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Indicant beats buy and hold......
Return to Start of MTI-RYS Indicant Tour
and Associated Links
Click here to see current updates and status
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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold
by 1776.8% from 1900 through 1972. Buy and hold's $10,000
invested in 1900 amounts to $146,035. The Indicant's $10,000 1900
investment increased to $2,740,837. Scroll down for additional links and to
continue tour.
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No. of Bull/Bear Cycles |
Chart Bull Signal No. |
Bull Signal Event Trigger |
Bull Sig Date |
Bull Signal Price |
Chart Bear Signal No. |
Bear Signal Event Trigger |
Bear Sig Date |
Bear Signal Price |
MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> |
MTIRYS Account Balance |
Buy and Hold Account Balance |
Indicant Performance Advantage |
MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
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0 |
Beginning Investment |
12/29/1899 |
65.73 |
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|
|
|
|
$10,000 |
$10,000 |
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1 |
P<ITL, R |
6/13/1969 |
894.84 |
1.0% |
$2,643,758 |
$136,139 |
1842.0% |
43.0 |
20.0 |
|
79 |
2 |
P>ITL |
10/31/1969 |
855.99 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
12/5/1969 |
793.03 |
-7.4% |
$2,449,303 |
$120,650 |
1930.1% |
5.0 |
4.0 |
|
80 |
4 |
P>ITL |
1/2/1970 |
809.20 |
5 |
P<ITL, R |
1/9/1970 |
798.11 |
-1.4% |
$2,415,736 |
$121,422 |
1889.5% |
1.0 |
23.0 |
|
81 |
6 |
P>ITL |
6/19/1970 |
720.43 |
7 |
P<Y, ITL |
7/3/1970 |
689.14 |
-4.3% |
$2,310,815 |
$104,844 |
2104.0% |
2.0 |
2.0 |
|
82 |
8 |
P>ITL |
7/17/1970 |
735.08 |
9 |
P<ITL, R |
10/15/1971 |
874.58 |
19.0% |
$2,749,350 |
$133,056 |
1966.3% |
65.0 |
12.0 |
|
83 |
10 |
P>R |
1/7/1972 |
910.37 |
11 |
P<ITL, R |
10/13/1972 |
930.46 |
2.2% |
$2,810,023 |
$141,558 |
1885.1% |
40.0 |
3.0 |
|
84 |
12 |
P>R |
11/3/1972 |
984.12 |
1 |
P<ITL, R |
2/23/1973 |
959.89 |
-2.5% |
$2,740,837 |
$146,035 |
1776.8% |
16.0 |
8.0 |
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Year |
Incumbent Trip Line
at start of BRS-1 Cycle |
BRS1 config @ conclusion of cycle |
Rule for BRS-1 Cycles |
Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
Incumbent Trip Line
at start of BRS-2 Cycle |
BRS2 config @ conclusion of cycle |
Rules for BRS-2 Cycles |
Action at conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle or
when it becomes Hybrid |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
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1968 |
1967-HR-BRS-1-TLN |
HR |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1967-HR-BRS-1-TLN |
HR |
C |
ARTL |
1968-HR-BRS-1-TLN |
|
1969 |
1968-HR-BRS-1-TLN |
HR |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1968-HR-BRS-1-TLN |
N |
B |
ATL |
1969-N-BRS-2-TLN |
|
1970 |
1969-N-BRS-2-TLN |
HY |
C |
ATL |
1970-HY-BRS-1-TLN |
1970-HY-BRS-1-TLN |
N |
B |
ATL |
1970-N-BRS-2-TLN |
|
1971 |
1970-N-BRS-2-TLN |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1970-N-BRS-2-TLN |
HR |
C,D |
ATL |
1970-N-BRS-2-TLN |
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1972 |
1971-HR-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1971-HR-BRS-2-TLX |
HR |
C |
ARTL |
1972-R-BRS-1-TLX |
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The DJIA Index moved congruently to
historical standards in the post election year, which characteristically
demonstrated bearish expressions. Just as in the prior presidential
election cycle, the balance of the years in this presidential election
cycle were congruent with historical standards. The mid-term election year
found a market bottom with bullish expressions in the pre-election and
election years.
The market anticipated the 1970 recession.
Although the lunar landing was impressive, the market knew it was
generations away from profit induction in any form, if ever. So, there was
little response to that. Nixon's devaluation of the dollar was met with a
bearish response, while the market saw nothing wrong with the Watergate
break-in. What does that have to do with
making money, which is the market's sole rightful obsession.
As you can see, bullish seasonality (pink) is
incongruent to historical standards during the bearish market periods and
bearish seasonality (white) is also incongruent to historical standards
during bullish periods.
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