Oct 31, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 21 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market
Report – Summary
Bullish unanimity did not last long along the Quick-term cycle. Six ETF’s
fell below QTI Yellow on Japan’s currency intervention. However, the stock
market’s reaction to that appears to be merely technical and more or less
justified some profit-taking. Nearly all short-term attributes remains
supportive of the stock market bull. Today’s bearish aggression
facilitated good buying opportunities, based on current configurations.
If configurations sour in favor of the stock market bear, appropriate
actions will be advised herein. Right now, the stock bull remains solid.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term
Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all of the major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 1.7% since the NTI bull signals an
average of 1.4-weeks ago. That annualizes at 61.2%. The Near-term Indicant
is signaling bear only for contrarian VIX. It is up 2.2% since its bear
signal 1.0-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for all non-contrarian indices.
Their performance is the same as the Near-term Indicant since the bull
signals occurred, simultaneously, with prices climbing above QTI Yellow
with qualifying near-term bullish attributes. The lone bear signal is for
contrarian VIX which has the same performance as noted above by the
Near-term Indicant.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Volume indicators need to improve their configurations to help propel the
stock market bull onward and upward. Recent relationships are indeed
bullish, but the short-term cyclical configurations need to be more
supportive of the bull for sustainability.
Oct 31-Mon-Light volume on bearish aggression relates to simple
profit-taking. More are holding than selling. The supply-demand law
portends continued bullishness.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 3.2% since their buy signals an average of 2.3-weeks ago,
annualizing at 75.0%.
The
NTI is avoiding three-ETF’s. They are all contrarians. They are up by an
average of 1.4% since their near-term sell signals an average of 1.5-weeks
ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.7% since their buy signals an average of 7.0-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 35.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three-ETFs. They are up by an average of
2.3% since the QTI sell signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago. These avoided
funds are also contrarians.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 21, 2011. It is up 1.7% since
then, annualizing at 60.9%. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 10,
2011. It is up 9.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at 162.9%. As
stated the past few days, its Force Vector is behaving bullishly with some
mild oscillations in bullish domains. It is above QTI bearish yellow. All
of this is bullish in spite of today’s bearish behavior.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 107.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 36.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $148.12 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $167.34. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 26, 2011, as Force catapulted
itself into bullish domains and above Pressure. It is flat since that buy
signal. It will be interesting if this near-term bullish cycle can hold up
in the face of potential profit taking.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal from the Near-term Indicant on Oct 24, 2011. It is
down 1.6% since then.
Tracking from Oct 28, 2011 informal forecast. That forecast predicted TLT
would fall to QTI Yellow in this near-term cycle before end Dec 2011.
Price today was $113.32. QTI Yellow is $99.10. Forecast continues as Force
remains below Pressure and in bearish domains. Threatening that forecast
was price jumping above NTI Blue and Green today.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal on Oct 10, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 8.1%
since then.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Oct 27, 2011, for
ETF#32-VXX.
It is was about up 18.0% since the QTI’s prior buy signal in early August,
annualizing at about 85.0%. It was up over 70.0% since the Near-term
Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at over 280% since
then. Force is plummeting. It is up 10.0% since that sell signal. QTI
Yellow is resisting bearishness. A bearishly mature Force Vector is
assisting that resistive behavior, but too risky to hold at this point.
Major ETF Events
Oct 31-Mon-Strong bearish behavior is not supported by short-term
attributes. Configurations suggests simple profit taking even though,
fundamentally, the Japanese are attempting to weaken their currencies.
Current Strategy-Short-term
Indicant-Oct
31, 2011-Most, not all, short-term attributes continue favoring a bullish
stock market, but keep in mind, Yellow Bears were annihilated with bullish
aggression. Continue buying on bearish days, such as today.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/31/2011
Oct 28, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 20 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary
Comments from the
past few days remain in effect and repeated here. “Oscillating Force
Vectors in bullish domains are increasingly supportive of bullish stock
market behavior.” Quick-term bullish unanimity was attained with last
Thursday’s explosive stock market bullishness, as all of the
non-contrarian QTI Yellow Bears expired.
As stated this past
Wednesday, relaxation, however, remains inappropriate but any paranoia
behavior should be expelled from your demeanor. Vector Pressures remain in
bearish domains for four non-contrarian ETF’s. Until that attribute is
zero, bullish unanimity remains absent along the Short-term cycle.
In spite of all that,
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality appears ready to assume its
annual habit of dominating.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all of the major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 4.0% since the NTI bull signals an
average of 1.0-weeks ago. That annualizes at 203.8%. The Near-term
Indicant is signaling bear only for contrarian VIX. It is down 16.2% since
its bear signal 0.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for all non-contrarian indices.
Their performance is the same as the Near-term Indicant since the bull
signals occurred, simultaneously, with prices climbing above QTI Yellow
with qualifying near-term bullish attributes. The lone bear signal is for
contrarian VIX which has the same performance as noted above by the
Near-term Indicant.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent. In spite of limited volume
support, however, too many attributes along the short-term cycle support
continuation of this recent bullish behavior. Additionally, robust volume
on Oct 27, 2011 coincided with dynamic bullish aggression. All of this is
bullish. If the IVI cycles shift into robustness, then bullish
sustainability should be expected.
Oct 28-Fri-Mediocre
volume on flat behavior is meaningless. Yesterday’s comment remains
prominent.
Oct 27-Thu-Solid
volume aggression supports continuing bullishness.
Oct 26-Wed-Slightly
above average volume on bullish behavior offers a bit more support for
continuing bullishness.
Oct 25-Tue-Low volume
on bearish behavior, although somewhat aggressive, is not a scary
proposition to recent buy/bull signals.
Oct 24-Mon-Low volume
again on mild bullishness. Volume increases is desired for obviating
bullish directional intensity.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.1% since their buy signals an average of 1.8-weeks ago,
annualizing at 175.0%.
The
NTI is avoiding three-ETF’s. They are all contrarians. They are down by an
average of 4.4% since their near-term sell signals an average of 1.1-weeks
ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 7.6% since their buy signals an average of 6.6-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 59.9%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding three-ETFs. They are down by an average of
3.5% since the QTI sell signals an average of 1.0-weeks ago. These avoided
funds are also contrarians.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 21, 2011. It is up 6.5% since
then, annualizing at 336.9%. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct
10, 2011. It is up 14.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 294.7%. As
stated the past few days, its Force Vector is behaving bullishly with some
mild oscillations in bullish domains. It is above QTI bearish yellow. All
of this is bullish.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 110.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 37.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $148.02 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $169.62. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy yesterday on Oct 26, 2011, as Force
catapulted itself into bullish domains and above Pressure. Fundamentally,
with inflation on the horizon and cheapening U.S. currencies with more and
more paper money flowing into the hands of incompetence and laziness, gold
should continue to rise. It is up 1.4%, annualizing at 247.4%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal from the Near-term Indicant on Oct 24, 2011. It is
down 1.6% since then. As stated since then, its Force shifted south,
disfiguring its bullish cycle. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell this
past Thursday well ahead of the normal interaction with the QTI bearish
yellow curve. As long as the stock market is configured bullishly, this
ETF is anticipated to fall to QTI bearish yellow in this bearish cycle.
This forecast is unofficial as the Indicant does not forecast. However, as
long as Force remains below Pressure and inside bearish domains, there is
nowhere else for this fund to go. The current price is $111.46 and QTI
Yellow is $98.98. QTI will continue increasing, but at a decreasing rate
of increase. A drop of about $8.00 per share before Christmas would not be
surprising. Keep in mind, if Force moves into bullish domains and above
Pressure, this forecast is to be ignored. The Greeks and Europeans can
upset this rather quickly.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal on Oct 10, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 11.0%
since then.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell this past Wednesday, Oct
27, 2011, for
ETF#32-VXX.
It is was about up 18.0% since the QTI’s prior buy signal in early August,
annualizing at about 85.0%. It was up over 70.0% since the Near-term
Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at over 280% since
then. Force is plummeting. It is down 0.5% since that sell signal.
Major ETF Events
Oct 28-Fri-Flat
market behavior was a good opportunity for buying. Continue doing so on
bearish days as most attributes remain solidly bullish.
Oct 27-Thu-Solil
bullish behavior moved remaining bearishly configured ETF’s to buys, as
Force crossed into bullish domains along with other solid attributes.
Bullish unanimity has now been achieved along the near-term cycle.
Oct
26-Wed-Mixed-bullish behavior highlights a confused stock market. Quite a
few contrasting elements remain pervasive.
Oct 25-Tue-Stock
market bearishness did not disfigure current bullish attributes along the
short-term cycle.
Oct 24-Mon-Force
Vectors continue fluttering in bullish domains, offering bullish support.
