Jun 30, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 22 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
There were again
several more buy signals today, as more ETF attributes qualified. A few
non-contrarians remain with bearish configurations.
The near-term cycle
is a bit jittery right now even though with a solidly quick-term bullish
cycle. Vector Pressure remains low (in bearish domains). As stated
yesterday, the bull/buy signals may be short-lived due to this low
Pressure. The stock market bull is shoring up consensus for its dominance,
but not quite enough to be relaxed about it. There have been hundreds of
near-term cycles, such as the current one, since 1900 that did not blossom
from embryonic bullishness.
A few Force Vectors
have penetrated deeply into bullish domains the past few days. That is
invigorating to the stock market bull, but it would be more comforting if
more were populating that region. All Force Vectors are rising, which is
bullish, but those that are barely inside bullish domains offer the bear
some hope. In essence, bullish synergy is minimal. In spite of that, there
is none for the stock market bear.
The primary pestering
attribute to the newly forming near-term bull cycle is the low Vector
Pressure. Secondarily, Force Vector inconsistencies arouses additional
concerns. Technically, the current cycle remains as a bullish spurt, but a
few ETF’s have escaped that limitation. It would be more comforting if all
non-contrarian ETF’s escaped that limitation. Consequently, until Green
rises above bull/buy price, the next bear/sell signals will occur when
prices fall below NTI Blue and Force falls below Pressure and/or into
bearish domains.
The bull should not
be considered as robustly configured until all ETF’s possess hold signals
along the near-term cycle and Green is higher than buy price.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
The
stock market bull is gaining traction along the near-term cycle.
The
next bear signal will be quick if indices fall below the NTI Blue Curve
with Force below Pressure and/or in bearish domains.
Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all major non-contrarian indices.
They are up by an average of 1.1% since their bull signals yesterday.
Contrarian VIX is down 4.3% since yesterday’s bear signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled bear today for contrarian VIX. It fell below
bearish yellow.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major non-contrarian
indices for an average of 38.6-weeks. They are up by an average of 18.7%
since their bull signals, annualizing at 25.1%.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating,
as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The
NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some
mild interest in gaining robustness.
Jun
30-Thu-Light volume again, but the stock market’s bullish aggression
offers potential follow-on.
Jun
29-Wed-Volume, while still depressed, increased on mild bullishness. It
remains suspicious. Wall Street now in workforce reduction process. That
is not a bullish tactic.
Jun
28-Tue-Light volume, again. In spite of bullish aggression, low volume
bullish behavior should always be viewed with suspicion.
Jun
27-Mon-Lighter volume on bullish aggression, compared to mildly heavier
volume on last Friday’s bearish aggression, supports mild favoritism to
the near-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated 12-buy signals and two sell signals, which is
similar to yesterday’s signaling.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 13-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 1.3% since their buy signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 43.9%.
The
NTI is avoiding five ETF’s. They are up by an average of 1.0% since their
sell signals an average of 3.3-weeks ago.
Several ETF’s qualified for buy signals. These are low Pressure buys and
thus will endure quick sell signals with certain attributes. If price
falls below NTI Blue and Force falls below Pressure and/or into bearish
domains, sell signals will follow.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated two buy signals and two sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 27-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 24.6% since their buy signals an average of 46.0-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 27.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding one ETF. It is down 27.3% since the QTI
sell signal 12.9-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is up 2.8% since that
sell signal. Price crossed above NTI Blue. This fund qualified for a buy
signal today except its Force Vector shifted to the east. That with
Pressure being in bearish domains suggests waiting another day or two
before buying based on near-term cyclical behavior.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 40.1%,
annualizing at 50.1% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 81.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 31.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $134.23 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $146.00.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 7.8% since then,
annualizing at 21.3%. The Near-term Indicant has not yet signaled sell, as
indicated last Friday. It’s Force Vector vacillated. As stated the past
three days, since it is bearishly mature, one more day’s observation is
worth the wait. This is GLD’s first interaction with NTI Green since the
last buy signal. That typically triggers a bullish response. However, if
it is again bearish tomorrow, it will endure a sell signal.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
Green with Force below Pressure. Force fell below Pressure and its price
is below NTI Green by less than a buck. Technically, it is now qualified
for a near-term sell signal, but again waiting one more day. There is a
73% probability of a solid bullish response by virtue price falling to NTI
Green.
As
stated yesterday, July call options are appealing. Gold’s bearish behavior
today facilitated a lower purchase price. Set a stop loss, though, as this
options play is counter cyclical.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal yesterday from the Near-term Indicant. Yesterday’s
report errantly stated the Quick-term Indicant signaled sell. It did,
however, do that today. This fund will fall deeply if the stock market
bull resumes. It is down 0.2% since yesterday’s near-term sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell today for
ETF#31-QID.
Although it is configured for a rebound, risks are too high to hold since
it moves exponentially to QQQQ.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 27.3% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled sell today.
Major ETF Events
Jun 30-Thu-There were
several more buy signals even though Vector Pressure remains low.
Jun 29-Wed-Several
“low Pressure” buy signals were triggered by the Near-term Indicant.
Several others are nearing qualifications for buying. The low Pressure is
pestering a bit.
Jun 28-Tue-Two
consecutive days of bullish aggression have not shifted enough near-term
attributes away from their support of the near-term bear cycle.
Jun 27-Mon-If the
bull and bear were matter, they would be enduring consumption by
anti-matter. There is absolutely no energy supporting bull and an
infinitesimal amount supporting bear. Therefore, the bear has an edge.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 30, 2011. The
Near-term Indicant signaled bull for major indices and buy signals for a
few ETF’s. Vector Pressure remains negative (bearish), though. With that,
the next bear/sell signals will occur when Price falls below Blue and
Force falls below Pressure or into bearish domains. In other words, until
NTI Green climbs above bull/buy prices, sell/bear signals will occur more
quickly than normal.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/30/2011
Jun 29, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 21 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The major indices
received Near-term Indicant bull signals today. That is because all major
non-contrarian indices crossed above NTI Blue and Force crossed into
bullish domains. Until NTI Green climbs above bull signal values and/or
Pressure becomes positive, the next bear signal will occur when the major
indices fall below NTI Blue and Force falls into bearish domains. These
are low Pressure bulls and thus the reason for a potential bear signal
quicker than normal.
There were also
several buy signals for ETF’s for similar reasons. The bull should not be
considered as robustly configured until more ETF’s receive buy signals.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
Yesterdays’ exceptions were wiped up with today’s mild bullish behavior.
None of the non contrarian Force Vectors are inside bearish domains, which
is non-bearish. Contrarian VIX Force dipped back into bearish domains.
All
the major indices received a Near-term Indicant bull signal today. This
could be the normal summer rally, as opposed to sustainability. This is a
low pressure bull. Most of the major contrarian index Pressure is in
bearish domains. So, this remains qualified as a bullish spurt, but the
probability of bullish sustainability is too high to continue with
Near-term Bear signals.
The
next bear signal will be quick if indices fall below the NTI Blue Curve
with Force below Pressure and/or in bearish domains.
Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled eleven new bulls and one new bear.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 35.6-weeks. They are up by an average of 15.6% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 22.9%. Contrarian VIX is down 3.8% since its bull
signal 3.6-weeks ago. Its inclusion in bull status is depressing
performance a bit. It did not fall below QTI yellow today.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating,
as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The
NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some
mild interest in gaining robustness.
Jun
29-Wed-Volume, while still depressed, increased on mild bullishness. It
remains suspicious. Wall Street now in workforce reduction process. That
is not a bullish tactic.
Jun
28-Tue-Light volume, again. In spite of bullish aggression, low volume
bullish behavior should always be viewed with suspicion.
Jun
27-Mon-Lighter volume on bullish aggression, compared to mildly heavier
volume on last Friday’s bearish aggression, supports mild favoritism to
the near-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated 12-buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 2.4% since their buy signals an average of 9.1-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 13.8%.
The
NTI is avoiding 16-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.3% since their
sell signals an average of 4.5-weeks ago.
