue-The expected bullish bounce occurred, offering discouragement to the stock market bear.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Most non-contrarian Force Vectors abated bearish slide. This increases probability of a bullish bounce. If they resume their bearish slide, that probability vanishes.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 20, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/20/2011

 

 

Jul 19, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 12 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force moved bullishly today, paralleling stock market bullish aggression. The next hurdle for this near-term bullish cycle to continue is for Force to cross above Pressure. The bear can still be inspired as Pressure is unnaturally higher than Force.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

Force penetrated bullish domains, but still remains below Pressure. The next hurdle for the continued survival of this newly evolving near-term bullish cycle to mount is Force penetrating above Pressure. The bear can be inspired when Pressure exceeds Force. However, Tuesday’s bullish aggression and shifts in configurations should be dampening to the bear’s desire.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 1.7% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 31.4%.  Contrarian VIX is up 11.2% since its bear signal 2.9-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 41.3-weeks. They are up by an average of 19.5% since their bull signals, annualizing at 24.5%. The VIX is up 11.2% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

This paragraph is repeated from last Thursday’s daily stock market report. VIX Force is above Pressure and in bullish domains. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and remains configured for VIX bearishness.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains but approaching high interest.

 

Jul 19-Tue-Up volume on bullish aggression is inspirational to the bull’s continuation.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Normal volume on bearish aggression offers little volume related interpretations with current configurations.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 0.5% since their buy signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 9.7%.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 1.1% since their sell signals an average of 2.8-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 24.3% since their buy signals an average of 45.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at 27.7%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 8.5% since the QTI sell signal an average of 7.0-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 2.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at 50.9%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (75.95) and Green until such time Green (71.46) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased for the first time in this cycle on Mon-Jul 18.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 45.0%, annualizing at 52.8% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 91.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 34.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.44 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $154.56.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 2.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 96.1%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 3.5% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 3.7% since then. Force is bullishly mature and justification for continued avoidance. It was not contrarian on Tuesday’s bullish stock market. There was no buy signal due to its declining Force and proximity to Pressure.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. It rebounded and now configured with a high probability of moving south on QQQQ’s bullish configuration. It is down 6.6% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is bullishly mature, supporting non-bullishness in this contrarian fund.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 22.6% since that sell signal. It is up 6.5% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is again moving south (bearishly).

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 19-Tue-The expected bullish bounce occurred, offering discouragement to the stock market bear.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Most non-contrarian Force Vectors abated bearish slide. This increases probability of a bullish bounce. If they resume their bearish slide, that probability vanishes.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 19, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/19/2011

 

 

Jul 18, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 11 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force Vectors appear readying for a bullish cycle. If they resume their bearish cycle, bear/sell signals will manifest.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

There are no longer any QTI Red Bulls. However, Force Vectors are attempting a turn back to the north from shallow bearish domains.

 

The bull/bear battle along the short-term cycle remains in effect.

 

As stated last Wednesday, configurations suggest this bearish spurt may not yet be complete. However, near-term attributes are being threatened with configurations nearing support for concerns exceeding that of a bearish spurt.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 0.001% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 0.4%.  Contrarian VIX is up 21.3% since its bear signal 2.7-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 41.2-weeks. They are up by an average of 17.4% since their bull signals, annualizing at 22.0%. The VIX is up 17.4% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

This paragraph is repeated from last Thursday’s daily stock market report. VIX Force is above Pressure and in bullish domains. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and remains configured for VIX bearishness.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some mild interest in gaining robustness.

 

Jul 18-Mon-Normal volume on bearish aggression offers little volume related interpretations with current configurations.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are down 1.0% since their buy signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 3.7% since their sell signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 22.4% since their buy signals an average of 45.4-weeks ago. This annualizes at 25.7%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.5% since the QTI sell signal an average of 6.9-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 0.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 15.0%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (75.75) and Green until such time Green (71.12) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase. NTI Green increased today.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 42.4%, annualizing at 49.9% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 94.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 35.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.35 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $155.64.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 4.2% since that buy signal, annualizing at 151.4%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 1.4% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 1.6% since then. Force is bullishly mature and justification for continued avoidance.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. As stated last week, it is configured for a rebound. It is down 2.2% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is bullishly mature, supporting non-bullishness in this contrarian fund.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 18.7% since that sell signal. It is up 11.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is moving north, but its Pressure remains in bearish domains. It crossed Pressure last Tue and climbed in bullish domains this past Wed. Its Force cycle is bullishly mature. A buy signal will occur if Force holds in bullish domains for a few days. Force appears to be readying for a bearish cycle.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 18-Mon-Most non-contrarian Force Vectors abated bearish slide. This increases probability of a bullish bounce. If they resume their bearish slide, that probability vanishes.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 15, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/18/2011

