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Short-term Indicant Trades-Near-term Cycle

S&P500

 since January 1995
Near-term Bull/Bear Cycles Click Chart Years Bull Sig # Bull Sig Date Bull Sig Price Bear Sig # Bear Sig Date Bear Sig Price Days Held % Gain or Loss Indicant Value Cumulative % Change Since Start Buy/Hold Value Indicant Performance Advantage
0 1995-1996 N/A 1/2/95 459.11 N/A 1/2/95 459.11 N/A   $10,000   $10,000 0.0%
1 1995-1996 #01 1/3/95 460.71 #02 7/5/96 652.54 549 41.6% $14,164 42.1% $14,213 -0.3%
2 1995-1996 #03 7/30/96 639.95 #04 9/4/96 649.44 36 1.5% $14,374 41.5% $14,146 1.6%
3 1995-1996 #05 9/9/96 663.81 #01 3/26/97 773.88 198 16.6% $16,757 68.6% $16,856 -0.6%
4 1996-1997 #02 4/15/97 763.53 #03 10/24/97 876.99 192 14.9% $19,247 91.0% $19,102 0.8%
5 1996-1997 #04 10/31/97 938.99 #05 11/7/97 921.13 7 -1.9% $18,881 100.6% $20,063 -5.9%
6 1996-1997 #05 11/13/97 928.35 #01 6/12/98 1077.01 211 16.0% $21,905 134.6% $23,459 -6.6%
7 1997-1998 #02 6/17/98 1106.37 #03 7/28/98 1125.21 41 1.7% $22,278 145.1% $24,509 -9.1%
8 1997-1998 #04 8/17/98 1101.20 #05 8/26/98 1042.59 9 -5.3% $21,092 127.1% $22,709 -7.1%
9 1997-1998 #06 9/11/98 1029.72 #07 9/29/98 1017.01 18 -1.2% $20,832 121.5% $22,152 -6.0%
10 1997-1998 #08 10/12/98 994.80 #01 5/21/99 1306.65 221 31.3% $27,362 184.6% $28,460 -3.9%
11 1998-1999 #02 6/3/99 1327.75 #03 7/29/99 1328.72 56 0.1% $27,382 189.4% $28,941 -5.4%
12 1998-1999 #04 8/13/99 1330.77 #05 9/13/99 1336.29 31 0.4% $27,496 191.1% $29,106 -5.5%
13 1998-1999 #06 10/1/99 1304.60 #07 10/12/99 1285.55 11 -1.5% $27,094 180.0% $28,001 -3.2%
14 1998-1999 #08 10/21/99 1301.65 #01 1/26/00 1398.56 97 7.4% $29,111 204.6% $30,462 -4.4%
15 1999-2000 #02 2/3/00 1424.37 #03 2/10/00 1387.12 7 -2.6% $28,350 202.1% $30,213 -6.2%
16 1999-2000 #04 3/2/00 1409.17 #05 4/13/00 1356.56 42 -3.7% $27,292 195.5% $29,548 -7.6%
17 1999-2000 #06 4/24/00 1477.44 #07 5/1/00 1446.29 7 -2.1% $26,716 215.0% $31,502 -15.2%
18 1999-2000 #08 5/26/00 1422.45 #09 7/28/00 1419.89 63 -0.2% $26,668 209.3% $30,927 -13.8%
19 1999-2000 #10 8/4/00 1462.93 #11 9/15/00 1465.81 42 0.2% $26,721 219.3% $31,927 -16.3%
20 1999-2000 #12 10/23/00 1395.78 #13 11/10/00 1365.98 18 -2.1% $26,150 197.5% $29,753 -12.1%
21 1999-2000 #14 12/6/00 1351.46 #15 12/15/00 1312.15 9 -2.9% $25,389 185.8% $28,580 -11.2%
22 1999-2000 #16 12/27/00 1328.92 #01 1/5/01 1298.35 9 -2.3% $24,805 182.8% $28,280 -12.3%
