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Indicant beats buy and hold......
Return to Start of MTI-RYS Indicant Tour
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|
S&P500 Tour
From 1971 to Current
Scrolling down this chart will reveal how the
Mid-term Indicant - MTI-RYS model has produced over $152,525 against
Buy&Hold's $91,272 on $10,000 investment since 1971. Although both methods
disappointed during George W. Bush's last four years as president, the
buyer and holder still lags and remain down from their 2000 investment
dollars. Keep in mind, the S&P500 index lacks the most in terms of bullish
ambition. It attracts a disproportionately high number of dilettante
managers to run their companies. Board room antics typically run S&P500
membership out of business. |
|
Presidential Election Cycle Years |
Charts + Tables |
MTI-RYS Performance |
Buy&Hold Performance |
|
Initial Investment |
|
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
|
S&P500 1972-1976 |
Click Chart |
$12,491 |
$9,721 |
|
S&P500 1976-1980 |
Click Chart
|
$12,409 |
$9.974 |
|
S&P500 1980-1984 |
Click Chart |
$19,572 |
$15,752 |
|
S&P500 1984-1988 |
Click Chart |
$32,420 |
$27,691 |
|
S&P500 1988-1992 |
Click Chart |
$37,237 |
$31,913 |
|
S&P500 1992-1996 |
Click Chart |
$48,734 |
$43,664 |
|
S&P500 1996-2000 |
Click Chart |
$123,637 |
$141,906 |
|
S&P500 2000-2004 |
Click Chart |
$161,855 |
$118,711 |
|
S&P500 2004-2008 |
Click Chart |
$152,525 |
$91,272 |
|
S&P500 2004-2012 |
In process* |
In process* |
In process* |
* Members Only
The below table summarizes all
S&P500 Indicant signals since 1972
|
No. of Bull/Bear Cycles |
Chart Bull Signal No. |
Bull Signal Event Trigger |
Bull Sig Date |
Bull Signal Price |
Chart Bear Signal No. |
Bear Signal Event Trigger |
Bear Sig Date |
Bear Signal Price |
MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> |
MTIRYS Account Balance |
Buy and Hold Account Balance |
Indicant Performance Advantage |
MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
|
|
0 |
Beginning Investment |
12/31/1971 |
102.09 |
|
|
|
102.09 |
|
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
0 |
N/A |
12/31/1971 |
102.09 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
3/23/1973 |
108.88 |
6.7% |
$10,665 |
$10,665 |
0.0% |
64.0 |
31.0 |
|
2 |
2 |
P>ITL |
10/26/1973 |
111.38 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
11/23/1973 |
99.44 |
-10.7% |
$9,522 |
$9,740 |
-2.2% |
4.0 |
26.0 |
|
3 |
4 |
P>ITL |
5/24/1974 |
88.58 |
5 |
P<Y, ITL |
6/21/1974 |
87.46 |
-1.3% |
$9,401 |
$8,567 |
9.7% |
4.0 |
18.0 |
|
4 |
6 |
P>ITL |
10/25/1974 |
70.12 |
7 |
P<Y, ITL |
8/22/1975 |
84.28 |
20.2% |
$11,300 |
$8,255 |
36.9% |
43.0 |
1.0 |
|
5 |
8 |
P>ITL |
8/29/1975 |
86.88 |
9 |
P<Y, ITL |
9/5/1975 |
85.62 |
-1.5% |
$11,136 |
$8,387 |
32.8% |
1.0 |
4.0 |
|
6 |
10 |
P>ITL |
10/3/1975 |
85.95 |
11 |
P<ITL, R |
10/22/1976 |
99.96 |
16.3% |
$12,951 |
$9,791 |
32.3% |
55.0 |
1.0 |
|
7 |
12 |
P>R |
10/29/1976 |
102.90 |
13 |
P<ITL, R |
11/12/1976 |
99.24 |
-3.6% |
$12,491 |
$9,721 |
28.5% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
8 |
14 |
P>R |
11/26/1976 |
103.15 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
1/28/1977 |
101.93 |
-1.2% |
$12,343 |
$9,984 |
23.6% |
9.0 |
39.0 |
|
9 |
2 |
P>ITL |
10/28/1977 |
92.61 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
1/6/1978 |
91.62 |
-1.1% |
$12,211 |
$8,974 |
36.1% |
10.0 |
14.0 |
|
10 |
4 |
P>Y |
4/14/1978 |
92.92 |
5 |
P<ITL, R |
10/20/1978 |
97.95 |
5.4% |
$12,872 |
$9,594 |
34.2% |
27.0 |
24.0 |
|
11 |
6 |
P>R |
4/6/1979 |
103.18 |
7 |
P<ITL, R |
4/20/1979 |
101.23 |
-1.9% |
$12,629 |
$9,916 |
27.4% |
2.0 |
11.0 |
|
12 |
8 |
P>R |
7/6/1979 |
103.62 |
9 |
P<ITL, R |
7/20/1979 |
101.82 |
-1.7% |
$12,409 |
$9,974 |
24.4% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