 

 

Jul 15, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 10 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. Prices fell below NTI blue for the most part. In spite of that, no bear/sell signals were triggered this past Thursday. As stated in the daily stock market report this past Thursday, there are three reasons for this. The Dow Utilities remains a QTI Red Bull. That is a bit unusual with these configurations. One Red Bull among the major indices is justification for retaining bull/hold signals.

 

Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains. As stated this past Thursday, that coupled with bearishly mature Force Vectors stimulated a relatively high probability of a bullish bounce. That occurred on Friday, but this embryonic near-term bullish cycle remains vulnerable to the bear.

 

In summary, bearish Force is decelerating. Pressure remains in bullish domains. The Dow Jones Industrial Average joined the Dow Utilities as a QTI Red Bull on Friday’s bullish behavior. Although that bullish behavior was not that inspiring, having two QTI Red Bulls is.

 

If Force continues moving south, this bearish spurt will display more depth. That could add some breadth and threaten the classification of a mere spurt.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

All conditions justifying a bear signal occurred this past Thursday. As stated in Thursday’s daily stock market report, prices fell below NTI Blue and Force fell into bearish domains. Those two conditions qualified for signaling bear. However, as stated last Thursday, there are three issues confronting a bear signal at this time. 1) The bearish Force Vector cycle is mature and due for reversal. 2) Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains. 3) The Dow Utilities remains as a QTI Red Bull.

 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average moved back into QTI Red Bull status. That adds discouragement to bearish desires. The bull/bear battle along the short-term curves remains in effect.

 

The expected bearish spurt occurred most of last week. As stated last Wednesday, configurations suggest this bearish spurt may not yet be complete. However, near-term attributes are being threatened with configurations nearing support for concerns exceeding that of a bearish spurt.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 1.0% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 22.2%.  Contrarian VIX is up 13.1% since its bear signal 2.3-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 40.8-weeks. They are up by an average of 18.6% since their bull signals, annualizing at 23.7%. The VIX is up 18.2% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

This paragraph is repeated from last Thursday’s daily stock market report. VIX Force is above Pressure and in bullish domains. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and Pressure remains in bearish domains, which offers a heightened probability of VIX bearishness on the immediate horizon. Short-term attributes have not yet to acquiesce to bearish desires. Therefore, bull signals along the near-term cycle remain.

 

The VIX was mildly bearish this past Friday.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some mild interest in gaining robustness.

 

Jul 15-Mon-Volume was mildly down on mild bullish behavior, omitting desired encouragement for the bull.

 

Jul 14-Thu-Volume was up a bit on mild bearishness, adding to concerns regarding volume’s support for a near-term bearish cycle.

 

Jul 13-Wed-Mild volume on mild bullishness retains yesterday’s bearish advantage, but just a mild edge; nothing more.

 

Jul 12-Tue-Volume was aggressive on bearish behavior. That is an edge to the bear.

 

Jul 11-Mon-Volume was subdued on bearish aggression. That coupled with other short-term attributes do not suggest bearish dominance on the immediate horizon.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are down 0.1% since their buy signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 2.9% since their sell signals an average of 2.2-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 23.6% since their buy signals an average of 44.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 27.3%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 7.0% since the QTI sell signal an average of 6.4-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 1.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at 27.0%. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (75.58) and Green until such time Green (71.08) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase while NTI Green continues decreasing, but now mildly so. The  average does not change much. That will be the case until such time NTI Green starts increasing, which will require bullish sustainability.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 42..9%, annualizing at 51.0% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 92.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 35.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.25 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $155.20.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 3.3% since that buy signal, annualizing at 169.4%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 2.4% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 2.5% since then. Force is bullishly mature and justification for continued avoidance.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. As stated last week, it is configured for a rebound. It is down 3.2% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is bullishly mature, supporting non-bullishness in this contrarian fund.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 20.4% since that sell signal. It is up 9.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is moving north, but its Pressure remains in bearish domains. It crossed Pressure last Tue and climbed in bullish domains this past Wed. Its Force cycle is bullishly mature. A buy signal will occur if Force holds in bullish domains for a few days.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 15-Fri-Expected bullish behavior occurred. Bearish Force appears to be weakening.