23 2000-2001 #02 1/11/01 1326.82 #03 2/16/01 1301.53 36 -1.9% $24,333 183.5% $28,349 -14.2%
24 2000-2001 #04 4/11/01 1165.89 #05 6/13/01 1241.60 63 6.5% $25,913 170.4% $27,044 -4.2%
25 2000-2001 #06 8/1/01 1215.93 #07 8/8/01 1183.53 7 -2.7% $25,222 157.8% $25,779 -2.2%
26 2000-2001 #08 10/3/01 1072.28 #01 1/16/02 1127.56 105 5.2% $26,523 145.6% $24,560 8.0%
27 2001-2002 #02 2/11/02 1111.93 #03 2/15/02 1104.18 4 -0.7% $26,338 140.5% $24,050 9.5%
28 2001-2002 #04 2/26/02 1109.38 #05 4/9/02 1117.62 42 0.7% $26,533 143.4% $24,343 9.0%
29 2001-2002 #06 5/14/02 1096.26 #07 5/22/02 1086.01 8 -0.9% $26,285 136.5% $23,655 11.1%
30 2001-2002 #08 8/6/02 859.57 #09 9/19/02 843.32 44 -1.9% $25,788 83.7% $18,369 40.4%
31 2001-2002 #10 10/11/02 835.32 #11 12/19/02 884.25 69 5.9% $27,299 92.6% $19,260 41.7%
32 2002-2003 #12 1/6/03 929.01 #01 1/17/03 901.78 11 -2.9% $26,499 96.4% $19,642 34.9%
33 2002-2003 #02 3/13/03 831.89 #03 8/5/03 965.46 145 16.1% $30,753 110.3% $21,029 46.2%
34 2002-2003 #04 8/14/03 990.51 #01 3/12/04 1120.57 211 13.1% $34,792 144.1% $24,407 42.5%
35 2003-2004 #02 3/29/04 1122.47 #03 4/30/04 1107.26 32 -1.4% $34,320 141.2% $24,118 42.3%
36 2003-2004 #04 5/24/04 1095.34 #05 7/6/04 1116.21 43 1.9% $34,974 143.1% $24,312 43.9%
37 2003-2004 #06 7/29/04 1100.43 #07 8/5/04 1080.70 7 -1.8% $34,347 135.4% $23,539 45.9%
38 2003-2004 #08 8/17/04 1081.71 #09 10/22/04 1095.74 66 1.3% $34,792 138.7% $23,867 45.8%
39 2003-2004 #10 10/26/04 1111.10 #01 1/20/05 1175.41 86 5.8% $36,806 156.0% $25,602 43.8%
40 2004-2005 #02 1/31/05 1181.27 #03 3/21/05 1183.78 49 0.2% $36,884 157.8% $25,784 43.1%
41 2004-2005 #04 4/4/05 1176.12 #05 4/13/05 1173.79 9 -0.2% $36,811 155.7% $25,567 44.0%
42 2004-2005 #06 4/29/05 1156.85 #07 8/23/05 1217.59 116 5.3% $38,744 165.2% $26,521 46.1%
43 2004-2005 #08 8/31/05 1220.33 #09 9/21/05 1210.20 21 -0.8% $38,423 163.6% $26,360 45.8%
44 2004-2005 #10 9/29/05 1227.68 #11 10/5/05 1196.39 6 -2.5% $37,443 160.6% $26,059 43.7%
45 2004-2005 #12 10/26/05 1191.38 #01 5/12/06 1291.24 198 8.4% $40,582 181.2% $28,125 44.3%
46 2005-2006 #02 6/1/06 1285.71 #03 6/7/06 1256.15 6 -2.3% $39,649 173.6% $27,361 44.9%
47 2005-2006 #04 6/30/06 1270.20 #05 7/12/06 1258.60 12 -0.9% $39,287 174.1% $27,414 43.3%
48 2005-2006 #06 7/20/06 1249.13 #01 2/27/07 1399.04 222 12.0% $44,001 204.7% $30,473 44.4%
49 2006-2007 #02 3/19/07 1402.06 #03 7/26/07 1482.66 129 5.7% $46,531 222.9% $32,294 44.1%
