Sep 28,
2007 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 09, Issue
19 Supplement B, ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
© The Indicant
Stock Market Report
Today's Report
Quick/Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Quick-term
Red Bulls:
Eighteen of thirty; bullish bias holding and improving
Quick-term
Yellow Bears:
Three; non-bearish support continues and improving
Quick-term
Non-Bearishness:
Non-bearish support is improving.
Short-term
Non-Bearishness:
Continues supporting non-bearish behavior. The July-August bearish threat
expired on Monday, September 17, 2007.
Force
Vectors:
Configurations are increasingly supporting bullish bias.
Vector
Pressure:
Twenty-eight
in bullish domains, highlighting near unanimous support for bullish bias.
Long-term
Hold Positions:
Safe.
Immediate
Tactics:
Aggressively buy on buy signals.
Current
Quick-term Bias:
Bullish.
Overall
(Long-term) Market Status:
Bullish bias
prevailing and strengthening.
Profit
Potential from Naked Options:
Volatility is declining, dampening option profit potential. However,
dynamic sell-offs (bearish spurts) will offer periodic call option
opportunities over the next few months.
Volume:
Configurations are supporting bullish bias.
Comment from
September 17, 2007
Configurations are shifting away from bearish support………….
Observation
on September 18, 2007. The Dow’s 335-point gain today (9/18/07 is not
jittery behavior. It is not a bullish spurt. It reflects the beginning of
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. Enjoy!
Quick-term/Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Details
The Dow and
NASDAQ are up 1.1% and 1.9%, respectively, since the
Short-term Indicant signaled bull on September 18, 2007. The heart and
soul of bullish seasonality should be predominant for several months.
Please read
on. Click here to see the
Short-term Indicant’s history.
Both
Indicant Volume Indicator’s are aborting the attempted robustness.
Friday’s mild volume on mild bearishness supports the continuation of the
bullish bias. Recent high volume, coupled with aggressive bullishness
supports a continuation of bullish bias.
SQI Report Card (Consolidated Short/Quick), Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signal and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals, the
SQI is signaling hold for 30-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 76.3%
(annualized at 35.9%) since their respective buy signals an average of
109.3-weeks ago. The SQI is not avoiding any ETF’s at this time.
The SQI model is the one that most of you will prefer for your trading
decisions. It generates fewer signals than the other two models and
represents consistencies in the Quick-term and Short-term outlooks for the
specific ETF’s. It also beats buy and hold on a regular basis, although
there is only eight years of proof. The quality of that proof is high
since this period includes a powerful bull and bear. The model sours a
little during meandering markets with an excessive number of signals from
time to time. Research toward perfecting continues.
Short-term Indicant Report Card, Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signals and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals,
the Short-term Indicant is signaling hold for 30-ETF’s. They are up an
average of 77.6% (annualized 37.6%) since the STI signaled, buy, an
average of 106.2-weeks ago. There are no avoid signals.
The
Short-term Indicant is more active in buying/selling than the Consolidated
model. The Quick-term Indicant, which follows, is even more active.
Quick-term Report Card, Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signals and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals,
the Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 30-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 17.0% (annualized at 31.4%) since the QTI signaled buy an
average of 27.9-weeks ago. The Quick-term Indicant is not avoiding any
ETF’s at this time.
The
Quick-term Indicant is yet more active with buy and sell signals.
Conflicts Between the Short-term and Quick-term Indicants
There are no
conflicts, whereby the Short-term Indicant and the Quick-term Indicant are
in disagreement between hold and avoid status. This complete harmony of
directional intensity continues supporting the Quick-term bullish bias
shift since August 15, 2006.
Quick-term Indicant Bull/Bear Health Report
Only three
of the 30-ETF’s are below their bearish yellow curves. The average
relative position of all thirty ETF’s is above bearish yellow by 10.0%.
This attribute is providing solid non-bearish support.