Keep in mind, bullish unanimity remains absent.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 28, 2011-Most,
not all, short-term attributes continue favoring a bullish stock market,
but keep in mind, Yellow Bears were annihilated with bullish aggression.
Continue buying on bearish days.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/28/2011
Oct 27, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 19 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary
Comments from the
past few days remain in effect and repeated here. “Oscillating Force Vectors
in bullish domains are increasingly supportive of bullish stock market
behavior.” Quick-term bullish unanimity was attained with today’s
explosive stock market bullishness.
Relaxation, however,
remains inappropriate but any paranoia behavior should be expelled from
your demeanor. Vector Pressures remain in bearish domains for seven
non-contrarian ETF’s. Until that attribute is zero, bullish unanimity
remains absent along the Short-term cycle.
In spite of all that,
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality appears ready to assume its
annual habit of dominating.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
VIX received a bear signal this past Monday as its Force fell below
Pressure and into bearish domains. Its NTI Bullish Blue Curve collapsed
and price fell below NTI Bearish Green Curve. It will be interesting if
all of this angered the “volatility bull.” It commonly does but not with
the current configurations in volatility Force.
As
you saw, the “volatility bull” was angered enough for a response on
Tuesday, but with no substance. All those bearish attributes remain in
effect. The VIX was again bearish yesterday and today.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all of the major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 4.2% since the NTI bull signals an
average of 0.9-weeks ago. That annualizes at 248.2%. The Near-term
Indicant is signaling bear only for contrarian VIX. It is down 13.0% since
its bear signal 0.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for all non-contrarian indices.
Their performance is the same as the Near-term Indicant since the bull
signals occurred, simultaneously, with prices climbing above QTI Yellow
with qualifying near-term bullish attributes. The lone bear signal is for
contrarian VIX which has the same performance as noted by the Near-term
Indicant.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent. In spite of limited volume
support, however, too many attributes along the short-term cycle support
continuation of this recent bullish behavior. Additionally, robust volume
on Oct 27, 2011 coincided with dynamic bullish aggression. All of this is
bullish. If the IVI cycles shift into robustness, then bullish
sustainability should be expected.
Oct 27-Thu-Solid
volume aggression supports continuing bullishness.
Oct 26-Wed-Slightly
above average volume on bullish behavior offers a bit more support for
continuing bullishness.
Oct 25-Tue-Low volume
on bearish behavior, although somewhat aggressive, is not a scary
proposition to recent buy/bull signals.
Oct 24-Mon-Low volume
again on mild bullishness. Volume increases is desired for obviating
bullish directional intensity.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.2% since their buy signals an average of 1.7-weeks ago,
annualizing at 191.5%.
The
NTI is avoiding two-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 6.7% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 1.2-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated six buy signals and two sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 23-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 9.6% since their buy signals an average of 8.1-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 61.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding one-ETF. It is down by an average of 10.8%
since the QTI sell signals an average of 2.4-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 21, 2011. It is up 5.8% since
then, annualizing at 350.1%. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct
10, 2011. It is up 14.0% since that buy signal, annualizing at 295.7%. As
stated the past few days, its Force Vector is behaving bullishly with some
mild oscillations in bullish domains. It is above QTI bearish yellow. All
of this is bullish.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 110.2% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 37.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.93 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $169.55. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy yesterday on Oct 26, 2011, as Force
catapulted itself into bullish domains and above Pressure. Fundamentally,
with inflation on the horizon and cheapening U.S. currencies with more and
more paper money flowing into the hands of incompetence and laziness, gold
should continue to rise. It is up 1.3%, annualizing at 479.8%.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a sell signal from the Near-term Indicant on Oct 24, 2011. It is
down 2.7% since then. As stated since then, its Force shifted south,
disfiguring its bullish cycle. The Quick-term Indicant signaled sell today
well ahead of the normal interaction with the QTI bearish yellow curve. As
long as the stock market is configured bullishly, this ETF is anticipated
to fall to QTI bearish yellow in this bearish cycle. This forecast is
unofficial as the Indicant does not forecast. However, as long as Force
remains below Pressure and inside bearish domains, there is nowhere else
for this fund to go. The current price is $110.30 and QTI Yellow is
$98.87. QTI will continue increasing, but at a decreasing rate of
increase. A drop of about $8.00 per share before Christmas would not be
surprising. Keep in mind, if Force moves into bullish domains and above
Pressure, this forecast is to be ignored. The Greeks and Europeans can
upset this rather quickly.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal on Oct 10, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 10.8%
since then.
The
Quick-term and Near-term Indicant signaled sell today, Oct 27, 2011, for
ETF#32-VXX.
It is was about up 18.0% since the QTI’s prior buy signal in early August,
annualizing at about 85.0%. It was up over 70.0% since the Near-term
Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011, annualizing at over 280% since
then. It interacted with Green on Mar 14, 2011, but its Force Vector
deserves monitoring.
Major ETF Events
Oct 27-Thu-Solil
bullish behavior moved remaining bearishly configured ETF’s to buys, as
Force crossed into bullish domains along with other solid attributes.
Bullish unanimity has now been achieved along the near-term cycle.
Oct
26-Wed-Mixed-bullish behavior highlights a confused stock market. Quite a
few contrasting elements remain pervasive.
Oct 25-Tue-Stock
market bearishness did not disfigure current bullish attributes along the
short-term cycle.
Oct 24-Mon-Force
Vectors continue fluttering in bullish domains, offering bullish support.
Keep in mind, bullish unanimity remains absent.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 27, 2011-Most,
not all, short-term attributes continue favoring a bullish stock market,
but keep in mind, Yellow Bears were annihilated with bullish aggression.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/27/2011
Oct 26, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 18 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary
Comments from the
past two days remain in effect and repeated here. “Oscillating Force
Vectors in bullish domains are increasingly supportive of bullish stock
market behavior. However, a few ETF’s remain as Yellow Bears and
therefore, a relaxed posture is inappropriate for the short-term cycle.
Manage stop losses until obviations of directional intensity with a
bullish bent manifest. You will know that when bullish unanimity exists.
Then being lazy will be okay.”
The absence of QTI
bullish unanimity is identified with
ETF#13-EWH,
which remains as a Yellow Bear. There are a few stragglers similarly
configured. Until such configurations expire in favor of more bullish
configurations, vigilant demeanor remains appropriate.
There are
six-non-contrarian Yellow Bears and nine-Vector Pressures in bearish
domains. Until those two attributes are zero, bullish unanimity remains
absent.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
VIX received a bear signal this past Monday as its Force fell below
Pressure and into bearish domains. Its NTI Bullish Blue Curve collapsed
and price fell below NTI Bearish Green Curve. It will be interesting if
all of this angered the “volatility bull.” It commonly does but not with
the current configurations in volatility Force.
As
you saw, the “volatility bull” was angered enough for a response on
Tuesday, but with no substance. All those bearish attributes remain in
effect. The VIX was again bearish today.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all of the major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 0.6% since the NTI bull signals an
average of 0.7-weeks ago. That annualizes at 42.1%
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for all non-contrarian indices.
Their performance is the same as the Near-term Indicant since the bull
signals occurred, simultaneously, with prices climbing above QTI Yellow
with qualifying near-term bullish attributes.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent. In spite of limited volume
support, however, too many attributes along the short-term cycle support
continuation of this recent bullish behavior.
Oct 26-Wed-Slightly
above average volume on bullish behavior offers a bit more support for
continuing bullishness.
Oct 25-Tue-Low volume
on bearish behavior, although somewhat aggressive, is not a scary
proposition to recent buy/bull signals.
Oct 24-Mon-Low volume
again on mild bullishness. Volume increases is desired for obviating
bullish directional intensity.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated two buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.9% since their buy signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago,
annualizing at 125.1%.
The
NTI is avoiding two-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.4% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 3.1-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 25-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.9% since their buy signals an average of 8.3-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 43.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 7-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
7.0% since the QTI sell signals an average of 10.0-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 21, 2011. It is up 1.3% since
then, annualizing at 93.5%. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 10,
2011. It is up 9.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at 204.3%. Its
Force Vector is behaving bullishly with some mild oscillation in bullish
domains. It is above QTI bearish yellow. All of this is bullish.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 107.5% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 36.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.83 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $167.32. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy today, as Force catapulted itself into
bullish domains and above Pressure. Fundamentally, with inflation on the
horizon and cheapening U.S. currencies with more and more paper money
flowing into the hands of incompetence and laziness, gold should continue
to rise.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 16.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 67.2%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Oct 24, 2011. Notice its Force shifted
south, disfiguring its bullish cycle. The anticipated interaction with
pressure may not occur in this cycle. However, Force nudged back to the
north today, so the jury is still out on this near-term cycle.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal on Oct 10, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 5.5%
since then.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 21.0% since then, annualizing at 95.6%. It is up
76.5% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 306.7%. It interacted with Green on Mar 14, 2011, but its
Force Vector deserves monitoring. It shifted south last Monday, favoring
more bearishness, in spite of yesterday’s strong bullish behavior. Set
stop losses at QTI bearish yellow, which approximates the next sell
signal.