 

Jul 14-Thu-Force fell below Pressure and many into bearish domains. The Force Vector cycles are mature, fostering probabilities of a bullish rebound. If there is no bullish bounce and Force continues to plummet, risks will be too high to continue holding.

 

Jul 13-Wed-The bull responded to recent bearish aggression, but meekly so. Short-term attributes are nestled into an inflection point. They mildly favor the bull, but an inflection point is an invitation to either bullish or bearish bias.

 

Jul 12-Tue-Prices remain, for the most part, above the Near-term Blue curve, in spite of bearish aggression the last three days. Therefore, the NTI Bull remains in tact.

 

Jul 11-Mon-Bullishly mature Force Vectors did not move laterally in bullish domains, thereby threatening the near-term bull cycle. They have not fallen enough, though, to support bearish dominance.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 15, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains, offering resistance to bearish ambition.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/15/2011

 

 

 

Jul 14, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

Force fell below Pressure and into bearish domains. Prices fell below NTI blue for the most part. In spite of that, no bear/sell signals were triggered. There are three reasons for this. The Dow Utilities remains a QTI Red Bull. That is a bit unusual with these configurations. One Red Bull among the major indices is justification for retaining bull/hold signals.

 

Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains. That coupled with bearishly mature Force Vectors stimulated a relatively high probability of a bullish bounce.

 

If Force continues moving south, this bearish spurt will display more depth. That could add some breadth and threaten the classification of a mere spurt.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

All conditions were met for justifying a bear signal. That is, prices fell below NTI Blue and Force fell into bearish domains. There are three issues confronting a bear signal at this time. 1) The bearish Force Vector cycle is mature and due for reversal. 2) Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains. 3) The Dow Utilities remains as a QTI Red Bull.

 

The expected bearish spurt occurred. As stated yesterday, configurations suggest this bearish spurt may not yet be complete. However, near-term attributes are being threatened with configurations nearing support for concerns exceeding that of a bearish spurt.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 1.4% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 35.2%.  Contrarian VIX is up 15.6% since its bear signal 2.0-weeks ago. VIX was not contrarian today.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 40.5-weeks. They are up by an average of 19.0% since their bull signals, annualizing at 24.4%. The VIX is up 20.8% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

VIX Force is above Pressure and in bullish domains. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and Pressure remains in bearish domains, which offers a heightened probability of VIX bearishness on the immediate horizon. Short-term attributes have not yet to acquiesce to bearish desires. Therefore, bull signals along the near-term cycle remain.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some mild interest in gaining robustness.

 

Jul 14-Thu-Volume was up a bit on mild bearishness, adding to concerns regarding volume’s support for a near-term bearish cycle.

 

Jul 13-Wed-Mild volume on mild bullishness retains yesterday’s bearish advantage, but just a mild edge; nothing more.

 

Jul 12-Tue-Volume was aggressive on bearish behavior. That is an edge to the bear.

 

Jul 11-Mon-Volume was subdued on bearish aggression. That coupled with other short-term attributes do not suggest bearish dominance on the immediate horizon.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are down 0.6% since their buy signals an average of 2.0-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 4.1% since their sell signals an average of 2.0-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 22.8% since their buy signals an average of 44.8-weeks ago. This annualizes at 26.5%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 5.9% since the QTI sell signal an average of 6.3-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is down 1.6% since that buy signal. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (75.38) and Green until such time Green (71.11) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase while NTI Green continues decreasing, but now mildly so. The  average does not change much. That will be the case until such time NTI Green starts increasing, which will require bullish sustainability.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 39.2%, annualizing at 46.7% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 91.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 34.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.15 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $154.56.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 2.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 172.14%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 2.2% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 2.4% since then. Force is bullishly mature and justification for continued avoidance.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. As stated last week, it is configured for a rebound, risks are too high to hold since it moves exponentially to QQQ. It is down 0.5% since those sell signals. It has mounted a bullish charge as expected. Force, however, needs to exceed Pressure before garnishing a buy signal.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 19.6% since that sell signal. It is up 10.6% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is moving north, but its Pressure remains in bearish domains. It crossed Pressure last Tue and climbed in bullish domains this past Wed. Its Force cycle is bullishly mature. A buy signal will occur if Force holds in bullish domains for a few days.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 14-Thu-Force fell below Pressure and many into bearish domains. The Force Vector cycles are mature, fostering probabilities of a bullish rebound. If there is no bullish bounce and Force continues to plummet, risks will be too high to continue holding.