Nineteen of
the ETF’s are above their respective bullish red curves, which is
supportive of the bullish bias. All thirty ETF average positions are 1,8%
above the bullish red curves. This supports bullish bias.
Short-term Indicant Bull/Bear Health Report for ETF’s
The above
heading is linked to the Short-term Indicant table. This paragraph is
repeated daily as a reminder of accurately interpreting the charts. By
clicking the charts on the table you can review potential contact with the
breakdown lines (bearish) and potential contact with breakout lines
(bullish). It is extremely bearish when several ETF’s are contacting their
respective breakdown lines. The breakdown lines are the yellow lines
(bearish). The breakout lines are the red ones (bullish). Close proximity
to breakout implies an increased probability of an actual breakout
occurring. It is certainly bullish and you will want to be in a hold
position for those few days a year when the breakout occurs. Conversely,
significant contact with yellow (breakdown) suggests “avoid” positions are
best.
One of the
thirty ETF’s is contacting its breakout line. As stated the past several
months, the high concentration of breakout-contact since August 2006 was
solidly bullish. Contact in eighteen of the last nineteen trading days
supports bullish bias.
The average
distance from breakout contact is a mere 3.7%. This remains in support of
the quick-term bullish bias.
None of the
ETF’s are contacting breakdown lines, providing non-bearish support.
The average
distance from the price and breakdown is a solid 22.7%. This configuration
provides non-bearish support, which has been the case since March 2003.
ETF
Force Vector Configurations
You can scan
the
Quick-term Indicant for Exchange Traded Funds table and click on the
charts to observe Force Vector configurations. Scroll down each of the
charts, where a quick link has been added to take you to the next series
of Quick-term ETF charts. Use you back arrow on your browser to return to
the previous page.
Eight Force
Vectors are moving bullishly, supporting bullish bias.
This bull is
strong and resisting bearish expressions. Consider any bearish expressions
as mere spurts in the face of underlying bullish bias, which will offer
more buying and call-option opportunities.
To
understand potential financial opportunities,
click here to learn to identify Robust Force Vectors. They are visible
on the
Quick-term Indicant charts.
ETF
Force Vectors/Vector Pressure Crossings/Option Signals
Remember,
the links contained herein are more visible when reading this on the
website.
Click this sentence for Vector Pressure Option Signals. There were no
option buy signals after Friday’s close.
Twenty-eight
ETF
Vector Pressures remain in bullish domains, which is up by sixteen since
September 7 and increasingly supportive of bullish bias. This attribute
approached bearish support in July and August. Just as it neared full
bearish support during that period, the bull exerted its influence. The
bull is again dominant even though there is a profit-taking threat on the
near-term horizon.
As stated
the past few weeks, this attribute held position, solidified, and allowed
the bull to re-exert its influence.
Make certain
you sell naked options when the Force Vectors shift direction or within
two days of the purchase, whichever occurs first. If you are unfamiliar
with this, take the
options tour.
Remember
options trading is risky. Never offer “market prices.” Always bid low in
hopes of an intraday contrarian movement to the underlying assumption of
directional behavior. Always place day-orders, only. That keeps the floor
folks out of your pocketbook. Do not despair if your order does not take.
There are plenty of opportunities throughout the course of the year.
Remember, stalking is the key to success here. Although not necessary for
stock market success, those of you who have a gambling instinct will enjoy
this. For those of you with a longer-term perspective, it does not hurt to
see what the short-term folks are thinking. The Indicant indicates both
perspectives.
Quick-term and Short-term Indicant Summary
The shift
from bearish bias to bullish bias started on Tuesday, August 15, 2006
after maintaining a bearish bias from early February 2006 until August 15,
2006.
Message from
Monday, September 17, 2007. The market is configuring nicely in support of
the impending heart and soul of bullish seasonality.
