|
Indicant beats buy and hold......
Return to Start of MTI-RYS Indicant Tour
and Associated Links
Click here to see current updates and status
|
Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold
by 1,632.0% from 1900 through 1960. Buy and hold's $10,000
invested in 1900 amounts to $97,566. The Indicant's $10,000 1900
investment increased to $1,689,861. Scroll down for additional links and to
continue tour.
|
|
No. of Bull/Bear Cycles |
Chart Bull Signal No. |
Bull Signal Event Trigger |
Bull Sig Date |
Bull Signal Price |
Chart Bear Signal No. |
Bear Signal Event Trigger |
Bear Sig Date |
Bear Signal Price |
MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> |
MTIRYS Account Balance |
Buy and Hold Account Balance |
Indicant Performance Advantage |
MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
|
|
0 |
Beginning Investment |
12/29/1899 |
65.73 |
|
|
|
|
|
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
|
|
|
|
62 |
1 |
P>R |
5/17/1957 |
505.60 |
2 |
P<ITL, R |
8/9/1957 |
496.78 |
-1.7% |
$1,214,055 |
$75,579 |
1506.3% |
12.0 |
11.0 |
|
63 |
3 |
P>ITL |
10/25/1957 |
435.15 |
4 |
P<ITL, R |
12/20/1957 |
427.20 |
-1.8% |
$1,191,875 |
$64,993 |
1733.8% |
8.0 |
1.0 |
|
64 |
5 |
P>ITL |
12/27/1957 |
432.90 |
6 |
P<ITL, R |
2/5/1960 |
626.77 |
44.8% |
$1,725,645 |
$95,355 |
1709.7% |
110.0 |
18.0 |
|
65 |
7 |
P>R |
6/10/1960 |
654.88 |
8 |
P<ITL, R |
7/1/1960 |
641.30 |
-2.1% |
$1,689,861 |
$97,566 |
1632.0% |
3.0 |
17.0 |
|
66 |
9 |
P>ITL |
10/28/1960 |
577.92 |
|
Year |
Incumbent Trip Line
at start of BRS-1 Cycle |
BRS1 config @ conclusion of cycle |
Rule for BRS-1 Cycles |
Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
Incumbent Trip Line
at start of BRS-2 Cycle |
BRS2 config @ conclusion of cycle |
Rules for BRS-2 Cycles |
Action at conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle or
when it becomes Hybrid |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
|
1956 |
1955-N-BRS-2-TLN |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1955-N-BRS-2-TLN |
HR |
C |
ARTL |
1956-R-BRS-1-TLX |
|
1957 |
1956-R-BRS-1-TLX |
HR |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1956-R-BRS-1-TLX |
N |
B |
ATL |
1957-R-BRS-2-TLN |
|
1958 |
1957-R-BRS-2-TLN |
N |
C |
ATL |
1958-N-BRS-1-TLN |
1958-N-BRS-1-TLN |
R |
A |
ATL |
1958-R-BRS-2-TLX |
|
1959 |
1958-R-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1958-R-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
ATL |
1959-R-BRS-2-TLX |
|
1960 |
1959-R-BRS-2-TLX |
N |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1959-R-BRS-2-TLX |
N |
B |
ATL |
1960-N-BRS-2-TLN |
|
The DJIA Index moved congruently to
historical standards. The post election year was again bearish. The
mid-term election year produced a market bottom, which occurred very early
in the year. The pre-election year again was characteristically bullish.
The election year was abnormally bearish.
The market did not object to the first nuclear power
plant and the first silicon chip. It did not like concepts of communism -
a collection of people who are assumed equal in every way - one of those
tyranny by the majority sort of things. The market has no respect for
people who force change through destructive practices. Hey, if you don't
like your employer, go start you own company, like the great Walter P.
Chrysler when he left General Motors. Coercion by the masses is a straight
lane to extinction. The market peaked with the steelworkers strike.
As you can see, the market was a little slow
in anticipating the 1957 recession, but make up for it quickly with a
sharp drop of 20%+. Notice most of that drop occurred with Indicant
bearish seasonality (white).
As you can see, bullish seasonality (pink) is
incongruent to historical standards during the bearish market periods and
bearish seasonality (white) is also incongruent to historical standards
during bullish periods.
|
|