Several ETF’s qualified for buy signals. These are low Pressure buys and
thus will endure quick sell signals with certain attributes. If price
falls below NTI Blue and Force falls below Pressure and/or bearish
domains, sell signals will follow. Several of those not receiving a sell
signal are enduring falling Force from a shallow position in bullish
domains.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated two buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 27-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 23.5% since their buy signals an average of 46.2-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 26.4%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average
of 7.3% since the QTI sell signals 5.9-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is up 1.3% since that
sell signal. Price crossed above NTI Blue. Force is struggling in support
of the petro-bull. The next near-term buy signal will not occur until
Price is above Blue and Force is higher than Pressure and in bullish
domains.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 38.0%,
annualizing at 47.7% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 82.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 31.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $134.12 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $147.18.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 8.7% since then,
annualizing at 23.9%. The Near-term Indicant has not yet signaled sell, as
indicated last Friday. It’s Force Vector vacillated. As stated the past
two days, since it is bearishly mature, one more day’s observation is
worth the wait.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
Green with Force below Pressure. Force fell below Pressure and its price
is below NTI Green by less than a buck. Technically, it is now qualified
for a near-term sell signal, but again waiting one more day. There is a
73% probability of a solid bullish response by virtue price falling to NTI
Green. July call options are appealing.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal today from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. This fund will fall deeply if the stock market bull
resumes.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 0.1% since then, annualizing at 1.2%. Pressure remains in bullish
domains and price remains above NTI-Green. These two attributes justify
continued holding.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 24.3% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is down
1.5% since then.
Major ETF Events
Jun 29-Wed-Several
“low Pressure” buy signals were triggered by the Near-term Indicant.
Several others are nearing qualifications for buying. The low Pressure is
pestering a bit.
Jun 28-Tue-Two
consecutive days of bullish aggression have not shifted enough near-term
attributes away from their support of the near-term bear cycle.
Jun 27-Mon-If the
bull and bear were matter, they would be enduring consumption by
anti-matter. There is absolutely no energy supporting bull and an
infinitesimal amount supporting bear. Therefore, the bear has an edge.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 29, 2011. The
Near-term Indicant signaled bull for major indices and buy signals for a
few ETF’s. Vector Pressure remains negative (bearish), though. With that,
the next bear/sell signals will occur when Price falls below Blue and
Force falls below Pressure or into bearish domains. In other words, until
NTI Green climbs above bull/buy prices, sell/bear signals will occur more
quickly than normal.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/29/2011
Jun 28, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 20 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term
cyclical trend remains bearish in spite of stock market bullishness the
past two days. That contradicts a bit with last Friday’s statement that
the bull is challenging the bear in spite of last Friday’s bearish
aggression. The qualitative content of those two quasi conflicting
statements is consistent with the math; that is both observations are
supported by Force and Pressure. Both of those elemental attributes are
struggling to support either direction.
The bearish trend,
however, remains entrenched along the near-term cycle. A few more
attributes shifting in favor of the bull are required before generating a
bull signal for the near-term cycle.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
All
major non-contrarian indices are above the Near-term bullishly increasing
blue curve. That is bullish with a couple of exceptions. The Dow Utilities
Force Vector remains in bearish domains. It is the only major
non-contrarian index enduring that attribute. The VIX Force Vector crossed
into bullish domains today. If these DJU and VIX attributes reverse, the
Near-term Indicant will signal bull in anticipation of a “summertime”
rally in spite of suspiciously low volume.
NASDAQ and NAS100 Vector Pressure also continues listing in bearish
domains and an equal threat with gravitational affects to these indices.
The S&P500 and S&P100 remain weak. Today’s bullish behavior propelled them
above NTI Blue or NTI Green. That is challenging to the near-term bear.
Also, their Force Vectors are shifting south from the low end of bullish
domains. That adds suspicion to the quality of their bullish behavior the
past two days.
Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 0.1% since those bear signals an
average of 4.2-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 7.2%
since its Near-term bull signal 3.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 104.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 35.4-weeks. They are up by an average of 15.9% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 23.3%. Contrarian VIX is up 7.2% since its bull
signal 3.4-weeks ago. Its inclusion in bull status is depressing
performance a bit.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating,
as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The
NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some
mild interest in gaining robustness.
Jun
28-Tue-Light volume, again. In spite of bullish aggression, low volume
bullish behavior should always be viewed with suspicion.
Jun
27-Mon-Lighter volume on bullish aggression, compared to mildly heavier
volume on last Friday’s bearish aggression, supports mild favoritism to
the near-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 2.7% since their buy signals an average of 8.3-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 17.0%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.2% since their
sell signals an average of 3.8-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve. Some have accomplished
those two feats the past few days, but not enough of the non-contrarians
have answered the call of the Near-term Bull cycle. Also, most of the
contrarian ETF’s have not fallen below NTI Green, adding a depressing
affect to bullish desires. TLT’s price fell below NTI-Green today, while
the other contrarian’s are holding above. In essence, bullish support
along the near-term cycle remains absent in spite of bullish aggression
the past two days.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 27-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 22.7% since their buy signals an average of 46.1-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 25.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of
3.2% since the QTI sell signals 4.9-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is up 0.1% since that
sell signal. Price crossed above NTI Blue but Force continues meandering
in bearish domains. The next near-term buy signal will not occur until
Price is above Blue and Force is higher than Pressure and in bullish
domains. This ETF is increasingly bearish along the near-term cycle in
spite of its strong bullish expression today.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 36.4%,
annualizing at 45.9% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 81.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 31.5%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $134.00 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $146.24.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 8.0% since then,
annualizing at 22.1%. The Near-term Indicant did not signal sell
yesterday, as indicated last Friday. It’s Force Vector vacillated. As
stated yesterday, since it is bearishly mature, one more day’s observation
is worth the wait.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
Green with Force below Pressure. Force fell below Pressure and its price
is below NTI Green by less than a buck. Technically, it is now qualified
for a near-term sell signal, but again waiting one more day.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is down 1.8% since the buy
signals. Its Force fell into bearish domains and price fell below NTI
Green. This ETF lost its Red Bull status today. It is qualified for a sell
signal, but configured for a bullish recoil.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 0.9% since then, annualizing at 9.4%. Pressure remains in bullish
domains and price remains well above NTI-Green. These two attributes
justify continued holding.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 20.3% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
3.7% since then, annualizing at 52.8%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 28-Tue-Two
consecutive days of bullish aggression have not shifted enough near-term
attributes away from their support of the near-term bear cycle.
Jun 27-Mon-If the
bull and bear were matter, they would be enduring consumption by
anti-matter. There is absolutely no energy supporting bull and an
infinitesimal amount supporting bear. Therefore, the bear has an edge.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 28, 2011. The
stock market bear continues along the near-term cycle in spite of bullish
aggression the past two days. Until the near-term cyclical trend, which is
bearish, is reversed, arguments against the near-term bear cycle should be
muted. The Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices
remain above the QTI bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are
interacting with bearish yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/28/2011
Jun 27, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 19 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term
cyclical trend remains bearish in spite of today’s stock market
bullishness. That contradicts a bit with last Friday’s statement that the
bull is challenging the bear in spite of last Friday’s bearish aggression.
The qualitative content of those two quasi conflicting statements is
consistent with the math; that is both observations are supported by Force
and Pressure. Both of those elemental attributes are struggling to support
either direction.
The bearish trend,
however, remains inarguably entrenched along the near-term cycle.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Short-term Market
Summary
An
inflection point is certainly underway. The most sophisticated math is in
a bit of an upheaval at this point. Utility’s Force Vector fell into
bearish domains today, while it is below NTI Blue. Pressure is clinging,
marginally, to bullish domains. Transports, on the other hand, are
encouraged with downward energy costs. Its Force is well inside bullish
domains, while its Pressure remains in bearish domains. It is above NTI
Blue and Green. Other than Pressure’s gravitational threat to Transports,
it would be bullish along the near-term cycle.
NASDAQ and NAS100 Vector Pressure also continues listing in bearish
domains and an equal threat with gravitational affects to this index. The
S&P500 and S&P100 remain weak. Today’s bullish behavior did not propel
them above NTI Blue or NTI Green. That remains solidly bearish. Also,
their Force Vectors are shifting south from the low end of bullish
domains. That adds suspicion to the quality of their bullish behavior
today.