Major ETF Events
Oct
26-Wed-Mixed-bullish behavior highlights a confused stock market. Quite a
few contrasting elements remain pervasive.
Oct 25-Tue-Stock
market bearishness did not disfigure current bullish attributes along the
short-term cycle.
Oct 24-Mon-Force
Vectors continue fluttering in bullish domains, offering bullish support.
Keep in mind, bullish unanimity remains absent.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 26, 2011-Most,
not all, short-term attributes continue favoring a bullish stock market,
but keep in mind, Yellow Bears remain in the population, which tend to
feed the stock market bear. In essence, the bearish threat is diminishing,
but not yet abdicating.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/26/2011
Oct 25, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 17 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary
Comments from
yesterday remain in effect and repeated here. “Oscillating Force Vectors
in bullish domains are increasingly supportive of bullish stock market
behavior. However, a few ETF’s remain as Yellow Bears and therefore, a
relaxed posture is inappropriate for the short-term cycle. Manage stop
losses until obviations of directional intensity with a bullish bent
manifest. You will know that when bullish unanimity exists. Then being
lazy will be okay.”
Today’s bearish
aggression had no effect on the comments.
The absence of QTI
bullish unanimity is identified with
ETF#13-EWH, which remains as a Yellow Bear. There are a few stragglers
similarly configured. Until such configurations expire in favor of more
bullish configurations, vigilant demeanor remains appropriate.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
VIX received a bear signal yesterday as its Force fell below Pressure and
into bearish domains. Its NTI Bullish Blue Curve collapsed and price fell
below NTI Bearish Green Curve. It will be interesting if all of this
angered the “volatility bull.” It commonly does but not with the current
configurations in volatility Force.
As
you saw, the “volatility bull” was angered enough for a response today,
but so far with no substance. All those bearish attributes remain in
effect.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all of the major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 0.3% since the NTI bull signals an
average of 0.6-weeks ago. That annualizes at 0.3%
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for all non-contrarian indices.
Their performance is the same as the Near-term Indicant since the bull
signals occurred simultaneously with prices climbing above QTI Yellow with
qualifying near-term bullish attributes.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent. In spite of limited volume
support, however, too many attributes along the short-term cycle support
continuation of this recent bullish behavior.
Oct 25-Tue-Low volume
on bearish behavior, although somewhat aggressive, is not a scary
proposition to recent buy/bull signals.
Oct 24-Mon-Low volume
again on mild bullishness. Volume increases is desired for obviating
bullish directional intensity.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 28-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 4.1% since their buy signals an average of 1.9-weeks ago,
annualizing at 111.9%.
The
NTI is avoiding four-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.8% since
their near-term sell signals an average of 3.2-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 25-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.2% since their buy signals an average of 8.2-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 39.2%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 7-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
8.1% since the QTI sell signals an average of 9.8-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 21, 2011. It is down 0.8% since
then, annualizing at 0.8%. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 10,
2011. It is up 6.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 163.6%. Its
Force Vector is behaving bullishly with some mild oscillation in bullish
domains. It is above QTI bearish yellow. All of this is bullish in spite
of its bearish behavior today.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 105.3% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 36.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.73 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $165.59. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 3.6% since
then. Force increased today, but still short of bullish domains and below
Pressure.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 18.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 76.4%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Oct 24, 2011. Notice its Force shifted
south, disfiguring its bullish cycle. The anticipated interaction with
pressure may not occur in this cycle.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal on Oct 10, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 5.8%
since then.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 25.9% since then, annualizing at 119.7%. It is
up 83.7% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 338.7%. It interacted with Green on Mar 14, 2011, but its
Force Vector deserves monitoring. It shifted south yesterday, favoring
more bearishness, in spite of today’s strong bullish behavior. Set stop
losses at QTI bearish yellow, which approximates the next sell signal.
Major ETF Events
Oct 25-Tue-Stock
market bearishness did not disfigure current bullish attributes along the
short-term cycle.
Oct 24-Mon-Force
Vectors continue fluttering in bullish domains, offering bullish support.
Keep in mind, bullish unanimity remains absent.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 25, 2011-Most,
not all, short-term attributes continue favoring a bullish stock market,
but keep in mind, many remain as Yellow Bears. In essence, the bearish
threat is diminishing, but not yet abdicating.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/25/2011
Oct 24, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 16 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary
Oscillating Force
Vectors in bullish domains are increasingly supportive of bullish stock
market behavior. However, a few ETF’s remain as Yellow Bears and
therefore, a relaxed posture is inappropriate for the short-term cycle.
Manage stop losses until obviations of directional intensity with a
bullish bent manifest. You will know that when bullish unanimity exists.
Then being lazy will be okay.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and one new bear.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
VIX received a bear signal today. Its Force fell below Pressure and into
bearish domains. Its NTI Bullish Blue Curve collapsed and price fell below
NTI Bearish Green Curve. It will be interesting if all of this angered the
“volatility bull.” It commonly does but not with the current
configurations in volatility Force.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull for all of the major non-contrarian
indices. They are up 1.8% since the NTI bull signals an average of
0.4-weeks ago. That annualizes at 206.8%
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for all non-contrarian indices and
signaled bear today for the VIX even though VIX did not fall to QTI
Bearish Yellow. Too many VIX attributes are bearish and without any
justification for any bull signal.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent. In spite of limited volume
support, however, too many attributes along the short-term cycle support
continuation of this recent bullish behavior.
Oct 24-Mon-Low volume
again on mild bullishness. Volume increases is desired for obviating
bullish directional intensity.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated four buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 24-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.7% since their buy signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago,
annualizing at 168.8%.
The
NTI is avoiding three-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 4.7% since
their near-term sell signals an average of 4.0-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated six buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 19-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 9.7% since their buy signals an average of 10.6-weeks ago. This
annualizes at 47.6%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 7-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
7.1% since the QTI sell signals an average of 9.7-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct 21, 2011. It is up 1.3% since
then, annualizing at 157.5%. The Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Oct
10, 2011. It is up 9.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at 233.9%. Its
Force Vector is behaving bullishly with some mild oscillation in bullish
domains. It is above QTI bearish yellow. All of this is bullish.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 99.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.3%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.63 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $161.02. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 0.1% since
then. Force is flattening in shallow bearish domains, offering resistance
to bearish pressure.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 15.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 65.1%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell, today, Oct 24, 2011. Notice its Force
shifted south, disfiguring its bullish cycle. The anticipated interaction
with pressure may not occur in this cycle.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal on Oct 10, 2011 from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 9.2%
since then.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 18.4% since then, annualizing at 85.9%. It is up
72.7% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 297.4%. It interacted with Green on Mar 14, 2011, but its
Force Vector deserves monitoring. It shifted south today, favoring more
bearishness. Set stop losses at QTI bearish yellow.
Major ETF Events
Oct 24-Mon-Force
Vectors continue fluttering in bullish domains, offering bullish support.
Keep in mind, bullish unanimity remains absent.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 24, 2011-Most,
not all, short-term attributes continue favoring a bullish stock market,
but keep in mind, many remain as Yellow Bears. In essence, the bearish
threat is diminishing, but not yet abdicating.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/24/2011
Oct 21, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 15 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary
Force Vector slowed their bearish direction and many more started
oscillating in bullish domains. Therefore, more bull/buy signals were
triggered. Keep in mind, bullish unanimity remains absent and thus one
should remain vigilant until configurations shift in support of being
relaxed while the bull has its way.
Last Thursday’s comments remain appropriate and those two paragraphs are
repeated below.
Force continues moving south. That continues offering bearish support.
However, there are some minor oscillations in non-contrarian Force
Vectors. For example,
ETF#03-XLE’s Force Vector
is resisting a bearish slope. However, it is a contrarian ETF. That is, it
can be bullish in a bear stock market. This is especially true during
heightened inflation.
On the other hand,
ETF#20-EEM’s
Force is moving aggressively to the south in valiant support of the stock
market bear. This is a non-contrarian fund, but an international one. In
essence, the stock market is not supporting an idea of international
economic robustness. On the contrary, the stock market is currently
displaying a pathetic outlook.