 

Jul 13-Wed-The bull responded to recent bearish aggression, but meekly so. Short-term attributes are nestled into an inflection point. They mildly favor the bull, but an inflection point is an invitation to either bullish or bearish bias.

 

Jul 12-Tue-Prices remain, for the most part, above the Near-term Blue curve, in spite of bearish aggression the last three days. Therefore, the NTI Bull remains in tact.

 

Jul 11-Mon-Bullishly mature Force Vectors did not move laterally in bullish domains, thereby threatening the near-term bull cycle. They have not fallen enough, though, to support bearish dominance.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 14, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains. One of the concerns about this bullish cycle remains absent. Of interest now is stock market behavior with very high Force Vectors. If prices hold above NTI Blue with Blue continuing to increase, this near-term bull cycle could enjoy sustainability. This started out, as expected, to be interesting. The bear gained an advantage along the near-term cycle, but not enough to substantiate the near-term bull’s fatality.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/14/2011

 

 

 

Jul 13, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 08 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Today's Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

The bull’s meek response to recent bearish aggression has shifted attributes to an inflection area. This is an invitation to bullish or bearish dominance along the near-term cycle. These inflection periods sometimes invite volatility. Current short-term attributes still favor the bull along the near-term cycle.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

The next bear signal will be quick if indices fall below the NTI Blue Curve with Force below Pressure and/or in bearish domains. Once NTI Green crosses above bull signal price, then next bear at NTI Green with weak Force/Pressure. In spite of bearish behavior the last Fri, Mon, and Tue, the former has not yet occurred.

 

The expected bearish spurt occurred. Configurations suggest this bearish spurt may not yet be complete. As long as prices remain above NTI Blue with positive Pressure and non-threatening Force Vectors, it will remain as a bearish spurt.

 

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 1.4% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 35.2%.  Contrarian VIX is up 15.6% since its bear signal 2.0-weeks ago. VIX was not contrarian today.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 40.5-weeks. They are up by an average of 19.0% since their bull signals, annualizing at 24.4%. The VIX is up 20.8% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

VIX Force is above Pressure and in bullish domains. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and Pressure remains in bearish domains, which offers a heightened probability of VIX bearishness on the immediate horizon. Enough attributes have yet to acquiesce to bearish desires. Therefore, bull signals along the near-term cycle remain.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some mild interest in gaining robustness.

 

Jul 13-Wed-Mild volume on mild bullishness retains yesterday’s bearish advantage, but just a mild edge; nothing more.

 

Jul 12-Tue-Volume was aggressive on bearish behavior. That is an edge to the bear.

 

Jul 11-Mon-Volume was subdued on bearish aggression. That coupled with other short-term attributes do not suggest bearish dominance on the immediate horizon.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up 0.3% since their buy signals an average of 1.9-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 2.5% since their sell signals an average of 1.9-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 23.9% since their buy signals an average of 44.7-weeks ago. This annualizes at 27.9%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 7.1% since the QTI sell signal an average of 6.1-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is down 0.9% since that buy signal. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (75.17) and Green until such time Green (71.13) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase while NTI Green continues decreasing, but now mildly so. The  average does not change much. That will be the case until such time NTI Green starts increasing, which will require bullish sustainability.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 40.1%, annualizing at 47.9% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 91.1% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 34.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $135.05 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $154.14.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 2.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 186.4%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 3.7% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 3.9% since then. Force is bullishly mature and justification for continued avoidance.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. As stated last week, it is configured for a rebound, risks are too high to hold since it moves exponentially to QQQ. It is down 2.8% since those sell signals. It has mounted a bullish charge as expected. Force, however, needs to exceed Pressure before garnishing a buy signal.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 22.4% since that sell signal. It is up 6.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is moving north, but its Pressure remains in bearish domains. It crossed Pressure yesterday and climbed in bullish domains today. Its Force cycle is bullishly mature. A buy signal will occur if Force holds in bullish domains for a few days.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 13-Wed-The bull responded to recent bearish aggression, but meekly so. Short-term attributes are nestled into an inflection point. They mildly favor the bull, but an inflection point is an invitation to either bullish or bearish bias.

 

Jul 12-Tue-Prices remain, for the most part, above the Near-term Blue curve, in spite of bearish aggression the last three days. Therefore, the NTI Bull remains in tact.