The
smaller caps, S&P400 did not cross above NTI Blue today, while the S&P600
is solidly bullish. However, it stands alone with those attributes and
without some added bullish attributes from the other major indices, it
remains with a Near-term Bear signal.
Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.3% since those bear signals an
average of 4.1-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 14.5%
since its Near-term bull signal 3.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 220.5%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 35.3-weeks. They are up by an average of 15.2% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 22.3%. Contrarian VIX is up 14.5% since its bull
signal 3.4-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. However, lethargy is no longer accelerating,
as normalcy with respect to summertime’s depressed volume is maturing. The
NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains with some
mild interest in gaining robustness.
Jun
27-Mon-Lighter volume on bullish aggression, compared to mildly heavier
volume on last Friday’s bearish aggression, supports mild favoritism to
the near-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.7% since their buy signals an average of 8.1-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 30.1%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since their
sell signals an average of 3.6-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve. Some have accomplished
those two feats the past few days, but not enough of the non-contrarians
have answered the call of the Near-term Bull cycle. Also, none of the
contrarian ETF’s have fallen below NTI Green, adding a depressing affect
to bullish desires.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 27-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 21.3% since their buy signals an average of 45.9-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 24.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of
3.5% since the QTI sell signals 4.8-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is down 2.7% since
that sell signal. Price fell below NTI Blue and Force continues meandering
in bearish domains. The next near-term buy signal will not occur until
Price is above Blue and Force is higher than Pressure. This ETF is
increasingly bearish along the near-term cycle.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 32.6%,
annualizing at 41.1% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 80.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 31.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $133.88 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $145.73.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 7.6% since then,
annualizing at 21.3%. The Near-term Indicant did not signal sell today, as
indicated last Friday. It’s Force Vector vacillated. Since it is bearishly
mature, one more day’s observation is worth the wait.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
Green with Force below Pressure. Force fell below Pressure and its price
is below NTI Green by less than a buck. Technically, it is now qualified
for a sell signal, but waiting one more day.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is down 1.0% since the buy
signals. Its Force fell into bearish domains, but price remains above NTI
Green. This tricky ETF remains as a Red Bull and more bullishness would
not be surprising.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 4.1% since then, annualizing at 44.3%. Force remains in bullish
domains, supporting bullish bias, although declining a bit. The next
near-term sell signal will not occur until price falls below NTI Green and
Force less than Pressure. Force is now less than Pressure, but price
remains above green. It is configured for more bullishness and stock
market bearishness.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 16.9% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
8.0% since then, annualizing at 120.7%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 27-Mon-If the
bull and bear were matter, they would be enduring consumption by
anti-matter. There is absolutely no energy supporting bull and an
infinitesimal amount supporting bear. Therefore, the bear has an edge.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 27, 2011. The
stock market bear continues along the near-term cycle. Until the near-term
cyclical trend, which is bearish, is reversed, arguments against the
near-term bear cycle should be muted. The Quick-term Indicant bull/holds
remain in tact since prices remain above the QTI bearish yellow curve, but
notice that a few are interacting with bearish yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/27/2011
Jun 24, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 18 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
remains bearish, but being challenged by the near-term bull cycle in spite
of Friday’s aggressive stock market bearish behavior. The next buy/bull
signals will not occur until crossing above NTI blue and Force crosses
above Pressure. Volume remains low, which should encourage some additional
volatility.
None of the
non-contrarian ETF’s are NTI Blue bulls. Several Force Vectors shifted
back to the south today, but 21-remain in bullish domains and thus one
element of the bullish threat against the dominating near-term bear cycle.
All Near-term
attributes are, cyclically, trending south for the non-contrarian ETF’s.
All contrarians are cyclically moving north. An inflection point is
attempting to form along the near-term cycle where the Near-term bear
retains its edge.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.2% since those bear signals an
average of 3.7-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 17.8%
since its Near-term bull signal 3.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 309.0%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 34.9-weeks. They are up by an average of 14.4% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 21.5%. Contrarian VIX is up 17.8% since its bull
signal 3.0-weeks ago.
Short-term Market
Summary
A
Near-term Indicant bull signal will manifest when prices are above NTI
blue curve and Force is greater than Vector Pressure. That occurred last
Tuesday, Jun 21, for several indices, but not enough to trigger bull
signals. A bit more bullish unanimity is required for a near-term bull
signal. Much of last Tuesday’s threat to the bear has evaporated.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic
summertime volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these
configurations shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall
stock market lethargy.
Jun
24-Fri-Although volume is not screaming, it has been increasing on days
with bearish behavior. That supports the bear along the near-term bear
cycle.
Jun
23-Thu-Volume was up on today’s mixed stock market behavior. Much of that
was attributable to bearish aggression in the morning hours. The stock
market recovered before the close with mixed results.
Jun
22-Wed-Yesterday’s volume on bullish aggression was a bit higher than
today’s volume on bearish behavior. That bodes well for underlying stock
market bearish spurt behavior, as opposed to a massive bear. However, the
near-term bear cycle remains in tact.
Jun
20-Mon-Light volume on mild bullish behavior is not inspirational to the
bull. So far, configurations suggest any bullish rally is a mere spurt in
the face of a short-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.4% since their buy signals an average of 7.7-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 43.3%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.3% since their
sell signals an average of 3.2-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve. Some have accomplished
those two feats the past few days, but not enough of the non-contrarians
have answered the call of the Near-term Bull cycle. Also, none of the
contrarian ETF’s have fallen below NTI Green, adding a depressing affect
to bullish desires.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 27-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 20.7% since their buy signals an average of 45.5-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 23.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of
3.8% since the QTI sell signals 4.3-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is down 3.2% since
that sell signal. Price fell below NTI Blue and Force continues meandering
in bearish domains. The next near-term buy signal will not occur until
Price is above Blue and Force is higher than Pressure. Politicians
released strategic petroleum reserves for their political gain and at the
sacrifice of the purpose of “strategic reserves.”
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 31.9%,
annualizing at 40.7% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 81.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 31.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $133.76 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $146.26.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 8.0% since then,
annualizing at 22.9%. The Near-term Indicant may signal sell next Monday
if it again endures bearish expression.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
Green with Force below Pressure. Force fell below Pressure and its price
is below NTI Green by six pennies. Technically, it is now qualified for a
sell signal.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is up 0.4% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 3.8%.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 7.5% since then, annualizing at 90.3%. Force remains in bullish
domains, supporting bullish bias, although declining a bit. The next
near-term sell signal will not occur until price falls below NTI Green and
Force less than Pressure.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 15.7% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
9.7% since then, annualizing at 165.6%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 24-Fri-Gold fell
below NTI green, qualifying for a sell signal next Monday.
Jun 23-Wed-Three more
non-contrarian Force Vectors climbed into bullish domains. Nearly all are
in bullish domains on a mature bullish Force cycle.
Jun
22-Tue-ETF#13-EWH-Hong Kong fell below QTI Yellow. Consequently, a sell
signal was triggered even though Force is bearishly mature.
Jun 20-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 24, 2011. The
stock market bear continues along the near-term cycle. The Quick-term
Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above the QTI
bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are interacting with bearish
yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/24/2011
Jun 23, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 17 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
remains bearish, but being challenged by the near-term bull cycle. The
next buy/bull signals will not occur until crossing above NTI blue and
Force crosses above Pressure. Volume remains low, which should encourage
some additional volatility.
Several
non-contrarian Force Vectors continue climbing north from bearish domains.
Now a total of 21-Force Vectors are in bullish domains and above Vector
Pressure. Their interaction with Pressure and/or bullish domains will be
interesting. If they quickly retreat back to the south with solid bearish
expressions, the near-term bear will be invigorated. If they climb into
bullish domains with solid bullish behavior, the bull will find
inspiration.
Only seven
non-contrarians enjoy NTI Blue Bull status, while eleven blue curves are
sloping northward. A few more are needed and contrarians need to contain
more bearish attributes. The near-term bull and bear are engaging in a
major battle right now for dominance.