In spite of some
remaining strongly configured bearish attributes, there were several buy
signals. Keep in mind, bullish unanimity is required for bullish
sustainability. In other words, those obstinate configurations supporting
bullish behavior need to expire for a continuation of bullish stock market
behavior.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled ten new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
Force is oscillating in bullish domains. With dynamic bearishness and
heightened volatility, none of the major indices fell below NTI Blue for
an extended period. Therefore, new bull signals were triggered.
The
Near-term Indicant has been signaling bull for contrarian VIX for
12.2-weeks. It is up 36.5%, annualizing at 151.9%. The NTI signaled bull
for the DJU this past Thursday. It is up 1.7% since then.
The
Near-term Indicant is no longer signaling bear for any of the major
indices. If VIX falls below NTI Green next week, it will receive a bear
signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled ten new bulls and no new bears for the same
reason the Near-term Indicant did.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is no longer signaling any bears.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent. In spite of limited volume
support, however, too many attributes along the short-term cycle support
continuation of this recent bullish behavior.
Oct 21-Fri-Volume was
a bit above recent averages on bullish aggression. This new bull may
originate on as a low volume one, which has occurred in the past.
Oct 20-Thu-Volume
correlated with a “do nothing different.” Indecisiveness remains dominant
and bearish bias accompanies that.
Oct 19-Wed-Low volume
on behavior is pretty much uninformative, but is what it is. There is no
need for impatience in search for what does not exist.
Oct 18-Tue-Volume
increased on bullish aggression, suggesting heightened interest in the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality.
Oct 17-Mon-Mediocre
volume on bearish aggression is not adding bearish stimulation, but the
short-term bear cycle remains in tact.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated eight buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 7.8% since their buy signals an average of 2.7-weeks ago,
annualizing at 148.8%.
The
NTI is avoiding seven-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 4.2% since
their near-term sell signals an average of 5.5-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated seven buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 13.8% since their buy signals an average of 16.0-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 44.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 13-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
5.7% since the QTI sell signals an average of 10.2-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled buy on Friday after the close. The Near-term
Indicant signaled buy on Oct 10, 2011. It is up 7.7% since that buy
signal, annualizing at 251.4%. Its Force Vector is behaving bullishly with
some mild oscillation in bullish domains. It is above QTI bearish yellow.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 97.8% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.53 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $159.52. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is down 0.2% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous. Force is
again moving south and fell into bearish domains this past Thursday. It
would not be surprising to see an interaction with QTI Yellow in this
bearish Near-term cycle.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 15.5% since that buy signal, annualizing at 66.6%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 0.6% since then,
annualizing at 4.0%. Notice its Force is enjoying a bullish cycle. Its
interaction with pressure will be interesting. That should occur within
the next three trading days.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 5.4%
since then.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 25.9% since then, annualizing at 126.0%. It is
up 83.7% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 354.4%. It interacted with Green on Mar 14, 2011, but its
Force Vector deserves monitoring with its newly forming bullish cycle. It
continues moving in a bullish direction, but consuming significant energy
from the short-bull.
Major ETF Events
Oct 21-Fri-Short-term
attributes favored a continuation of a short-term bull. Do not be
surprised at some bearishness the next week or two. That should enhance
buying opportunities. Keep in mind, this is without volume and in the face
of a bearish trend.
Oct 20-Thu-A few
non-contrarian Force Vectors are oscillating in bullish domains, offering
the stock market bull some hope for its resumption of dominance.
Oct
19-Wed-Non-contrarian Force continues declining, offering some support for
the stock market bull.
Oct 18-Tue-Volume was
up with solid bullishness. If Force starts vacillating in bullish domains,
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality should start.
Oct 17-Mon-Strong
bearish behavior was expected, but short-term configurations indicate the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality could manifest within a week or two.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 21, 2011-Force
Vectors continue moving south for some ETF’s and major indices. That
remains a bit supportive of the stock market bear. Relatively tight stop
losses remain appropriate and especially so on new buy signals. Contrarian
Force Vectors shifted back to north and that will remain a threat to the
stock market bull until such time, they shift back to the south.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/21/2011
Oct 20, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 14 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary
This is the same as the past two days. If Force starts vacillating in
bullish domains and discontinues its decline, more buy/bull signals will
be triggered.
Force continues moving south. That continues offering bearish support.
However, there are some minor oscillations in non-contrarian Force
Vectors. For example,
ETF#03-XLE’s Force Vector is resisting a bearish slope. However, it is
a contrarian ETF. That is, it can be bullish in a bear stock market. This
is especially true during heightened inflation.
On the other hand,
ETF#20-EEM’s Force is moving aggressively to the south in valiant
support of the stock market bear. This is a non-contrarian fund, but an
international one. In essence, the stock market is not supporting an idea
of international economic robustness. On the contrary, the stock market is
currently displaying a pathetic outlook.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Dow Utilities Force Vector continues vacillating in bullish domains. Price
is holding above QTI Red and NTI Blue. Therefore, it received a bull
signal today.
This
does not mean the short-term cycle is bullish. More of the major indices
need similar configurations.
The
Near-term Indicant has been signaling bull only for contrarian VIX for
12.1-weeks. It is up 51.3%, annualizing at 219.9%.
Anti-recessionary fundamentals have reduced the fear element, but
volatility remains high and with that, risks remain high.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten of the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 3.0% since their bear
signals an average of 5.0-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled one new bull and no new bears for the same
reason the Near-term Indicant did for the Dow Utilities.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for ten of the eleven major
non-contrarian indices. They are up by an average of 1.6% since their bear
signals an average of 7.0-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent.
Oct 20-Thu-Volume
correlated with a “do nothing different.” Indecisiveness remains dominant
and bearish bias accompanies that.
Oct 19-Wed-Low volume
on behavior is pretty much uninformative, but is what it is. There is no
need for impatience in search for what does not exist.
Oct 18-Tue-Volume
increased on bullish aggression, suggesting heightened interest in the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality.
Oct 17-Mon-Mediocre
volume on bearish aggression is not adding bearish stimulation, but the
short-term bear cycle remains in tact.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.8% since their buy signals an average of 2.6-weeks ago,
annualizing at 138.4%.
The
NTI is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.2% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 6.2-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 13.0% since their buy signals an average of 15.9-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 42.4%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
4.9% since the QTI sell signals an average of 9.2-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 1.6% since that
sell signal. The Near-term Indicant, however, signaled buy on Oct 10,
2011. It is up 5.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 206.4%. Its
Force Vector is behaving bullishly with some mild oscillation in bullish
domains.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 95.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.42 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $157.72. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is down 1.3% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous. Force is
again moving south and fell into bearish domains today. It would not be
surprising to see an interaction with QTI Yellow in this bearish Near-term
cycle.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 16.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 72.7%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 1.6% since then,
annualizing at 12.1%. Notice its Force is starting a new bullish cycle.
Its interaction with pressure will be interesting. That should occur
within the next four days.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 3.0%
since then.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 33.2% since then, annualizing at 163.6%. It is
up 94.3% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 400.8%. It interacted with Green last Friday, but its Force
Vector deserves monitoring with its newly forming bullish cycle. It
continues moving in a bullish direction, but consuming significant energy
from the short-bull.
Major ETF Events
Oct 20-Thu-A few
non-contrarian Force Vectors are oscillating in bullish domains, offering
the stock market bull some hope for its resumption of dominance.
Oct
19-Wed-Non-contrarian Force continues declining, offering some support for
the stock market bull.
Oct 18-Tue-Volume was
up with solid bullishness. If Force starts vacillating in bullish domains,
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality should start.
Oct 17-Mon-Strong
bearish behavior was expected, but short-term configurations indicate the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality could manifest within a week or two.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 20, 2011-Force
Vectors continue moving south. Relatively tight stop losses remain
appropriate. Contrarian Force Vectors shifted back to north. Force is a
key short-term attribute to monitor.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/20/2011
Oct 19, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 13 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report – Summary
This is the same as yesterday. If Force starts vacillating in bullish
domains and discontinues its decline, more buy/bull signals will be
triggered.
Force continues moving south. That continues offering bearish support.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
As
stated last Wednesday, Oct 12, 2011, “there are a few reasons why there
are no bull signals. 1) No volume support. 2) Force Vectors nearing or at
cyclical peaks. They are ready for a fall. 3) Negative Vector Pressure. 4)
VIX contacted NTI Green on Thursday and fell well below on Friday, defying
high probabilities of a solid bounce to the north. Its reaction to that
will be very interesting and that interest level must be resumed next
Monday.”