Message from
September 17, 2007. It is recommended to avoid writing covered call
options due to increased probability of quick-term and short-term
bullishness. Modified on September 24, 2007. Vector Pressure is again
positive (bullish) and not configured favorably for writing covered call
options.
The
Quick-term Bull remains in tact.
ProFunds Ultra Short mutual fund moves inversely to the QQQQ by
exponential amounts. The Consolidated Indicant model is not avoiding QQQQ,
which does not support holding contrarian fund, ProFunds Ultra Short.
To
familiarize yourself with viewing the market from an ETF perspective,
click the following update links.
Quick-term ETF Options
Quick-term Indicant for ETF’s
Short-term Indicant for ETF’s
Consolidated Quick-term/Short-term Indicant for ETF’s
Click here to the report card, which is updated weekly, to link to related
tours.
Links to the
Short-term Indicant and Indicant Volume Indicator are below:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Happy
Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.Net
09/28/07
Sep 27,
2007 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 09, Issue
18 Supplement B, ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
© The Indicant
Stock Market Report
Today's Report
Quick/Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Quick-term
Red Bulls:
Eighteen of thirty; bullish bias holding and improving
Quick-term
Yellow Bears:
One; non-bearish support continues and improving
Quick-term
Non-Bearishness:
Non-bearish support is improving.
Short-term
Non-Bearishness:
Continues supporting non-bearish behavior. The July-August bearish threat
expired on September 17, 2007.
Force
Vectors:
Configurations are increasingly supporting bullish bias.
Vector
Pressure:
Twenty-eight
in bullish domains, highlighting near unanimous support for bullish bias.
Long-term
Hold Positions:
Safe.
Immediate
Tactics:
Aggressively buy on buy signals.
Current
Quick-term Bias:
Bullish.
Overall
(Long-term) Market Status:
Bullish bias
prevailing and strengthening.
Profit
Potential from Naked Options:
Volatility is declining, dampening option profit potential. However,
dynamic sell-offs (bearish spurts) will offer periodic call option
opportunities over the next few months.
Volume:
Configurations are supporting bullish bias.
Comment from
September 17, 2007
Configurations are shifting away from bearish support. Although some
volatile expressions remain threatening, the bull is configuring to
demonstrate its dominance.
Observation
on September 18, 2007. The Dow’s 335-point gain today (9/18/07 is not
jittery behavior. It is not a bullish spurt. It reflects the beginning of
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. Enjoy!
Quick-term/Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Details
The Dow and
NASDAQ are up 1.3% and 2.2%, respectively, since the
Short-term Indicant signaled bull on September 18, 2007. The heart and
soul of bullish seasonality should be predominant for several months.
Please read
on. Click here to see the
Short-term Indicant’s history.
Both
Indicant Volume Indicator’s are aborting the attempted robustness.
Today’s volume was light on mild bullishness. Recent high volume, coupled
with aggressive bullishness supports a continuation of bullish bias.
SQI Report Card (Consolidated Short/Quick), Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signal and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals, the
SQI is signaling hold for 30-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 77.2%
(annualized at 36.4%) since their respective buy signals an average of
109.1-weeks ago. The SQI is not avoiding any ETF’s at this time.
The SQI model is the one that most of you will prefer for your trading
decisions. It generates fewer signals than the other two models and
represents consistencies in the Quick-term and Short-term outlooks for the
specific ETF’s. It also beats buy and hold on a regular basis, although
there is only eight years of proof. The quality of that proof is high
since this period includes a powerful bull and bear. The model sours a
little during meandering markets with an excessive number of signals from
time to time. Research toward perfecting continues.
Short-term Indicant Report Card, Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signals and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals,
the Short-term Indicant is signaling hold for 30-ETF’s. They are up an
average of 78.5% (annualized 38.1%) since the STI signaled, buy, an
average of 106.1-weeks ago. There are no avoid signals.
The
Short-term Indicant is more active in buying/selling than the Consolidated
model. The Quick-term Indicant, which follows, is even more active.