All Near-term
attributes are cyclically trending south. An inflection point is
attempting to form along the near-term cycle.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.2% since those bear signals an
average of 3.5-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 7.5%
since its Near-term bull signal 2.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 135.9%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 34.7-weeks. They are up by an average of 14.7% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 22.0%. Contrarian VIX is up 7.5% since its bull
signal 2.9-weeks ago.
Short-term Market
Summary
A
Near-term Indicant bull signal will manifest when prices are above NTI
blue curve and Force is greater than Vector Pressure. That occurred last
Tuesday, Jun 21, for several indices, but not enough to trigger bull
signals. A bit more bullish unanimity is required for a near-term bull
signal.
The
NAS100 fell below NTI Green this past Wed, which is very bearish along the
near-term cycle. Its puniness more than offsets Utility and Transport
bullishness. The NYSE is even more puny.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic
summertime volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these
configurations shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall
stock market lethargy.
Jun
23-Thu-Volume was up on today’s mixed stock market behavior. Much of that
was attributable to bearish aggression in the morning hours. The stock
market recovered before the close with mixed results.
Jun
22-Wed-Yesterday’s volume on bullish aggression was a bit higher than
today’s volume on bearish behavior. That bodes well for underlying stock
market bearish spurt behavior, as opposed to a massive bear. However, the
near-term bear cycle remains in tact.
Jun
20-Mon-Light volume on mild bullish behavior is not inspirational to the
bull. So far, configurations suggest any bullish rally is a mere spurt in
the face of a short-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.9% since their buy signals an average of 7.5-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 33.5%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.5% since their
sell signals an average of 3.1-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve. Some have accomplished
those two feats the past few days, but not enough of the non-contrarians
have answered the call of the Near-term Bull cycle. Also, none of the
contrarian ETF’s have fallen below NTI Green.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 27-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 21.7% since their buy signals an average of 45.4-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 24.9%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of
4.4% since the QTI sell signals 4.2-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is down 1.4% since
that sell signal. Price fell below NTI Blue and Force continues meandering
in bearish domains. The next near-term buy signal will not occur until
Price is above Blue and Force is higher than Pressure. Politicians
released strategic petroleum reserves for their political gain and at the
sacrifice of the purpose of “strategic reserves.” That, combined with a
weakening dollar, does not bode well, fundamentally, for this contrarian
fund.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 34.4%,
annualizing at 44.1% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 83.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 32.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $133.64 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $148.34.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 9.5% since then,
annualizing at 27.5%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
Green with Force below Pressure. Force fell below Pressure and price
remains above NTI Green.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is up 0.8% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 8.1%.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 3.8% since then, annualizing at 47.8%. Force remains in bullish
domains, supporting bullish bias, although declining a bit. The next
near-term sell signal will not occur until price falls below NTI Green and
Force less than Pressure.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 19.0% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
5.3% since then, annualizing at 94.9%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 23-Wed-Three more
non-contrarian Force Vectors climbed into bullish domains. Nearly all are
in bullish domains on a mature bullish Force cycle.
Jun
22-Tue-ETF#13-EWH-Hong Kong fell below QTI Yellow. Consequently, a sell
signal was triggered even though Force is bearishly mature.
Jun 20-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 23, 2011. The
stock market bear continues along the near-term cycle. The Quick-term
Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above the QTI
bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are interacting with bearish
yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/23/2011
Jun 22, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 16 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
remains bearish, but being challenged by the near-term bull cycle. The
next buy/bull signals will not occur until crossing above NTI blue and
Force crosses above Pressure. Volume remains low, which should encourage
some additional volatility.
Several Force Vectors
are climbing north from bearish domains. Their interaction with Pressure
and/or bullish domains will be interesting. If they quickly retreat back
to the south with solid bearish expressions, the near-term bear will be
invigorated. If they climb into bullish domains with solid bullish
behavior, the bull will find inspiration.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.1% since those bear signals an
average of 3.4-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 3.2%
since its Near-term bull signal 2.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 60.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 34.6-weeks. They are up by an average of 14.4% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 21.7%. Contrarian VIX is up 3.2% since its bull
signal 2.7-weeks ago.
Short-term Market
Summary
A
Near-term Indicant bull signal will manifest only when prices are above
NTI blue curve and Force is greater than Vector Pressure. That occurred
yesterday, Jun 21, for several indices, but not enough to trigger bull
signals. A bit more unanimity is required for a near-term bull signal.
The
NAS100 fell below NTI Green, which is very bearish along the near-term
cycle. Its puniness more than offsets Utility and Transport bullishness.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic
summertime volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these
configurations shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall
stock market lethargy.
Jun
22-Wed-Yesterday’s volume on bullish aggression was a bit higher than
today’s volume on bearish behavior. That bodes well for underlying stock
market bearish spurt behavior, as opposed to a massive bear. However, the
near-term bear cycle remains in tact.
Jun
20-Mon-Light volume on mild bullish behavior is not inspirational to the
bull. So far, configurations suggest any bullish rally is a mere spurt in
the face of a short-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 5.7% since their buy signals an average of 7.4-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 39.9%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.2% since their
sell signals an average of 2.9-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 27-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 22.1% since their buy signals an average of 45.2-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 25.4%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of
4.9% since the QTI sell signals 5.1-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is down 0.3% since
that sell signal. Price climbed above NTI Blue but Force continues
meandering in bearish domains. The next near-term buy signal will not
occur until Price is above Blue and Force is higher than Pressure.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 35.9%,
annualizing at 46.2% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 88.2% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $133.49 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $150.99.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 11.5% since
then, annualizing at 33.4%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
green with Force below Pressure. Force climbed above Pressure and price
remains above NTI green.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is up 0.1% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 0.6%.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 5.8% since then, annualizing at 74.8%. Force remains in bullish
domains, supporting bullish bias, although declining a bit. The next
near-term sell signal will not occur until price falls below Green and
Force less than Pressure.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 19.0% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
5.3% since then, annualizing at 99.7%.
Major ETF Events
Jun
22-Tue-ETF#13-EWH-Hong Kong fell below QTI Yellow. Consequently, a sell
signal was triggered even though Force is bearishly mature.
Jun 20-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 22, 2011. The
stock market bear continues along the near-term cycle. The Quick-term
Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above the QTI
bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are interacting with bearish
yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/22/2011
There was no daily report on June 21, 2011 due to system changes.
Jun 20, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 14 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
remains solidly bearish. The next buy/bull signals will not occur until
crossing above NTI blue and Force crosses above Pressure. Volume remains
low, which should encourage some additional volatility.
Several Force Vectors
are climbing north from bearish domains. Their interaction with Pressure
and/or bullish domains will be interesting. If they quickly retreat back
to the south with solid bearish expressions, the near-term bear will be
invigorated. If they climb into bullish domains with solid bullish
behavior, the bull will find inspiration.
Today’s mild
bullishness was insignificant to the near-term bearish cycle.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.0% since those bear signals an
average of 3.1-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 11.8%
since its Near-term bull signal 2.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 251.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 34.3-weeks. They are up by an average of 14.2% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 21.5%. Contrarian VIX is up 11.8% since its bull
signal 2.4-weeks ago.
Short-term Market
Summary
A
Near-term Indicant bull signal will manifest only when prices are above
NTI blue curve and Force is greater than Vector Pressure. The bear
continues minimizing that potential, but a few indices are threatening
with some bullish inspiration.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic
summertime volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these
configurations shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall
stock market lethargy.
Jun
20-Mon-Light volume on mild bullish behavior is not inspirational to the
bull. So far, configurations suggest any bullish rally is a mere spurt in
the face of a short-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 7.0% since their buy signals an average of 7.1-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 51.3%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.6% since their
sell signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 20.9% since their buy signals an average of 44.9-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 24.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of
4.7% since the QTI sell signals 4.8-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is down 1.9% since
that sell signal. Price remains below NTI Blue and Force continues
meandering in bearish domains. The next near-term buy signal will not
occur until Price is above Blue and Force is higher than Pressure.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 33.6%,
annualizing at 43.6% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 86.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $133.21 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $150.03.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 10.8% since
then, annualizing at 31.9%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
green with Force below Pressure. Force remains below Pressure, but price
remains above NTI green.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is up 0.4% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 4.7%.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 9.0% since then, annualizing at 124.5%. Force remains in bullish
domains, supporting bullish bias, although declining a bit.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 17.1% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
7.8% since then, annualizing at 165.7%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 20-Mon-None
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 20, 2011. The
stock market bear continues along the near-term cycle. The Quick-term
Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above the QTI
bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are interacting with bearish
yellow. The bull should find some inspiration, as these potential
interactions are slowing bearish aggression.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/20/2011
Jun 17, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 13 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
remains solidly bearish. The next buy/bull signals will not occur until
crossing above NTI blue and Force crosses above Pressure. Volume remains
low, which should encourage some additional volatility.