All
of this is the same as yesterday. Number 1, above, was challenged with a
jump in volume on solid bullish behavior. However, number 2, above, has
manifested and Force is drifting south. Number 2 trumps number one; at
least for a few more days. With respect to number 3, some Pressure points
are no longer negative, but a few continue persisting in this depressed
state. Finally, the VIX is vacillating around NTI Green with a noticeable
resistance to contrarian bearishness.
The
Near-term Indicant has been signaling bull only for contrarian VIX for
12.0-weeks. It is up 49.9%, annualizing at 216.6%.
Anti-recessionary fundamentals have reduced the fear element, but
volatility remains high and with that, risks remain high.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.7% since their bear signals an
average of 4.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 1.4% since their bear signals an
average of 6.6-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent.
Oct 19-Wed-Low volume
on behavior is pretty much uninformative, but is what it is. There is no
need for impatience in search for what does not exist.
Oct 18-Tue-Volume
increased on bullish aggression, suggesting heightened interest in the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality.
Oct 17-Mon-Mediocre
volume on bearish aggression is not adding bearish stimulation, but the
short-term bear cycle remains in tact.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.5% since their buy signals an average of 2.4-weeks ago,
annualizing at 139.2%.
The
NTI is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.1% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 6.0-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 13.0% since their buy signals an average of 15.8-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 42.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
5.0% since the QTI sell signals an average of 9.1-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 0.9% since that
sell signal. The Near-term Indicant, however, signaled buy on Oct 10,
2011. It is up 4.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 196.7%. Price
fell just below NTI Blue today. If your stop loss was triggered, just wait
for the Quick-term Indicant to signal buy before buying again.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 98.2% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 33.9%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.32 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $159.87. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is flat since then.
Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous. Force is again
moving south.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 17.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 77.3%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 2.4% since then,
annualizing at 18.0%. Notice its Force is starting a new bullish cycle.
Its interaction with pressure will be interesting. That should occur in
about two to five days from now.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 3.8%
since then.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 31.9% since then, annualizing at 159.4%. It is
up 92.4% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 400.8%. It interacted with Green last Friday, but its Force
Vector deserves monitoring with its newly forming bullish cycle.
Major ETF Events
Oct
19-Wed-Non-contrarian Force continues declining, offering some support for
the stock market bull.
Oct 18-Tue-Volume was
up with solid bullishness. If Force starts vacillating in bullish domains,
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality should start.
Oct 17-Mon-Strong
bearish behavior was expected, but short-term configurations indicate the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality could manifest within a week or two.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 19, 2011-Force
Vectors continue moving south. Relatively tight stop losses remain
appropriate. Contrarian Force Vectors shifted back to north. Force is a
key short-term attribute to monitor.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/19/2011
Oct 18, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 12 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Volume was up a bit
on solid bullish behavior. If Force starts vacillating in bullish domains
and discontinues its decline, more buy/bull signals will be triggered.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
As
stated last Wednesday, Oct 12, 2011, “there are a few reasons why there
are no bull signals. 1) No volume support. 2) Force Vectors nearing or at
cyclical peaks. They are ready for a fall. 3) Negative Vector Pressure. 4)
VIX contacted NTI Green on Thursday and fell well below on Friday, defying
high probabilities of a solid bounce to the north. Its reaction to that
will be very interesting and that interest level must be resumed next
Monday.”
Number 1, above, was challenged with a jump in volume on solid bullish
behavior. However, number 2, above, has manifested and Force is drifting
south. Number 2 trumps number one; at least for a few more days. With
respect to number 3, some Pressure points are no longer negative, but a
few continue persisting in this depressed state. Finally, the VIX is
vacillating around NTI Green with a noticeable resistance to contrarian
bearishness.
The
Near-term Indicant has been signaling bull only for contrarian VIX for
11.7-weeks. It is up 37.3%, annualizing at 163.7%.
Anti-recessionary fundamentals have reduced the fear element, but
volatility remains high and with that, risks remain high.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 4.0% since their bear signals an
average of 4.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.7% since their bear signals an
average of 6.5-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent.
Oct 18-Tue-Volume
increased on bullish aggression, suggesting heightened interest in the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality.
Oct 17-Mon-Mediocre
volume on bearish aggression is not adding bearish stimulation, but the
short-term bear cycle remains in tact.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.9% since their buy signals an average of 2.3-weeks ago,
annualizing at 156.0%.
The
NTI is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.8% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 5.8-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 13.3% since their buy signals an average of 15.6-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 44.1%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
3.8% since the QTI sell signals an average of 8.9-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 1.9% since that
sell signal. The Near-term Indicant, however, signaled buy on Oct 10,
2011. It is up 6.0% since that buy signal, annualizing at 270.7%. A sop
loss just below NTI Blue remains appropriate at this time.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 100.7% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.8%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.22 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $161.84. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 1.3% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous, despite
its reversal back to the north the past several days. This bullish cycle
is very mature. As you can see, it is now moving south.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 17.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 78.4%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 2.4% since then,
annualizing at 18.7%. Notice its Force is starting a new bullish cycle.
Its interaction with pressure will be interesting. That should occur in
about three to six days from now.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 7.4
since then.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 23.6% since then, annualizing at 119.8%. It is
up 80.4% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 352.8%. It interacted with Green last Friday, but its Force
Vector deserves monitoring with its newly forming bullish cycle.
Major ETF Events
Oct 18-Tue-Volume was
up with solid bullishness. If Force starts vacillating in bullish domains,
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality should start.
Oct 17-Mon-Strong
bearish behavior was expected, but short-term configurations indicate the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality could manifest within a week or two.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 17, 2011-Force
Vectors shifted to south today, following a strong bullish cycle.
Relatively tight stop losses remain appropriate. Contrarian Force Vectors
shifted back to north. Both cycles should offer some evidence of the stock
market’s directional intensity in a few days.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/18/2011
Oct 17, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 11 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Finally, Force
Vectors completed their bullish cycle and starting a new bearish cycle.
Contrarians are with similar inverse configurations. These two cycles
should offer evidence of the stock market’s directional intensity within a
week or two.
Today’s dynamic
bearish behavior was not as damaging to short-term hold signals as it
could have been. Therefore, there were no sell signals. If non-contrarian
Force crosses above Pressure and prices hold above NTI Green, the heart
and soul of bullish seasonality has a good chance to manifest. Conversely,
if contrarians, such as VIX and VXX Force struggles crossing above
Pressure with prices falling below NTI Green, they will endure a bear and
sell signal, respectively.
This particular cycle
will be interesting, indeed. If the stock market closes bullishly by the
end of this week, there is a good chance the Mid-term Indicant may align
configurations in support of sustainable bullishness. If this bullish
configuration manifest with volume support, then obviations of bullish
directional intensity can be claimed.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
As
stated last Wednesday, Oct 12, 2011, “there are a few reasons why there
are no bull signals. 1) No volume support. 2) Force Vectors nearing or at
cyclical peaks. They are ready for a fall. 3) Negative Vector Pressure. 4)
VIX contacted NTI Green on Thursday and fell well below on Friday, defying
high probabilities of a solid bounce to the north. Its reaction to that
will be very interesting and that interest level must be resumed next
Monday.”
Strong bearish behavior today highlights the bull still lacks capacity to
resume dominance.
The
Near-term Indicant has been signaling bull only for contrarian VIX for
11.7-weeks. It is up 42.9%, annualizing at 190.5%.
Anti-recessionary fundamentals have reduced the fear element, but
volatility remains high and with that, risks remain high.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.0% since their bear signals an
average of 4.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 0.8% since their bear signals an
average of 6.3-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
remain in high interest domains, but moving lethargically. That lethargic
behavior coincides with bullish stock market behavior the past two weeks,
suggesting bullish spurt attributes. Prior cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle and that remains absent.
Oct 17-Mon-Mediocre
volume on bearish aggression is not adding bearish stimulation, but the
short-term bear cycle remains in tact.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 5.8% since their buy signals an average of 2.1-weeks ago,
annualizing at 141.2%.
The
NTI is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.7% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 5.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 12.9% since their buy signals an average of 15.5-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 43.3%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
5.8% since the QTI sell signals an average of 8.8-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is down 1.3% since
that sell signal. The Near-term Indicant, however, signaled buy on Oct 10,
2011. It is up 2.7% since that buy signal, annualizing at 139.8%. A sop
loss just below NTI Blue is appropriate at this time.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 101.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 35.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.13 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $162.62. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 1.8% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous, despite
its reversal back to the north the past several days. This bullish cycle
is very mature. As you can see, it is now moving south.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 18.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 82.7%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 3.0% since then,
annualizing at 24.2%. It was bullish, as expected today. Notice its Force
is starting a new bullish cycle. Its interaction with pressure will be
interesting. That should occur in about four to seven days from now.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 5.0%
since then. It was bullish, as expected today.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 28.4% since then, annualizing at 146.1%. It is
up 87.3% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 388.1%. It interacted with Green last Friday, but its Force
Vector deserves monitoring with its newly forming bullish cycle.