Quick-term Report Card, Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signals and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals,
the Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 30-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 17.5% (annualized at 32.5%) since the QTI signaled buy an
average of 27.7-weeks ago. The Quick-term Indicant is not avoiding any
ETF’s at this time.
The
Quick-term Indicant is yet more active with buy and sell signals.
Conflicts Between the Short-term and Quick-term Indicants
There are no
conflicts, whereby the Short-term Indicant and the Quick-term Indicant are
in disagreement between hold and avoid status. This complete harmony of
directional intensity continues supporting the Quick-term bullish bias
shift on August 15, 2006.
Quick-term Indicant Bull/Bear Health Report
Only one of
the 30-ETF’s is below its bearish yellow curve. The average relative
position of all thirty ETF’s is above bearish yellow by 10.5%. This
attribute is providing solid non-bearish support.
Eighteen of
the ETF’s are above their respective bullish red curves, which is
supportive of the bullish bias. All thirty ETF average positions are 2.3%
above their bullish red curves. Solid support for bullish bias is now in
force.
Short-term Indicant Bull/Bear Health Report for ETF’s
The above
heading is linked to the Short-term Indicant table. This paragraph is
repeated daily as a reminder of accurately interpreting the charts. By
clicking the charts on the table you can review potential contact with the
breakdown lines (bearish) and potential contact with breakout lines
(bullish). It is extremely bearish when several ETF’s are contacting their
respective breakdown lines. The breakdown lines are the yellow lines
(bearish). The breakout lines are the red ones (bullish). Close proximity
to breakout implies an increased probability of an actual breakout
occurring. It is certainly bullish and you will want to be in a hold
position for those few days a year when the breakout occurs. Conversely,
significant contact with yellow (breakdown) suggests “avoid” positions are
best.
Five of the
thirty ETF’s are contacting their breakout lines. As stated the past
several months, the high concentration of breakout-contact since August
2006 was solidly bullish. Contact in seventeen of the last eighteen
trading days supports bullish bias.
The average
distance from breakout contact is a mere 3.3%. This remains in support of
the quick-term bullish bias.
None of the
ETF’s are contacting breakdown lines, providing non-bearish support.
The average
distance from the price and breakdown is a solid 23.7%. This configuration
provides non-bearish support, which has been the case since March 2003.
ETF
Force Vector Configurations
You can scan
the
Quick-term Indicant for Exchange Traded Funds table and click on the
charts to observe Force Vector configurations. Scroll down each of the
charts, where a quick link has been added to take you to the next series
of Quick-term ETF charts. Use you back arrow on your browser to return to
the previous page.
Nine Force
Vectors are moving bullishly and in solid support of bullish bias. This is
up from yesterday and nudging the probability of near-term bearishness to
the south.
This bull is
strong and resisting bearish expressions. Consider any bearish expressions
as mere spurts in the face of underlying bullish bias, which offers yet
more buying opportunities.
To
understand potential financial opportunities,
click here to learn to identify Robust Force Vectors. They are visible
on the
Quick-term Indicant charts.
ETF
Force Vectors/Vector Pressure Crossings/Option Signals
Remember,
the links contained herein are more visible when reading this on the
website.
Click this sentence for Vector Pressure Option Signals. There were no
option buy signals after Thursday’s close.
Twenty-eight
ETF
Vector Pressures remain in bullish domains, which is up by eighteen since
September 6 and increasingly supportive of bullish bias. This attribute
approached bearish support in July and August. Just as it neared full
bearish support a few weeks ago, the bull exerted its influence. The bull
is again dominant even though there is a profit-taking threat on the
near-term horizon.
As stated
the past few weeks, this attribute held position, solidified, and allowed
the bull to re-exert its influence.
Make certain
you sell naked options when the Force Vectors shift direction or within
two days of the purchase, whichever occurs first. If you are unfamiliar
with this, take the
options tour.
