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Indicant beats buy and hold......

 

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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold by 2462.5% from 1900 through 1988.  Buy and hold's $10,000 invested in 1900 amounts to $341,813. The Indicant's $10,000 1900 investment increased to $8,758,982. Scroll down for additional links and to continue tour.

 

 

No. of Bull/Bear Cycles Chart Bull Signal No. Bull Signal Event Trigger Bull Sig Date Bull Signal Price Chart Bear Signal No. Bear Signal Event Trigger Bear Sig Date Bear Signal Price MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> MTIRYS Account Balance Buy and Hold Account Balance Indicant Performance Advantage MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks)
  0 Beginning Investment 12/29/1899 65.73           $10,000 $10,000      
        1 P<ITL, R 10/16/1987 2246.74 84.4% $8,758,982 $341,813 2462.5% 166.0 54.0
106 2 P>ITL 10/28/1988 2149.89

 

Year Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-1 Cycle BRS1 config @ conclusion of cycle Rule for BRS-1 Cycles Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle New Incumbent Trip Line Name Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-2 Cycle BRS2 config @ conclusion of cycle Rules for BRS-2 Cycles Action at conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle or when it becomes Hybrid New Incumbent Trip Line Name
1984 1983-R-BRS-2-TLX N B EITL N/A 1983-R-BRS-2-TLX HR C ARTL 1983-N-BRS-1-TLX
1985 1983-N-BRS-1-TLX R A EITL N/A 1983-N-BRS-1-TLX R A ATL 1985-R-BRS-2-TLX
1986 1985-R-BRS-2-TLX R A EITL N/A 1985-R-BRS-2-TLX R A ATL 1986-R-BRS-2-TLX
1987 1986-R-BRS-2-TLX R A EITL N/A 1986-R-BRS-2-TLX HR C ARTL 1987-R-BRS-1-TLX
1988 1987-R-BRS-1-TLX N B EITL N/A 1987-R-BRS-1-TLX N B ATL 1988-N-BRS-2-TLN

 

The DJIA Index moved incongruently to historical standards in the post election year of 1985, which uncharacteristically demonstrated bullish expressions. You can see bullish expressions in the mid-term election year. The pre-election year was bearish with the infamous stock market crash of 1987. That crash was inconsequential in terms of economic influences. The market recovered quickly from that collapse.

Even with the market's collapse of 1987, it is easy to see the optimism for the future of free markets.

There was no recession in this presidential election cycle as entrepreneurialism was again gaining popularity with tax breaks and declining influences of socialism.

As you can see, bullish seasonality (pink) is incongruent to historical standards during the bearish market periods and bearish seasonality (white) is also incongruent to historical standards during bullish periods.

 

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