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Indicant beats buy and hold......

 

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Indicant's MTI-RYS model is outperforming Buy&Hold by 9.1% from 1985 through 1992. Buy and hold's $10,000 invested in 1985 amounts to $15,347. Indicant's $10,000 1985 investment amounts to $16,750. Scroll down to see additional comments, links, and information.

 

No. of Bull/Bear Cycles Chart Bull Signal No. Bull Signal Event Trigger Bull Sig Date Bull Signal Price Chart Bear Signal No. Bear Signal Event Trigger Bear Sig Date Bear Signal Price MTI-RYS % Gain or <Loss> MTIRYS Account Balance Buy and Hold Account Balance Indicant Performance Advantage MTIRYS Bull Cycle Duration # of Weeks) MTIRYS Bear Cycle Duration # of Weeks)
  0 Beginning Investment 2/8/1985 288.40           $10,000 $10,000      
  1 P<ITL, R 1/12/1990 439.70 17.0% $17,170 $15,246 12.6% 56.0 19.0
5 2 P>R 5/25/1990 453.70 3 P<ITL, R 7/27/1990 442.60 -2.4% $16,750 $15,347 9.1% 9.0 13.0
6 4 P>ITL 10/26/1990 334.40
Year Text Box: NASDAQ
Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-1 Cycle
BRS-1 configuration @ conclusion of cycle Rule for BRS-1 Cycle Action @ conclusion of BRS-1 Cycle New Incumbent Trip Line Name Incumbent Trip Line at start of BRS-2 Cycle BRS-2 configuration @ conclusion of cycle Rule for BRS-2 Cycle Action @ conclusion of BRS-2 Cycle New Incumbent Trip Line Name
1988 1987-R-BRS-1-TLX N B EITL N/A 1987-R-BRS-1-TLX N B ATL 1988-N-BRS-2-TLN
1989 1988-N-BRS-2-TLN R A EITL N/A 1988-N-BRS-2-TLN R A ATL 1989-R-BRS-2-TLX
1990 1989-R-BRS-2-TLX N B EITL N/A 1989-R-BRS-2-TLX HY B ATL 1990-HY-BRS-2-TLN
1991 1990-HY-BRS-2-TLN R A EITL N/A 1990-HY-BRS-2-TLN R A ATL 1991-R-BRS-2-TLX
1992 1991-R-BRS-2-TLX R A EITL N/A 1991-R-BRS-2-TLX HR D ATL 1992-HR-BRS-2-TLX

The post election year of 1989 was uncharacteristically bullish. However, the mid-term election year found bottom right on cue in 1990. The pre-election year of 1991 was tremendously bullish, which is the most bullish year on the presidential election cycle. The election year of 1992 was bullish and consistent with historical standards. 

Notice the yellow dashed line in the upper right hand corner of the above chart. The BRS-2 cycle (the second white segment) is hybrid. That would normally incite a retroactive trip line from the BRS-1 cycle's (the first white segment in 1992) maximum point. However, the incumbent bull cycle originated from below yellow, inciting rule D for trip line assignments.

Do not worry if this seems complicated. It is indeed complicated. For those you who like mental challenges, links to trip line assignments are below. For those of you who have better things to do, just read the daily and weekly reports. They will tell you what you will want to know; bull, bear, new bull, new bear, buy, hold, sell, or avoid.

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Click for understanding Trip Line assignment and construction.

Click for identifying and understanding the Incumbent Trip Line

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