Mid-term Indicant-RYS-SP500-1992-1996

Indicant beats buy and hold......

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Indicant's MTI-RYS model outperforms Buy&Hold by 11.6% from 1971 through 1996. Buy and hold's $10,000 invested in 1971 amounts to $43,664. Indicant's $10,000 1971 investment amounts to $48,734. Scroll down to see additional comments, links, and information.

No. of Bull/Bear Cycles	Chart Bull Signal No.	Bull Signal Event Trigger	Bull Sig Date	Bull Signal Price	Chart Bear Signal No.	Bear Signal Event Trigger	Bear Sig Date	Bear Signal Price	MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss>	MTIRYS Account Balance	Buy and Hold Account Balance	Indicant Performance Advantage	MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks)	MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks)
	0	Beginning Investment	12/31/1971	102.09						$10,000	$10,000
					1	P<ITL, R	4/1/1994	445.77	7.6%	$48,734	$43,664	11.6%	74.1	21.0
27	2	P>R	8/26/1994	473.80

Year	Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-1 Cycle	BRS-1 configuration @ conclusion of cycle	Rule for BRS-1 Cycle	Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle	New Incumbent Trip Line Name	Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-2 Cycle	BRS-2 configuration @ conclusion of cycle	Rule for BRS-2 Cycle	Action @ conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle	New Incumbent Trip Line Name
1992	1991-R-BRS-2-TLN	R	A	EITL	N/A	1991-R-BRS-2-TLN	HR	C	ARTL	1992-R-BRS-1-TLX
1993	1992-R-BRS-1-TLX	R	A	EITL	N/A	1992-R-BRS-1-TLX	R	A	ATL	1993-R-BRS-2-TLX
1994	1993-R-BRS-2-TLX	N	B	EITL	N/A	1993-R-BRS-2-TLX	HR	C	ARTL	1994-N-BRS-1-TLN
1995	1994-N-BRS-1-TLN	R	A	EITL	N/A	1994-N-BRS-1-TLN	R	A	ATL	1995-R-BRS-2-TLX
1996	1995-R-BRS-2-TLX	R	A	EITL	N/A	1995-R-BRS-2-TLX	R	A	ATL	1996-R-BRS-2-TLX

S&P500 Index is incongruent with presidential election cycle historical standards. However, the market did find bottom after a mildly bearish mid-term election year that is consistent with historical standards. The pre-election year and election year were extremely bullish as the democratic president and the republican congress set a record for vetoing each other. A do-nothing government is demonstrating a bullish response in the free markets.

As you can see, bearish seasonality is not honored during great bull markets.

Like 1988-1992, this is simply a great bull market that ignored historical standards. Defeating buy and hold tactics is difficult during great bull markets. You will later see the power of the MTI-RYS model is avoiding bearish cycles. Scroll down for table and additional links.

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