Remember
options trading is risky. Never offer “market prices.” Always bid low in
hopes of an intraday contrarian movement to the underlying assumption of
directional behavior. Always place day-orders, only. That keeps the floor
folks out of your pocketbook. Do not despair if your order does not take.
There are plenty of opportunities throughout the course of the year.
Remember, stalking is the key to success here. Although not necessary for
stock market success, those of you who have a gambling instinct will enjoy
this. For those of you with a longer-term perspective, it does not hurt to
see what the short-term folks are thinking. The Indicant indicates both
perspectives.
Quick-term and Short-term Indicant Summary
The shift
from bearish bias to bullish bias started on Tuesday, August 15, 2006
after maintaining a bearish bias from early February 2006 until August 15,
2006.
Message from
Monday, September 17, 2007. The market is configuring nicely in support of
the impending heart and soul of bullish seasonality.
Message from
September 17, 2007. It is recommended to avoid writing covered call
options due to increased probability of quick-term and short-term
bullishness. Modified on September 24, 2007. Vector Pressure is again
positive (bullish) and not configured favorably for writing covered call
options.
The
Quick-term Bull remains in tact.
ProFunds Ultra Short mutual fund moves inversely to the QQQQ by
exponential amounts. The Consolidated Indicant model is not avoiding QQQQ,
which does not support holding contrarian fund, ProFunds Ultra Short.
To
familiarize yourself with viewing the market from an ETF perspective,
click the following update links.
Quick-term ETF Options
Quick-term Indicant for ETF’s
Short-term Indicant for ETF’s
Consolidated Quick-term/Short-term Indicant for ETF’s
Click here to the report card, which is updated weekly, to link to related
tours.
Links to the
Short-term Indicant and Indicant Volume Indicator are below:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Happy
Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.Net
09/27/07
Sep 26,
2007 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 09, Issue
17 Supplement B, ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
© The Indicant
Stock Market Report
Today's Report
Quick/Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Quick-term
Red Bulls:
Nineteen of thirty; bullish bias holding and improving
Quick-term
Yellow Bears:
Three; non-bearish support continues and improving
Quick-term
Non-Bearishness:
Non-bearish support is improving.
Short-term
Non-Bearishness:
Continues supporting non-bearish behavior. The July-August bearish threat
expired on September 17, 2007.
Force
Vectors:
Configurations are increasingly supporting bullish bias, although many
have shifted south today. That shift is from healthy bullish domains and
non-threatening to bullish bias.
Vector
Pressure:
Twenty-nine
in bullish domains, highlighting near unanimous support for bullish bias.
Long-term
Hold Positions:
Safe.
Immediate
Tactics:
Aggressively buy on buy signals.
Current
Quick-term Bias:
Bullish.
Overall
(Long-term) Market Status:
Bullish bias
prevailing and strengthening.
Profit
Potential from Naked Options:
Volatility is declining, dampening option profit potential. However,
dynamic sell-offs (bearish spurts) will offer periodic call option
opportunities over the next few months.
Volume:
Configurations are supporting bullish bias.
Comment from
September 17, 2007
Configurations are shifting away from bearish support. Although some
volatile expressions remain threatening, the bull is configuring to
demonstrate its dominance.
Observation
on September 18, 2007. The Dow’s 335-point gain today (9/18/07 is not
jittery behavior. It is not a bullish spurt. It reflects the beginning of
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. Enjoy!
Quick-term/Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Details
The Dow and
NASDAQ are up 1.0% and 1.8%, respectively, since the
Short-term Indicant signaled bull on September 18, 2007. The heart and
soul of bullish seasonality should be predominant for several months.
Please read
on. Click here to see the
Short-term Indicant’s history.
As stated the past few days, both
Indicant Volume Indicator’s are reversing recent lethargy. Although
not yet robust, this attribute is configuring to support sustainable
bullish bias. Today’s bullishness was accompanied with high NYSE-volume
and health NASDAQ volume. The bullish bias remains in place with this
configuration.