Several Force Vectors
are climbing north from bearish domains. Their interaction with Pressure
and/or bullish domains will be interesting. If they quickly retreat back
to the south with solid bearish expressions, the near-term bear will find
additional vigor. If they climb into bullish domains with solid bullish
behavior, the bull will find inspiration.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market continues with bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices enduring a Near-term Indicant Bear
signal. Bearish unanimity suggests the bull is too anemic for argument.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.6% since those bear signals an
average of 2.7-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 21.8%
since its Near-term bull signal 2.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 567.8%. Of
course that annualized amount will not manifest. The math is what it is.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 33.9-weeks. They are up by an average of 14.4% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 22.1%. Contrarian VIX is up 21.8% since its bull
signal 2.0-weeks ago. Its expected rise will deflate performance here
since the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not
qualify for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the
possible exception of the Dow Utilities. Interestingly, for the first time
since September 2010, many indices are nearing their QTI bearish yellow
curve. QTI yellow was also contacted in July 2009. Both of these
interactions, however, triggered powerful bullish responses. It will be
interesting if same occurs this time. (Note: Yesterday’s report stated
these interactions triggered powerful bearish responses. That was wrong.
Bullish responses were triggered. The website was corrected).
Short-term Market
Summary
A
Near-term Indicant bull signal will manifest only when prices are above
NTI blue curve and Force is greater than Vector Pressure. The bear
continues minimizing that potential, but a few indices are threatening
with some bullish inspiration.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic
summertime volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these
configurations shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall
stock market lethargy.
Jun
17-Fri-Higher volume, but within norms, on flat behavior does nothing to
motivate the near-term bull to exert influence.
Jun
16-Thu-Although volume was up on mixed behavior, the NYSE and NASDAQ were
mildly bearish. That did nothing to discourage the bear from continuing
its shenanigans.
Jun
15-Wed-Volume was higher on bearish aggression than yesterday’s bullish
aggression. The bear finds a bit more inspiration to claw even more
deeply.
Jun
14-Tue-Lighter volume on bullish aggression than recent higher volume on
bearish aggression offers no sustainable support for the stock market
bull.
Jun
13-Mon-Low volume on flat stock market behavior does not support bias
shift from bearish.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 8.5% since their buy signals an average of 6.7-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 66.3%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.5% since their
sell signals an average of 2.2-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 20.1% since their buy signals an average of 44.5-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 23.5%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding four ETF’s. They are down by an average of
3.9% since the QTI sell signals 4.4-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is down 2.5% since
that sell signal. Price remains below NTI Blue and Force continues
meandering in bearish domains.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 32.8%,
annualizing at 42.9% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 85.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $133.06 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $149.94.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 10.7% since
then, annualizing at 32.5%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
green with Force below Pressure. Force remains below Pressure, but price
remains above NTI green.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is up 0.3% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 3.7%.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 10.2% since then, annualizing at 159.2%. Force is aggressive in
bullish domains, supporting bullish bias.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 13.2% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
12.8% since then, annualizing at 329.9%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 17-Fri-None
Jun 16-Thu-One more Quick-term sell signal. Prices are starting to
interact with QTI Yellow.
Jun 15-Wed-Strong
bearish aggression demonstrated yesterday’s comment.
Jun 14-Tue-Bullish
aggression has no support for sustainability until prices climb above NTI
Blue and Force mounts Pressure.
Jun 13-Mon-None.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 17, 2011. The
stock market bear is gaining strength on the near-term cycle. The
Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above
the QTI bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are interacting with
bearish yellow. The bull should find some inspiration, as these
interactions are slowing bearish aggression.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/17/2011
Jun 16, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 12 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
is solidly bearish. The next buy/bull signals will not occur until
crossing above NTI blue and Force crosses above Pressure. Volume remains
low, which should encourage some additional volatility.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market continues with bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices enduring a Near-term Indicant Bear
signal. Bearish unanimity suggests the bull is too anemic for argument.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.9% since those bear signals an
average of 2.5-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 26.6%
since its Near-term bull signal 1.9-weeks ago, annualizing at 745.6%. Of
course that annualized amount will not manifest. The math is what it is.
But this time around, prior losses have been recouped and much more to
come.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 33.7-weeks. They are up by an average of 14.5% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 22.3%. Contrarian VIX is up 26.6% since its bull
signal 1.9-weeks ago. Its expected rise will deflate performance here
since the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not
qualify for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the
possible exception of the Dow Utilities. Interestingly, for the first time
since September 2010, many indices are nearing their QTI bearish yellow
curve. The past few reports erroneously indicated the last interaction
with QTI yellow was in July 2009. Both of these interactions, however,
triggered powerful bullish responses. It will be interesting if same
occurs this time.
Short-term Market
Summary
A
Near-term Indicant bull signal will manifest only when prices are above
NTI blue curve and Force is greater than Vector Pressure. The bear is, so
far, minimizing that potential.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic
summertime volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these
configurations shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall
stock market lethargy.
Jun
16-Thu-Although volume was up on mixed behavior, the NYSE and NASDAQ were
mildly bearish. That did nothing to discourage the bear from continuing
its shenanigans.
Jun
15-Wed-Volume was higher on bearish aggression than yesterday’s bullish
aggression. The bear finds a bit more inspiration to claw even more
deeply.
Jun
14-Tue-Lighter volume on bullish aggression than recent higher volume on
bearish aggression offers no sustainable support for the stock market
bull.
Jun
13-Mon-Low volume on flat stock market behavior does not support bias
shift from bearish.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 8.8% since their buy signals an average of 6.5-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 70.3%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.6% since their
sell signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 20.0% since their buy signals an average of 44.4-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 23.5%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average
of 5.1% since the QTI sell signals 5.6-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is down 1.9% since
that sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 33.6%,
annualizing at 44.1% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 84.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $132.91 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $148.97.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 10.0% since
then, annualizing at 30.6%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
green with Force below Pressure. Force is now below Pressure, but price
remains above NTI green.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is up 0.8% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 9.6%.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 9.5% since then, annualizing at 155.0%. Force is aggressive in
bullish domains, supporting bullish bias.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 11.5% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
15.1% since then, annualizing at 417.2%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 16-Thu-One more
Quick-term sell signal. Prices are starting to interact with QTI Yellow.
Jun 15-Wed-Strong
bearish aggression demonstrated yesterday’s comment.
Jun 14-Tue-Bullish
aggression has no support for sustainability until prices climb above NTI
Blue and Force mounts Pressure.
Jun 13-Mon-None.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 16, 2011. The
stock market bear is gaining strength on the near-term cycle. The
Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above
the QTI bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are threatening to
interact with bearish yellow. There was one sell signal today.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/16/2011
Jun 15, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 11 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
is solidly bearish. The next buy/bull signals will not occur until
crossing above NTI blue and Force crosses above Pressure. Volume remains
low, which should encourage some additional volatility. Yesterday’s
bullish behavior, as stated, proved irrelevant by today’s bearish
aggression. Regardless of stock market behavior, the near-term cycle will
not qualify as bullish until Force crosses above Pressure and prices climb
above NTI blue curve.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market is now expressing bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices enduring a Near-term Indicant Bear
signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 3.0% since those bear signals an
average of 2.4-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 18.7%
since its Near-term bull signal 1.7-weeks ago, annualizing at 566.1%. Of
course that annualized amount is unlikely to manifest. However, the math
is what it is.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 33.6-weeks. They are up by an average of 13.6% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 21.1%. Contrarian VIX is up 18.7% since its bull
signal 1.7-weeks ago. Its expected rise will deflate performance here
since the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not
qualify for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the
possible exception of the Dow Utilities. Interestingly, for the first time
since July 2009, many indices are nearing their QTI bearish yellow curve.
