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Indicant beats buy and hold......

 

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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold by 2113.0% from 1900 through 1976.  Buy and hold's $10,000 invested in 1900 amounts to $142,553. The Indicant's $10,000 1900 investment increased to $3,154,636. Scroll down for additional links and to continue tour.

No. of Bull/Bear Cycles Chart Bull Signal No. Bull Signal Event Trigger Bull Sig Date Bull Signal Price Chart Bear Signal No. Bear Signal Event Trigger Bear Sig Date Bear Signal Price MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> MTIRYS Account Balance Buy and Hold Account Balance Indicant Performance Advantage MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks)
  0 Beginning Investment 12/29/1899 65.73           $10,000 $10,000      
        1 P<ITL, R 2/23/1973 959.89 -2.5% $2,740,837 $146,035 1776.8% 16.0 8.0
85 2 P>ITL 4/20/1973 963.20 3 P<ITL, R 4/27/1973 922.19 -4.3% $2,624,141 $140,300 1770.4% 1.0 23.0
86 4 P>R 10/5/1973 971.25 5 P<ITL, R 11/2/1973 935.28 -3.7% $2,526,957 $142,291 1675.9% 4.0 51.0
87 6 P>ITL 10/25/1974 636.19 7 P<Y, ITL 12/6/1974 577.60 -9.2% $2,294,236 $87,875 2510.8% 6.0 3.0
88 8 P>ITL 12/27/1974 602.16 9 P<Y 4/4/1975 747.26 24.1% $2,847,069 $113,686 2404.3% 14.0 1.0
89 10 P>Y 4/11/1975 789.50 11 P<ITL, R 9/12/1975 809.23 2.5% $2,918,218 $123,114 2270.3% 22.0 6.0
90 12 P>R 10/24/1975 840.52 13 P<ITL, R 12/5/1975 818.80 -2.6% $2,842,808 $124,570 2182.1% 6.0 2.0
91 14 P>R 12/19/1975 844.38 15 P<ITL, R 10/15/1976 937.00 11.0% $3,154,636 $142,553 2113.0% 43.0 10.0
92 16 P>R 12/24/1976 985.62
Year Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-1 Cycle BRS1 config @ conclusion of cycle Rule for BRS-1 Cycles Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle New Incumbent Trip Line Name Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-2 Cycle BRS2 config @ conclusion of cycle Rules for BRS-2 Cycles Action at conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle or when it becomes Hybrid New Incumbent Trip Line Name
1972 1971-HR-BRS-2-TLX R A EITL N/A 1971-HR-BRS-2-TLX HR C ARTL 1972-R-BRS-1-TLX
1973 1972-R-BRS-1-TLX N B EITL N/A 1972-R-BRS-1-TLX HR C ARTL 1973-R-BRS-1-TLN
1974 1973-R-BRS-1-TLN N B EITL N/A 1973-R-BRS-1-TLN Y B ATL 1974-Y-BRS-2-TLN
1975 1974-Y-BRS-2-TLN R A EITL N/A 1974-Y-BRS-2-TLN HR C ARTL 1975-R-BRS-1-TLX
1976 1975-HR-BRS-2-TLX R A EITL N/A 1975-R-BRS-1-TLX HR C ARTL 1976-R-BRS-1-TLX

 

The DJIA Index moved congruently to historical standards in the post election year of 1973, which characteristically demonstrated bearish expressions. Just as in the prior presidential election cycle, the balance of the years in this presidential election cycle were congruent with historical standards. The mid-term election year found a market bottom with bullish expressions in the pre-election and election years.

The market anticipated the 1974 recession by over a year. This recession was rather easy for the market to spot with OPEC embargos and rising oil prices.

Again, non-producers were influencing their false power on the international economy. OPEC, a collection of non-producers, who lucked out by being born on huge oil reserves imposed an embargo in 1973. This dishonest, non-value added behavior, like all those before, created a recession and a bear market.

The market again anticipated the 1974 recession a little early. Nixon's resignation was not influential. Rising oil prices was entirely influential. The market showed tremendous bullish respect for tax shelters. Congress passed legislation helping the parasitical elite to avoid hefty taxes. Most members of congress are professional people, who benefit tremendously from these shelters, while the common blue collar worker enjoys few of these benefits. On the other hand, hard working capitalists, who can afford accountants and attorneys would also benefit. So, its passage was not entirely a bad thing, although immoral to the masses.

As you can see, bullish seasonality (pink) is incongruent to historical standards during the bearish market periods and bearish seasonality (white) is also incongruent to historical standards during bullish periods.

 

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