SQI Report Card (Consolidated Short/Quick), Status, and Charts
There was
one buy signal and no sell signals. In addition to the buy signal, the SQI
is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 77.9%
(annualized at 35.5%) since their respective buy signals an average of
112.8-weeks ago. The SQI is no avoiding any ETF’s at this time.
The SQI model is the one that most of you will prefer for your trading
decisions. It generates fewer signals than the other two models and
represents consistencies in the Quick-term and Short-term outlooks for the
specific ETF’s. It also beats buy and hold on a regular basis, although
there is only eight years of proof. The quality of that proof is high
since this period includes a powerful bull and bear. The model sours a
little during meandering markets with an excessive number of signals from
time to time. Research toward perfecting continues.
Short-term Indicant Report Card, Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signals and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals,
the Short-term Indicant is signaling hold for 30-ETF’s. They are up an
average of 76.6% (annualized 37.2%) since the STI signaled, buy, an
average of 105.9-weeks ago. There are no avoid signals.
The
Short-term Indicant is more active in buying/selling than the Consolidated
model. The Quick-term Indicant, which follows, is even more active.
Quick-term Report Card, Status, and Charts
There was
one buy signal and no sell signals. In addition to the buy signal, the
Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 17.1% (annualized at 30.9%) since the QTI signaled buy an
average of 28.5-weeks ago. The Quick-term Indicant is not avoiding any
ETF’s at this time.
The
Quick-term Indicant is yet more active with buy and sell signals.
Conflicts Between the Short-term and Quick-term Indicants
There are
no conflicts, whereby the Short-term Indicant and the Quick-term Indicant
are in disagreement between hold and avoid status. This complete harmony
of directional intensity continues supporting the Quick-term bullish bias
shift on August 15, 2006.
Quick-term Indicant Bull/Bear Health Report
Only three
of the 30-ETF’s are below their bearish yellow curves. The average
relative position of all thirty ETF’s is above bearish yellow by 9.7%.
This attribute is providing solid non-bearish support.
Nineteen of
the ETF’s are above their respective bullish red curves, which is
supportive of the bullish bias. All thirty ETF average positions are 1.6%
above their bullish red curves. Solid support for bullish bias is now in
force.
Short-term Indicant Bull/Bear Health Report for ETF’s
The above
heading is linked to the Short-term Indicant table. This paragraph is
repeated daily as a reminder of accurately interpreting the charts. By
clicking the charts on the table you can review potential contact with the
breakdown lines (bearish) and potential contact with breakout lines
(bullish). It is extremely bearish when several ETF’s are contacting their
respective breakdown lines. The breakdown lines are the yellow lines
(bearish). The breakout lines are the red ones (bullish). Close proximity
to breakout implies an increased probability of an actual breakout
occurring. It is certainly bullish and you will want to be in a hold
position for those few days a year when the breakout occurs. Conversely,
significant contact with yellow (breakdown) suggests “avoid” positions are
best.
Five of the
thirty ETF’s are contacting their breakout lines. As stated the past
several months, the high concentration of breakout-contact since August
2006 was solidly bullish. Contact in sixteen of the last seventeen trading
days supports bullish bias.
The average
distance from breakout contact is a mere 3.8%. This remains in support of
the quick-term bullish bias.
None of the
ETF’s are contacting breakdown lines, providing non-bearish support.
The average
distance from the price and breakdown is a solid 23.1%. This configuration
provides non-bearish support, which has been the case since March 2003.
ETF
Force Vector Configurations
You can scan
the
Quick-term Indicant for Exchange Traded Funds table and click on the
charts to observe Force Vector configurations. Scroll down each of the
charts, where a quick link has been added to take you to the next series
of Quick-term ETF charts. Use you back arrow on your browser to return to
the previous page.