Short-term Market
Summary
A
Near-term Indicant bull signal will manifest only when prices are above
NTI blue curve and Force is greater than Vector Pressure. The bear is, so
far, minimizing that potential.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic
summertime volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these
configurations shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall
stock market lethargy.
Jun
15-Wed-Volume was higher on bearish aggression than yesterday’s bullish
aggression. The bear finds a bit more inspiration to claw even more
deeply.
Jun
14-Tue-Lighter volume on bullish aggression than recent higher volume on
bearish aggression offers no sustainable support for the stock market
bull.
Jun
13-Mon-Low volume on flat stock market behavior does not support bias
shift from bearish.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and two sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 7.1% since their buy signals an average of 6.4-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 57.4%.
The
NTI is avoiding 26-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.8% since their
sell signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 19.1% since their buy signals an average of 42.8-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 23.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average
of 6.6% since the QTI sell signals 5.5-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011. It is down 2.1% since
that sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 33.4%,
annualizing at 44.0% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 84.9% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.4%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $132.76 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $145.57.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 10.1% since
then, annualizing at 31.2%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
green with Force below Pressure. Force is now below Pressure, but price
remains above NTI green.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. It is pretty hot, but the next sell signal will not
occur until price falls below NTI Green. It is up 0.3% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 4.2%.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 8.6% since then, annualizing at 146.8%. Force is aggressive in
bullish domains, supporting bullish bias.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 16.1% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
9.2% since then, annualizing at 276.3%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 15-Wed-Strong
bearish aggression demonstrated yesterday’s comment.
Jun 14-Tue-Bullish
aggression has no support for sustainability until prices climb above NTI
Blue and Force mounts Pressure.
Jun 13-Mon-None.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 15, 2011. The
stock market bear is gaining strength on the near-term cycle. The
Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above
the QTI bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are threatening to
interact with bearish yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/15/2011
Jun 14, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 10 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
is solidly bearish. The next buy/bull signals will not occur until
crossing above NTI blue and Force crosses above Pressure. Volume remains
low, which should encourage some additional volatility. Today’s bullish
behavior is irrelevant, based on current configurations.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market is now expressing bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices along the Near-term Indicant Bear
signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.5% since those bear signals an
average of 2.2-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 1.7%
since its Near-term bull signal 1.6-weeks ago, annualizing at 57.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 33.4-weeks. They are up by an average of 13.9% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 21.7%. Contrarian VIX is up 1.7% since its bull
signal 1.6-weeks ago. Its expected rise will deflate performance here
since the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not
qualify for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the
possible exception of the Dow Utilities. Interestingly, for the first time
since July 2009, many indices are nearing their QTI bearish yellow curve.
Short-term Market
Summary
A
Near-term Indicant bull signal will manifest only when prices are above
NTI blue curve and Force is greater than Vector Pressure.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic
summertime volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these
configurations shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall
stock market lethargy.
Jun
14-Tue-Lighter volume on bullish aggression than recent higher volume on
bearish aggression offers no sustainable support for the stock market
bull.
Jun
13-Mon-Low volume on flat stock market behavior does not support bias
shift from bearish.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for six-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.7% since their buy signals an average of 12.4-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 28.2%.
The
NTI is avoiding 26-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.9% since their
sell signals an average of 1.9-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 20.8% since their buy signals an average of 42.6-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 20.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average
of 7.4% since the QTI sell signals 5.3-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011, as Force dipped below
Pressure and into bearish domains. It is up 0.2% since that sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 36.5%,
annualizing at 48.3% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 84.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $132.61 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $148.67.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 9.8% since then,
annualizing at 30.4%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
green with Force below Pressure. Force is now below Pressure, but price
remains above NTI green.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. Force started rising in bullish domains at that time,
but weakened the past few days in bullish domains. It is pretty hot, but
the next sell signal will not occur until price falls below NTI Green. It
is down 1.4% since the buy signals.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 4.8% since then, annualizing at 85.6%. Force is aggressive in
bullish domains, supporting bullish bias.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 22.7% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
0.7% since then, annualizing at 21.9%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 14-Tue-Bullish
aggression has no support for sustainability until prices climb above NTI
Blue and Force mounts Pressure.
Jun 13-Mon-None.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 14, 2011. The
stock market bear is gaining strength on the near-term cycle. The
Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above
the QTI bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are threatening to
interact with bearish yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/14/2011
Jun 13, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
is solidly bearish. The next buy/bull signals will not occur until
crossing above NTI blue and Force crosses above Pressure. Volume remains
low, which should encourage some additional volatility.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market is now expressing bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices along the Near-term Indicant Bear
signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.8% since those bear signals an
average of 2.1-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 8.5%
since its Near-term bull signal 1.4-weeks ago, annualizing at 308.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 33.3-weeks. They are up by an average of 13.0% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 20.4%. Contrarian VIX is up 8.5% since its bull
signal 1.4-weeks ago. Its expected rise will deflate performance here
since the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not
qualify for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the
possible exception of the Dow Utilities. Interestingly, for the first time
since July 2009, many indices are nearing their QTI bearish yellow curve.
Short-term Market
Summary
Bearishly mature Force Vectors shifted north, which should invoke
non-bearish to bullish behavior. However, this pestering bear will only
laugh at that along the near-term cycle. With the exception of the Dow
Utilities all non-contrarian indices are enduring negative Vector
Pressure. Both Near-term Indicant curves are cyclically south.
The
VIX has not completed its bullish cycle.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains, while mildly increasing there. It appears to be peaking
ahead of normally lethargic summertime volume. As stated the past several
weeks, unless these configurations shift back to robustness, do not be
surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Jun
13-Mon-Low volume on flat stock market behavior does not support bias
shift from bearish.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for six-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 7.6% since their buy signals an average of 12.3-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 32.3%.
The
NTI is avoiding 26-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.5% since their
sell signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago.
The
avoided ETF’s will not receive buy signals until Force crosses above
Pressure and prices climb above NTI blue curve.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 19.3% since their buy signals an average of 42.5-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 19.3%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average
of 7.4% since the QTI sell signals 5.2-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011, as Force dipped below
Pressure and into bearish domains. It is down 1.9% since that sell
signal. That coupled with price below NTI blue offered no alternative to
the sell signal. Pressure fell into bearish domains this past Thursday,
supporting the near-term avoid signal. Magnitude is always unknown, but
risks are too high to continue to holding.
The
near-term cycle is not behaving in a contrarian manner at this point. Keep
in mind, though, this fund can be extremely contrarian to the stock market
depending on the nature of the worldwide economy and not just that of the
U.S. economy.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 33.7%,
annualizing at 44.7% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 83.2% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 32.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $132.46 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
Friday’s closing price of $147.77. Force fell below Pressure this past
Friday and is a bit discerning.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 9.1% since then,
annualizing at 28.6%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI
green with Force below Pressure. Force is now below Pressure, but price
remains above NTI green.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. Force started rising in bullish domains at that time,
but weakened the past few days in bullish domains. It is pretty hot, but
the next sell signal will not occur until price falls below NTI Blue,
since the buy signal was tardy in doing so. It is up 0.1% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 0.8%. Its magnitude approximates one-half of prior
bullish cycle and at about same to the cycle before the last one.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 7.5% since then, annualizing at 142.5%. Force is aggressive in
bullish domains, supporting bullish bias.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 20.1% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
3.9% since then, annualizing at 140.7%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 13-Mon-None.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 13, 2011. The
stock market bear is gaining strength on the near-term cycle. The
Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above
the QTI bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are threatening to
interact with bearish yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/13/2011
Jun 10, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 08 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
continues enduring increasingly bearish attributes. Keep in mind, prices
remain above the Quick-term bearish yellow curve, but some are no longer
“well above” bearish yellow. However, even with that, configurations
continue suggesting a bearish spurt is underway.