50 2006-2007 #04 8/23/07 1462.50 #05 9/7/07 1453.55 15 -0.6% $46,246 216.6% $31,660 46.1%
51 2006-2007 #06 9/11/07 1471.49 #07 10/19/07 1500.63 38 2.0% $47,162 226.9% $32,686 44.3%
52 2006-2007 #08 10/30/07 1531.02 #09 11/5/07 1502.17 6 -1.9% $46,273 227.2% $32,719 41.4%
53 2006-2007 #10 11/28/07 1469.02 #11 12/14/07 1467.95 16 -0.1% $46,240 219.7% $31,974 44.6%
54 2007-2008 #01 2/1/08 1395.42 #02 2/8/08 1331.29 7 -4.6% $44,115 190.0% $28,997 52.1%
55 2007-2008 #03 3/18/08 1330.74 #04 6/6/08 1360.68 80 2.2% $45,107 196.4% $29,637 52.2%
56 2007-2008 #05 7/23/08 1282.18 #06 9/4/08 1236.83 43 -3.5% $43,512 169.4% $26,940 61.5%
57 2007-2008 #07 11/4/08 1005.75 #08 11/7/08 930.99 3 -7.4% $40,277 102.8% $20,278 98.6%
58 2007-2008 #09 11/26/08 887.68 #01 1/13/09 871.79 48 -1.8% $39,556 89.9% $18,989 108.3%
59 2008-2009 #02 3/13/09 756.55 #03 7/8/09 879.56 117 16.3% $45,988 91.6% $19,158 140.0%
60 2008-2009 #04 7/15/09 932.68 #01 1/28/10 1084.53 197 16.3% $53,475 136.2% $23,622 126.4%
61 2009-2010 #02 2/17/10 1099.51 #03 5/6/10 1128.15 78 2.6% $54,868 145.7% $24,573 123.3%
62 2009-2010 #04 6/15/10 1115.23 #05 6/25/10 1076.76 10 -3.4% $52,975 134.5% $23,453 125.9%
63 2009-2010 #06 7/8/10 1070.25 #07 8/23/10 1067.36 46 -0.3% $52,832 132.5% $23,248 127.3%
64 2009-2010 #08 9/2/10 1090.10 #01 3/16/11 1256.88 195 15.3% $60,916 173.8% $27,376 122.5%
65 2010-2011 #02 3/22/11 1293.77 #03 5/23/11 1317.37 62 1.8% $62,027 186.9% $28,694 116.2%
66 2010-2011 #04 6/29/11 1307.41 #05 8/1/11 1286.94 33 -1.6% $61,056 180.3% $28,031 117.8%
67 2010-2011 #06 8/30/11 1212.92 #07 9/2/11 1173.97 3 -3.2% $59,095 155.7% $25,571 131.1%
68 2010-2011 #08 9/16/11 1216.01 #09 9/21/11 1166.76 5 -4.1% $56,701 154.1% $25,414 123.1%
69 2010-2011 #10 10/10/11 1194.89 #11 11/21/11 1192.98 42 -0.2% $56,611 159.8% $25,985 117.9%
70 2010-2011 #12 12/1/11 1244.58 #13 12/14/11 1211.82 13 -2.6% $55,121 163.9% $26,395 108.8%
71 2010-2011 #14 12/22/11 1254.00 #01 5/9/12 1354.58 139 8.0% $59,542 195.0% $29,504 101.8%
72 2011-2012 #02 6/8/12 1325.66 #03 10/23/12 1413.11 137 6.6% $63,470 207.8% $30,779 106.2%
73 2011-2012 #04 12/7/12 1418.07 #01 6/20/13 1588.19 195 12.0% $71,084 245.9% $34,593 105.5%
74 2012-2013 #02 7/5/13 1631.89 #03 8/19/13 1646.06 45 0.9% $71,701 258.5% $35,853 100.0%
75 2012-2013 #04 9/9/13 1671.71 #05 10/8/13 1655.45 29 -1.0% $71,004 260.6% $36,058 96.9%
76 2012-2013 #06 10/14/13 1710.14                  

 

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