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Short-term Indicant

Understanding the Short-term Indicant Charts

The short-term charts span two years; last year and current year. The numbered near-term and quick-term bull or bear signals from the prior year represent the last ones in the previous year. The first signal in the current year for both the near-term and quick-term cycles start with the number one. The major indices are numbered. Mutual funds, stocks, and ETF's are not numbered. The number labels are used for educational purposes and relationships to tables. To see the table values on the below chart, click the following:

 

For near-term bull/bear signals, click this sentence. For quick-term bull bear signals, click this sentence.

The Short-term Indicant differs from the Mid-term Indicant Charts by generating bull/buy or bear/sell signals along two cycles. The near-term cycle generates more signals than the quick-term cycle. The quick-term cycle is much older, as it was used prior to internet publications. This slower cycle was accommodative for postal mailings. Since it has nearly a half century of beating buy and hold, it is retained. Also, some investors do not prefer trading as much as the near-term model's more frequent signals.

Short-term Indicant Rules

Only two attributes are required to trigger a near-term bull or buy signal. Price must cross the near-term blue curve and force vectors must cross above vector pressure. Sell signals require much more. That is because the stock market goes up more than it goes down. However, from time to time, its bearish behavior is deep and fast moving. That is why there are many near-term trades.

There are only two requirements for triggering a quick-term bull or buy signal. First the Near-term Indicant must be signaling bull or buy and the price must move higher than the QTI Yellow curve.

The Near-term Indicant signals bear or sell when the price falls below the near-term green curve. The near-term blue curve typically collapses when that happens. Force Vectors must also be below Pressure and inside bearish domains. All of this is required following a fairly long near-term bull cycle, which usually requires eight weeks of bullishness. That is when the near-term green curve typically surpasses the bull or buy price, depending on the rate of the bullish rise. Shortly after a new bull or buy signal is triggered, one cannot wait for the near-term green curve to rise. When that occurs, a sell or bear signal typically occurs when force drops into bearish domains and the hold position is with a loss. That is referred to as a trip line. It is not on the Short-term Indicant charts for brevity purposes. There is already a lot of information on the charts. The short-term model will simply signal bear or sell when the price falls below the trip line for embryonic bulls or new hold positions.

The Quick-term Indicant, which has been a good model for over forty years, requires only two conditions for a bear or sell signal. The price must fall below Yellow curve and the Near-term Indicant must be signaling bear, new bear, sell, or avoid.

Click here to see the current Short-term Indicant Status

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