Non-contrarian Force
Vectors shifted north last Thursday, invoking the expected bullish
response. Configurations suggest more is to come. However, until Force
crosses above Pressure and into bullish domains with Price above NTI Blue
curve, the Near-term Indicant will continue to signal bear/avoid. In other
words, bullish responses along the near-term cycle will be considered
irrelevant until aforementioned attributes manifest.
International funds
are no longer resisting bearish ambition. With that, the prognosis of a
bearish spurt may be challenged depending on how the stock market behaves
when it interacts with the QTI bearish yellow curve.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market is now expressing bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices along the Near-term Indicant Bear
signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.8% since those bear signals an
average of 1.7-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 5.1%
since its Near-term bull signal 1.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 263.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 32.9-weeks. They are up by an average of 12.7% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 20.2%. Contrarian VIX is up 5.1% since its bull
signal one week ago. Its expected rise will deflate performance here since
the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not qualify
for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the possible
exception of the Dow Utilities. Interestingly, for the first time since
2009, many indices are nearing their QTI bearish yellow curve.
Short-term Market
Summary
Bearishly mature Force Vectors shifted north, which should invoke
non-bearish to bullish behavior. However, this pestering bear will only
laugh at that along the near-term cycle. With the exception of the Dow
Utilities all non-contrarian indices are enduring negative Vector
Pressure. Both Near-term Indicant curves are cyclically south.
The
VIX has not completed its bullish cycle, but it could endure some
degrading performance over the next day or two.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains, while mildly increasing there. It appears to be peaking
ahead of normally lethargic summertime volume. As stated the past several
weeks, unless these configurations shift back to robustness, do not be
surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Jun
10, 2011-Fri-Volume was not aggressive on bearish aggression. This bear is
a bit sneaky, but a Near-term cycle bear nonetheless.
Jun
9, 2011-Thu-Reduced volume on mild bullishness does not upset prevailing
near-term bearish bias.
Jun
8, 2011-Wed-Volume was up mildly on mild bearishness. Although normally
insignificant, some mild concern is manifesting with volume support for
continued bearishness.
Jun
7, 2011-Tue-Low volume on mild bearishness is certainly not adding to
bearish energy, but a bear is a bear nonetheless.
Jun
6, 2011-Mon-Mediocre volume on mild bearishness offers little argument to
the stock market bear along the short-term cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and three sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for six-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 7.6% since their buy signals an average of 11.9-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 33.3%.
The
NTI is avoiding 23-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.7% since their
sell signals an average of 1.5-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 19.5% since their buy signals an average of 42.1-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 24.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average
of 8.2% since the QTI sell signals 4.8-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011, as Force dipped below
Pressure and into bearish domains. It is down 0.3% since that sell
signal. That coupled with price below NTI blue offered no alternative to
the sell signal. Pressure fell into bearish domains this past Thursday,
supporting the near-term avoid signal. Magnitude is always unknown, but
risks are too high to continue to holding.
The
near-term cycle is not behaving in a contrarian manner at this point. Keep
in mind, though, this fund can be extremely contrarian to the stock market
depending on the nature of the worldwide economy and not just that of the
U.S. economy.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 35.8%,
annualizing at 48.1% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 85.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $132.31 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
Friday’s closing price of $149.24. Force fell below Pressure this Friday
and is a bit discerning.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 10.2% since
then, annualizing at 32.8%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price crossed below NTI Blue this Friday
and thus renewing the bearish threat along the near-term cycle.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. Force started rising in bullish domains at that time,
but weakened the past few days in bullish domains. It is pretty hot, but
the next sell signal will not occur until price falls below NTI Blue,
since the buy signal was tardy in doing so. It is up 0.6% since the buy
signals, annualizing at 8.5%. Its magnitude approximates one-half of prior
bullish cycle and at about same to the cycle before the last one.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 7.5% since then, annualizing at 169.7%. Force is aggressive in
bullish domains, supporting bullish bias.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 24.0% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is up
2.2% since then, annualizing at 112.7%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 10,
2011-Fri-International funds reduced their resistance to bearish ambition.
Therefore, a few more Near-term Indicant sell signals were triggered.
Jun 9,
2011-Thu-Today’s bullish bounce was expected, albeit with limited
magnitude.
Jun 8,
2011-Wed-Volume was up a bit on mild, but consistent bearishness.
Jun 7, 2011-Tue-VIX
was not contrarian. That means nothing to the stock market, but relevant
to the VIX since its Force bullish cycle is mature.
Jun 6, 2011-Mon-More
attributes shifted with increasing support for the stock market bear.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- Jun 10, 2011. The
stock market bear is gaining strength on the near-term cycle. The
Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain above
the QTI bearish yellow curve, but notice that a few are threatening to
interact with bearish yellow.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/10/2011
Jun 9, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 07 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Today's Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
continues enduring increasingly bearish attributes. Keep in mind, prices
remain well above the Quick-term bearish yellow curve. With that,
configurations continue suggesting a bearish spurt is underway.
Non-contrarian Force
Vectors shifted north today, invoking the expected bullish response.
Configurations suggest more is to come. However, until Force crosses above
Pressure and into bullish domains with Price above NTI Blue curve, the
Near-term Indicant will continue to signal bear/avoid. In other words,
bullish responses along the near-term cycle will be considered irrelevant
until aforementioned attributes manifest.
Interestingly, the
international funds are resisting bearish influences. That adds support to
the idea this is a bearish spurt, which suggests prices will not fall
below QTI bearish yellow curve. Unfortunately, though that is a sizeable
drop, but of less magnitude that its preceding bull cycle.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market is now expressing bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices along the Near-term Indicant Bear
signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.4% since those bear signals an
average of 1.5-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is down
1.0% since the Near-term bull signal 0.9-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 32.7-weeks. They are up by an average of 13.7% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 21.8%. Contrarian VIX is down 1.0% since its bull
signal last week. Its expected rise will deflate performance here since
the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not qualify
for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the possible
exception of the Dow Utilities.
Short-term Market
Summary
Bearishly mature Force Vectors shifted north, which should invoke
non-bearish to bullish behavior. However, this pestering bear will only
laugh at that along the near-term cycle. With the exception of the Dow
Utilities all non-contrarian indices are enduring negative Vector
Pressure. Both Near-term Indicant curves are cyclically south.
The
VIX has not completed its bullish cycle, but it could endure some
degrading performance over the next day or two.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating, which is a common
summertime attribute. The NYSE Indicant Volume Indicator remains in low
interest domains, while mildly increasing there. It appears to be peaking
ahead of normally lethargic summertime volume. As stated the past several
weeks, unless these configurations shift back to robustness, do not be
surprised at overall stock market lethargy.
Jun
9, 2011-Thu-Reduced volume on mild bullishness does not upset prevailing
near-term bearish bias.
Jun
8, 2011-Wed-Volume was up mildly on mild bearishness. Although normally
insignificant, some mild concern is manifesting with volume support for
continued bearishness.
Jun
7, 2011-Tue-Low volume on mild bearishness is certainly not adding to
bearish energy, but a bear is a bear nonetheless.
Jun
6, 2011-Mon-Mediocre volume on mild bearishness offers little argument to
the stock market bear along the short-term cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for nine-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 3.9% since their buy signals an average of 8.2-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 24.8%.
The
NTI is avoiding 23-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.1% since their
sell signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 21.3% since their buy signals an average of 41.9-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 26.4%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average
of 8.5% since the QTI sell signals 4.6-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Jun 6, 2011, as Force dipped below
Pressure and into bearish domains. That coupled with price below NTI blue
offered no alternative to the sell signal. Pressure fell into bearish
domains today, supporting the near-term avoid signal. Magnitude is always
unknown, but risks are too high to continue to holding.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 38.5%,
annualizing at 51.9% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 86.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $132.15 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $150.56. Force is vacillating in bullish domains
and thus remains with short-term non-bearish support.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 11.2% since
then, annualizing at 36.3%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price crossed above NTI Blue this past
Friday, removing bearish threat. Pressure remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. Force started rising in bullish domains at that time,
but weakened the past few days in bullish domains. It is pretty hot, but
the next sell signal will not occur until price falls below NTI Blue,
since the buy signal was tardy in doing so. It is down 0.2% since the buy
signals. Its magnitude approximates one-half of prior bullish cycle and at
about same to the cycle before the last one.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 4.4% since then, annualizing at 104.9%. Force penetrated bullish
domains last Friday, supporting bullishness for this fund.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 24.0% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jun 3, 2011 and it is down
1.2% since then.
