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Indicant beats buy and hold......

 

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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold by 1,145.7% from 1900 through 1936.  Buy and hold's $10,000 invested in 1900 amounts to $8,841. The Indicant's $10,000 1900 investment increased to $110,132. Scroll down for additional links and to continue tour.

No. of Bull/Bear Cycles Chart Bull Signal No. Bull Signal Event Trigger Bull Sig Date Bull Signal Price Chart Bear Signal No. Bear Signal Event Trigger Bear Sig Date Bear Signal Price MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> MTIRYS Account Balance Buy and Hold Account Balance Indicant Performance Advantage MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks)
  0 Beginning Investment 12/29/1899 65.73           $10,000 $10,000
35 1 P>ITL 1/20/1933 63.18 2 P<Y, ITL 2/10/1933 58.11 -8.0% $110,132 $8,841 1145.7% 3.0 9.0
36 3 P>ITL 4/14/1933 62.69  

 

Year Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-1 Cycle BRS1 config @ conclusion of cycle Rule for BRS-1 Cycles Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle New Incumbent Trip Line Name Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-2 Cycle BRS2 config @ conclusion of cycle Rules for BRS-2 Cycles Action at conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle or when it becomes Hybrid New Incumbent Trip Line Name
1932 1931-Y-BRS-2-TLN Y C ATL 1932-Y-BRS-1-TLN 1932-Y-BRS-1-TLN Y B ATL 1932-Y-BRS-2-TLN
1933 1932-Y-BRS-2-TLN HR C ATL 1933-HR-BRS-1-TLN 1933-HR-BRS-1-TLN HR C EITL N/A
1934 1933-HR-BRS-1-TLN HR B EITL N/A 1933-HR-BRS-1-TLN N B ATL 1934-Y-BRS-2-TLN
1935 1934-Y-BRS-2-TLN R A EITL N/A 1934-Y-BRS-2-TLN R A ATL 1935-R-BRS-2-TLX
1936 1935-R-BRS-2-TLX HR B EITL N/A 1935-R-BRS-2-TLX R A ATL 1936-R-BRS-2-TLX

 

DJIA Index is incongruent with presidential election cycle historical standards with a renewed bullish expression that carried through most of this presidential election cycle. Notice the market found bottom about six months before the recession concluded.

As you can see, the market did not dispute dropping the gold standard as it recognizes economic wealth is delivered through hard work and taking product and services to market. Real economic wealth is delivered only through manufacturing, extraction, and agriculture.

Prohibition was repealed which is the beginning of the masses saying, "don't tell me what is bad for me." As you can see a 1916 investor was at break-even ten plus years later in 1926. And the poor 1900 Buy and Hold investor is still enduring losses over thirty years after their original investment. The thirty-year old 1900 buy and hold investor is now sixty-six years old and still at a loss.

As you can see, bullish seasonality (pink) is incongruent to historical standards during the bearish market periods and bearish seasonality (white) is also incongruent to historical standards during bullish periods.

 

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