Major ETF Events
Oct 17-Mon-Strong
bearish behavior was expected, but short-term configurations indicate the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality could manifest within a week or two.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 17, 2011-Force
Vectors shifted to south today, following a strong bullish cycle.
Relatively tight stop losses remain appropriate. Contrarian Force Vectors
shifted back to north. Both cycles should offer some evidence of the stock
market’s directional intensity in a few days.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/17/2011
Oct 14, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 10 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
As state since last
Tuesday, “Force Vectors are at or very near cyclical highs. The last three
such cycles triggered bearish responses. If this recent history repeats,
the bear will retain dominance. If this projected impending decline in
Force does not inspire the stock market bear, then the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality can manifest. The mid-term cycle, however, will need
to also configure in support of such bullish behavior.”
You will see in the
weekly report this weekend that the Mid-term Indicant is not yet
supporting the notion of sustainable bullishness.
The
VIX
and
VXX
fell below NTI Green this past Thursday. The VIX’s NTI bullish blue curve
collapsed also this past Thursday. Its response to that will be
interesting. Current configurations support a bullish response (a bearish
stock market). Their respective Vector Pressures remain in bullish
domains. That combination commonly triggers a stock market selloff. If
they fall prey to bearish influence (stock market bullishness), the heart
and soul of bullish seasonality should manifest.
The absence of volume
support for recent bullishness offers elemental suspicions of recent
bullish behavior. Configurations support stock market bearishness on the
immediate horizon. If the bull overcomes this, a sustainable short-term
bull cycle should manifest.
This past Thursday’s
daily report made the following statement:” … the Mid-term Force Vectors
will likely cross into bullish domains this weekend, if bearish behavior
does not manifest. That would trigger quite a few buy signals this
weekend.” Please read next paragraph.
Amazingly, with
profound bullish behavior this week, Force Vectors did not cross Pressure
and/or into bullish domains with the exception of the NAS100, which is
behaving congruently to an electrocardiogram’s expression of cardiac
arrest minutes before stoppage. That adds to suspicions regarding the
substance and sustainability of bullish behavior at this time. Force did
move north and with record bullishly biased volatility, bullish stock
market Force’s remain without support.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
As
stated last Wednesday, there are few reasons why there are no bull
signals. 1) No volume support. 2) Force Vectors nearing or at cyclical
peaks. They are ready for a fall. 3) Negative Vector Pressure. 4) VIX
contacted NTI Green on Thursday and fell well below on Friday, defying
high probabilities of a solid bounce to the north. Its reaction to that
will be very interesting and that interest level must be resumed next
Monday.
The
Near-term Indicant has been signaling bull only for contrarian VIX for
11.3-weeks. It is up 22.9%, annualizing at 105.5%.
Anti-recessionary fundamentals have reduced the fear element, but
volatility remains high and with that, risks remain high.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 4.2% since their bear signals an
average of 4.0-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.9% since their bear signals an
average of 5.9-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains. That cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle.
Oct 14-Fri-Mediocre
volume on significant bullishness should be viewed with suspicion.
Oct 13-Thu-Light
volume on a non-eventful day is not inspirational to either bull or bear.
Oct 12-Wed-Again,
very little volume support for bullish behavior. Remains configured with a
high probability of a mere bullish spurt.
Oct 11-Tue-Again, low
volume, identifying a bullish spurt at this point.
Oct 10-Mon-Very low
volume on aggressive bullish behavior is not supportive of sustaining that
bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 6.3% since their buy signals an average of 1.7-weeks ago,
annualizing at 191.2%.
The
NTI is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 0.4% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 5.0-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 13.0% since their buy signals an average of 15.0-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 44.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
3.6% since the QTI sell signals an average of 8.4-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 0.6% since that
sell signal. Force crossed above Pressure this past Monday and into
bullish domains. Consequently, the Near-term Indicant signaled buy. It is
up 4.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 415.6%. Keep a tight stop
loss if you bought. Its Force Vector is at cyclical peak and poised to
shift south.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 102.6% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 35.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $147.04 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $163.40. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 2.3% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous, despite
its reversal back to the north the past several days. This bullish cycle
is very mature. As stated this past Monday, bearishness on the immediate
horizon along the near-term cycle would not be surprising. (It has been
bouncy since most of this past week. Its price is having difficulty
crossing above NTI Green).
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 16.4% since that buy signal, annualizing at 76.5%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 1.3% since then,
annualizing at 11.0%. Its Force Vector is bearishly mature with positive
Pressure, suggesting its non-bearishness on the immediate horizon.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 7.8%
since then. Its Pressure is low and threatens a potential rebound.
However, Force cycle is bearishly mature, offering potential for a bullish
bounce, which implies QQQ bearishness.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 16.3% since then, annualizing at 87.7%. It is up
69.7% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 321.8%. It will not receive a sell signal until price
interacts with NTI Green. Its mature Force Vector, coupled with very high
Vector Pressure configures potential for a solid bullish bounce.
Major ETF Events
Oct 14-Fri-Same as
yesterday in spite of Friday’s strong bullish behavior.
Oct13-Thu-Configurations indicate bearish behavior on the immediate
horizon with a 87% probability. Defying those odds favors a continuation
of recent bullishness.
Oct
12-Wed-Non-contrarian Force Vectors remain at cyclical highs, while VIX,
VXX, and QID are at cyclical lows. If a very high probability of solid
stock market bearish expressions in the next day or two does not manifest,
the bull will be inspired. Solid bearish behavior is expected, though.
Oct 11-Tue-Most Force
Vectors are at cyclical highs. This has triggered bearish responses on the
last three cycles. If this recent history repeats, the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality will be delayed. If not, then the probability of
manifestation is high.
Oct 10-Mon-Several
Force Vectors crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. Prices also
crossed above NTI Bullish Blue curve. By default, buy signals had to be
generated. Keep in mind the Mid-term cycle remains bearish.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 14, 2011-Force
Vectors are bullishly mature with low Pressure. Relatively tight stop
losses remain appropriate. Contrarian Force Vectors are at cyclical
minimums, suggesting non-bullishness with a high probability of bearish
behavior on the immediate horizon.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/14/2011
Oct 13, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 09 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
As state since last
Tuesday, Force Vectors are at or very near cyclical highs. The last three
such cycles triggered bearish responses. If this recent history repeats,
the bear will retain dominance. If this projected impending declining in
Force does not inspire the stock market bear, then the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality can manifest. The mid-term cycle, however, will need
to also configure in support of such bullish behavior.
The
VIX
and
VXX
fell below NTI Green. The VIX’s NTI bullish blue curve collapsed today.
Its response to that will be interesting. Current configurations support a
bullish response (a bearish stock market). Their respective Vector
Pressures remain in bullish domains. That combination commonly triggers a
stock market selloff. If they fall prey to bearish influence (stock market
bullishness), the heart and soul of bullish seasonality should manifest.
The absence of volume
support for recent bullishness offers elemental suspicions of recent
bullish behavior. Configurations support stock market bearishness on the
immediate horizon. If the bull overcomes this, a sustainable short-term
bull cycle should manifest. Keep in mind, the Mid-term Force Vectors will
likely cross into bullish domains this weekend, if bearish behavior does
not manifest. That would trigger quite a few buy signals this weekend.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
As
stated yesterday, there are few reasons why there are no bull signals. 1)
No volume support. 2) Force Vectors nearing or at cyclical peaks. They are
ready for a fall. 3) Negative Vector Pressure. 4) VIX contacted NTI Green
today. Its reaction to that will be very interesting.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX for eleven
weeks. It is up 33.6%, annualizing at 156.8%.
VIX
fell below NTI Green today. It did not bounce north today, but there is
time for it to do so; that is one more day. If there is no bounce, the
stock market bull will add a victory notch. If the bounce is anemic, the
stock market bull can start preparing for a victory notch.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.4% since their bear signals an
average of 3.9-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 1.1% since their bear signals an
average of 5.8-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains. That cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle.
Oct 13-Thu-Light
volume on a non-eventful day is not inspirational to either bull or bear.
Oct 12-Wed-Again,
very little volume support for bullish behavior. Remains configured with a
high probability of a mere bullish spurt.
Oct 11-Tue-Again, low
volume, identifying a bullish spurt at this point.
Oct 10-Mon-Very low
volume on aggressive bullish behavior is not supportive of sustaining that
bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 5.6% since their buy signals an average of 1.6-weeks ago,
annualizing at 185.1%.