 

Jul 11-Mon-Bullishly mature Force Vectors did not move laterally in bullish domains, thereby threatening the near-term bull cycle. They have not fallen enough, though, to support bearish dominance.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 13, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains. One of the concerns about this bullish cycle has been eliminated. Of interest now is stock market behavior with very high Force Vectors. If prices hold above NTI Blue with Blue continuing to increase, this near-term bull cycle could enjoy sustainability. This started out, as expected, to be interesting. The bear gained an advantage along the near-term cycle, but not enough to substantiate the near-term bull’s fatality.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/13/2011

 

 

Jul 12, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 07 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

The near-term bullish cycle remains in tact in spite of bearish aggression the last three days. Prices remain above NTI bullish blue curve. Force is maturing in a bearish cycle, suggesting at least a pause in this bearish aggression.

 

 The near-term bull will not be considered as valid until Green is higher than buy price. Pressure, however is now, for the most part, in bullish domains.

 

As stated most of last week and so far this week, Force Vectors are bullishly mature. They should fall over the next few days. As you can see, they have been doing that. Any bearish behavior on the near-term horizon should be interpreted as a mere stock market spurt. In others words, the bull may take a rest, while not acquiescing to the bear’s desire. The interpretation will invoke more seriousness if NTI bullish blue curve collapses.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

The next bear signal will be quick if indices fall below the NTI Blue Curve with Force below Pressure and/or in bearish domains. Once NTI Green crosses above bull signal price, then next bear at NTI Green with weak Force/Pressure. In spite of today’s bearish behavior the last three days, the former has not yet occurred.

 

The expected non-bullish to bearish behavior occurred the past two days. So far, configurations suggest a bearish spurt will occur. However, if configurations shift away from this bullishly favorable configuration, bear/sell signals will be quick.

 

Fundamentally, raising the debt ceiling will be very bearish, as increased interest rates and/or inflation will threaten even more. The markets will interpret politicians as pure parasites with maximal gluttony for their self-gain and nothing else. The bear requires a bit more technical support to inflict bullish fatality along the near-term cycle.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 0.9% since their bull signals on June 28, annualizing at 26.6%.  Contrarian VIX is up 15.1% since its bear signal 1.9-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 40.3-weeks. They are up by an average of 18.5% since their bull signals, annualizing at 23.9%. The VIX is up 20.3% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

VIX Force crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains today. That is normally bullish. However, it is bullishly mature and Pressure remains in bearish domains, which offers a heightened probability of VIX bearishness on the immediate horizon. The remaining indices remain with bullish configurations. Five of the major indices remain as NTI Blue Bulls, which is bullish along the near-term cycle. Utilities Force fell below Pressure today, but it is the only one doing so. Therefore, enough attributes have yet to acquiesce to bearish desires. Therefore, bull signals along the near-term cycle remain.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some mild interest in gaining robustness.

 

Jul 12-Tue-Volume was aggressive on bearish behavior. That is an edge to the bear.

 

Jul 11-Mon-Volume was subdued on bearish aggression. That coupled with other short-term attributes do not suggest bearish dominance on the immediate horizon.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are down 0.4% since their buy signals an average of 1.7-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 2.8% since their sell signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 22.6% since their buy signals an average of 44.5-weeks ago. This annualizes at 26.4%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 7.0% since the QTI sell signal an average of 6.0-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is down 1.7% since that buy signal. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (74.93) and Green until such time Green (71.16) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase while NTI Green continues decreasing. So, each day, the  average does not change much. That will be the case until such time NTI Green starts increasing, which will require bullish sustainability.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 39.0%, annualizing at 46.8% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 89.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 34.1%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $134.96 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $152.77.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 1.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 150.9%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal on June 29 from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 3.1% since then. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 3.2% since then. Force is bullishly mature and justification for continued avoidance.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. As stated last week, it is configured for a rebound, risks are too high to hold since it moves exponentially to QQQ. It is down 1.9% since those sell signals. It has mounted a bullish charge as expected. Force, however, needs to exceed Pressure before garnishing a buy signal.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 22.4% since that sell signal. It is up 6.8% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is moving north, but its Pressure remains in bearish domains. However, a buy signal will occur if Force penetrates bullish domains and holds there for a few days. It crossed Pressure today, but still not in bullish domains. Its Force cycle is bullishly mature.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 12-Tue-Prices remain, for the most part, above the Near-term Blue curve, in spite of bearish aggression the last three days. Therefore, the NTI Bull remains in tact.

