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Indicant beats buy and hold......
Return to Start of MTI-RYS Indicant Tour
and Associated Links
Click here to see current updates and status
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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms
Buy&Hold by 17.1% from 1971 through 1988. Buy and hold's
$10,000 invested in 1971 amounts to $27,691. Indicant's $10,000 1971
investment increased to $32,420. Scroll down to see additional comments,
links, and information.
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No. of Bull/Bear Cycles |
Chart Bull Signal No. |
Bull Signal Event Trigger |
Bull Sig Date |
Bull Signal Price |
Chart Bear Signal No. |
Bear Signal Event Trigger |
Bear Sig Date |
Bear Signal Price |
MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> |
MTIRYS Account Balance |
Buy and Hold Account Balance |
Indicant Performance Advantage |
MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks) |
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0 |
Beginning Investment |
12/31/1971 |
102.09 |
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$10,000 |
$10,000 |
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1 |
P<ITL, R |
9/27/1985 |
181.29 |
9.6% |
$21,450 |
$17,758 |
20.8% |
59.0 |
3.0 |
|
19 |
2 |
P>R |
10/18/1985 |
187.04 |
3 |
P<ITL, R |
10/16/1987 |
282.70 |
51.1% |
$32,420 |
$27,691 |
17.1% |
104.0 |
53.0 |
|
20 |
4 |
P>ITL |
10/21/1988 |
283.66 |
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Year |
Incumbent Trip Line at start of
BRS-1 Cycle |
BRS-1 configuration @ conclusion of
cycle |
Rule for BRS-1 Cycle |
Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
Incumbent Trip Line at start of
BRS-2 Cycle |
BRS-2 configuration @ conclusion of
cycle |
Rule for BRS-2 Cycle |
Action @ conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle |
New Incumbent Trip Line Name |
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1984 |
1983-R-BRS-2-TLX |
N |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1983-R-BRS-2-TLX |
HR |
C |
ARTL |
1984-N-BRS-1-TLN |
|
1985 |
1984-N-BRS-1-TLN |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1984-N-BRS-1-TLN |
HR |
C |
ARTL |
1985-R-BRS-1-TLX |
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1986 |
1985-R-BRS-1-TLX |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1985-R-BRS-1-TLX |
R |
A |
ATL |
1986-R-BRS-2-TLX |
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1987 |
1986-R-BRS-2-TLX |
R |
A |
EITL |
N/A |
1986-R-BRS-2-TLX |
HR |
C |
ARTL |
1987-R-BRS-1-TLX |
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1988 |
1987-R-BRS-1-TLX |
N |
B |
EITL |
N/A |
1987-R-BRS-1-TLX |
N |
B |
ATL |
1988-N-BRS-2-TLN |
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S&P500 Index is incongruent with presidential
election cycle historical standards. This is a great bull market, induced
by lower taxes, consistent attacks on government inefficiencies (E.g. $600
coffee pots), the anticipated collapse of communism, and reduced influences
of social welfare.
As you can see, the Indicant avoided about
half of the 1987 crash when the market fell below red and the assigned
trip line. (See below links).
This is simply a great bull market that
ignored historical standards. Defeating buy and hold tactics is difficult
during great bull markets. You will later see the power of the MTI-RYS
model is avoiding bearish cycles. Scroll down for table and additional
links. |
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