The
NTI is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.7% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 4.8-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 12.6% since their buy signals an average of 14.9-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 43.8%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
5.0% since the QTI sell signals an average of 8.2-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is down 3.3% since
that sell signal. Force crossed above Pressure this past Monday and into
bullish domains. Consequently, the Near-term Indicant signaled buy. It is
up 0.6% since that buy signal. Keep a tight stop loss if you bought. Its
Force Vector is at cyclical peak and poised to shift south.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 101.2% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 35.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $146.94 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $162.30. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 1.6% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous, despite
its reversal back to the north the past several days. This bullish cycle
is very mature in this cycle. As stated this past Monday, bearishness on
the immediate horizon along the near-term cycle would not be surprising.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 18.1% since that buy signal, annualizing at 85.7%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 2.8% since then,
annualizing at 24.3%.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 4.3%
since then. Its Pressure is low and threatens a potential rebound.
However, Force cycle is bearishly mature, offering potential for a bullish
bounce.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 23.3% since then, annualizing at 127.0%. It is
up 79.9% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 373.4%. It will not receive a sell signal until price
interacts with NTI Green. Its mature Force Vector, coupled with very high
Vector Pressure configures potential for a solid bullish bounce.
Major ETF Events
Oct13-Thu-Configurations indicate bearish behavior on the immediate
horizon with a 87% probability. Defying those odds favors a continuation
of recent bullishness.
Oct
12-Wed-Non-contrarian Force Vectors remain at cyclical highs, while VIX,
VXX, and QID are at cyclical lows. If a very high probability of solid
stock market bearish expressions in the next day or two does not manifest,
the bull will be inspired. Solid bearish behavior is expected, though.
Oct 11-Tue-Most Force
Vectors are at cyclical highs. This has triggered bearish responses on the
last three cycles. If this recent history repeats, the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality will be delayed. If not, then the probability of
manifestation is high.
Oct 10-Mon-Several
Force Vectors crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. Prices also
crossed above NTI Bullish Blue curve. By default, buy signals had to be
generated. Keep in mind the Mid-term cycle remains bearish.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 13, 2011-Force
Vectors are bullishly mature with low Pressure. Relatively tight stop
losses remain appropriate. Contrarian Force Vectors are at cyclical
minimums, suggesting non-bullishness with a high probability of bearish
behavior on the immediate horizon.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/13/2011
Oct 12, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 08 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors are at
or very near cyclical highs. The last three such cycles triggered bearish
responses. If this recent history repeats, the bear will retain dominance.
If the impending declining Force does not inspire the stock market bear,
then the heart and soul of bullish seasonality can manifest. The mid-term
cycle, however, will need to also configure in support of such bullish
behavior.
The
VIX
and
VXX
are very near NTI Green. The typically invokes a bullish response (a
bearish stock market). Their respective Vector Pressures remain in bullish
domains. That combination commonly triggers a stock market selloff. If
they fall prey to bearish influence (stock market bullishness), the heart
and soul of bullish seasonality should manifest.
The absence of volume
support for recent bullishness offers elemental suspicions of recent
bullish behavior. Configurations support stock market bearishness on the
immediate horizon. If the bull overcomes this, a sustainable short-term
bull cycle should manifest. Keep in mind, the Mid-term Force Vectors will
likely cross into bullish domains this weekend, if bearish behavior does
not manifest. That would trigger quite a few buy signals this weekend.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
As
stated yesterday, there are few reasons why there are no bull signals. 1)
No volume support. 2) Force Vectors nearing or at cyclical peaks. They are
ready for a fall. 3) Negative Vector Pressure. 4) VIX is not below NTI
Green, yet.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX for eleven
weeks. It is up 36.0%, annualizing at 170.3%.
VIX
contacted NTI Green today. That is a traditional bounce point. If there is
no bounce, the stock market bull will add a victory notch. If the bounce
is anemic, the stock market bull can start preparing for a victory notch.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 2.5% since their bear signals an
average of 3.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 1.3% since their bear signals an
average of 5.6-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains. That cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle.
Oct 12-Wed-Again,
very little volume support for bullish behavior. Remains configured with a
high probability of a mere bullish spurt.
Oct 11-Tue-Again, low
volume, identifying a bullish spurt at this point.
Oct 10-Mon-Very low
volume on aggressive bullish behavior is not supportive of sustaining that
bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 5.5% since their buy signals an average of 1.4-weeks ago,
annualizing at 198.7%.
The
NTI is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 1.1% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 4.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 12.3% since their buy signals an average of 14.8-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 43.5%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
4.5% since the QTI sell signals an average of 8.1-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is down 3.2% since
that sell signal. Force crossed above Pressure this past Monday and into
bullish domains. Consequently, the Near-term Indicant signaled buy. It is
up 0.7% since that buy signal. Keep a tight stop loss if you bought. Its
Force Vector is at cyclical peak and poised to shift south.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 102.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 35.6%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $146.85 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $163.26. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 2.2% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous, despite
its reversal back to the north the past several days. It is very mature in
this cycle. As stated this past Monday, bearishness on the immediate
horizon along the near-term cycle would not be surprising.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 16.9% since that buy signal, annualizing at 81.2%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 1.8% since then,
annualizing at 15.8%.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. It is down 2.6%
since then. Its Pressure is low and threatens a potential rebound.
However, Force cycle is bearishly mature, offering potential for a bullish
bounce.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 23.5% since then, annualizing at 130.4%. It is
up 80.2% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 380.1%. It will not receive a sell signal until price
interacts with NTI Green. Its mature Force Vector, coupled with very high
Vector Pressure configures potential for a solid bullish bounce.
Major ETF Events
Oct
12-Wed-Non-contrarian Force Vectors remain at cyclical highs, while VIX,
VXX, and QID are at cyclical lows. If a very high probability of solid
stock market bearish expressions in the next day or two does not manifest,
the bull will be inspired. Solid bearish behavior is expected, though.
Oct 11-Tue-Most Force
Vectors are at cyclical highs. This has triggered bearish responses on the
last three cycles. If this recent history repeats, the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality will be delayed. If not, then the probability of
manifestation is high.
Oct 10-Mon-Several
Force Vectors crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. Prices also
crossed above NTI Bullish Blue curve. By default, buy signals had to be
generated. Keep in mind the Mid-term cycle remains bearish.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 12, 2011-Force
Vectors are bullishly mature with low Pressure. However, they did cross
above Pressure and into bullish domains. By default, buy signals were
generated. Relatively tight stop losses are appropriate. Contrarian Force
Vectors are at cyclical minimums.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/12/2011
Oct 11, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 07 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors are at
or very near cyclical highs. The last three such cycles triggered bearish
responses. If this recent history repeats, the bear will retain dominance.
If the impending declining Force does not inspire the stock market bear,
then the heart and soul of bullish seasonality can manifest. The mid-term
cycle, however, will need to also configure in support of such bullish
behavior.
The
VIX
and
VXX
have still not contacted NTI Green. Their respective Vector Pressures
remain in bullish domains. If they fall prey to bearish influence, the
heart and soul of bullish seasonality should begin. Their Force Vectors
are at cyclical minimums.
The absence of volume
support for recent bullishness offers elemental suspicions of recent
bullish behavior.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
Here
are few reasons why there are no bull signals. 1) No volume support. 2)
Force Vectors nearing or at cyclical peaks. They are ready for a fall. 3)
Negative Vector Pressure. 4) VIX is not below NTI Green yet.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. It is up
42.9%, annualizing at 205.5%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 1.6% since their bear signals an
average of 3.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 0.3% since their bear signals an
average of 5.5-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains. That cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle.
Oct 11-Tue-Again, low
volume, identifying a bullish spurt at this point.
Oct 10-Mon-Very low
volume on aggressive bullish behavior is not supportive of sustaining that
bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for 17-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 5.7% since their buy signals an average of 1.3-weeks ago,
annualizing at 232.1%.
The
NTI is avoiding 15-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.5% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 4.5-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 12-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 12.8% since their buy signals an average of 14.6-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 45.5%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 20-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
5.8% since the QTI sell signals an average of 7.9-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is down 3.7% since
that sell signal. Force crossed above Pressure this past Monday and into
bullish domains. Consequently, the Near-term Indicant signaled buy. It is
up 0.2% since that buy signal. Keep a tight stop loss if you bought.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 101.0% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 35.2%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $146.76 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $162.10. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 1.4% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous, despite
its reversal back to the north the past several days. It is very mature in
this cycle. As stated this past Monday, bearishness on the immediate
horizon along the near-term cycle would not be surprising.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 18.6% since that buy signal, annualizing at 90.7%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 3.3% since then,
annualizing at 30.1%.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal this past Monday from both the Near-term and
Quick-term Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. Its Pressure is
low and threatens a potential rebound. However, Force cycle is bearishly
mature, offering potential for a bullish bounce.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 32.4% since then, annualizing at 182.1%. It is
up 93.1% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 447.0%. It will not receive a sell signal until price
interacts with NTI Green.