Jul 11-Mon-Bullishly mature Force Vectors did not move laterally in bullish domains, thereby threatening the near-term bull cycle. They have not fallen enough, though, to support bearish dominance.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 12, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains. One of the concerns about this bullish cycle has been eliminated. Of interest now is stock market behavior with very high Force Vectors. If prices hold above NTI Blue with Blue continuing to increase, this near-term bull cycle could enjoy sustainability. This started out, as expected, to be interesting. The bear gained an advantage along the near-term cycle, but not enough to substantiate the near-term bull’s fatality.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/12/2011

 

 

Jul 11, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 06 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

The near-term bullish cycle continues to impress in spite of Friday’s bearish behavior. All non-contrarian ETF’s have either buy/hold signals. That is desired consensus for bullish ambition.

 

 The near-term bull will not be considered as valid until Green is higher than buy price. Pressure, however is now, for the most part, in bullish domains.

 

As stated most of this past week, Force Vectors are bullishly mature. They should fall over the next few days. After making that statement the past few days, Force continues to move north. That is increasingly supporting bullish sustainability. Any bearish behavior on the near-term horizon should be interpreted as a mere stock market spurt. In others words, the bull may take a rest, while not acquiescing to the bear’s desire. The interpretation will invoke more seriousness if NTI bullish blue curve collapses.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

The next bear signal will be quick if indices fall below the NTI Blue Curve with Force below Pressure and/or in bearish domains. Once NTI Green crosses above bull signal price, then next bear at NTI Green with weak Force/Pressure. In spite of today’s bearish aggression, the former has not yet occurred.

 

The expected non-bullish to bearish behavior occurred today. As you know it was actually very bearish. So far, configurations suggest a bearish spurt will occur. However, if configurations shift away from this bullishly favorable configuration, bear/sell signals will be quick.

 

Fundamentally, raising the debt ceiling will be very bearish, as increased interest rates and/or inflation will threaten even more. The markets will interpret politicians as pure parasites with maximal gluttony for their self-gain and nothing else. The bear requires a bit more technical support to inflict bullish fatality along the near-term cycle.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 1.4% since their bull signals last Wednesday, June 28, annualizing at 43.7%.  Contrarian VIX is up 6.5% since its bear signal 1.7-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 40.2-weeks. They are up by an average of 19.1% since their bull signals, annualizing at 24.8%. The VIX is up 11.3% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some mild interest in gaining robustness.

 

Jul 11-Mon-Volume was subdued on bearish aggression. That coupled with other short-term attributes do not suggest bearish dominance on the immediate horizon.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are flat since their buy signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are up by an average of 1.1% since their sell signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 23.0% since their buy signals an average of 44.4-weeks ago. This annualizes at 27.0%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 8.3% since the QTI sell signal an average of 5.9-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is down 1.3% since that buy signal. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (74.68) and Green until such time Green (67.74) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase while NTI Green continues decreasing. So, each day, the  average does not change much. That will be the case until such time NTI Green starts increasing, which will require bullish sustainability.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 39.6%, annualizing at 47.7% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 88.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 33.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $134.85 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $151.59.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy last Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. It is up 0.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 107.0%.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal last Wednesday from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 2.7% since the near-term sell signal on Jun 29, 2011. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 2.9% since then.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. As stated last week, it is configured for a rebound, risks are too high to hold since it moves exponentially to QQQ. It is down 3.5% since those sell signals. It has mounted a bullish charge as expected. Force, however, needs to exceed Pressure before garnishing a buy signal.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 24.3% since that sell signal. It is up 4.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is moving north, but its Pressure remains in bearish domains. However, a buy signal will occur if Force penetrates bullish domains and holds there for a few days.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 11-Mon-Bullishly mature Force Vectors did not move laterally in bullish domains, thereby threatening the near-term bull cycle. They have not fallen enough, though, to support bearish dominance.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 11, 2011. Vector Pressure remains in bullish domains. One of the concerns about this bullish cycle has been eliminated. Of interest now is stock market behavior with very high Force Vectors. If prices hold above NTI Blue with Blue continuing to increase, this near-term bull cycle could enjoy sustainability. This will started out, as expected, to be interesting. The bear gained an advantage along the near-term cycle, but not enough to substantiate the near-term bull’s fatality.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/11/2011

 

 

Jul 8, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 05 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

The near-term bullish cycle continues to impress in spite of Friday’s bearish behavior. All non-contrarian ETF’s have either buy/hold signals. That is desired consensus for bullish ambition.

