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Indicant beats buy and hold......
Return to Start of MTI-RYS Indicant Tour
and Associated Links
Click here to see current updates and status
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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold
by 24.2% from 1971 through 1984. Buy and hold's $10,000 invested in
1971 amounts to $15,762. Indicant's $10,000 1971 investment increased to
$19,572. Scroll down to see additional comments, links, and information.
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No. of Bull/Bear Cycles |
Chart Bull Signal No. |
Bull Signal Event Trigger |
Bull Sig Date |
Bull Signal Price |
Chart Bear Signal No. |
Bear Signal Event Trigger |
Bear Sig Date |
Bear Signal Price |
MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> |
MTIRYS Account Balance |
Buy and Hold Account Balance |
Indicant Performance Advantage |
MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
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0 |
Beginning Investment |
12/31/1971 |
102.09 |
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$10,000 |
$10,000 |
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1 |
P<ITL, R |
7/3/1981 |
128.64 |
23.6% |
$15,343 |
$12,601 |
21.8% |
100.0 |
6.0 |
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14 |
2 |
P>R |
8/14/1981 |
132.49 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
8/21/1981 |
129.23 |
-2.5% |
$14,966 |
$12,658 |
18.2% |
1.0 |
9.0 |
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15 |
4 |
P>ITL |
10/23/1981 |
118.60 |
5 |
P<ITL, R |
2/26/1982 |
113.11 |
-4.6% |
$14,273 |
$11,079 |
28.8% |
18.0 |
5.0 |
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16 |
6 |
P>ITL |
4/2/1982 |
115.12 |
7 |
P<ITL, R |
5/21/1982 |
114.89 |
-0.2% |
$14,245 |
$11,254 |
26.6% |
7.0 |
14.0 |
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17 |
8 |
P>ITL |
8/27/1982 |
117.11 |
9 |
P<ITL, R |
2/3/1984 |
160.91 |
37.4% |
$19,572 |
$15,762 |
24.2% |
75.0 |
27.0 |
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18 |
10 |
P>R |
8/10/1984 |
165.42 |
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Year |
Incumbent Trip Line at start of
BRS-1 Cycle |
BRS-1 configuration @ conclusion of
cycle |
Rule for BRS-1 Cycle |
Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
Incumbent Trip Line at start of
BRS-2 Cycle |
BRS-2 configuration @ conclusion of
cycle |
Rule for BRS-2 Cycle |
Action @ conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
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1980 |
1979-HR-BRS-1-TLN |
N |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1979-HR-BRS-1-TLN |
R |
A |
ATL |
1980-R-BRS-2-TLX |
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1981 |
1980-R-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1980-R-BRS-2-TLX |
N |
B |
ATL |
1981-N-BRS-2-TLN |
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1982 |
1981-N-BRS-2-TLN |
N |
C |
ATL |
1982-N-BRS-1-TLN |
1982-N-BRS-1-TLN |
HR |
C |
ARTL |
1982-N-BRS-1-TLN |
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1983 |
1982-N-BRS-1-TLN |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1982-N-BRS-1-TLN |
R |
A |
ATL |
1983-R-BRS-2-TLX |
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1984 |
1983-R-BRS-2-TLX |
N |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1983-R-BRS-2-TLX |
HR |
C |
ARTL |
1984-N-BRS-1-TLN |
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S&P500 Index is congruent with presidential
election cycle historical standards. Again, the post election year of 1981
was
bearish and the market, like clockwork, found bottom in the mid-term
election year of 1982. The pre-election year of 1983 was substantially bullish, while the
election year, 1984, was somewhat flat, but fun for its volatility.
You will later see the power of the MTI-RYS
model is avoiding bearish cycles. Scroll down for table and additional
links. |
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