Force Vector
cycles are extremely fast, seldom lasting more than six days. Eight are
moving bullishly and in solid support of bullish bias. This is down
considerably from yesterday, suggesting a tint of mounting bearish
influence on the near-term basis
As stated
late last week, this bullish cycle appears mature. Do not be surprised at
some profit taking in the next few days. Configurations suggest that any
bearish expression would be just that.
To
understand potential financial opportunities,
click here to learn to identify Robust Force Vectors. They are visible
on the
Quick-term Indicant charts.
ETF
Force Vectors/Vector Pressure Crossings/Option Signals
Remember,
the links contained herein are more visible when reading this on the
website.
Click this sentence for Vector Pressure Option Signals. There were no
option buy signals after Wednesday’s close.
Twenty-nine
ETF
Vector Pressures remain in bullish domains, which is up by twenty-one
since September 5 and increasingly supportive of bullish bias. This
attribute approached bearish support in July and August. Just as it neared
full bearish support a few weeks ago, the bull exerted its influence. The
bull is again dominant even though there is a profit-taking threat on the
near-term horizon.
As stated
the past few weeks, this attribute held position, solidified, and allowed
the bull to re-exert its influence.
Make certain
you sell naked options when the Force Vectors shift direction or within
two days of the purchase, whichever occurs first. If you are unfamiliar
with this, take the
options tour.
Remember
options trading is risky. Never offer “market prices.” Always bid low in
hopes of an intraday contrarian movement to the underlying assumption of
directional behavior. Always place day-orders, only. That keeps the floor
folks out of your pocketbook. Do not despair if your order does not take.
There are plenty of opportunities throughout the course of the year.
Remember, stalking is the key to success here. Although not necessary for
stock market success, those of you who have a gambling instinct will enjoy
this. For those of you with a longer-term perspective, it does not hurt to
see what the short-term folks are thinking. The Indicant indicates both
perspectives.
Quick-term and Short-term Indicant Summary
The shift
from bearish bias to bullish bias started on Tuesday, August 15, 2006
after maintaining a bearish bias from early February 2006 until August 15,
2006.
Message from
Monday, September 17, 2007. The market is configuring nicely in support of
the impending heart and soul of bullish seasonality.
Message from
September 17, 2007. It is recommended to avoid writing covered call
options due to increased probability of quick-term and short-term
bullishness. Modified on September 24, 2007. Vector Pressure is again
positive (bullish) and not configured favorably for writing covered call
options.
The
Quick-term Bull remains in tact.
ProFunds Ultra Short mutual fund moves inversely to the QQQQ by
exponential amounts. The Consolidated Indicant model is not avoiding QQQQ,
which does not support holding contrarian fund, ProFunds Ultra Short.
To
familiarize yourself with viewing the market from an ETF perspective,
click the following update links.
Quick-term ETF Options
Quick-term Indicant for ETF’s
Short-term Indicant for ETF’s
Consolidated Quick-term/Short-term Indicant for ETF’s
Click here to the report card, which is updated weekly, to link to related
tours.
Links to the
Short-term Indicant and Indicant Volume Indicator are below:
Short-term Indicant for DJIA and NASDAQ
Short-term Indicant Tables for the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index
Short-term Indicant Table for the NASDAQ Composite Index
Indicant Volume Indicator
Happy
Investing,
Indicant.Net
www.indicant.Net
09/26/07
Sep 25,
2007 Indicant Daily Stock Market Report
Volume 09, Issue
16 Supplement B, ISSN 1526 6516 QT/ST
© The Indicant
Stock Market Report
Today's Report
Quick/Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report - Summary
Quick-term
Red Bulls:
Seventeen of thirty; bullish bias holding and improving
Quick-term
Yellow Bears:
Four; non-bearish support continues and improving
Quick-term
Non-Bearishness:
Non-bearish support is improving.