 

 The near-term bull will not be considered as valid until Green is higher than buy price. Pressure, however is now, for the most part, in bullish domains.

 

As stated most of this past week, Force Vectors are bullishly mature. They should fall over the next few days. After making that statement the past few days, Force continues to move north. That is increasingly supporting bullish sustainability. Any bearish behavior on the near-term horizon should be interpreted as a mere stock market spurt. In others words, the bull may take a rest, while not acquiescing to the bear’s desire. The interpretation will invoke more seriousness if NTI bullish blue curve collapses.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

The next bear signal will be quick if indices fall below the NTI Blue Curve with Force below Pressure and/or in bearish domains. Once NTI Green crosses above bull signal price, then next bear at NTI Green with weak Force/Pressure.

 

Most non-contrarian Force Vectors are at a cyclical maximum point, which could invite non-bullish to bearish behavior along the near-term cycle. Contrarian VIX Force Vector is at a minimum. This could invite VIX bullishness, but it will not receive a bull signal until Force climbs above Vector Pressure and/or into bullish domains. Bullish behavior last Wed and Thu offered argument to the preceding statements in this paragraph. That suggests the underlying near-term bull cycle is sustainable. Friday’s bearishness, though, supported the expected non-bullish behavior.

 

The market is configured similarly to this same time of year in 2009, where a mini-near-term bull cycle was followed by a mini-near-term bear cycle. In spite of disappointing economic news and Friday’s related bearish behavior is non-threatening to the current near-term bull signal.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 3.2% since their bull signals last Wednesday, June 28, annualizing at 131.3%.  Contrarian VIX is down 7.6% since its bear signal 1.3-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 39.8-weeks. They are up by an average of 22.3% since their bull signals, annualizing at 27.8%. The VIX is down 3.5% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some mild interest in gaining robustness.

 

Jul 8-Fri-Mild volume on sour economic news and related mild bearishness is no threat to the underlying near-term bull cycle.

 

Jul 7-Thu-Volume was up a bit on bullish behavior, supporting near-term bullish bias cycle.

 

Jul 6-Wed-Low summertime volume continues to not be disruptive to underlying short-term bullish bias.

 

Jul 5-Tue-Low volume during flat stock market behavior is not disruptive to prevailing short-term bullish bias.

 

Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts

The Near-term Indicant generated one buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 2.0% since their buy signals an average of 1.2-weeks ago. This annualizes at 86.2%.

 

The NTI is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 3.1% since their sell signals an average of 1.2-weeks ago.

 

The Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 25.3% since their buy signals an average of 43.9-weeks ago. This annualizes at 29.9%.

 

The Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average of 11.8% since the QTI sell signal an average of 5.4-weeks ago.

 

Contrarian Funds

ETF#03-Natural Resources.  The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 1, 2011.  It is up 1.1% since that buy signal. Since Pressure is in bullish domains, consider setting stop loss to average of NTI Blue (74.39) and Green until such time Green (71.25) crosses above buy price (76.06). As you can see, NTI Blue continues to increase while NTI Green continues decreasing. So, each day, the  average does not change much. That will be the case until such time NTI Green starts increasing, which will require bullish sustainability.

 

The Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 42.9%, annualizing at 52.2% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.

 

ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals  is up 86.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized growth is at 33.1%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for a longer-term hold position, which is at $134.75 and still rising. Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $150.25.

 

The Near-term Indicant signaled buy this Friday, as Force penetrated bullish domains. (Gold did not actually increase in value. The dollar weakened on disappointing unemployment. Therefore, gold increased in U.S. dollars due to its weakness).

 

On Jun 29, 2011, The Indicant recommended call options. Shortly thereafter, gold dove to the south, reducing the value of those calls by over half. GLD’s bullish behavior shifted those “paper losses” to profit the past few days. This morning, those call options were sold for a nice 100% gain.

 

Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the actual price of gold.

 

All prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary requires adjustment.

 

ETF#14-TLT-Long Government received a sell signal last Wednesday from the Near-term Indicant. It is up 1.2% since the near-term sell signal on Jun 29, 2011. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. It is up 1.3% since then.

