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Indicant beats buy and hold......

 

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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold by 2055.4% from 1900 through 1964.  Buy and hold's $10,000 invested in 1900 amounts to $108,244. The Indicant's $10,000 1900 investment increased to $2,333,079. Scroll down for additional links and to continue tour.

No. of Bull/Bear Cycles Chart Bull Signal No. Bull Signal Event Trigger Bull Sig Date Bull Signal Price Chart Bear Signal No. Bear Signal Event Trigger Bear Sig Date Bear Signal Price MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> MTIRYS Account Balance Buy and Hold Account Balance Indicant Performance Advantage MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks)
  0 Beginning Investment 12/29/1899 65.73           $10,000 $10,000      
        1 P<ITL, R 1/26/1962 692.19 19.8% $2,023,991 $105,308 1822.0% 65.0 2.0
67 2 P>R 2/9/1962 714.27 3 P<ITL, R 4/6/1962 699.63 -2.0% $1,982,506 $106,440 1762.6% 8.0 30.0
68 4 P>ITL 11/2/1962 604.58 5 P<ITL, R 11/22/1963 711.49 17.7% $2,333,079 $108,244 2055.4% 55.0 1.0
69 6 P>R 11/29/1963 750.52
Year Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-1 Cycle BRS1 config @ conclusion of cycle Rule for BRS-1 Cycles Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle New Incumbent Trip Line Name Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-2 Cycle BRS2 config @ conclusion of cycle Rules for BRS-2 Cycles Action at conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle or when it becomes Hybrid New Incumbent Trip Line Name
1960 1959-R-BRS-2-TLX N B EITL N/A 1959-R-BRS-2-TLX N B ATL 1960-N-BRS-2-TLN
1961 1960-N-BRS-2-TLN R A EITL N/A 1960-N-BRS-2-TLN R A ATL 1961-N-BRS-2-TLX
1962 1961-N-BRS-2-TLX N B EITL N/A 1961-N-BRS-2-TLX N B ATL 1962-N-BRS-2-TLN
1963 1962-N-BRS-2-TLN R A EITL N/A 1962-N-BRS-2-TLN R A ATL 1963-R-BRS-2-TLX
1964 1963-R-BRS-2-TLX R A EITL N/A 1963-R-BRS-2-TLX R A ATL 1964-R-BRS-2-TLX

 

The DJIA Index moved incongruently to historical standards in the post election year, which uncharacteristically demonstrated bullish expressions. The balance of the years in this presidential election cycle were congruent with historical standards. The mid-term election year of 1952 found a market bottom with bullish expressions in the pre-election and election years.

The market was not that impressed with the Telstar communications satellite, although the bullish expressions leading up to it and John Glenn's orbit was influential. The recognition of the discovery of DNA was the beginning of biotech wonders. You can see the market was only slightly bothered by John Kennedy's assassination.

The market began a bearish cycle about four months ahead of the 1960 recession.

As you can see, bullish seasonality (pink) is incongruent to historical standards during the bearish market periods and bearish seasonality (white) is also incongruent to historical standards during bullish periods.

 

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