Major ETF Events
Jun 9,
2011-Thu-Today’s bullish bounce was expected, albeit with limited
magnitude.
Jun 8,
2011-Wed-Volume was up a bit on mild, but consistent bearishness.
Jun 7, 2011-Tue-VIX
was not contrarian. That means nothing to the stock market, but relevant
to the VIX since its Force bullish cycle is mature.
Jun 6, 2011-Mon-More
attributes shifted with increasing support for the stock market bear.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- No change from Jun
6, 2011. The stock market bear is gaining strength on the near-term cycle.
The Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain
well above the QTI bearish yellow curve.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/09/2011
Jun 8, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 06 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
continues enduring increasingly bearish attributes. Keep in mind, prices
remain well above the Quick-term bearish yellow curve. With that,
configurations continue suggesting a bearish spurt is underway.
Non-contrarian Force
Vectors are maturing along their bearish cycle. That should invoke a
bullish response soon. However, until Force crosses above Pressure and
into bullish domains with Price above NTI Blue curve, the Near-term
Indicant will continue to signal bear/avoid. In other words, bullish
responses along the near-term cycle will be considered irrelevant until
aforementioned attributes manifest.
Interestingly, the
international funds are resisting bearish influences. That adds support to
the idea this is a bearish spurt, which suggests prices will not fall
below QTI bearish yellow curve. Unfortunately, though that is a sizeable
drop, but of less magnitude that its preceding bull cycle.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market is now expressing bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices along the Near-term Indicant Bear
signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 2.0% since those bear signals an
average of 1.4-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 4.5%
since the Near-term bull signal 0.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for all major indices for an
average of 32.6-weeks. They are up by an average of 13.6% since their bull
signals, annualizing at 21.7%. Contrarian VIX is up 4.5% since its bull
signal last week. Its expected rise will deflate performance here since
the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not qualify
for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the possible
exception of the Dow Utilities.
Short-term Market
Summary
VIX
Force discontinued its struggle to penetrate bullish domains. It is now
positioned solidly in bullish domains with bullish Pressure. Most of the
non-contrarian major indices Force Vectors continue shifting to the south,
which is bearish. With that, the underlying raging bull/bear battle is now
favoring the stock market bear along the near-term cycle. Most of the
cycles of Force are mature, inviting some corrective response to this
pestering by the stock market bear.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating. The NYSE Indicant
Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly increasing
there. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic summertime
volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these configurations
shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall stock market
lethargy.
Jun
8, 2011-Wed-Volume was up mildly on mild bearishness. Although normally
insignificant, some mild concern is manifesting with volume support for
continued bearishness.
Jun
7, 2011-Tue-Low volume on mild bearishness is certainly not adding to
bearish energy, but a bear is a bear nonetheless.
Jun
6, 2011-Mon-Mediocre volume on mild bearishness offers little argument to
the stock market bear along the short-term cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for nine-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.1% since their buy signals an average of 8.1-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 26.2%.
The
NTI is avoiding 23-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.7% since their
sell signals an average of 1.3-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 20.7% since their buy signals an average of 41.8-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 25.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three ETF’s. They are down by an average
of 8.3% since the QTI sell signals 4.5-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Mon, Jun 6, 2011, as Force
dipped below Pressure and into bearish domains. That coupled with price
below NTI blue offered no alternative to the sell signal. Pressure fell
into bearish domains today, supporting the near-term avoid signal.
Magnitude is always unknown, but risks are too high to continue to
holding.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 15, 2010. It is up 36.7%,
annualizing at 49.6% since then. The Quick-term Indicant will not signal
sell until interacting with QTI Yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 85.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $132.02 and still rising.
Relaxation is in order since your buy price approximates $80.65 versus
today’s closing price of $149.81. Force is vacillating in bullish domains
and thus remains with short-term non-bearish support.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Feb 18, 2011. It is up 10.6% since
then, annualizing at 34.8%.
Near-term attributes for the next sell signal will be price below NTI Blue
with negative Vector Pressure. Price crossed above NTI Blue this past
Friday, removing bearish threat. Pressure remains positive.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on May 17, 2011 from the Near-term Indicant and the
Quick-term Indicant. Force started rising in bullish domains at that time,
but weakened the past few days in bullish domains. It is pretty hot, but
the next sell signal will not occur until price falls below NTI Blue,
since the buy signal was tardy in doing so. It is up 0.2% since the buy
signals. Its magnitude approximates one-half of prior bullish cycle and at
about same to the cycle before the last one.
The
Near-term Indicant and Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on May 25, 2011
for
ETF#31-QID.
It is up 4.7% since then, annualizing at 121.8%. Force penetrated bullish
domains last Friday, supporting bullishness for this fund.
The
Quick-term signaled sell on Apr 1, 2011 for
ETF#32-VXX.
This ETN does not track well with VIX. It is down 21.5% since that sell
signal. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy this Friday and it is up 2.1%
since then, annualizing at 148.1%.
Major ETF Events
Jun 8,
2011-Wed-Volume was up a bit on mild, but consistent bearishness.
Jun 7, 2011-Tue-VIX
was not contrarian. That means nothing to the stock market, but relevant
to the VIX since its Force bullish cycle is mature.
Jun 6, 2011-Mon-More
attributes shifted with increasing support for the stock market bear.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant- No change from Jun
6, 2011. The stock market bear is gaining strength on the near-term cycle.
The Quick-term Indicant bull/holds remain in tact since prices remain
well above the QTI bearish yellow curve.
-Reverse Tangential
Bearish Detection
–
This phenomenon will
continue to be monitored, but its threat has subsided for the time being.
The timing is unknown, but there is 100% confidence the major indices and
ETF’s will eventually fall to those prices noted in the below link. The
presidential pre-election year is the most bullish of the four years. This
phenomenon reduces the risks of bearish aggression in 2011.
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections. The problem
is not knowing when. The stock market is now in the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality. The bear will have difficulty manifesting with the
shifting political cycles.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
06/08/2011
Jun 7, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 06, Issue 05 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
The near-term cycle
continues enduring increasingly bearish attributes. Keep in mind, prices
remain well above the Quick-term bearish yellow curve. With that,
configurations continue suggesting a bearish spurt is underway.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
The
Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
stock market is now expressing bearish unanimity along the near-term cycle
with all major non-contrarian indices with a Near-term Indicant Bear
signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.4% since those bear signals an
average of 1.2-weeks ago. Contrarian VIX has a bull signal. It is up 0.7%
since the Near-term bull signal 0.6-weeks ago. It was not contrarian today
with bearish behavior on bearish stock market activity.
The
Quick-term Indicant has been signaling bull for the eleven major indices
for an average of 32.4-weeks. They are up by an average of 13.9% since
their bull signals, annualizing at 22.3%. Contrarian VIX is up 0.7% since
its bull signal last week. Its expected rise will deflate performance here
since the non-contrarian indices remain with bull signals. They will not
qualify for bear signals until they interact with bearish yellow with the
possible exception of the Dow Utilities.
Short-term Market
Summary
VIX
Force discontinued its struggle to penetrate bullish domains. It is now
positioned solidly in bullish domains with bullish Pressure. Most of the
non-contrarian major indices Force Vectors continue shifting to the south,
which is bearish. With that, the underlying raging bull/bear battle is now
favoring the stock market bear along the near-term cycle.
Indicant Volume Indicators
The NASDAQ IVI
crossed into high activity domains on Mar 21, 2011. It fell back into low
activity a few weeks later. Lethargy is accelerating. The NYSE Indicant
Volume Indicator remains in low interest domains, while mildly increasing
there. It appears to be peaking ahead of normally lethargic summertime
volume. As stated the past several weeks, unless these configurations
shift back to robustness, do not be surprised at overall stock market
lethargy.