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Indicant beats buy and hold......
Return to Start of MTI-RYS Indicant Tour
and Associated Links
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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold
by 109.5% from 1900 through the last signal in this four year period. Buy and hold's $10,000
invested in 1900 amounts to $8,716 on December 13, 1907. Indicant's $10,000 investment
in 1900 increased to $18,257. See table below chart.
Scroll down for additional links and to
continue tour. |
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No. of Bull/Bear Cycles |
Chart Bull Signal No. |
Bull Signal Event Trigger |
Bull Sig Date |
Bull Signal Price |
Chart Bear Signal No. |
Bear Signal Event Trigger |
Bear Sig Date |
Bear Signal Price |
MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> |
MTIRYS Account Balance |
Buy and Hold Account Balance |
Indicant Performance Advantage |
MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
|
|
0 |
Beginning Investment |
12/29/1899 |
65.73 |
|
|
|
|
|
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
|
|
|
|
10 |
19 |
P>ITL |
11/27/1903 |
44.25 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
1/18/1907 |
92.62 |
109.3% |
$19,685 |
$14,091 |
39.7% |
164.0 |
46.0 |
|
11 |
2 |
P>ITL |
12/6/1907 |
61.77 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
12/13/1907 |
57.29 |
-7.3% |
$18,257 |
$8,716 |
109.5% |
1.0 |
2.0 |
|
12 |
4 |
P>ITL |
12/27/1907 |
58.65 |
|
Year |
Incumbent Trip Line
at start of BRS-1 Cycle |
BRS1 config @ conclusion of cycle |
Rule for BRS-1 Cycles |
Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
Incumbent Trip Line
at start of BRS-2 Cycle |
BRS2 config @ conclusion of cycle |
Rules for BRS-2 Cycles |
Action at conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle or
when it becomes Hybrid |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
|
1904 |
1903-Y-BRS-2-TLN |
Y |
C |
ATL |
1904-Y-BRS-1-TLN |
1904-Y-BRS-1-TLN |
R |
A |
ATL |
1904-R-BRS-2-TLX |
|
1905 |
1904-R-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1904-R-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
ATL |
1905-R-BRS-2-TLX |
|
1906 |
1905-R-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1905-R-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
ATL |
1906-R-BRS-2-TLX |
|
1907 |
1906-R-BRS-2-TLX |
N |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1906-R-BRS-2-TLX |
HY |
B |
ATL |
1907-HY-BRS-2-TLN |
|
1908 |
1907-HY-BRS-2-TLN |
N |
C |
ATL |
1908-N-BRS-1-TLN |
1908-N-BRS-1-TLN |
R |
A |
ATL |
1908-R-BRS-2-TLX |
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DJIA Index is incongruent with presidential
election cycle historical standards with market rising in the post election
year of 1905. Again, the market characteristically found a cyclical bottom in the mid-term election
year of 1906. The pre-election year of 1907 was uncharacteristically bearish.
The market predicted the recessionary within the perceived six to nine
month advanced warning. Note the yellow shaded area on the bottom of the
chart that highlights the 1907 recession. As you can
see, the Indicant avoided that bear cycle.
As you can see, bullish seasonality
(pink) is incongruent to historical standards during the bearish market
periods and bearish seasonality (white) is also incongruent to historical
standards during bullish periods. The first Trans-Atlantic
wireless transmission did not ignite a bullish response as the market
anticipated the recession that began in early 1907. Even the greatest of
inventions become irrelevant with uninspiring economic activity during
this era.
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