Short-term
Non-Bearishness:
Continues supporting non-bearish behavior. The July-August bearish threat
expired last Monday, September 17, 2007.
Force
Vectors:
Configurations are increasingly supporting bullish bias. The current cycle
is mature and not favorable for naked call option buying.
Vector
Pressure:
Twenty-nine
in bullish domains, highlighting near unanimous support for bullish bias.
Long-term
Hold Positions:
Safe.
Immediate
Tactics:
Aggressively buy on buy signals.
Current
Quick-term Bias:
Bullish.
Overall
(Long-term) Market Status:
Bullish bias
prevailing and strengthening.
Profit
Potential from Naked Options:
Volatility is declining, dampening option profit potential. However,
dynamic sell-offs (bearish spurts) will offer periodic call option
opportunities.
Volume:
Configurations are supporting bullish bias.
Comment from
September 17, 2007
Configurations are shifting away from bearish support. Although some
volatile expressions remain threatening, the bull is configuring to
demonstrate its dominance.
Observation
on September 18, 2007. The Dow’s 335-point gain today (9/18/07 is not
jittery behavior. It is not a bullish spurt. It reflects the beginning of
the heart and soul of bullish seasonality. Enjoy!
Quick-term/Short-term Indicant Stock Market Report Details
The Dow and
NASDAQ are up 0.3% and 1.2%, respectively, since the
Short-term Indicant signaled bull on September 18, 2007. The heart and
soul of bullish seasonality should be predominant for several months.
Please read
on. Click here to see the
Short-term Indicant’s history.
As stated the past few days, both
Indicant Volume Indicator’s are reversing recent lethargy. Although
not yet robust, this attribute is configuring to support sustainable
bullish bias. Today’s mild bullishness was accompanied with high
NYSE-volume and mediocre NASDAQ volume. There is a slight bullish bias
with this configuration.
SQI Report Card (Consolidated Short/Quick), Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signals and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals,
the SQI is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an average of 74.0%
(annualized at 33.8%) since their respective buy signals an average of
112.6-weeks ago. Although there were no sell signals, the SQI is avoiding
one ETF. It is up 3.4% since its sell signal 5.1-weeks ago.
The SQI model is the one that most of you will prefer for your trading
decisions. It generates fewer signals than the other two models and
represents consistencies in the Quick-term and Short-term outlooks for the
specific ETF’s. It also beats buy and hold on a regular basis, although
there is only eight years of proof. The quality of that proof is high
since this period includes a powerful bull and bear. The model sours a
little during meandering markets with an excessive number of signals from
time to time. Research toward perfecting continues.
Short-term Indicant Report Card, Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signals and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals,
the Short-term Indicant is signaling hold for 30-ETF’s. They are up an
average of 75.0% (annualized 36.5%) since the STI signaled, buy, an
average of 105.8-weeks ago. There are no avoid signals.
The
Short-term Indicant is more active in buying/selling than the Consolidated
model. The Quick-term Indicant, which follows, is even more active.
Quick-term Report Card, Status, and Charts
There were
no buy signals and no sell signals. Although there were no buy signals,
the Quick-term Indicant is signaling hold for 29-ETF’s. They are up by an
average of 16.3% (annualized at 29.6%) since the QTI signaled buy an
average of 28.4-weeks ago. Although there were no sell signals, the
Quick-term Indicant is avoiding one ETF. It is down 1.5% since its sell
signal 6.7-weeks ago.
The
Quick-term Indicant is yet more active with buy and sell signals.
Conflicts Between the Short-term and Quick-term Indicants
There is
only one conflict, whereby the Short-term Indicant and the Quick-term
Indicant are in disagreement between hold and avoid status. Near unanimous
harmony of directional intensity reconfigured in early September after its
disruption last July. This continues supporting the Quick-term bullish
bias shift on August 15, 2006. Keep in mind, the mid-summer bearish
behavior did not shift trend and bias.