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Dow Jones
Transports Tour From 1996 to Current
Scrolling down this chart will reveal how
the Mid-term Indicant - MTI-RYS model has produced over $18,057 against
Buy&Hold's $18,251 on $10,000 investment since 1996. Both tactics
disappointed in the 2004-2008 time period where speculation fueled sharp
increases and decreases in energy costs. The Short-term Indicant avoided
the huge loss that occurred in a single week in late 2008, while the
Mid-term Indicant had to wait until the weekly close. Even with that
disappointment, the Mid-term Indicant remains near to that of Buy and Hold
and over the long-run, it will be better than buy and hold. There are
periods of three to seven years where buy and hold outperforms but during
deep bear markets, it will always fall short of the Mid-term Indicant. |
*Members only
The below table summarizes all
Dow Transport Indicant signals since 1996
|
No. of Bull/Bear Cycles |
Chart Bull Signal No. |
Bull Signal Event Trigger |
Bull Sig Date |
Bull Signal Price |
Chart Bear Signal No. |
Bear Signal Event Trigger |
Bear Sig Date |
Bear Signal Price |
MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> |
MTIRYS Account Balance |
Buy and Hold Account Balance |
Indicant Performance Advantage |
MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
|
|
0 |
Beginning Investment |
From 12/29/1995 |
2000.4 |
|
|
12/29/1995 |
2000.40 |
|
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
|
|
|
|
1 |
1 |
P>ITL |
11/1/1996 |
2137.50 |
2 |
P<ITL,R |
7/31/1998 |
3230.30 |
51.1% |
$15,113 |
$16,148 |
-6.4% |
91.0 |
12.0 |
|
2 |
3 |
P>ITL |
10/23/1998 |
2777.00 |
4 |
P<ITL,R |
1/21/2000 |
2751.50 |
-0.9% |
$14,974 |
$13,755 |
8.9% |
65.0 |
15.0 |
|
3 |
5 |
P>ITL |
5/5/2000 |
2876.00 |
6 |
P<ITL,R |
5/19/2000 |
2742.00 |
-4.7% |
$14,276 |
$13,707 |
4.1% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
4 |
7 |
P>ITL |
6/2/2000 |
2829.00 |
8 |
P<ITL,R |
6/16/2000 |
2673.00 |
-5.5% |
$13,489 |
$13,362 |
0.9% |
2.0 |
3.0 |
|
5 |
9 |
P>ITL |
7/7/2000 |
2785.00 |
10 |
P<ITL,R |
9/8/2000 |
2732.78 |
-1.9% |
$13,236 |
$13,661 |
-3.1% |
9.0 |
7.0 |
|
6 |
11 |
P>ITL |
10/27/2000 |
2528.97 |
1 |
P<ITL,R |
6/15/2001 |
2693.62 |
6.5% |
$14,098 |
$13,465 |
4.7% |
33.0 |
4.0 |
|
7 |
2 |
P>ITL |
7/13/2001 |
2940.35 |
3 |
P<ITL,R |
8/17/2001 |
2824.65 |
-3.9% |
$13,543 |
$14,120 |
-4.1% |
5.0 |
10.0 |
|
8 |
4 |
P>ITL |
10/26/2001 |
2247.58 |
5 |
P<ITL,R |
7/12/2002 |
2480.14 |
10.3% |
$14,944 |
$12,398 |
20.5% |
37.0 |
15.0 |
|
9 |
6 |
P>ITL |
10/25/2002 |
2313.31 |
7 |
P<ITL,R |
2/14/2003 |
2102.60 |
-9.1% |
$13,583 |
$10,511 |
29.2% |
16.0 |
5.0 |
|
10 |
8 |
P>Y |
3/21/2003 |
2263.49 |
9 |
P<ITL,R |
3/19/2004 |
2786.83 |
23.1% |
$16,724 |
$13,931 |
20.0% |
52.0 |
1.0 |
|
11 |
10 |
P>R |
3/26/2004 |
2835.90 |
1 |
P<ITL,R |
12/22/2006 |
4510.50 |
59.1% |
$26,599 |
$22,548 |
18.0% |
143.0 |
4.0 |
|
12 |
2 |
P>R |
1/19/2007 |
4859.3 |
3 |
P<ITL,R |
11/9/2007 |
4603.92 |
-5.3% |
$25,201 |
$23,015 |
9.5% |
42.0 |
4.0 |
|
13 |
4 |
P>ITL |
12/7/2007 |
4876.35 |
5 |
P<ITL,R |
1/4/2008 |
4260.39 |
-12.6% |
$22,018 |
$21,298 |
3.4% |
4.0 |
10.9 |
|
14 |
6 |
P>UTTRL |
3/20/2008 |
4707.65 |
7 |
TS |
7/4/2008 |
4678.75 |
-0.6% |
$21,882 |
$23,389 |
-6.4% |
15.1 |
4.0 |
|
15 |
8 |
SMI |
8/1/2008 |
4949.22 |
9 |
SMI |
9/5/2008 |
4888.81 |
-1.2% |
$21,615 |
$24,439 |
-11.6% |
5.0 |
8.0 |
|
16 |
10 |
SMI |
10/31/2008 |
3885.83 |
11 |
SMI |
11/21/2008 |
3122.75 |
-19.6% |
$17,371 |
$15,611 |
11.3% |
3.0 |
1.0 |
|
17 |
12 |
SMI |
11/28/2008 |
3512.20 |
|
Pending |
1/2/2009 |
3651.02 |
4.0% |
$18,057 |
$18,251 |
-1.1% |
5.0 |
|
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