 

The Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this past Thursday for ETF#31-QID. Although it is configured for a rebound, risks are too high to hold since it moves exponentially to QQQ. It is down 6.8% since those sell signals. Its Force Vector is bearishly mature. Behavior over the next few days will be interesting, as its Force Vector should mount a bullish charge.

 

The Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for ETF#32-VXX. This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 30.0% since that sell signal. It is down 3.7% since the Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 30, 2011. You should notice its Force Vector is moving north, but its Pressure remains in bearish domains.

 

Major ETF Events

Jul 8-Fri-Gold prices, in terms of weakening U.S. dollar, continue to rise.

 

Jul 7-Thu-The bull gathered yet more strength in the face of bullishly mature Force Vectors. The non-contrarians are expressing significant comfort at those lofty levels. That suggests bullish sustainability even if a minor bearish spurt occurs in the next few days.

 

Jul 6-Wed-Vector Pressure is now in bullish domains for all non-contrarian indices, except the S&P100 and NYSE. That reduces bearish threats with declining Force, which is impending.

 

Jul 5-Tue-No major events. It should be noted that Force Vectors are extraordinarily mature from their recent bullish cycle. The impending pullback will be interesting.

 

Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jul 8, 2011. Vector Pressure is now in bullish domains. One of the concerns about this bullish cycle has been eliminated. Of interest now is stock market behavior with very high Force Vectors. If prices hold above NTI Blue with Blue continuing to increase, this near-term bull cycle could enjoy sustainability. Next week will be interesting.

 

-Reverse Tangential Bearish Detection This phenomenon will continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being. The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.

 

Click this sentence to the table, highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections). The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website. Keep in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the shifting political cycles.

 

Click the Short-term Indicant to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.

 

The tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and reverse tangential bearish detectors.

 

Click Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.

 

Other links:

Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ

Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index

Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index

Indicant Volume Indicator

Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices

 

Happy Investing,

 

 

Indicant.Net

www.indicant.net

07/08/2011

 

 

Jul 7, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report

Volume 07, Issue 04 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST

© The Indicant Stock Market Report

 

Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary

The near-term bullish cycle continues to impress. All non-contrarian ETF’s have either buy/hold signals. That is desired consensus.

 

There are a couple of concerns. Pressure remains in bearish domains for a minority of the non-contrarian ETF’s, as several more crossed into bullish domain. The near-term bull will not be considered as valid until Green is higher than buy price.

 

Force Vectors are bullishly mature. They should fall over the next few days. After making that statement the past few days, Force continues to move north. That is increasingly supporting bullish sustainability. Any bearish behavior on the near-term horizon should be interpreted as a mere stock market spurt. In others words, the bull may take a rest, while not acquiescing to the bear’s desire. The interpretation will invoke more seriousness if NTI bullish blue curve collapses.

 

Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details

Short-term Market Summary

The next bear signal will be quick if indices fall below the NTI Blue Curve with Force below Pressure and/or in bearish domains. Once NTI Green crosses above bull signal price, then next bear at NTI Green with weak Force/Pressure.

 

Most non-contrarian Force Vectors are at a cyclical maximum point, which could invite non-bullish to bearish behavior along the near-term cycle. Contrarian VIX Force Vector is at a minimum. This could invite VIX bullishness, but it will not receive a bull signal until Force climbs above Vector Pressure and/or into bullish domains. Bullish behavior the past two days has offered argument to the preceding statements in this paragraph. That suggests the underlying near-term bull cycle is sustainable.

 

The market is configured similarly to this same time of year in 2009, where a mini-near-term bull cycle was followed by a mini-near-term bear cycle. Today’s mild bullish behavior argued against this implication. However, those configurations remain in tact.

 

Report Card Summary

The Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears. Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.

 

The Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 3.9% since their bull signals last Wednesday, June 28, annualizing at 178.2%.  Contrarian VIX is down 7.6% since its bear signal 1.1-weeks ago.

 

There were no new bull/bear signals by the Quick-term Indicant.

 

The Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices for an average of 39.6-weeks. They are up by an average of 22.1% since their bull signals, annualizing at 28.9%. The VIX is down 3.5% since the QTI signaled sell on June 30, 2011.

 

Indicant Volume Indicators  

The NASDAQ IVI crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating, as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some mild interest in gaining robustness.

 

Jul 7-Thu-Volume was up a bit on bullish behavior, supporting near-term bullish bias cycle.

 

Jul 6-Wed-Low summertime volume continues to not be disruptive to underlying short-term bullish bias.