Major ETF Events
Oct 11-Tue-Most Force
Vectors are at cyclical highs. This has triggered bearish responses on the
last three cycles. If this recent history repeats, the heart and soul of
bullish seasonality will be delayed. If not, then the probability of
manifestation is high.
Oct 10-Mon-Several
Force Vectors crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. Prices also
crossed above NTI Bullish Blue curve. By default, buy signals had to be
generated. Keep in mind the Mid-term cycle remains bearish.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 10, 2011-Force
Vectors are bullishly mature with low Pressure. However, they did cross
above Pressure and into bullish domains. By default, buy signals were
generated. Relatively tight stop losses are appropriate.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/11/2011
Oct 10, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 06 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Force Vectors for
several ETF’s crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. Therefore,
buy signals were triggered. Set tight stop losses. The Force Vector cycle
is bullishly mature. That coupled with low Vector Pressure could result in
a short hold period. That is why stop losses should be tightened.
The
VIX and
VXX have still not contacted NTI Green. Their respective Vector
Pressures remain in bullish domains. If they fall prey to bearish
influence, the heart and soul of bullish seasonality should begin.
Keep in mind, also,
today’s strong bullish behavior occurred with very little volume,
suggesting volatile stock market behavior is not over. European
politician’s chit-chat, alone, will not propel the stock market to the
north. However, some economic data is improving, but the jury is still
out.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. It is up
43.7%, annualizing at 212.0%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 1.5% since their bear signals an
average of 3.4-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are up by an average of 0.2% since their bear signals an
average of 5.3-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains. That cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle.
Oct 10-Mon-Very low
volume on aggressive bullish behavior is not supportive of sustaining that
bullish behavior.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated 14-buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 33.1% since their buy signals an average of 6.5-weeks ago,
annualizing at 268.8%.
The
NTI is avoiding 14-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 2.6% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 4.6-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated eight buy signals and one sell signal.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 39.2% since their buy signals an average of 43.4-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 46.9%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 19-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
6.1% since the QTI sell signals an average of 8.2-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is down 3.9% since
those sell signals. Force crossed above Pressure today and into bullish
domains. Consequently, the Near-term Indicant signaled buy.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 102.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 35.7%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $146.66 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $163.27. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.
The
Near-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 23, 2011. It is up 2.2% since
then. Force’s collapse deep into bearish domains remains ominous, despite
its reversal back to the north the past six days. It is very mature in
this cycle. Bearishness on the immediate horizon along the near-term cycle
would not be surprising.
Click this sentence for additional charting and current forecasting of the
actual price of gold.
All
prior comments in this section remain in effect, but eliminated here for
brevity purposes. You will be notified when and if such commentary
requires adjustment.
ETF#14-TLT-Long Government
received a buy signal on Fri, Jul 29, 2011 from the Quick-term Indicant
model. It is up 19.8% since that buy signal, annualizing at 93.9%. The
Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Sep 2, 2011. It is up 3.6% since then,
annualizing at 34.6%.
ETF#31-QID
received a sell signal today from both the Near-term and Quick-term
Indicant as Force fell into bearish domains. Its Pressure is low and
threatens a potential rebound.
The
Quick-term signaled buy for
ETF#32-VXX
on Aug 8, 2011. It is up 34.0% since then, annualizing at 194.4%. It is
up 95.5% since the Near-term Indicant signaled buy on Jul 28, 2011,
annualizing at 464.7%. This ETN will be abandoned once the stock market
stabilizes, as its tracking to VIX is unreliable. However, current
performance levels suggest some difficulty in its abandonment. It will not
receive a sell signal until price interacts with NTI Green.
Major ETF Events
Oct 10-Mon-Several
Force Vectors crossed above Pressure and into bullish domains. Prices also
crossed above NTI Bullish Blue curve. By default, buy signals had to be
generated. Keep in mind the Mid-term cycle remains bearish.
Current Strategy-Short-term Indicant-Oct 10, 2011-Force
Vectors are bullishly mature with low Pressure. However, they did cross
above Pressure and into bullish domains. By default, buy signals were
generated. Relatively tight stop losses are appropriate.
Reverse Tangential Projections
Click this sentence to the table,
highlighting RTP’s (Reverse Tangential Projections).
The values and magnitudes are expressed in the table on the website.
Keep
in mind there is 100% confidence in these bearish projections.
Click the
Short-term Indicant
to see the combined table of the Near-term Indicant, Quick-term, and
Short-term Indicant. The table has links to charts for each. Each chart
contains all three models and there are two separate buy and sell signals
for the Near-term and/or Quick-term Indicant.
The
tour is still being developed, but most of you are now familiar with the
Near-term bull/bear cycles as well as the tangential protections and
reverse tangential bearish detectors.
Click
Quick-term Indicant, Near-term, and Short-term for all 31-ETF’s.
Other links:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Near-term, Quick-term, and Short-term Indicant for Major Indices
Happy Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.net
10/10/2011
Oct 7, 2011 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 10, Issue 05 ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
©
The Indicant Stock Market Report
Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Stock market
bullishness in three of the past four days remains configured as a bullish
spurt and without potential for sustainability at this time. Some Force
Vectors are moving north, but consuming significant bullish energy in
doing so.
Do not snooze,
though. The heart and soul of bullish seasonality is nearing. Stock market
Force will need to support before it can manifest. Most continue residing
in bearish domains. Some moved higher than Pressure today, but without
breadth. Too many remain with strong bearish configurations.
Near-term, Quick-term, Short-term Indicant Stock Market Details
Index Report Card Summary
The
Near-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
Click this sentence to see table leading to the charts.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bull only for contrarian VIX. It is up
57.5%, annualizing at 290.8%.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling bear for the eleven major non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 1.8% since their bear signals an
average of 3.0-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant signaled no new bulls and no new bears.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bull for contrarian VIX. Its performance
is the same as the Near-term Indicant levels.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling bear for all eleven non-contrarian
indices. They are down by an average of 3.1% since their bear signals an
average of 4.9-weeks ago.
Indicant Volume Indicators
Both major indices
are robustly in high interest domains. That cyclical robustness coincides
with bearish aggression, supporting bearish bias. Sustainable bullish
behavior requires robustness in conjunction with bullish attributes along
the short-term cycle.
Oct 7-Fri-Mild volume
on mild bearishness does nothing to shift from bearish bias.
Oct 6-Thu-Again light
volume on bullish behavior based on European politicians playing paper
games.
Oct 5-Wed-Light
volume on bullish behavior does not support shift from bearish bias to
bullish bias.
Oct 4-Tue-Very high
volume on significant intraday volatility with a solid bullish close
offers added support for the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. Keep
in mind, though, that Force Vector behavior is more influential than
volume, alone. Also keep in mind that recent volume increases remain
highly correlated to stock market bearishness.
Oct 3-Mon-Aggressive
volume on dynamic stock market bearishness continues in support of the
short-term bear cycle.
Short-term ETF Report Card, Status, and Charts
The
Near-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Near-term Indicant is signaling hold for four-ETF’s; mainly contrarians.
They are up by an average of 28.3% since their buy signals an average of
5.0-weeks ago, annualizing at 292.2%.
The
NTI is avoiding 28-ETF’s. They are down by an average of 3.0% since their
near-term sell signals an average of 3.5-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant generated no buy signals and no sell signals.
The
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for five-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 31.1% since their buy signals an average of 34.6-weeks ago.
This annualizes at 46.7%.
The
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding 27-ETF’s. They are down by an average of
6.0% since the QTI sell signals an average of 6.0-weeks ago.
Contrarian Funds
ETF#03-Natural Resources.
The
Near-term and Quick-term Indicant signaled sell on Sep 2, 2011. It is down
8.0% since those sell signals. It is a Green and Yellow Bear. It is
struggling to escape that level of weakness. Its Force Vector shifted back
to the north earlier this week, but still residing in bearish domains and
below Pressure.
ETF#11-Gold and Precious Metals
is
up 97.4% since the QTI signaled buy on December 11, 2008. Annualized
growth is at 34.0%. Bearish yellow is a good price to set stop losses for
a longer-term hold position, which is at $146.57 and still rising.
Relaxation remains in order, despite recent bearish aggression, since your
buy price approximates $80.65 versus today’s closing price of $159.18. The
Quick-term Indicant will not signal sell until interaction with QTI Yellow
Curve.<