13 |
10 |
P>R |
8/3/1979 |
104.04 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
7/3/1981 |
128.64 |
23.6% |
$15,343 |
$12,601 |
21.8% |
100.0 |
6.0 |
|
14 |
2 |
P>R |
8/14/1981 |
132.49 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
8/21/1981 |
129.23 |
-2.5% |
$14,966 |
$12,658 |
18.2% |
1.0 |
9.0 |
|
15 |
4 |
P>ITL |
10/23/1981 |
118.60 |
5 |
P<ITL, R |
2/26/1982 |
113.11 |
-4.6% |
$14,273 |
$11,079 |
28.8% |
18.0 |
5.0 |
|
16 |
6 |
P>ITL |
4/2/1982 |
115.12 |
7 |
P<ITL, R |
5/21/1982 |
114.89 |
-0.2% |
$14,245 |
$11,254 |
26.6% |
7.0 |
14.0 |
|
17 |
8 |
P>ITL |
8/27/1982 |
117.11 |
9 |
P<ITL, R |
2/3/1984 |
160.91 |
37.4% |
$19,572 |
$15,762 |
24.2% |
75.0 |
27.0 |
|
18 |
10 |
P>R |
8/10/1984 |
165.42 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
9/27/1985 |
181.29 |
9.6% |
$21,450 |
$17,758 |
20.8% |
59.0 |
3.0 |
|
19 |
2 |
P>R |
10/18/1985 |
187.04 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
10/16/1987 |
282.70 |
51.1% |
$32,420 |
$27,691 |
17.1% |
104.0 |
53.0 |
|
20 |
4 |
P>ITL |
10/21/1988 |
283.66 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
1/26/1990 |
325.80 |
14.9% |
$37,237 |
$31,913 |
16.7% |
66.0 |
7.0 |
|
21 |
2 |
P>R |
3/16/1990 |
341.91 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
3/23/1990 |
337.22 |
-1.4% |
$36,726 |
$33,032 |
11.2% |
1.0 |
3.0 |
|
22 |
4 |
P>R |
4/13/1990 |
344.34 |
5 |
P<ITL, R |
4/20/1990 |
335.12 |
-2.7% |
$35,742 |
$32,826 |
8.9% |
1.0 |
3.0 |
|
23 |
6 |
P>R |
5/11/1990 |
352.00 |
7 |
P<ITL, R |
8/3/1990 |
344.86 |
-2.0% |
$35,017 |
$33,780 |
3.7% |
12.0 |
12.0 |
|
24 |
8 |
P>ITL |
10/26/1990 |
304.71 |
9 |
P<ITL, R |
11/22/1991 |
376.14 |
23.4% |
$43,226 |
$36,844 |
17.3% |
56.0 |
3.0 |
|
25 |
10 |
P>R |
12/13/1991 |
384.47 |
11 |
P<ITL, R |
10/9/1992 |
402.66 |
4.7% |
$45,271 |
$39,442 |
14.8% |
43.0 |
2.9 |
|
26 |
12 |
P>R |
10/29/1992 |
414.10 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
4/1/1994 |
445.77 |
7.6% |
$48,734 |
$43,664 |
11.6% |
74.1 |
21.0 |
|
27 |
2 |
P>R |
8/26/1994 |
473.80 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
9/24/1999 |
1277.36 |
169.6% |
$131,385 |
$125,121 |
5.0% |
265.0 |
2.0 |
|
28 |
2 |
P>R |
10/8/1999 |
1336.02 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
10/15/1999 |
1247.41 |
-6.6% |
$122,671 |
$122,187 |
0.4% |
1.0 |
1.1 |
|
29 |
4 |
P>R |
10/23/1999 |
1362.93 |
5 |
P<ITL, R |
2/25/2000 |
1336.00 |
-2.0% |
$120,247 |
$130,865 |
-8.1% |
17.9 |
1.0 |
|
30 |
6 |
P>R |
3/3/2000 |
1409.00 |
7 |
P<ITL, R |
9/22/2000 |
1448.72 |
2.8% |
$123,637 |
$141,906 |
-12.9% |
29.0 |
57.0 |
|
31 |
1 |
P>ITL |
10/26/2001 |
1103.79 |
2 |
P<ITL, R |
6/7/2002 |
1027.53 |
-6.9% |
$115,095 |
$100,649 |
14.4% |
32.0 |
18.0 |
|
32 |
3 |
P>Y |
10/11/2002 |
835.52 |
4 |
P<ITL, R |
10/22/2004 |
1095.74 |
31.1% |
$150,941 |
$107,331 |
40.6% |
106.0 |
1.0 |
|
33 |
5 |
P>R |
10/29/2004 |
1130.20 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
10/21/2005 |
1179.59 |
4.4% |
$157,537 |
$115,544 |
36.3% |
51.0 |
2.0 |
|
34 |
2 |
P>ITL |
11/4/2005 |
1220.14 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
11/9/2007 |
1453.70 |
19.1% |
$187,693 |
$142,394 |
31.8% |
105.0 |
4.0 |
|
35 |
4 |
P>R |
12/7/2007 |
1504.66 |
5 |
P<ITL, R |
1/4/2008 |
1411.63 |
-6.2% |
$176,088 |
$138,273 |
27.3% |
4.0 |
10.9 |
|
36 |
6 |
P>UTTRL |
3/20/2008 |
1329.51 |
7 |
SMI |
6/6/2008 |
1360.68 |
2.3% |
$180,217 |
$133,282 |
35.2% |
11.1 |
8.0 |
|
37 |
8 |
SMT |
8/1/2008 |
1260.31 |
9 |
SMI |
9/5/2008 |
1242.31 |
-1.4% |
$177,643 |
$121,688 |
46.0% |
5.0 |
8.0 |
|
38 |
10 |
SMT |
10/31/2008 |
968.75 |
11 |
SMI |
11/21/2008 |
800.03 |
-17.4% |
$146,704 |
$78,365 |
87.2% |
3.0 |
1.0 |
|
39 |
12 |
SMT |
11/28/2008 |
896.24 |
|
Pending |
1/2/2009 |
931.80 |
4.0% |
$152,525 |
$91,272 |
67.1% |
5.0 |
|
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